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Automation Risk Analysis

Will “Merchant Marine” be Automated?

Historical Context: Oxford Study (2013)

Ranked #461 of 702. Estimated risk: 83.0%

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AI Exposure Risk

40%

“Merchant Marine” will probably not be replaced by AI.

Based on the cognitive demands, communication requirements, and logical reasoning intrinsic to this occupation according to O*NET data, we project a 40% probability of disruption by generative AI and Large Language Models.

Automation & Robot Risk

60%

“Merchant Marine” will maybe be replaced by robots.

Evaluating the physical dexterity, repetitive motion tasks, and manual labor associated with this role, our analysis indicates a 60% likelihood of substitution by advanced robotics systems.

Personal & Financial Insights

Every occupation has a unique profile. For Sailors and Marine Oilers, the Bureau of Labor Statistics and O*NET classify the day-to-day work broadly as: Stand watch to look for obstructions in path of vessel, measure water depth, turn wheel on bridge, or use emergency equipment as directed by captain, mate, or pilot. Break out, rig, overhaul, and store cargo-handling gear, stationary rigging, and running gear. Perform a variety of maintenance tasks to preserve the painted surface of the ship and to maintain line and ship equipment. Must hold government-issued certification and tankerman certification when working aboard liquid-carrying vessels. Includes able seamen and ordinary seamen.

Avg. Annual Salary $55,320
Avg. Hourly Wage $26.59
Available Jobs (US) 31,360
Job Title & Hierarchy Code (SOC) Sailors and Marine Oilers #53-5011
Wage vs. National Median
ℹ️

Data is based on the reference occupation: “Sailors and Marine Oilers”

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Core Skills & Abilities

  • Give directions to crew members engaged in cleaning wheelhouses or quarterdecks.

  • Lubricate machinery, equipment, or engine parts, such as gears, shafts, or bearings.

  • Handle lines to moor vessels to wharfs, to tie up vessels to other vessels, or to rig towing lines.

  • Measure depth of water in shallow or unfamiliar waters, using leadlines, and telephone or shout depth information to vessel bridges.

  • Stand watch in ships' bows or bridge wings to look for obstructions in a ship's path or to locate navigational aids, such as buoys or lighthouses.

  • Load or unload materials, vehicles, or passengers from vessels.

  • Break out, rig, and stow cargo-handling gear, stationary rigging, or running gear.

  • Overhaul lifeboats or lifeboat gear and lower or raise lifeboats with winches or falls.

  • Paint or varnish decks, superstructures, lifeboats, or sides of ships.

  • Participate in shore patrols.

  • Relay specified signals to other ships, using visual signaling devices, such as blinker lights or semaphores.

  • Attach hoses and operate pumps to transfer substances to and from liquid cargo tanks.

  • Tie barges together into tow units for tugboats to handle, inspecting barges periodically during voyages and disconnecting them when destinations are reached.

  • Stand by wheels when ships are on automatic pilot, and verify accuracy of courses, using magnetic compasses.

  • Read pressure and temperature gauges or displays and record data in engineering logs.

  • Chip and clean rust spots on decks, superstructures, or sides of ships, using wire brushes and hand or air chipping machines.

  • Stand gangway watches to prevent unauthorized persons from boarding ships while in port.

  • Operate, maintain, or repair ship equipment, such as winches, cranes, derricks, or weapons system.

  • Maintain government-issued certifications, as required.

  • Sweep, mop, and wash down decks to remove oil, dirt, and debris, using brooms, mops, brushes, and hoses.

  • Maintain a ship's engines under the direction of the ship's engineering officers.

  • Provide engineers with assistance in repairing or adjusting machinery.

  • Clean and polish wood trim, brass, or other metal parts.

  • Splice and repair ropes, wire cables, or cordage, using marlinespikes, wire cutters, twine, and hand tools.

  • Record data in ships' logs, such as weather conditions or distances traveled.

  • Examine machinery to verify specified pressures or lubricant flows.

  • Steer ships under the direction of commanders or navigating officers or direct helmsmen to steer, following designated courses.

  • Lower and man lifeboats when emergencies occur.

Technologies & Software

  • Word processing software
  • Microsoft Excel
  • Computerized maintenance management system CMMS
  • Microsoft PowerPoint
  • Project44 AI Logistics
  • Log book software
  • Microsoft Windows
  • Gatik AI
  • Kongsberg Maritime K-Log Deck Logbook
  • Tesla Autopilot
  • Waymo (Autonomous Driving)
  • Operating system software
  • Mobileye AI
  • Microsoft Word
  • KNMI TurboWin
  • Microsoft Outlook
  • Microsoft Office software
  • Hydraulic mooring winches
  • Electric telegraphs
  • Hydraulic capstans
  • Foam firefighting systems
  • Filter masks
  • Hand windlasses
  • Grease dispensing guns
  • Welders
  • Cargo booms
  • Hand punches
  • Hydraulic deck cranes
  • Galvanized thimbles
  • Metal chisels
  • Wire cutters
  • Life jackets
  • Semaphores
  • Locking jaw pliers
  • Grabbing cranes
  • Workshop vises
  • Life buoys
  • Carbon dioxide CO2 firefighting systems
  • Bolt cutters
  • Life rings
  • Respirators
  • Wire splicers
  • Centrifugal cargo pumps
  • Bilge pumping systems
  • Spanner wrenches
  • Sounding rods
  • Safety helmets
  • Signal flags
  • Ratchet sets
  • Magnetic compasses
  • Lifting spreaders
  • Pyrotechnic distress signals
  • Mechanical telegraphs
  • Mooring cables
  • Mooring chains
  • Magnet hoists
  • Sheave blocks
  • Gyrocompasses
  • Synthetic mooring ropes
  • Thermal protective aids TPA
  • Fids
  • Oil dispensing cans
  • Forklifts
  • Pilot ladders
  • Sewing needles
  • Natural fiber mooring ropes
  • Electric windlasses
  • Steam winches
  • Pipe wrenches
  • Lifeboats
  • Hydraulic windlasses
  • Reciprocating pumps
  • Container lift trucks
  • Manual winches
  • Crescent wrenches
  • Radar navigation systems
  • Personal computers
  • Sounding tapes
  • Tank level gauges
  • Cargo hooks
  • Safety belts
  • Air chippers
  • Sharpening steels
  • Ship anchor chocks
  • Electric deck cranes
  • Anti-exposure coveralls
  • Voice pipes
  • Explosimeters
  • Gear pumps
  • Lifeboat davits
  • Safety lanyards
  • Lifting slings
  • Cargo derricks
  • Safety glasses
  • Desktop computers
  • Centrifugal ventilators
  • Chipping hammers
  • Portable fire extinguishers
  • Emergency generators
  • Claw hammers
  • Portable gas detectors
  • Radio direction finders RDF
  • Riding pawls
  • Blinker lights
  • Engine room alarm systems
  • Chain cargo falls
  • Hand capstans
  • Liquid cargo transfer hoses
  • Ship alarm systems
  • Two way radios
  • Electric mooring winches
  • Fire hoses
  • Bridge telephones
  • Emergency position-indicating radio beacons