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Automation Risk Analysis

Will “Cadet” be Automated?

Historical Context: Oxford Study (2013)

Ranked #461 of 702. Estimated risk: 83.0%

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AI Exposure Risk

40%

“Cadet” will probably not be replaced by AI.

Based on the cognitive demands, communication requirements, and logical reasoning intrinsic to this occupation according to O*NET data, we project a 40% probability of disruption by generative AI and Large Language Models.

Automation & Robot Risk

60%

“Cadet” will maybe be replaced by robots.

Evaluating the physical dexterity, repetitive motion tasks, and manual labor associated with this role, our analysis indicates a 60% likelihood of substitution by advanced robotics systems.

Personal & Financial Insights

Every occupation has a unique profile. For Sailors and Marine Oilers, the Bureau of Labor Statistics and O*NET classify the day-to-day work broadly as: Stand watch to look for obstructions in path of vessel, measure water depth, turn wheel on bridge, or use emergency equipment as directed by captain, mate, or pilot. Break out, rig, overhaul, and store cargo-handling gear, stationary rigging, and running gear. Perform a variety of maintenance tasks to preserve the painted surface of the ship and to maintain line and ship equipment. Must hold government-issued certification and tankerman certification when working aboard liquid-carrying vessels. Includes able seamen and ordinary seamen.

Avg. Annual Salary $55,320
Avg. Hourly Wage $26.59
Available Jobs (US) 31,360
Job Title & Hierarchy Code (SOC) Sailors and Marine Oilers #53-5011
Wage vs. National Median
ℹ️

Data is based on the reference occupation: “Sailors and Marine Oilers”

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Core Skills & Abilities

  • Clean and polish wood trim, brass, or other metal parts.

  • Load or unload materials, vehicles, or passengers from vessels.

  • Stand gangway watches to prevent unauthorized persons from boarding ships while in port.

  • Splice and repair ropes, wire cables, or cordage, using marlinespikes, wire cutters, twine, and hand tools.

  • Attach hoses and operate pumps to transfer substances to and from liquid cargo tanks.

  • Give directions to crew members engaged in cleaning wheelhouses or quarterdecks.

  • Overhaul lifeboats or lifeboat gear and lower or raise lifeboats with winches or falls.

  • Relay specified signals to other ships, using visual signaling devices, such as blinker lights or semaphores.

  • Maintain government-issued certifications, as required.

  • Provide engineers with assistance in repairing or adjusting machinery.

  • Stand by wheels when ships are on automatic pilot, and verify accuracy of courses, using magnetic compasses.

  • Examine machinery to verify specified pressures or lubricant flows.

  • Tie barges together into tow units for tugboats to handle, inspecting barges periodically during voyages and disconnecting them when destinations are reached.

  • Participate in shore patrols.

  • Steer ships under the direction of commanders or navigating officers or direct helmsmen to steer, following designated courses.

  • Measure depth of water in shallow or unfamiliar waters, using leadlines, and telephone or shout depth information to vessel bridges.

  • Lubricate machinery, equipment, or engine parts, such as gears, shafts, or bearings.

  • Read pressure and temperature gauges or displays and record data in engineering logs.

  • Operate, maintain, or repair ship equipment, such as winches, cranes, derricks, or weapons system.

  • Record data in ships' logs, such as weather conditions or distances traveled.

  • Stand watch in ships' bows or bridge wings to look for obstructions in a ship's path or to locate navigational aids, such as buoys or lighthouses.

  • Handle lines to moor vessels to wharfs, to tie up vessels to other vessels, or to rig towing lines.

  • Chip and clean rust spots on decks, superstructures, or sides of ships, using wire brushes and hand or air chipping machines.

  • Sweep, mop, and wash down decks to remove oil, dirt, and debris, using brooms, mops, brushes, and hoses.

  • Lower and man lifeboats when emergencies occur.

  • Break out, rig, and stow cargo-handling gear, stationary rigging, or running gear.

  • Paint or varnish decks, superstructures, lifeboats, or sides of ships.

  • Maintain a ship's engines under the direction of the ship's engineering officers.

Technologies & Software

  • Log book software
  • Microsoft Excel
  • Microsoft Word
  • Operating system software
  • Word processing software
  • Microsoft Windows
  • Microsoft Outlook
  • Project44 AI Logistics
  • Kongsberg Maritime K-Log Deck Logbook
  • Tesla Autopilot
  • Waymo (Autonomous Driving)
  • Mobileye AI
  • Computerized maintenance management system CMMS
  • KNMI TurboWin
  • Gatik AI
  • Microsoft PowerPoint
  • Microsoft Office software
  • Sheave blocks
  • Cargo hooks
  • Sewing needles
  • Hand punches
  • Thermal protective aids TPA
  • Bilge pumping systems
  • Lifeboats
  • Synthetic mooring ropes
  • Bridge telephones
  • Workshop vises
  • Welders
  • Carbon dioxide CO2 firefighting systems
  • Anti-exposure coveralls
  • Safety lanyards
  • Electric deck cranes
  • Emergency generators
  • Magnet hoists
  • Claw hammers
  • Lifting spreaders
  • Gear pumps
  • Hydraulic windlasses
  • Cargo booms
  • Oil dispensing cans
  • Locking jaw pliers
  • Blinker lights
  • Desktop computers
  • Hydraulic mooring winches
  • Lifting slings
  • Explosimeters
  • Forklifts
  • Mooring chains
  • Container lift trucks
  • Centrifugal cargo pumps
  • Filter masks
  • Sharpening steels
  • Grease dispensing guns
  • Spanner wrenches
  • Life buoys
  • Signal flags
  • Tank level gauges
  • Galvanized thimbles
  • Personal computers
  • Electric windlasses
  • Pipe wrenches
  • Ship anchor chocks
  • Manual winches
  • Chain cargo falls
  • Wire cutters
  • Sounding rods
  • Centrifugal ventilators
  • Air chippers
  • Grabbing cranes
  • Ratchet sets
  • Sounding tapes
  • Hand windlasses
  • Two way radios
  • Pilot ladders
  • Voice pipes
  • Chipping hammers
  • Magnetic compasses
  • Lifeboat davits
  • Steam winches
  • Engine room alarm systems
  • Safety glasses
  • Hydraulic deck cranes
  • Mechanical telegraphs
  • Natural fiber mooring ropes
  • Wire splicers
  • Electric mooring winches
  • Life rings
  • Life jackets
  • Crescent wrenches
  • Portable fire extinguishers
  • Semaphores
  • Ship alarm systems
  • Fids
  • Radar navigation systems
  • Portable gas detectors
  • Electric telegraphs
  • Reciprocating pumps
  • Foam firefighting systems
  • Metal chisels
  • Hydraulic capstans
  • Cargo derricks
  • Radio direction finders RDF
  • Safety helmets
  • Emergency position-indicating radio beacons
  • Bolt cutters
  • Mooring cables
  • Hand capstans
  • Fire hoses
  • Gyrocompasses
  • Respirators
  • Liquid cargo transfer hoses
  • Pyrotechnic distress signals
  • Riding pawls
  • Safety belts