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Automation Risk Analysis

Will “Crewman” be Automated?

Historical Context: Oxford Study (2013)

Ranked #461 of 702. Estimated risk: 83.0%

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AI Exposure Risk

40%

“Crewman” will probably not be replaced by AI.

Based on the cognitive demands, communication requirements, and logical reasoning intrinsic to this occupation according to O*NET data, we project a 40% probability of disruption by generative AI and Large Language Models.

Automation & Robot Risk

60%

“Crewman” will maybe be replaced by robots.

Evaluating the physical dexterity, repetitive motion tasks, and manual labor associated with this role, our analysis indicates a 60% likelihood of substitution by advanced robotics systems.

Personal & Financial Insights

Every occupation has a unique profile. For Sailors and Marine Oilers, the Bureau of Labor Statistics and O*NET classify the day-to-day work broadly as: Stand watch to look for obstructions in path of vessel, measure water depth, turn wheel on bridge, or use emergency equipment as directed by captain, mate, or pilot. Break out, rig, overhaul, and store cargo-handling gear, stationary rigging, and running gear. Perform a variety of maintenance tasks to preserve the painted surface of the ship and to maintain line and ship equipment. Must hold government-issued certification and tankerman certification when working aboard liquid-carrying vessels. Includes able seamen and ordinary seamen.

Avg. Annual Salary $55,320
Avg. Hourly Wage $26.59
Available Jobs (US) 31,360
Job Title & Hierarchy Code (SOC) Sailors and Marine Oilers #53-5011
Wage vs. National Median
ℹ️

Data is based on the reference occupation: “Sailors and Marine Oilers”

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Core Skills & Abilities

  • Lower and man lifeboats when emergencies occur.

  • Maintain government-issued certifications, as required.

  • Measure depth of water in shallow or unfamiliar waters, using leadlines, and telephone or shout depth information to vessel bridges.

  • Sweep, mop, and wash down decks to remove oil, dirt, and debris, using brooms, mops, brushes, and hoses.

  • Stand gangway watches to prevent unauthorized persons from boarding ships while in port.

  • Give directions to crew members engaged in cleaning wheelhouses or quarterdecks.

  • Splice and repair ropes, wire cables, or cordage, using marlinespikes, wire cutters, twine, and hand tools.

  • Chip and clean rust spots on decks, superstructures, or sides of ships, using wire brushes and hand or air chipping machines.

  • Lubricate machinery, equipment, or engine parts, such as gears, shafts, or bearings.

  • Stand by wheels when ships are on automatic pilot, and verify accuracy of courses, using magnetic compasses.

  • Steer ships under the direction of commanders or navigating officers or direct helmsmen to steer, following designated courses.

  • Load or unload materials, vehicles, or passengers from vessels.

  • Tie barges together into tow units for tugboats to handle, inspecting barges periodically during voyages and disconnecting them when destinations are reached.

  • Paint or varnish decks, superstructures, lifeboats, or sides of ships.

  • Provide engineers with assistance in repairing or adjusting machinery.

  • Overhaul lifeboats or lifeboat gear and lower or raise lifeboats with winches or falls.

  • Maintain a ship's engines under the direction of the ship's engineering officers.

  • Record data in ships' logs, such as weather conditions or distances traveled.

  • Clean and polish wood trim, brass, or other metal parts.

  • Operate, maintain, or repair ship equipment, such as winches, cranes, derricks, or weapons system.

  • Read pressure and temperature gauges or displays and record data in engineering logs.

  • Participate in shore patrols.

  • Examine machinery to verify specified pressures or lubricant flows.

  • Handle lines to moor vessels to wharfs, to tie up vessels to other vessels, or to rig towing lines.

  • Break out, rig, and stow cargo-handling gear, stationary rigging, or running gear.

  • Stand watch in ships' bows or bridge wings to look for obstructions in a ship's path or to locate navigational aids, such as buoys or lighthouses.

  • Attach hoses and operate pumps to transfer substances to and from liquid cargo tanks.

  • Relay specified signals to other ships, using visual signaling devices, such as blinker lights or semaphores.

Technologies & Software

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  • Operating system software
  • KNMI TurboWin
  • Kongsberg Maritime K-Log Deck Logbook
  • Computerized maintenance management system CMMS
  • Hydraulic capstans
  • Desktop computers
  • Two way radios
  • Centrifugal cargo pumps
  • Locking jaw pliers
  • Metal chisels
  • Blinker lights
  • Sounding tapes
  • Radio direction finders RDF
  • Wire cutters
  • Synthetic mooring ropes
  • Grease dispensing guns
  • Cargo booms
  • Electric telegraphs
  • Workshop vises
  • Anti-exposure coveralls
  • Chipping hammers
  • Cargo hooks
  • Pyrotechnic distress signals
  • Container lift trucks
  • Carbon dioxide CO2 firefighting systems
  • Safety helmets
  • Life rings
  • Manual winches
  • Mooring chains
  • Voice pipes
  • Life jackets
  • Portable gas detectors
  • Hand windlasses
  • Gear pumps
  • Reciprocating pumps
  • Bilge pumping systems
  • Grabbing cranes
  • Emergency generators
  • Centrifugal ventilators
  • Crescent wrenches
  • Gyrocompasses
  • Sheave blocks
  • Life buoys
  • Fire hoses
  • Radar navigation systems
  • Ratchet sets
  • Foam firefighting systems
  • Lifeboats
  • Ship alarm systems
  • Hand punches
  • Engine room alarm systems
  • Hydraulic deck cranes
  • Thermal protective aids TPA
  • Wire splicers
  • Liquid cargo transfer hoses
  • Emergency position-indicating radio beacons
  • Safety glasses
  • Lifting spreaders
  • Sharpening steels
  • Safety lanyards
  • Forklifts
  • Tank level gauges
  • Mechanical telegraphs
  • Signal flags
  • Welders
  • Steam winches
  • Mooring cables
  • Bolt cutters
  • Chain cargo falls
  • Filter masks
  • Pilot ladders
  • Explosimeters
  • Bridge telephones
  • Oil dispensing cans
  • Hydraulic windlasses
  • Personal computers
  • Galvanized thimbles
  • Fids
  • Semaphores
  • Magnet hoists
  • Electric mooring winches
  • Electric deck cranes
  • Portable fire extinguishers
  • Magnetic compasses
  • Lifeboat davits
  • Air chippers
  • Lifting slings
  • Spanner wrenches
  • Electric windlasses
  • Sounding rods
  • Respirators
  • Claw hammers
  • Cargo derricks
  • Pipe wrenches
  • Natural fiber mooring ropes
  • Hydraulic mooring winches
  • Hand capstans
  • Safety belts
  • Sewing needles
  • Ship anchor chocks
  • Riding pawls