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Automation Risk Analysis

Will “Merchant Marine” be Automated?

Historical Context: Oxford Study (2013)

Ranked #461 of 702. Estimated risk: 83.0%

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AI Exposure Risk

40%

“Merchant Marine” will probably not be replaced by AI.

Based on the cognitive demands, communication requirements, and logical reasoning intrinsic to this occupation according to O*NET data, we project a 40% probability of disruption by generative AI and Large Language Models.

Automation & Robot Risk

60%

“Merchant Marine” will maybe be replaced by robots.

Evaluating the physical dexterity, repetitive motion tasks, and manual labor associated with this role, our analysis indicates a 60% likelihood of substitution by advanced robotics systems.

Personal & Financial Insights

Every occupation has a unique profile. For Sailors and Marine Oilers, the Bureau of Labor Statistics and O*NET classify the day-to-day work broadly as: Stand watch to look for obstructions in path of vessel, measure water depth, turn wheel on bridge, or use emergency equipment as directed by captain, mate, or pilot. Break out, rig, overhaul, and store cargo-handling gear, stationary rigging, and running gear. Perform a variety of maintenance tasks to preserve the painted surface of the ship and to maintain line and ship equipment. Must hold government-issued certification and tankerman certification when working aboard liquid-carrying vessels. Includes able seamen and ordinary seamen.

Avg. Annual Salary $55,320
Avg. Hourly Wage $26.59
Available Jobs (US) 31,360
Job Title & Hierarchy Code (SOC) Sailors and Marine Oilers #53-5011
Wage vs. National Median
ℹ️

Data is based on the reference occupation: “Sailors and Marine Oilers”

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Core Skills & Abilities

  • Record data in ships' logs, such as weather conditions or distances traveled.

  • Paint or varnish decks, superstructures, lifeboats, or sides of ships.

  • Provide engineers with assistance in repairing or adjusting machinery.

  • Load or unload materials, vehicles, or passengers from vessels.

  • Stand gangway watches to prevent unauthorized persons from boarding ships while in port.

  • Sweep, mop, and wash down decks to remove oil, dirt, and debris, using brooms, mops, brushes, and hoses.

  • Operate, maintain, or repair ship equipment, such as winches, cranes, derricks, or weapons system.

  • Read pressure and temperature gauges or displays and record data in engineering logs.

  • Splice and repair ropes, wire cables, or cordage, using marlinespikes, wire cutters, twine, and hand tools.

  • Clean and polish wood trim, brass, or other metal parts.

  • Attach hoses and operate pumps to transfer substances to and from liquid cargo tanks.

  • Lubricate machinery, equipment, or engine parts, such as gears, shafts, or bearings.

  • Break out, rig, and stow cargo-handling gear, stationary rigging, or running gear.

  • Maintain government-issued certifications, as required.

  • Participate in shore patrols.

  • Examine machinery to verify specified pressures or lubricant flows.

  • Lower and man lifeboats when emergencies occur.

  • Steer ships under the direction of commanders or navigating officers or direct helmsmen to steer, following designated courses.

  • Measure depth of water in shallow or unfamiliar waters, using leadlines, and telephone or shout depth information to vessel bridges.

  • Relay specified signals to other ships, using visual signaling devices, such as blinker lights or semaphores.

  • Overhaul lifeboats or lifeboat gear and lower or raise lifeboats with winches or falls.

  • Tie barges together into tow units for tugboats to handle, inspecting barges periodically during voyages and disconnecting them when destinations are reached.

  • Handle lines to moor vessels to wharfs, to tie up vessels to other vessels, or to rig towing lines.

  • Maintain a ship's engines under the direction of the ship's engineering officers.

  • Give directions to crew members engaged in cleaning wheelhouses or quarterdecks.

  • Stand by wheels when ships are on automatic pilot, and verify accuracy of courses, using magnetic compasses.

  • Stand watch in ships' bows or bridge wings to look for obstructions in a ship's path or to locate navigational aids, such as buoys or lighthouses.

  • Chip and clean rust spots on decks, superstructures, or sides of ships, using wire brushes and hand or air chipping machines.

Technologies & Software

  • Microsoft Outlook
  • KNMI TurboWin
  • Microsoft Office software
  • Waymo (Autonomous Driving)
  • Kongsberg Maritime K-Log Deck Logbook
  • Gatik AI
  • Microsoft Excel
  • Mobileye AI
  • Microsoft Windows
  • Tesla Autopilot
  • Computerized maintenance management system CMMS
  • Log book software
  • Operating system software
  • Microsoft PowerPoint
  • Microsoft Word
  • Word processing software
  • Project44 AI Logistics
  • Explosimeters
  • Emergency position-indicating radio beacons
  • Hydraulic mooring winches
  • Portable gas detectors
  • Foam firefighting systems
  • Personal computers
  • Bolt cutters
  • Anti-exposure coveralls
  • Bilge pumping systems
  • Spanner wrenches
  • Natural fiber mooring ropes
  • Engine room alarm systems
  • Chain cargo falls
  • Desktop computers
  • Pyrotechnic distress signals
  • Wire splicers
  • Voice pipes
  • Metal chisels
  • Gyrocompasses
  • Respirators
  • Centrifugal cargo pumps
  • Wire cutters
  • Gear pumps
  • Cargo booms
  • Workshop vises
  • Mooring chains
  • Signal flags
  • Life jackets
  • Hydraulic deck cranes
  • Life buoys
  • Centrifugal ventilators
  • Hand windlasses
  • Sounding rods
  • Radar navigation systems
  • Liquid cargo transfer hoses
  • Sewing needles
  • Magnet hoists
  • Lifeboat davits
  • Bridge telephones
  • Blinker lights
  • Electric telegraphs
  • Fire hoses
  • Two way radios
  • Electric mooring winches
  • Oil dispensing cans
  • Crescent wrenches
  • Hand punches
  • Fids
  • Semaphores
  • Life rings
  • Mechanical telegraphs
  • Riding pawls
  • Pilot ladders
  • Galvanized thimbles
  • Hand capstans
  • Steam winches
  • Filter masks
  • Emergency generators
  • Electric deck cranes
  • Hydraulic capstans
  • Electric windlasses
  • Reciprocating pumps
  • Manual winches
  • Lifting slings
  • Synthetic mooring ropes
  • Grease dispensing guns
  • Cargo derricks
  • Radio direction finders RDF
  • Claw hammers
  • Sounding tapes
  • Forklifts
  • Ship anchor chocks
  • Grabbing cranes
  • Ship alarm systems
  • Sheave blocks
  • Safety helmets
  • Container lift trucks
  • Safety glasses
  • Thermal protective aids TPA
  • Mooring cables
  • Air chippers
  • Sharpening steels
  • Ratchet sets
  • Tank level gauges
  • Magnetic compasses
  • Lifting spreaders
  • Welders
  • Pipe wrenches
  • Cargo hooks
  • Safety belts
  • Locking jaw pliers
  • Chipping hammers
  • Carbon dioxide CO2 firefighting systems
  • Lifeboats
  • Safety lanyards
  • Hydraulic windlasses
  • Portable fire extinguishers