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Automation Risk Analysis

Will “Riverman” be Automated?

Historical Context: Oxford Study (2013)

Ranked #461 of 702. Estimated risk: 83.0%

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AI Exposure Risk

40%

“Riverman” will probably not be replaced by AI.

Based on the cognitive demands, communication requirements, and logical reasoning intrinsic to this occupation according to O*NET data, we project a 40% probability of disruption by generative AI and Large Language Models.

Automation & Robot Risk

60%

“Riverman” will maybe be replaced by robots.

Evaluating the physical dexterity, repetitive motion tasks, and manual labor associated with this role, our analysis indicates a 60% likelihood of substitution by advanced robotics systems.

Personal & Financial Insights

Every occupation has a unique profile. For Sailors and Marine Oilers, the Bureau of Labor Statistics and O*NET classify the day-to-day work broadly as: Stand watch to look for obstructions in path of vessel, measure water depth, turn wheel on bridge, or use emergency equipment as directed by captain, mate, or pilot. Break out, rig, overhaul, and store cargo-handling gear, stationary rigging, and running gear. Perform a variety of maintenance tasks to preserve the painted surface of the ship and to maintain line and ship equipment. Must hold government-issued certification and tankerman certification when working aboard liquid-carrying vessels. Includes able seamen and ordinary seamen.

Avg. Annual Salary $55,320
Avg. Hourly Wage $26.59
Available Jobs (US) 31,360
Job Title & Hierarchy Code (SOC) Sailors and Marine Oilers #53-5011
Wage vs. National Median
ℹ️

Data is based on the reference occupation: “Sailors and Marine Oilers”

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Core Skills & Abilities

  • Relay specified signals to other ships, using visual signaling devices, such as blinker lights or semaphores.

  • Splice and repair ropes, wire cables, or cordage, using marlinespikes, wire cutters, twine, and hand tools.

  • Steer ships under the direction of commanders or navigating officers or direct helmsmen to steer, following designated courses.

  • Paint or varnish decks, superstructures, lifeboats, or sides of ships.

  • Load or unload materials, vehicles, or passengers from vessels.

  • Maintain a ship's engines under the direction of the ship's engineering officers.

  • Attach hoses and operate pumps to transfer substances to and from liquid cargo tanks.

  • Examine machinery to verify specified pressures or lubricant flows.

  • Participate in shore patrols.

  • Maintain government-issued certifications, as required.

  • Clean and polish wood trim, brass, or other metal parts.

  • Stand watch in ships' bows or bridge wings to look for obstructions in a ship's path or to locate navigational aids, such as buoys or lighthouses.

  • Handle lines to moor vessels to wharfs, to tie up vessels to other vessels, or to rig towing lines.

  • Stand by wheels when ships are on automatic pilot, and verify accuracy of courses, using magnetic compasses.

  • Provide engineers with assistance in repairing or adjusting machinery.

  • Measure depth of water in shallow or unfamiliar waters, using leadlines, and telephone or shout depth information to vessel bridges.

  • Read pressure and temperature gauges or displays and record data in engineering logs.

  • Break out, rig, and stow cargo-handling gear, stationary rigging, or running gear.

  • Overhaul lifeboats or lifeboat gear and lower or raise lifeboats with winches or falls.

  • Record data in ships' logs, such as weather conditions or distances traveled.

  • Operate, maintain, or repair ship equipment, such as winches, cranes, derricks, or weapons system.

  • Lower and man lifeboats when emergencies occur.

  • Chip and clean rust spots on decks, superstructures, or sides of ships, using wire brushes and hand or air chipping machines.

  • Stand gangway watches to prevent unauthorized persons from boarding ships while in port.

  • Sweep, mop, and wash down decks to remove oil, dirt, and debris, using brooms, mops, brushes, and hoses.

  • Give directions to crew members engaged in cleaning wheelhouses or quarterdecks.

  • Lubricate machinery, equipment, or engine parts, such as gears, shafts, or bearings.

  • Tie barges together into tow units for tugboats to handle, inspecting barges periodically during voyages and disconnecting them when destinations are reached.

Technologies & Software

  • Tesla Autopilot
  • Microsoft PowerPoint
  • Microsoft Office software
  • Microsoft Word
  • Operating system software
  • KNMI TurboWin
  • Kongsberg Maritime K-Log Deck Logbook
  • Microsoft Windows
  • Mobileye AI
  • Computerized maintenance management system CMMS
  • Microsoft Excel
  • Microsoft Outlook
  • Gatik AI
  • Word processing software
  • Log book software
  • Project44 AI Logistics
  • Waymo (Autonomous Driving)
  • Thermal protective aids TPA
  • Emergency generators
  • Lifting spreaders
  • Galvanized thimbles
  • Manual winches
  • Hydraulic mooring winches
  • Hydraulic capstans
  • Carbon dioxide CO2 firefighting systems
  • Sheave blocks
  • Spanner wrenches
  • Cargo hooks
  • Life jackets
  • Natural fiber mooring ropes
  • Engine room alarm systems
  • Radio direction finders RDF
  • Portable gas detectors
  • Workshop vises
  • Electric windlasses
  • Hand punches
  • Safety lanyards
  • Respirators
  • Lifeboat davits
  • Locking jaw pliers
  • Voice pipes
  • Electric mooring winches
  • Lifting slings
  • Pyrotechnic distress signals
  • Two way radios
  • Desktop computers
  • Tank level gauges
  • Gyrocompasses
  • Steam winches
  • Safety helmets
  • Riding pawls
  • Ratchet sets
  • Safety glasses
  • Liquid cargo transfer hoses
  • Forklifts
  • Sewing needles
  • Hand windlasses
  • Foam firefighting systems
  • Ship alarm systems
  • Hydraulic windlasses
  • Life rings
  • Welders
  • Metal chisels
  • Bolt cutters
  • Wire splicers
  • Crescent wrenches
  • Blinker lights
  • Cargo derricks
  • Electric deck cranes
  • Mooring cables
  • Magnet hoists
  • Air chippers
  • Ship anchor chocks
  • Explosimeters
  • Gear pumps
  • Magnetic compasses
  • Synthetic mooring ropes
  • Sounding rods
  • Mechanical telegraphs
  • Emergency position-indicating radio beacons
  • Portable fire extinguishers
  • Reciprocating pumps
  • Life buoys
  • Wire cutters
  • Claw hammers
  • Lifeboats
  • Pipe wrenches
  • Chipping hammers
  • Bridge telephones
  • Anti-exposure coveralls
  • Filter masks
  • Electric telegraphs
  • Chain cargo falls
  • Safety belts
  • Signal flags
  • Personal computers
  • Container lift trucks
  • Bilge pumping systems
  • Radar navigation systems
  • Semaphores
  • Sounding tapes
  • Grabbing cranes
  • Pilot ladders
  • Fire hoses
  • Hydraulic deck cranes
  • Grease dispensing guns
  • Fids
  • Hand capstans
  • Sharpening steels
  • Centrifugal ventilators
  • Oil dispensing cans
  • Cargo booms
  • Mooring chains
  • Centrifugal cargo pumps