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Automation Risk Analysis

Will “Merchant Marine” be Automated?

Historical Context: Oxford Study (2013)

Ranked #461 of 702. Estimated risk: 83.0%

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AI Exposure Risk

40%

“Merchant Marine” will probably not be replaced by AI.

Based on the cognitive demands, communication requirements, and logical reasoning intrinsic to this occupation according to O*NET data, we project a 40% probability of disruption by generative AI and Large Language Models.

Automation & Robot Risk

60%

“Merchant Marine” will maybe be replaced by robots.

Evaluating the physical dexterity, repetitive motion tasks, and manual labor associated with this role, our analysis indicates a 60% likelihood of substitution by advanced robotics systems.

Personal & Financial Insights

Every occupation has a unique profile. For Sailors and Marine Oilers, the Bureau of Labor Statistics and O*NET classify the day-to-day work broadly as: Stand watch to look for obstructions in path of vessel, measure water depth, turn wheel on bridge, or use emergency equipment as directed by captain, mate, or pilot. Break out, rig, overhaul, and store cargo-handling gear, stationary rigging, and running gear. Perform a variety of maintenance tasks to preserve the painted surface of the ship and to maintain line and ship equipment. Must hold government-issued certification and tankerman certification when working aboard liquid-carrying vessels. Includes able seamen and ordinary seamen.

Avg. Annual Salary $55,320
Avg. Hourly Wage $26.59
Available Jobs (US) 31,360
Job Title & Hierarchy Code (SOC) Sailors and Marine Oilers #53-5011
Wage vs. National Median
ℹ️

Data is based on the reference occupation: “Sailors and Marine Oilers”

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Core Skills & Abilities

  • Overhaul lifeboats or lifeboat gear and lower or raise lifeboats with winches or falls.

  • Sweep, mop, and wash down decks to remove oil, dirt, and debris, using brooms, mops, brushes, and hoses.

  • Break out, rig, and stow cargo-handling gear, stationary rigging, or running gear.

  • Chip and clean rust spots on decks, superstructures, or sides of ships, using wire brushes and hand or air chipping machines.

  • Give directions to crew members engaged in cleaning wheelhouses or quarterdecks.

  • Load or unload materials, vehicles, or passengers from vessels.

  • Examine machinery to verify specified pressures or lubricant flows.

  • Attach hoses and operate pumps to transfer substances to and from liquid cargo tanks.

  • Participate in shore patrols.

  • Relay specified signals to other ships, using visual signaling devices, such as blinker lights or semaphores.

  • Maintain government-issued certifications, as required.

  • Measure depth of water in shallow or unfamiliar waters, using leadlines, and telephone or shout depth information to vessel bridges.

  • Read pressure and temperature gauges or displays and record data in engineering logs.

  • Record data in ships' logs, such as weather conditions or distances traveled.

  • Steer ships under the direction of commanders or navigating officers or direct helmsmen to steer, following designated courses.

  • Lower and man lifeboats when emergencies occur.

  • Provide engineers with assistance in repairing or adjusting machinery.

  • Operate, maintain, or repair ship equipment, such as winches, cranes, derricks, or weapons system.

  • Stand by wheels when ships are on automatic pilot, and verify accuracy of courses, using magnetic compasses.

  • Lubricate machinery, equipment, or engine parts, such as gears, shafts, or bearings.

  • Stand gangway watches to prevent unauthorized persons from boarding ships while in port.

  • Splice and repair ropes, wire cables, or cordage, using marlinespikes, wire cutters, twine, and hand tools.

  • Tie barges together into tow units for tugboats to handle, inspecting barges periodically during voyages and disconnecting them when destinations are reached.

  • Handle lines to moor vessels to wharfs, to tie up vessels to other vessels, or to rig towing lines.

  • Paint or varnish decks, superstructures, lifeboats, or sides of ships.

  • Stand watch in ships' bows or bridge wings to look for obstructions in a ship's path or to locate navigational aids, such as buoys or lighthouses.

  • Clean and polish wood trim, brass, or other metal parts.

  • Maintain a ship's engines under the direction of the ship's engineering officers.

Technologies & Software

  • Microsoft Office software
  • Tesla Autopilot
  • Microsoft Outlook
  • Project44 AI Logistics
  • Gatik AI
  • Microsoft PowerPoint
  • Microsoft Windows
  • KNMI TurboWin
  • Computerized maintenance management system CMMS
  • Word processing software
  • Microsoft Excel
  • Kongsberg Maritime K-Log Deck Logbook
  • Mobileye AI
  • Waymo (Autonomous Driving)
  • Log book software
  • Microsoft Word
  • Operating system software
  • Electric mooring winches
  • Hand capstans
  • Natural fiber mooring ropes
  • Hydraulic windlasses
  • Synthetic mooring ropes
  • Centrifugal cargo pumps
  • Container lift trucks
  • Steam winches
  • Lifeboat davits
  • Safety helmets
  • Ship anchor chocks
  • Hand punches
  • Lifting spreaders
  • Filter masks
  • Blinker lights
  • Liquid cargo transfer hoses
  • Mooring chains
  • Magnet hoists
  • Electric telegraphs
  • Grease dispensing guns
  • Lifting slings
  • Personal computers
  • Emergency position-indicating radio beacons
  • Workshop vises
  • Gear pumps
  • Grabbing cranes
  • Lifeboats
  • Voice pipes
  • Hydraulic deck cranes
  • Forklifts
  • Chipping hammers
  • Respirators
  • Safety glasses
  • Sheave blocks
  • Cargo derricks
  • Desktop computers
  • Radar navigation systems
  • Explosimeters
  • Wire cutters
  • Locking jaw pliers
  • Welders
  • Mechanical telegraphs
  • Bridge telephones
  • Portable fire extinguishers
  • Thermal protective aids TPA
  • Anti-exposure coveralls
  • Emergency generators
  • Air chippers
  • Tank level gauges
  • Life rings
  • Electric windlasses
  • Wire splicers
  • Cargo hooks
  • Sounding tapes
  • Manual winches
  • Reciprocating pumps
  • Sewing needles
  • Life jackets
  • Ratchet sets
  • Pyrotechnic distress signals
  • Gyrocompasses
  • Semaphores
  • Centrifugal ventilators
  • Claw hammers
  • Carbon dioxide CO2 firefighting systems
  • Magnetic compasses
  • Metal chisels
  • Safety lanyards
  • Two way radios
  • Foam firefighting systems
  • Fire hoses
  • Cargo booms
  • Hydraulic mooring winches
  • Crescent wrenches
  • Ship alarm systems
  • Pilot ladders
  • Safety belts
  • Spanner wrenches
  • Sharpening steels
  • Electric deck cranes
  • Riding pawls
  • Life buoys
  • Mooring cables
  • Hydraulic capstans
  • Bilge pumping systems
  • Portable gas detectors
  • Galvanized thimbles
  • Engine room alarm systems
  • Hand windlasses
  • Radio direction finders RDF
  • Bolt cutters
  • Oil dispensing cans
  • Sounding rods
  • Fids
  • Signal flags
  • Chain cargo falls
  • Pipe wrenches