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Automation Risk Analysis

Will “Traffic Control Manager” be Automated?

Historical Context: Oxford Study (2013)

Ranked #178 of 702. Estimated risk: 11.0%

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AI Exposure Risk

57%

“Traffic Control Manager” will maybe be replaced by AI.

Based on the cognitive demands, communication requirements, and logical reasoning intrinsic to this occupation according to O*NET data, we project a 57% probability of disruption by generative AI and Large Language Models.

Automation & Robot Risk

43%

“Traffic Control Manager” will probably not be replaced by robots.

Evaluating the physical dexterity, repetitive motion tasks, and manual labor associated with this role, our analysis indicates a 43% likelihood of substitution by advanced robotics systems.

Personal & Financial Insights

Every occupation has a unique profile. For Air Traffic Controllers, the Bureau of Labor Statistics and O*NET classify the day-to-day work broadly as: Control air traffic on and within vicinity of airport, and movement of air traffic between altitude sectors and control centers, according to established procedures and policies. Authorize, regulate, and control commercial airline flights according to government or company regulations to expedite and ensure flight safety.

Avg. Annual Salary $142,740
Avg. Hourly Wage $68.62
Available Jobs (US) 22,400
Job Title & Hierarchy Code (SOC) Air Traffic Controllers #53-2021
Wage vs. National Median
ℹ️

Data is based on the reference occupation: “Air Traffic Controllers”

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Core Skills & Abilities

  • Review records or reports for clarity and completeness and maintain records or reports, as required under federal law.

  • Direct ground traffic, including taxiing aircraft, maintenance or baggage vehicles, or airport workers.

  • Provide on-the-job training to new air traffic controllers.

  • Compile information about flights from flight plans, pilot reports, radar, or observations.

  • Analyze factors such as weather reports, fuel requirements, or maps to determine air routes.

  • Maintain radio or telephone contact with adjacent control towers, terminal control units, or other area control centers to coordinate aircraft movement.

  • Provide flight path changes or directions to emergency landing fields for pilots traveling in bad weather or in emergency situations.

  • Conduct pre-flight briefings on weather conditions, suggested routes, altitudes, indications of turbulence, or other flight safety information.

  • Organize flight plans or traffic management plans to prepare for planes about to enter assigned airspace.

  • Relay air traffic information, such as courses, altitudes, or expected arrival times, to control centers.

  • Alert airport emergency services in cases of emergency or when aircraft are experiencing difficulties.

  • Inspect, adjust, or control radio equipment or airport lights.

  • Check conditions and traffic at different altitudes in response to pilots' requests for altitude changes.

  • Monitor or direct the movement of aircraft within an assigned air space or on the ground at airports to minimize delays and maximize safety.

  • Determine the timing or procedures for flight vector changes.

  • Inform pilots about nearby planes or potentially hazardous conditions, such as weather, speed and direction of wind, or visibility problems.

  • Monitor aircraft within a specific airspace, using radar, computer equipment, or visual references.

  • Issue landing and take-off authorizations or instructions.

  • Complete daily activity reports and keep records of messages from aircraft.

  • Direct pilots to runways when space is available or direct them to maintain a traffic pattern until there is space for them to land.

  • Initiate or coordinate searches for missing aircraft.

  • Contact pilots by radio to provide meteorological, navigational, or other information.

  • Transfer control of departing flights to traffic control centers and accept control of arriving flights.

Technologies & Software

  • Enterprise resource planning ERP software
  • Microsoft Access
  • Project44 AI Logistics
  • ChatGPT (OpenAI)
  • SAP software
  • Mistral (Mistral AI)
  • Waymo (Autonomous Driving)
  • Really Simple Syndication RSS
  • Microsoft Office software
  • Expedite departure path EDP software
  • Gatik AI
  • Multi-center traffic management advisor McTMA
  • Grok (xAI)
  • Gemini (Google)
  • Nova (Amazon)
  • Traffic management advisor TMA software
  • DeepSeek
  • Microsoft Word
  • Automated radar terminal systems ARTS
  • Kimi (Moonshot AI)
  • Final approach spacing tool FAST
  • Tesla Autopilot
  • Microsoft Outlook
  • Microsoft PowerPoint
  • Mobileye AI
  • Microsoft Excel
  • Claude (Anthropic)
  • Llama (Meta)
  • Flight simulation software
  • Qwen (Alibaba)
  • Center TRACON automation systems CTAS
  • Adobe Acrobat
  • En route descent advisor EDA
  • Advanced technologies and oceanic procedures ATOP
  • Direct-to-tool software
  • Mainframe computers
  • Long range navigation systems LRNS
  • Global positioning system GPS surveillance systems
  • Microwave landing systems MLS
  • Automatic direction finder ADF radio systems
  • Personal computers
  • Digital airport surveillance radar DASR systems
  • Ultra high frequency UHF radio communication systems
  • Area navigation RNAV systems
  • Binoculars
  • Standard terminal automation replacement systems STARS
  • Flight simulators
  • Nondirectional radio beacon markers
  • Differential global positioning system DGPS surveillance systems
  • Distance measuring equipment DME
  • Desktop computers
  • Frequency modulation FM two way radios
  • Airport surface detection equipment ASDE systems
  • Wide area augmentation systems WAAS
  • High frequency HF radio communications systems
  • Mode S radar systems
  • Local area augmentation systems LAAS
  • Airport surveillance radar ASR systems
  • Very high frequency VHF radio communication systems
  • Precision runway monitor PRM
  • Transponder landing systems TLS
  • Air route surveillance radar ARSR systems
  • Controller pilot datalink communication CPDC systems