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Automation Risk Analysis

Will “Crew Member” be Automated?

Historical Context: Oxford Study (2013)

Ranked #461 of 702. Estimated risk: 83.0%

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AI Exposure Risk

40%

“Crew Member” will probably not be replaced by AI.

Based on the cognitive demands, communication requirements, and logical reasoning intrinsic to this occupation according to O*NET data, we project a 40% probability of disruption by generative AI and Large Language Models.

Automation & Robot Risk

60%

“Crew Member” will maybe be replaced by robots.

Evaluating the physical dexterity, repetitive motion tasks, and manual labor associated with this role, our analysis indicates a 60% likelihood of substitution by advanced robotics systems.

Personal & Financial Insights

Every occupation has a unique profile. For Sailors and Marine Oilers, the Bureau of Labor Statistics and O*NET classify the day-to-day work broadly as: Stand watch to look for obstructions in path of vessel, measure water depth, turn wheel on bridge, or use emergency equipment as directed by captain, mate, or pilot. Break out, rig, overhaul, and store cargo-handling gear, stationary rigging, and running gear. Perform a variety of maintenance tasks to preserve the painted surface of the ship and to maintain line and ship equipment. Must hold government-issued certification and tankerman certification when working aboard liquid-carrying vessels. Includes able seamen and ordinary seamen.

Avg. Annual Salary $55,320
Avg. Hourly Wage $26.59
Available Jobs (US) 31,360
Job Title & Hierarchy Code (SOC) Sailors and Marine Oilers #53-5011
Wage vs. National Median
ℹ️

Data is based on the reference occupation: “Sailors and Marine Oilers”

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Core Skills & Abilities

  • Relay specified signals to other ships, using visual signaling devices, such as blinker lights or semaphores.

  • Paint or varnish decks, superstructures, lifeboats, or sides of ships.

  • Handle lines to moor vessels to wharfs, to tie up vessels to other vessels, or to rig towing lines.

  • Overhaul lifeboats or lifeboat gear and lower or raise lifeboats with winches or falls.

  • Stand by wheels when ships are on automatic pilot, and verify accuracy of courses, using magnetic compasses.

  • Operate, maintain, or repair ship equipment, such as winches, cranes, derricks, or weapons system.

  • Tie barges together into tow units for tugboats to handle, inspecting barges periodically during voyages and disconnecting them when destinations are reached.

  • Break out, rig, and stow cargo-handling gear, stationary rigging, or running gear.

  • Clean and polish wood trim, brass, or other metal parts.

  • Lower and man lifeboats when emergencies occur.

  • Maintain government-issued certifications, as required.

  • Participate in shore patrols.

  • Measure depth of water in shallow or unfamiliar waters, using leadlines, and telephone or shout depth information to vessel bridges.

  • Provide engineers with assistance in repairing or adjusting machinery.

  • Sweep, mop, and wash down decks to remove oil, dirt, and debris, using brooms, mops, brushes, and hoses.

  • Lubricate machinery, equipment, or engine parts, such as gears, shafts, or bearings.

  • Maintain a ship's engines under the direction of the ship's engineering officers.

  • Steer ships under the direction of commanders or navigating officers or direct helmsmen to steer, following designated courses.

  • Splice and repair ropes, wire cables, or cordage, using marlinespikes, wire cutters, twine, and hand tools.

  • Chip and clean rust spots on decks, superstructures, or sides of ships, using wire brushes and hand or air chipping machines.

  • Record data in ships' logs, such as weather conditions or distances traveled.

  • Load or unload materials, vehicles, or passengers from vessels.

  • Stand gangway watches to prevent unauthorized persons from boarding ships while in port.

  • Read pressure and temperature gauges or displays and record data in engineering logs.

  • Stand watch in ships' bows or bridge wings to look for obstructions in a ship's path or to locate navigational aids, such as buoys or lighthouses.

  • Give directions to crew members engaged in cleaning wheelhouses or quarterdecks.

  • Examine machinery to verify specified pressures or lubricant flows.

  • Attach hoses and operate pumps to transfer substances to and from liquid cargo tanks.

Technologies & Software

  • Tesla Autopilot
  • Log book software
  • KNMI TurboWin
  • Microsoft Word
  • Project44 AI Logistics
  • Computerized maintenance management system CMMS
  • Kongsberg Maritime K-Log Deck Logbook
  • Microsoft Outlook
  • Microsoft Office software
  • Gatik AI
  • Waymo (Autonomous Driving)
  • Microsoft PowerPoint
  • Operating system software
  • Microsoft Windows
  • Word processing software
  • Mobileye AI
  • Microsoft Excel
  • Personal computers
  • Lifting slings
  • Liquid cargo transfer hoses
  • Mooring cables
  • Sheave blocks
  • Centrifugal ventilators
  • Ratchet sets
  • Portable fire extinguishers
  • Galvanized thimbles
  • Metal chisels
  • Chain cargo falls
  • Magnet hoists
  • Wire cutters
  • Lifeboats
  • Hydraulic deck cranes
  • Hydraulic windlasses
  • Safety lanyards
  • Pyrotechnic distress signals
  • Sounding rods
  • Lifting spreaders
  • Locking jaw pliers
  • Hand punches
  • Respirators
  • Fids
  • Ship anchor chocks
  • Emergency position-indicating radio beacons
  • Electric telegraphs
  • Carbon dioxide CO2 firefighting systems
  • Natural fiber mooring ropes
  • Bolt cutters
  • Life buoys
  • Fire hoses
  • Explosimeters
  • Thermal protective aids TPA
  • Hand capstans
  • Grease dispensing guns
  • Wire splicers
  • Safety glasses
  • Air chippers
  • Radio direction finders RDF
  • Forklifts
  • Welders
  • Cargo derricks
  • Spanner wrenches
  • Signal flags
  • Centrifugal cargo pumps
  • Pipe wrenches
  • Sounding tapes
  • Gyrocompasses
  • Bilge pumping systems
  • Tank level gauges
  • Chipping hammers
  • Anti-exposure coveralls
  • Lifeboat davits
  • Crescent wrenches
  • Desktop computers
  • Two way radios
  • Electric mooring winches
  • Synthetic mooring ropes
  • Pilot ladders
  • Workshop vises
  • Cargo booms
  • Mooring chains
  • Mechanical telegraphs
  • Emergency generators
  • Claw hammers
  • Steam winches
  • Gear pumps
  • Engine room alarm systems
  • Life rings
  • Magnetic compasses
  • Ship alarm systems
  • Reciprocating pumps
  • Portable gas detectors
  • Safety helmets
  • Hydraulic mooring winches
  • Foam firefighting systems
  • Hydraulic capstans
  • Sharpening steels
  • Riding pawls
  • Semaphores
  • Cargo hooks
  • Voice pipes
  • Bridge telephones
  • Safety belts
  • Radar navigation systems
  • Electric windlasses
  • Blinker lights
  • Electric deck cranes
  • Sewing needles
  • Oil dispensing cans
  • Manual winches
  • Container lift trucks
  • Filter masks
  • Hand windlasses
  • Life jackets
  • Grabbing cranes