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Automation Risk Analysis

Will “Scaler” be Automated?

Historical Context: Oxford Study (2013)

Ranked #461 of 702. Estimated risk: 83.0%

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AI Exposure Risk

40%

“Scaler” will probably not be replaced by AI.

Based on the cognitive demands, communication requirements, and logical reasoning intrinsic to this occupation according to O*NET data, we project a 40% probability of disruption by generative AI and Large Language Models.

Automation & Robot Risk

60%

“Scaler” will maybe be replaced by robots.

Evaluating the physical dexterity, repetitive motion tasks, and manual labor associated with this role, our analysis indicates a 60% likelihood of substitution by advanced robotics systems.

Personal & Financial Insights

Every occupation has a unique profile. For Sailors and Marine Oilers, the Bureau of Labor Statistics and O*NET classify the day-to-day work broadly as: Stand watch to look for obstructions in path of vessel, measure water depth, turn wheel on bridge, or use emergency equipment as directed by captain, mate, or pilot. Break out, rig, overhaul, and store cargo-handling gear, stationary rigging, and running gear. Perform a variety of maintenance tasks to preserve the painted surface of the ship and to maintain line and ship equipment. Must hold government-issued certification and tankerman certification when working aboard liquid-carrying vessels. Includes able seamen and ordinary seamen.

Avg. Annual Salary $55,320
Avg. Hourly Wage $26.59
Available Jobs (US) 31,360
Job Title & Hierarchy Code (SOC) Sailors and Marine Oilers #53-5011
Wage vs. National Median
ℹ️

Data is based on the reference occupation: “Sailors and Marine Oilers”

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Core Skills & Abilities

  • Measure depth of water in shallow or unfamiliar waters, using leadlines, and telephone or shout depth information to vessel bridges.

  • Participate in shore patrols.

  • Maintain a ship's engines under the direction of the ship's engineering officers.

  • Splice and repair ropes, wire cables, or cordage, using marlinespikes, wire cutters, twine, and hand tools.

  • Lower and man lifeboats when emergencies occur.

  • Break out, rig, and stow cargo-handling gear, stationary rigging, or running gear.

  • Relay specified signals to other ships, using visual signaling devices, such as blinker lights or semaphores.

  • Read pressure and temperature gauges or displays and record data in engineering logs.

  • Provide engineers with assistance in repairing or adjusting machinery.

  • Give directions to crew members engaged in cleaning wheelhouses or quarterdecks.

  • Overhaul lifeboats or lifeboat gear and lower or raise lifeboats with winches or falls.

  • Attach hoses and operate pumps to transfer substances to and from liquid cargo tanks.

  • Sweep, mop, and wash down decks to remove oil, dirt, and debris, using brooms, mops, brushes, and hoses.

  • Paint or varnish decks, superstructures, lifeboats, or sides of ships.

  • Stand gangway watches to prevent unauthorized persons from boarding ships while in port.

  • Chip and clean rust spots on decks, superstructures, or sides of ships, using wire brushes and hand or air chipping machines.

  • Handle lines to moor vessels to wharfs, to tie up vessels to other vessels, or to rig towing lines.

  • Stand by wheels when ships are on automatic pilot, and verify accuracy of courses, using magnetic compasses.

  • Maintain government-issued certifications, as required.

  • Operate, maintain, or repair ship equipment, such as winches, cranes, derricks, or weapons system.

  • Lubricate machinery, equipment, or engine parts, such as gears, shafts, or bearings.

  • Tie barges together into tow units for tugboats to handle, inspecting barges periodically during voyages and disconnecting them when destinations are reached.

  • Stand watch in ships' bows or bridge wings to look for obstructions in a ship's path or to locate navigational aids, such as buoys or lighthouses.

  • Steer ships under the direction of commanders or navigating officers or direct helmsmen to steer, following designated courses.

  • Load or unload materials, vehicles, or passengers from vessels.

  • Clean and polish wood trim, brass, or other metal parts.

  • Examine machinery to verify specified pressures or lubricant flows.

  • Record data in ships' logs, such as weather conditions or distances traveled.

Technologies & Software

  • Microsoft Outlook
  • Gatik AI
  • Microsoft Word
  • Microsoft PowerPoint
  • Word processing software
  • Project44 AI Logistics
  • Mobileye AI
  • Microsoft Office software
  • Waymo (Autonomous Driving)
  • Tesla Autopilot
  • Kongsberg Maritime K-Log Deck Logbook
  • Microsoft Windows
  • Log book software
  • Computerized maintenance management system CMMS
  • Operating system software
  • KNMI TurboWin
  • Microsoft Excel
  • Wire cutters
  • Steam winches
  • Workshop vises
  • Thermal protective aids TPA
  • Crescent wrenches
  • Emergency position-indicating radio beacons
  • Hand punches
  • Hand windlasses
  • Safety glasses
  • Claw hammers
  • Lifeboats
  • Riding pawls
  • Metal chisels
  • Tank level gauges
  • Explosimeters
  • Manual winches
  • Two way radios
  • Lifeboat davits
  • Magnet hoists
  • Bridge telephones
  • Electric mooring winches
  • Emergency generators
  • Portable fire extinguishers
  • Cargo derricks
  • Natural fiber mooring ropes
  • Ratchet sets
  • Hand capstans
  • Filter masks
  • Chipping hammers
  • Galvanized thimbles
  • Safety belts
  • Sheave blocks
  • Grease dispensing guns
  • Magnetic compasses
  • Safety helmets
  • Pipe wrenches
  • Gyrocompasses
  • Wire splicers
  • Voice pipes
  • Life rings
  • Ship anchor chocks
  • Anti-exposure coveralls
  • Bilge pumping systems
  • Blinker lights
  • Personal computers
  • Fids
  • Signal flags
  • Hydraulic windlasses
  • Electric windlasses
  • Forklifts
  • Bolt cutters
  • Mooring cables
  • Mooring chains
  • Engine room alarm systems
  • Sharpening steels
  • Container lift trucks
  • Hydraulic deck cranes
  • Sounding rods
  • Radio direction finders RDF
  • Sounding tapes
  • Mechanical telegraphs
  • Synthetic mooring ropes
  • Sewing needles
  • Fire hoses
  • Cargo booms
  • Air chippers
  • Desktop computers
  • Pyrotechnic distress signals
  • Lifting spreaders
  • Hydraulic mooring winches
  • Grabbing cranes
  • Portable gas detectors
  • Respirators
  • Life jackets
  • Ship alarm systems
  • Cargo hooks
  • Chain cargo falls
  • Semaphores
  • Safety lanyards
  • Welders
  • Electric telegraphs
  • Centrifugal cargo pumps
  • Spanner wrenches
  • Oil dispensing cans
  • Locking jaw pliers
  • Pilot ladders
  • Foam firefighting systems
  • Radar navigation systems
  • Gear pumps
  • Carbon dioxide CO2 firefighting systems
  • Electric deck cranes
  • Life buoys
  • Hydraulic capstans
  • Centrifugal ventilators
  • Liquid cargo transfer hoses
  • Lifting slings
  • Reciprocating pumps