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Automation Risk Analysis

Will “Merchant Marine” be Automated?

Historical Context: Oxford Study (2013)

Ranked #461 of 702. Estimated risk: 83.0%

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AI Exposure Risk

40%

“Merchant Marine” will probably not be replaced by AI.

Based on the cognitive demands, communication requirements, and logical reasoning intrinsic to this occupation according to O*NET data, we project a 40% probability of disruption by generative AI and Large Language Models.

Automation & Robot Risk

60%

“Merchant Marine” will maybe be replaced by robots.

Evaluating the physical dexterity, repetitive motion tasks, and manual labor associated with this role, our analysis indicates a 60% likelihood of substitution by advanced robotics systems.

Personal & Financial Insights

Every occupation has a unique profile. For Sailors and Marine Oilers, the Bureau of Labor Statistics and O*NET classify the day-to-day work broadly as: Stand watch to look for obstructions in path of vessel, measure water depth, turn wheel on bridge, or use emergency equipment as directed by captain, mate, or pilot. Break out, rig, overhaul, and store cargo-handling gear, stationary rigging, and running gear. Perform a variety of maintenance tasks to preserve the painted surface of the ship and to maintain line and ship equipment. Must hold government-issued certification and tankerman certification when working aboard liquid-carrying vessels. Includes able seamen and ordinary seamen.

Avg. Annual Salary $55,320
Avg. Hourly Wage $26.59
Available Jobs (US) 31,360
Job Title & Hierarchy Code (SOC) Sailors and Marine Oilers #53-5011
Wage vs. National Median
ℹ️

Data is based on the reference occupation: “Sailors and Marine Oilers”

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Core Skills & Abilities

  • Participate in shore patrols.

  • Splice and repair ropes, wire cables, or cordage, using marlinespikes, wire cutters, twine, and hand tools.

  • Stand gangway watches to prevent unauthorized persons from boarding ships while in port.

  • Give directions to crew members engaged in cleaning wheelhouses or quarterdecks.

  • Maintain government-issued certifications, as required.

  • Load or unload materials, vehicles, or passengers from vessels.

  • Sweep, mop, and wash down decks to remove oil, dirt, and debris, using brooms, mops, brushes, and hoses.

  • Lubricate machinery, equipment, or engine parts, such as gears, shafts, or bearings.

  • Read pressure and temperature gauges or displays and record data in engineering logs.

  • Lower and man lifeboats when emergencies occur.

  • Tie barges together into tow units for tugboats to handle, inspecting barges periodically during voyages and disconnecting them when destinations are reached.

  • Provide engineers with assistance in repairing or adjusting machinery.

  • Measure depth of water in shallow or unfamiliar waters, using leadlines, and telephone or shout depth information to vessel bridges.

  • Overhaul lifeboats or lifeboat gear and lower or raise lifeboats with winches or falls.

  • Attach hoses and operate pumps to transfer substances to and from liquid cargo tanks.

  • Break out, rig, and stow cargo-handling gear, stationary rigging, or running gear.

  • Steer ships under the direction of commanders or navigating officers or direct helmsmen to steer, following designated courses.

  • Clean and polish wood trim, brass, or other metal parts.

  • Chip and clean rust spots on decks, superstructures, or sides of ships, using wire brushes and hand or air chipping machines.

  • Stand watch in ships' bows or bridge wings to look for obstructions in a ship's path or to locate navigational aids, such as buoys or lighthouses.

  • Stand by wheels when ships are on automatic pilot, and verify accuracy of courses, using magnetic compasses.

  • Operate, maintain, or repair ship equipment, such as winches, cranes, derricks, or weapons system.

  • Maintain a ship's engines under the direction of the ship's engineering officers.

  • Examine machinery to verify specified pressures or lubricant flows.

  • Record data in ships' logs, such as weather conditions or distances traveled.

  • Handle lines to moor vessels to wharfs, to tie up vessels to other vessels, or to rig towing lines.

  • Paint or varnish decks, superstructures, lifeboats, or sides of ships.

  • Relay specified signals to other ships, using visual signaling devices, such as blinker lights or semaphores.

Technologies & Software

  • Microsoft PowerPoint
  • Log book software
  • Gatik AI
  • KNMI TurboWin
  • Word processing software
  • Microsoft Windows
  • Operating system software
  • Microsoft Office software
  • Computerized maintenance management system CMMS
  • Mobileye AI
  • Project44 AI Logistics
  • Tesla Autopilot
  • Microsoft Word
  • Waymo (Autonomous Driving)
  • Microsoft Outlook
  • Kongsberg Maritime K-Log Deck Logbook
  • Microsoft Excel
  • Thermal protective aids TPA
  • Portable fire extinguishers
  • Metal chisels
  • Mooring chains
  • Hydraulic deck cranes
  • Personal computers
  • Cargo booms
  • Sharpening steels
  • Life jackets
  • Lifting spreaders
  • Ship alarm systems
  • Gear pumps
  • Sounding tapes
  • Air chippers
  • Respirators
  • Mechanical telegraphs
  • Hand windlasses
  • Radio direction finders RDF
  • Emergency generators
  • Forklifts
  • Bilge pumping systems
  • Grease dispensing guns
  • Container lift trucks
  • Anti-exposure coveralls
  • Radar navigation systems
  • Reciprocating pumps
  • Ratchet sets
  • Cargo derricks
  • Synthetic mooring ropes
  • Mooring cables
  • Filter masks
  • Cargo hooks
  • Centrifugal cargo pumps
  • Sheave blocks
  • Blinker lights
  • Tank level gauges
  • Electric mooring winches
  • Two way radios
  • Oil dispensing cans
  • Safety glasses
  • Claw hammers
  • Carbon dioxide CO2 firefighting systems
  • Grabbing cranes
  • Voice pipes
  • Crescent wrenches
  • Spanner wrenches
  • Signal flags
  • Bridge telephones
  • Lifeboat davits
  • Hand punches
  • Hand capstans
  • Electric deck cranes
  • Hydraulic capstans
  • Electric telegraphs
  • Manual winches
  • Magnetic compasses
  • Life buoys
  • Life rings
  • Safety helmets
  • Hydraulic mooring winches
  • Ship anchor chocks
  • Natural fiber mooring ropes
  • Workshop vises
  • Wire cutters
  • Explosimeters
  • Sounding rods
  • Semaphores
  • Sewing needles
  • Pilot ladders
  • Fids
  • Pipe wrenches
  • Hydraulic windlasses
  • Emergency position-indicating radio beacons
  • Steam winches
  • Galvanized thimbles
  • Welders
  • Lifeboats
  • Safety belts
  • Pyrotechnic distress signals
  • Chipping hammers
  • Safety lanyards
  • Locking jaw pliers
  • Magnet hoists
  • Chain cargo falls
  • Foam firefighting systems
  • Liquid cargo transfer hoses
  • Engine room alarm systems
  • Centrifugal ventilators
  • Lifting slings
  • Portable gas detectors
  • Wire splicers
  • Riding pawls
  • Gyrocompasses
  • Desktop computers
  • Bolt cutters
  • Electric windlasses
  • Fire hoses