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Automation Risk Analysis

Will “Able Bodied Watchman (AB Watchman)” be Automated?

Historical Context: Oxford Study (2013)

Ranked #461 of 702. Estimated risk: 83.0%

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AI Exposure Risk

40%

“Able Bodied Watchman (AB Watchman)” will probably not be replaced by AI.

Based on the cognitive demands, communication requirements, and logical reasoning intrinsic to this occupation according to O*NET data, we project a 40% probability of disruption by generative AI and Large Language Models.

Automation & Robot Risk

60%

“Able Bodied Watchman (AB Watchman)” will maybe be replaced by robots.

Evaluating the physical dexterity, repetitive motion tasks, and manual labor associated with this role, our analysis indicates a 60% likelihood of substitution by advanced robotics systems.

Personal & Financial Insights

Every occupation has a unique profile. For Sailors and Marine Oilers, the Bureau of Labor Statistics and O*NET classify the day-to-day work broadly as: Stand watch to look for obstructions in path of vessel, measure water depth, turn wheel on bridge, or use emergency equipment as directed by captain, mate, or pilot. Break out, rig, overhaul, and store cargo-handling gear, stationary rigging, and running gear. Perform a variety of maintenance tasks to preserve the painted surface of the ship and to maintain line and ship equipment. Must hold government-issued certification and tankerman certification when working aboard liquid-carrying vessels. Includes able seamen and ordinary seamen.

Avg. Annual Salary $55,320
Avg. Hourly Wage $26.59
Available Jobs (US) 31,360
Job Title & Hierarchy Code (SOC) Sailors and Marine Oilers #53-5011
Wage vs. National Median
ℹ️

Data is based on the reference occupation: “Sailors and Marine Oilers”

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Core Skills & Abilities

  • Lower and man lifeboats when emergencies occur.

  • Examine machinery to verify specified pressures or lubricant flows.

  • Stand gangway watches to prevent unauthorized persons from boarding ships while in port.

  • Overhaul lifeboats or lifeboat gear and lower or raise lifeboats with winches or falls.

  • Chip and clean rust spots on decks, superstructures, or sides of ships, using wire brushes and hand or air chipping machines.

  • Attach hoses and operate pumps to transfer substances to and from liquid cargo tanks.

  • Sweep, mop, and wash down decks to remove oil, dirt, and debris, using brooms, mops, brushes, and hoses.

  • Paint or varnish decks, superstructures, lifeboats, or sides of ships.

  • Maintain a ship's engines under the direction of the ship's engineering officers.

  • Clean and polish wood trim, brass, or other metal parts.

  • Participate in shore patrols.

  • Steer ships under the direction of commanders or navigating officers or direct helmsmen to steer, following designated courses.

  • Maintain government-issued certifications, as required.

  • Handle lines to moor vessels to wharfs, to tie up vessels to other vessels, or to rig towing lines.

  • Load or unload materials, vehicles, or passengers from vessels.

  • Operate, maintain, or repair ship equipment, such as winches, cranes, derricks, or weapons system.

  • Stand by wheels when ships are on automatic pilot, and verify accuracy of courses, using magnetic compasses.

  • Measure depth of water in shallow or unfamiliar waters, using leadlines, and telephone or shout depth information to vessel bridges.

  • Read pressure and temperature gauges or displays and record data in engineering logs.

  • Relay specified signals to other ships, using visual signaling devices, such as blinker lights or semaphores.

  • Lubricate machinery, equipment, or engine parts, such as gears, shafts, or bearings.

  • Tie barges together into tow units for tugboats to handle, inspecting barges periodically during voyages and disconnecting them when destinations are reached.

  • Stand watch in ships' bows or bridge wings to look for obstructions in a ship's path or to locate navigational aids, such as buoys or lighthouses.

  • Provide engineers with assistance in repairing or adjusting machinery.

  • Splice and repair ropes, wire cables, or cordage, using marlinespikes, wire cutters, twine, and hand tools.

  • Record data in ships' logs, such as weather conditions or distances traveled.

  • Give directions to crew members engaged in cleaning wheelhouses or quarterdecks.

  • Break out, rig, and stow cargo-handling gear, stationary rigging, or running gear.

Technologies & Software

  • KNMI TurboWin
  • Microsoft Word
  • Tesla Autopilot
  • Microsoft Excel
  • Computerized maintenance management system CMMS
  • Kongsberg Maritime K-Log Deck Logbook
  • Word processing software
  • Mobileye AI
  • Project44 AI Logistics
  • Microsoft Office software
  • Gatik AI
  • Microsoft Windows
  • Microsoft PowerPoint
  • Log book software
  • Operating system software
  • Microsoft Outlook
  • Waymo (Autonomous Driving)
  • Fire hoses
  • Cargo derricks
  • Magnetic compasses
  • Cargo hooks
  • Hand punches
  • Lifeboats
  • Magnet hoists
  • Sewing needles
  • Lifting slings
  • Tank level gauges
  • Galvanized thimbles
  • Bilge pumping systems
  • Crescent wrenches
  • Locking jaw pliers
  • Pyrotechnic distress signals
  • Engine room alarm systems
  • Wire splicers
  • Emergency position-indicating radio beacons
  • Claw hammers
  • Safety helmets
  • Ship anchor chocks
  • Bridge telephones
  • Radar navigation systems
  • Synthetic mooring ropes
  • Grease dispensing guns
  • Thermal protective aids TPA
  • Sheave blocks
  • Mechanical telegraphs
  • Signal flags
  • Anti-exposure coveralls
  • Electric deck cranes
  • Mooring cables
  • Centrifugal ventilators
  • Electric telegraphs
  • Life rings
  • Safety belts
  • Sharpening steels
  • Sounding tapes
  • Spanner wrenches
  • Air chippers
  • Life jackets
  • Forklifts
  • Lifting spreaders
  • Hydraulic windlasses
  • Ship alarm systems
  • Explosimeters
  • Hydraulic mooring winches
  • Semaphores
  • Electric mooring winches
  • Natural fiber mooring ropes
  • Gyrocompasses
  • Liquid cargo transfer hoses
  • Personal computers
  • Safety lanyards
  • Wire cutters
  • Blinker lights
  • Hydraulic capstans
  • Chipping hammers
  • Hand windlasses
  • Ratchet sets
  • Bolt cutters
  • Respirators
  • Lifeboat davits
  • Gear pumps
  • Voice pipes
  • Pipe wrenches
  • Riding pawls
  • Emergency generators
  • Manual winches
  • Steam winches
  • Centrifugal cargo pumps
  • Mooring chains
  • Sounding rods
  • Chain cargo falls
  • Oil dispensing cans
  • Welders
  • Workshop vises
  • Grabbing cranes
  • Cargo booms
  • Electric windlasses
  • Life buoys
  • Radio direction finders RDF
  • Reciprocating pumps
  • Filter masks
  • Portable gas detectors
  • Pilot ladders
  • Two way radios
  • Metal chisels
  • Hand capstans
  • Fids
  • Carbon dioxide CO2 firefighting systems
  • Hydraulic deck cranes
  • Safety glasses
  • Desktop computers
  • Container lift trucks
  • Portable fire extinguishers
  • Foam firefighting systems