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Automation Risk Analysis

Will “Wheelman” be Automated?

Historical Context: Oxford Study (2013)

Ranked #461 of 702. Estimated risk: 83.0%

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AI Exposure Risk

40%

“Wheelman” will probably not be replaced by AI.

Based on the cognitive demands, communication requirements, and logical reasoning intrinsic to this occupation according to O*NET data, we project a 40% probability of disruption by generative AI and Large Language Models.

Automation & Robot Risk

60%

“Wheelman” will maybe be replaced by robots.

Evaluating the physical dexterity, repetitive motion tasks, and manual labor associated with this role, our analysis indicates a 60% likelihood of substitution by advanced robotics systems.

Personal & Financial Insights

Every occupation has a unique profile. For Sailors and Marine Oilers, the Bureau of Labor Statistics and O*NET classify the day-to-day work broadly as: Stand watch to look for obstructions in path of vessel, measure water depth, turn wheel on bridge, or use emergency equipment as directed by captain, mate, or pilot. Break out, rig, overhaul, and store cargo-handling gear, stationary rigging, and running gear. Perform a variety of maintenance tasks to preserve the painted surface of the ship and to maintain line and ship equipment. Must hold government-issued certification and tankerman certification when working aboard liquid-carrying vessels. Includes able seamen and ordinary seamen.

Avg. Annual Salary $55,320
Avg. Hourly Wage $26.59
Available Jobs (US) 31,360
Job Title & Hierarchy Code (SOC) Sailors and Marine Oilers #53-5011
Wage vs. National Median
ℹ️

Data is based on the reference occupation: “Sailors and Marine Oilers”

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Core Skills & Abilities

  • Record data in ships' logs, such as weather conditions or distances traveled.

  • Operate, maintain, or repair ship equipment, such as winches, cranes, derricks, or weapons system.

  • Participate in shore patrols.

  • Paint or varnish decks, superstructures, lifeboats, or sides of ships.

  • Overhaul lifeboats or lifeboat gear and lower or raise lifeboats with winches or falls.

  • Clean and polish wood trim, brass, or other metal parts.

  • Stand gangway watches to prevent unauthorized persons from boarding ships while in port.

  • Read pressure and temperature gauges or displays and record data in engineering logs.

  • Tie barges together into tow units for tugboats to handle, inspecting barges periodically during voyages and disconnecting them when destinations are reached.

  • Load or unload materials, vehicles, or passengers from vessels.

  • Attach hoses and operate pumps to transfer substances to and from liquid cargo tanks.

  • Maintain a ship's engines under the direction of the ship's engineering officers.

  • Steer ships under the direction of commanders or navigating officers or direct helmsmen to steer, following designated courses.

  • Maintain government-issued certifications, as required.

  • Chip and clean rust spots on decks, superstructures, or sides of ships, using wire brushes and hand or air chipping machines.

  • Relay specified signals to other ships, using visual signaling devices, such as blinker lights or semaphores.

  • Sweep, mop, and wash down decks to remove oil, dirt, and debris, using brooms, mops, brushes, and hoses.

  • Stand watch in ships' bows or bridge wings to look for obstructions in a ship's path or to locate navigational aids, such as buoys or lighthouses.

  • Stand by wheels when ships are on automatic pilot, and verify accuracy of courses, using magnetic compasses.

  • Measure depth of water in shallow or unfamiliar waters, using leadlines, and telephone or shout depth information to vessel bridges.

  • Lower and man lifeboats when emergencies occur.

  • Examine machinery to verify specified pressures or lubricant flows.

  • Provide engineers with assistance in repairing or adjusting machinery.

  • Splice and repair ropes, wire cables, or cordage, using marlinespikes, wire cutters, twine, and hand tools.

  • Give directions to crew members engaged in cleaning wheelhouses or quarterdecks.

  • Lubricate machinery, equipment, or engine parts, such as gears, shafts, or bearings.

  • Break out, rig, and stow cargo-handling gear, stationary rigging, or running gear.

  • Handle lines to moor vessels to wharfs, to tie up vessels to other vessels, or to rig towing lines.

Technologies & Software

  • KNMI TurboWin
  • Waymo (Autonomous Driving)
  • Microsoft Outlook
  • Project44 AI Logistics
  • Microsoft Word
  • Operating system software
  • Gatik AI
  • Computerized maintenance management system CMMS
  • Microsoft Office software
  • Tesla Autopilot
  • Kongsberg Maritime K-Log Deck Logbook
  • Log book software
  • Microsoft PowerPoint
  • Word processing software
  • Microsoft Windows
  • Microsoft Excel
  • Mobileye AI
  • Signal flags
  • Safety helmets
  • Mooring chains
  • Engine room alarm systems
  • Hydraulic capstans
  • Riding pawls
  • Sounding tapes
  • Gear pumps
  • Natural fiber mooring ropes
  • Reciprocating pumps
  • Cargo booms
  • Centrifugal cargo pumps
  • Magnetic compasses
  • Pilot ladders
  • Foam firefighting systems
  • Forklifts
  • Desktop computers
  • Electric mooring winches
  • Hydraulic windlasses
  • Bridge telephones
  • Safety lanyards
  • Wire cutters
  • Filter masks
  • Bilge pumping systems
  • Lifting slings
  • Cargo derricks
  • Hydraulic deck cranes
  • Explosimeters
  • Safety glasses
  • Respirators
  • Sheave blocks
  • Oil dispensing cans
  • Life rings
  • Steam winches
  • Ratchet sets
  • Radar navigation systems
  • Lifeboat davits
  • Grabbing cranes
  • Workshop vises
  • Electric deck cranes
  • Hydraulic mooring winches
  • Magnet hoists
  • Blinker lights
  • Ship alarm systems
  • Portable fire extinguishers
  • Sounding rods
  • Radio direction finders RDF
  • Mechanical telegraphs
  • Synthetic mooring ropes
  • Container lift trucks
  • Safety belts
  • Fire hoses
  • Crescent wrenches
  • Life buoys
  • Welders
  • Pyrotechnic distress signals
  • Voice pipes
  • Emergency generators
  • Anti-exposure coveralls
  • Fids
  • Locking jaw pliers
  • Thermal protective aids TPA
  • Sharpening steels
  • Spanner wrenches
  • Gyrocompasses
  • Semaphores
  • Portable gas detectors
  • Liquid cargo transfer hoses
  • Bolt cutters
  • Carbon dioxide CO2 firefighting systems
  • Hand windlasses
  • Metal chisels
  • Electric telegraphs
  • Chain cargo falls
  • Two way radios
  • Lifting spreaders
  • Tank level gauges
  • Manual winches
  • Chipping hammers
  • Mooring cables
  • Air chippers
  • Galvanized thimbles
  • Hand punches
  • Lifeboats
  • Pipe wrenches
  • Sewing needles
  • Claw hammers
  • Centrifugal ventilators
  • Hand capstans
  • Emergency position-indicating radio beacons
  • Personal computers
  • Cargo hooks
  • Grease dispensing guns
  • Life jackets
  • Ship anchor chocks
  • Wire splicers
  • Electric windlasses