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Automation Risk Analysis

Will “Cadet” be Automated?

Historical Context: Oxford Study (2013)

Ranked #461 of 702. Estimated risk: 83.0%

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AI Exposure Risk

40%

“Cadet” will probably not be replaced by AI.

Based on the cognitive demands, communication requirements, and logical reasoning intrinsic to this occupation according to O*NET data, we project a 40% probability of disruption by generative AI and Large Language Models.

Automation & Robot Risk

60%

“Cadet” will maybe be replaced by robots.

Evaluating the physical dexterity, repetitive motion tasks, and manual labor associated with this role, our analysis indicates a 60% likelihood of substitution by advanced robotics systems.

Personal & Financial Insights

Every occupation has a unique profile. For Sailors and Marine Oilers, the Bureau of Labor Statistics and O*NET classify the day-to-day work broadly as: Stand watch to look for obstructions in path of vessel, measure water depth, turn wheel on bridge, or use emergency equipment as directed by captain, mate, or pilot. Break out, rig, overhaul, and store cargo-handling gear, stationary rigging, and running gear. Perform a variety of maintenance tasks to preserve the painted surface of the ship and to maintain line and ship equipment. Must hold government-issued certification and tankerman certification when working aboard liquid-carrying vessels. Includes able seamen and ordinary seamen.

Avg. Annual Salary $55,320
Avg. Hourly Wage $26.59
Available Jobs (US) 31,360
Job Title & Hierarchy Code (SOC) Sailors and Marine Oilers #53-5011
Wage vs. National Median
ℹ️

Data is based on the reference occupation: “Sailors and Marine Oilers”

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Core Skills & Abilities

  • Load or unload materials, vehicles, or passengers from vessels.

  • Record data in ships' logs, such as weather conditions or distances traveled.

  • Splice and repair ropes, wire cables, or cordage, using marlinespikes, wire cutters, twine, and hand tools.

  • Break out, rig, and stow cargo-handling gear, stationary rigging, or running gear.

  • Lubricate machinery, equipment, or engine parts, such as gears, shafts, or bearings.

  • Give directions to crew members engaged in cleaning wheelhouses or quarterdecks.

  • Relay specified signals to other ships, using visual signaling devices, such as blinker lights or semaphores.

  • Stand gangway watches to prevent unauthorized persons from boarding ships while in port.

  • Handle lines to moor vessels to wharfs, to tie up vessels to other vessels, or to rig towing lines.

  • Sweep, mop, and wash down decks to remove oil, dirt, and debris, using brooms, mops, brushes, and hoses.

  • Steer ships under the direction of commanders or navigating officers or direct helmsmen to steer, following designated courses.

  • Read pressure and temperature gauges or displays and record data in engineering logs.

  • Lower and man lifeboats when emergencies occur.

  • Chip and clean rust spots on decks, superstructures, or sides of ships, using wire brushes and hand or air chipping machines.

  • Stand watch in ships' bows or bridge wings to look for obstructions in a ship's path or to locate navigational aids, such as buoys or lighthouses.

  • Attach hoses and operate pumps to transfer substances to and from liquid cargo tanks.

  • Operate, maintain, or repair ship equipment, such as winches, cranes, derricks, or weapons system.

  • Participate in shore patrols.

  • Maintain a ship's engines under the direction of the ship's engineering officers.

  • Examine machinery to verify specified pressures or lubricant flows.

  • Provide engineers with assistance in repairing or adjusting machinery.

  • Paint or varnish decks, superstructures, lifeboats, or sides of ships.

  • Maintain government-issued certifications, as required.

  • Clean and polish wood trim, brass, or other metal parts.

  • Measure depth of water in shallow or unfamiliar waters, using leadlines, and telephone or shout depth information to vessel bridges.

  • Stand by wheels when ships are on automatic pilot, and verify accuracy of courses, using magnetic compasses.

  • Overhaul lifeboats or lifeboat gear and lower or raise lifeboats with winches or falls.

  • Tie barges together into tow units for tugboats to handle, inspecting barges periodically during voyages and disconnecting them when destinations are reached.

Technologies & Software

  • Microsoft Office software
  • Microsoft Outlook
  • KNMI TurboWin
  • Microsoft Excel
  • Waymo (Autonomous Driving)
  • Project44 AI Logistics
  • Operating system software
  • Microsoft Word
  • Computerized maintenance management system CMMS
  • Gatik AI
  • Kongsberg Maritime K-Log Deck Logbook
  • Microsoft Windows
  • Word processing software
  • Microsoft PowerPoint
  • Tesla Autopilot
  • Mobileye AI
  • Log book software
  • Sounding tapes
  • Manual winches
  • Electric deck cranes
  • Sharpening steels
  • Tank level gauges
  • Sewing needles
  • Fire hoses
  • Lifting slings
  • Bilge pumping systems
  • Engine room alarm systems
  • Workshop vises
  • Hydraulic mooring winches
  • Voice pipes
  • Anti-exposure coveralls
  • Synthetic mooring ropes
  • Wire cutters
  • Thermal protective aids TPA
  • Carbon dioxide CO2 firefighting systems
  • Hydraulic capstans
  • Mooring cables
  • Respirators
  • Ratchet sets
  • Spanner wrenches
  • Air chippers
  • Signal flags
  • Life buoys
  • Cargo hooks
  • Explosimeters
  • Galvanized thimbles
  • Bridge telephones
  • Grease dispensing guns
  • Lifting spreaders
  • Safety lanyards
  • Blinker lights
  • Personal computers
  • Wire splicers
  • Electric windlasses
  • Sheave blocks
  • Magnetic compasses
  • Hydraulic windlasses
  • Desktop computers
  • Pilot ladders
  • Centrifugal cargo pumps
  • Ship anchor chocks
  • Metal chisels
  • Welders
  • Sounding rods
  • Gear pumps
  • Electric mooring winches
  • Cargo booms
  • Riding pawls
  • Reciprocating pumps
  • Cargo derricks
  • Life jackets
  • Hand windlasses
  • Bolt cutters
  • Safety glasses
  • Emergency generators
  • Electric telegraphs
  • Foam firefighting systems
  • Hydraulic deck cranes
  • Container lift trucks
  • Mooring chains
  • Safety helmets
  • Mechanical telegraphs
  • Gyrocompasses
  • Liquid cargo transfer hoses
  • Crescent wrenches
  • Natural fiber mooring ropes
  • Semaphores
  • Lifeboat davits
  • Hand punches
  • Steam winches
  • Pipe wrenches
  • Radar navigation systems
  • Pyrotechnic distress signals
  • Two way radios
  • Chipping hammers
  • Chain cargo falls
  • Portable gas detectors
  • Centrifugal ventilators
  • Filter masks
  • Oil dispensing cans
  • Fids
  • Claw hammers
  • Lifeboats
  • Radio direction finders RDF
  • Magnet hoists
  • Safety belts
  • Hand capstans
  • Portable fire extinguishers
  • Forklifts
  • Ship alarm systems
  • Emergency position-indicating radio beacons
  • Locking jaw pliers
  • Grabbing cranes
  • Life rings