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Automation Risk Analysis

Will “Cadet” be Automated?

Historical Context: Oxford Study (2013)

Ranked #461 of 702. Estimated risk: 83.0%

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AI Exposure Risk

40%

“Cadet” will probably not be replaced by AI.

Based on the cognitive demands, communication requirements, and logical reasoning intrinsic to this occupation according to O*NET data, we project a 40% probability of disruption by generative AI and Large Language Models.

Automation & Robot Risk

60%

“Cadet” will maybe be replaced by robots.

Evaluating the physical dexterity, repetitive motion tasks, and manual labor associated with this role, our analysis indicates a 60% likelihood of substitution by advanced robotics systems.

Personal & Financial Insights

Every occupation has a unique profile. For Sailors and Marine Oilers, the Bureau of Labor Statistics and O*NET classify the day-to-day work broadly as: Stand watch to look for obstructions in path of vessel, measure water depth, turn wheel on bridge, or use emergency equipment as directed by captain, mate, or pilot. Break out, rig, overhaul, and store cargo-handling gear, stationary rigging, and running gear. Perform a variety of maintenance tasks to preserve the painted surface of the ship and to maintain line and ship equipment. Must hold government-issued certification and tankerman certification when working aboard liquid-carrying vessels. Includes able seamen and ordinary seamen.

Avg. Annual Salary $55,320
Avg. Hourly Wage $26.59
Available Jobs (US) 31,360
Job Title & Hierarchy Code (SOC) Sailors and Marine Oilers #53-5011
Wage vs. National Median
ℹ️

Data is based on the reference occupation: “Sailors and Marine Oilers”

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Core Skills & Abilities

  • Maintain a ship's engines under the direction of the ship's engineering officers.

  • Stand by wheels when ships are on automatic pilot, and verify accuracy of courses, using magnetic compasses.

  • Provide engineers with assistance in repairing or adjusting machinery.

  • Operate, maintain, or repair ship equipment, such as winches, cranes, derricks, or weapons system.

  • Measure depth of water in shallow or unfamiliar waters, using leadlines, and telephone or shout depth information to vessel bridges.

  • Break out, rig, and stow cargo-handling gear, stationary rigging, or running gear.

  • Record data in ships' logs, such as weather conditions or distances traveled.

  • Overhaul lifeboats or lifeboat gear and lower or raise lifeboats with winches or falls.

  • Maintain government-issued certifications, as required.

  • Handle lines to moor vessels to wharfs, to tie up vessels to other vessels, or to rig towing lines.

  • Load or unload materials, vehicles, or passengers from vessels.

  • Examine machinery to verify specified pressures or lubricant flows.

  • Clean and polish wood trim, brass, or other metal parts.

  • Steer ships under the direction of commanders or navigating officers or direct helmsmen to steer, following designated courses.

  • Lower and man lifeboats when emergencies occur.

  • Stand gangway watches to prevent unauthorized persons from boarding ships while in port.

  • Attach hoses and operate pumps to transfer substances to and from liquid cargo tanks.

  • Paint or varnish decks, superstructures, lifeboats, or sides of ships.

  • Relay specified signals to other ships, using visual signaling devices, such as blinker lights or semaphores.

  • Tie barges together into tow units for tugboats to handle, inspecting barges periodically during voyages and disconnecting them when destinations are reached.

  • Splice and repair ropes, wire cables, or cordage, using marlinespikes, wire cutters, twine, and hand tools.

  • Read pressure and temperature gauges or displays and record data in engineering logs.

  • Chip and clean rust spots on decks, superstructures, or sides of ships, using wire brushes and hand or air chipping machines.

  • Give directions to crew members engaged in cleaning wheelhouses or quarterdecks.

  • Lubricate machinery, equipment, or engine parts, such as gears, shafts, or bearings.

  • Sweep, mop, and wash down decks to remove oil, dirt, and debris, using brooms, mops, brushes, and hoses.

  • Stand watch in ships' bows or bridge wings to look for obstructions in a ship's path or to locate navigational aids, such as buoys or lighthouses.

  • Participate in shore patrols.

Technologies & Software

  • Microsoft Windows
  • Waymo (Autonomous Driving)
  • Operating system software
  • Microsoft Excel
  • Gatik AI
  • Project44 AI Logistics
  • Computerized maintenance management system CMMS
  • KNMI TurboWin
  • Mobileye AI
  • Tesla Autopilot
  • Microsoft Outlook
  • Log book software
  • Microsoft Office software
  • Kongsberg Maritime K-Log Deck Logbook
  • Microsoft PowerPoint
  • Word processing software
  • Microsoft Word
  • Gear pumps
  • Electric mooring winches
  • Welders
  • Thermal protective aids TPA
  • Hydraulic capstans
  • Ship alarm systems
  • Metal chisels
  • Mechanical telegraphs
  • Pipe wrenches
  • Carbon dioxide CO2 firefighting systems
  • Emergency position-indicating radio beacons
  • Electric windlasses
  • Electric deck cranes
  • Sounding rods
  • Bolt cutters
  • Tank level gauges
  • Hydraulic deck cranes
  • Safety lanyards
  • Bridge telephones
  • Hand capstans
  • Forklifts
  • Liquid cargo transfer hoses
  • Safety helmets
  • Blinker lights
  • Grease dispensing guns
  • Wire cutters
  • Sharpening steels
  • Natural fiber mooring ropes
  • Life jackets
  • Ship anchor chocks
  • Fids
  • Chain cargo falls
  • Voice pipes
  • Magnet hoists
  • Cargo derricks
  • Filter masks
  • Radar navigation systems
  • Engine room alarm systems
  • Emergency generators
  • Spanner wrenches
  • Mooring chains
  • Hydraulic mooring winches
  • Desktop computers
  • Lifting spreaders
  • Crescent wrenches
  • Air chippers
  • Life buoys
  • Fire hoses
  • Hand punches
  • Safety belts
  • Explosimeters
  • Sheave blocks
  • Reciprocating pumps
  • Life rings
  • Safety glasses
  • Container lift trucks
  • Riding pawls
  • Cargo booms
  • Oil dispensing cans
  • Pyrotechnic distress signals
  • Respirators
  • Magnetic compasses
  • Lifeboat davits
  • Synthetic mooring ropes
  • Manual winches
  • Steam winches
  • Lifeboats
  • Portable fire extinguishers
  • Foam firefighting systems
  • Chipping hammers
  • Sounding tapes
  • Galvanized thimbles
  • Grabbing cranes
  • Gyrocompasses
  • Radio direction finders RDF
  • Sewing needles
  • Centrifugal cargo pumps
  • Anti-exposure coveralls
  • Electric telegraphs
  • Locking jaw pliers
  • Wire splicers
  • Cargo hooks
  • Semaphores
  • Personal computers
  • Signal flags
  • Two way radios
  • Centrifugal ventilators
  • Workshop vises
  • Portable gas detectors
  • Hydraulic windlasses
  • Ratchet sets
  • Pilot ladders
  • Bilge pumping systems
  • Hand windlasses
  • Claw hammers
  • Lifting slings
  • Mooring cables