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Automation Risk Analysis

Will “Crew Member” be Automated?

Historical Context: Oxford Study (2013)

Ranked #461 of 702. Estimated risk: 83.0%

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AI Exposure Risk

40%

“Crew Member” will probably not be replaced by AI.

Based on the cognitive demands, communication requirements, and logical reasoning intrinsic to this occupation according to O*NET data, we project a 40% probability of disruption by generative AI and Large Language Models.

Automation & Robot Risk

60%

“Crew Member” will maybe be replaced by robots.

Evaluating the physical dexterity, repetitive motion tasks, and manual labor associated with this role, our analysis indicates a 60% likelihood of substitution by advanced robotics systems.

Personal & Financial Insights

Every occupation has a unique profile. For Sailors and Marine Oilers, the Bureau of Labor Statistics and O*NET classify the day-to-day work broadly as: Stand watch to look for obstructions in path of vessel, measure water depth, turn wheel on bridge, or use emergency equipment as directed by captain, mate, or pilot. Break out, rig, overhaul, and store cargo-handling gear, stationary rigging, and running gear. Perform a variety of maintenance tasks to preserve the painted surface of the ship and to maintain line and ship equipment. Must hold government-issued certification and tankerman certification when working aboard liquid-carrying vessels. Includes able seamen and ordinary seamen.

Avg. Annual Salary $55,320
Avg. Hourly Wage $26.59
Available Jobs (US) 31,360
Job Title & Hierarchy Code (SOC) Sailors and Marine Oilers #53-5011
Wage vs. National Median
ℹ️

Data is based on the reference occupation: “Sailors and Marine Oilers”

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Core Skills & Abilities

  • Stand gangway watches to prevent unauthorized persons from boarding ships while in port.

  • Stand by wheels when ships are on automatic pilot, and verify accuracy of courses, using magnetic compasses.

  • Record data in ships' logs, such as weather conditions or distances traveled.

  • Overhaul lifeboats or lifeboat gear and lower or raise lifeboats with winches or falls.

  • Load or unload materials, vehicles, or passengers from vessels.

  • Splice and repair ropes, wire cables, or cordage, using marlinespikes, wire cutters, twine, and hand tools.

  • Measure depth of water in shallow or unfamiliar waters, using leadlines, and telephone or shout depth information to vessel bridges.

  • Sweep, mop, and wash down decks to remove oil, dirt, and debris, using brooms, mops, brushes, and hoses.

  • Tie barges together into tow units for tugboats to handle, inspecting barges periodically during voyages and disconnecting them when destinations are reached.

  • Maintain government-issued certifications, as required.

  • Stand watch in ships' bows or bridge wings to look for obstructions in a ship's path or to locate navigational aids, such as buoys or lighthouses.

  • Give directions to crew members engaged in cleaning wheelhouses or quarterdecks.

  • Examine machinery to verify specified pressures or lubricant flows.

  • Handle lines to moor vessels to wharfs, to tie up vessels to other vessels, or to rig towing lines.

  • Read pressure and temperature gauges or displays and record data in engineering logs.

  • Clean and polish wood trim, brass, or other metal parts.

  • Lubricate machinery, equipment, or engine parts, such as gears, shafts, or bearings.

  • Attach hoses and operate pumps to transfer substances to and from liquid cargo tanks.

  • Paint or varnish decks, superstructures, lifeboats, or sides of ships.

  • Steer ships under the direction of commanders or navigating officers or direct helmsmen to steer, following designated courses.

  • Provide engineers with assistance in repairing or adjusting machinery.

  • Maintain a ship's engines under the direction of the ship's engineering officers.

  • Lower and man lifeboats when emergencies occur.

  • Chip and clean rust spots on decks, superstructures, or sides of ships, using wire brushes and hand or air chipping machines.

  • Operate, maintain, or repair ship equipment, such as winches, cranes, derricks, or weapons system.

  • Relay specified signals to other ships, using visual signaling devices, such as blinker lights or semaphores.

  • Participate in shore patrols.

  • Break out, rig, and stow cargo-handling gear, stationary rigging, or running gear.

Technologies & Software

  • Microsoft Excel
  • Log book software
  • Microsoft Office software
  • KNMI TurboWin
  • Computerized maintenance management system CMMS
  • Mobileye AI
  • Microsoft Word
  • Microsoft Outlook
  • Microsoft PowerPoint
  • Tesla Autopilot
  • Word processing software
  • Gatik AI
  • Microsoft Windows
  • Kongsberg Maritime K-Log Deck Logbook
  • Project44 AI Logistics
  • Waymo (Autonomous Driving)
  • Operating system software
  • Cargo hooks
  • Sounding tapes
  • Locking jaw pliers
  • Desktop computers
  • Voice pipes
  • Bolt cutters
  • Wire cutters
  • Electric mooring winches
  • Respirators
  • Sheave blocks
  • Signal flags
  • Two way radios
  • Safety lanyards
  • Life rings
  • Explosimeters
  • Electric windlasses
  • Lifeboats
  • Magnet hoists
  • Pilot ladders
  • Chipping hammers
  • Spanner wrenches
  • Workshop vises
  • Ship alarm systems
  • Carbon dioxide CO2 firefighting systems
  • Metal chisels
  • Synthetic mooring ropes
  • Crescent wrenches
  • Ship anchor chocks
  • Pipe wrenches
  • Magnetic compasses
  • Personal computers
  • Foam firefighting systems
  • Emergency generators
  • Life buoys
  • Safety belts
  • Cargo booms
  • Claw hammers
  • Bilge pumping systems
  • Hydraulic mooring winches
  • Steam winches
  • Radar navigation systems
  • Grease dispensing guns
  • Centrifugal ventilators
  • Centrifugal cargo pumps
  • Manual winches
  • Hand windlasses
  • Grabbing cranes
  • Wire splicers
  • Lifeboat davits
  • Liquid cargo transfer hoses
  • Galvanized thimbles
  • Fids
  • Portable gas detectors
  • Container lift trucks
  • Ratchet sets
  • Semaphores
  • Radio direction finders RDF
  • Mooring cables
  • Lifting slings
  • Engine room alarm systems
  • Mooring chains
  • Sharpening steels
  • Cargo derricks
  • Chain cargo falls
  • Life jackets
  • Mechanical telegraphs
  • Electric telegraphs
  • Hydraulic windlasses
  • Gyrocompasses
  • Fire hoses
  • Pyrotechnic distress signals
  • Lifting spreaders
  • Hydraulic deck cranes
  • Welders
  • Riding pawls
  • Hydraulic capstans
  • Electric deck cranes
  • Forklifts
  • Oil dispensing cans
  • Filter masks
  • Sewing needles
  • Air chippers
  • Tank level gauges
  • Safety glasses
  • Reciprocating pumps
  • Bridge telephones
  • Portable fire extinguishers
  • Natural fiber mooring ropes
  • Anti-exposure coveralls
  • Thermal protective aids TPA
  • Sounding rods
  • Blinker lights
  • Gear pumps
  • Safety helmets
  • Emergency position-indicating radio beacons
  • Hand punches
  • Hand capstans