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Automation Risk Analysis

Will “Wheelman” be Automated?

Historical Context: Oxford Study (2013)

Ranked #461 of 702. Estimated risk: 83.0%

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AI Exposure Risk

40%

“Wheelman” will probably not be replaced by AI.

Based on the cognitive demands, communication requirements, and logical reasoning intrinsic to this occupation according to O*NET data, we project a 40% probability of disruption by generative AI and Large Language Models.

Automation & Robot Risk

60%

“Wheelman” will maybe be replaced by robots.

Evaluating the physical dexterity, repetitive motion tasks, and manual labor associated with this role, our analysis indicates a 60% likelihood of substitution by advanced robotics systems.

Personal & Financial Insights

Every occupation has a unique profile. For Sailors and Marine Oilers, the Bureau of Labor Statistics and O*NET classify the day-to-day work broadly as: Stand watch to look for obstructions in path of vessel, measure water depth, turn wheel on bridge, or use emergency equipment as directed by captain, mate, or pilot. Break out, rig, overhaul, and store cargo-handling gear, stationary rigging, and running gear. Perform a variety of maintenance tasks to preserve the painted surface of the ship and to maintain line and ship equipment. Must hold government-issued certification and tankerman certification when working aboard liquid-carrying vessels. Includes able seamen and ordinary seamen.

Avg. Annual Salary $55,320
Avg. Hourly Wage $26.59
Available Jobs (US) 31,360
Job Title & Hierarchy Code (SOC) Sailors and Marine Oilers #53-5011
Wage vs. National Median
ℹ️

Data is based on the reference occupation: “Sailors and Marine Oilers”

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Core Skills & Abilities

  • Sweep, mop, and wash down decks to remove oil, dirt, and debris, using brooms, mops, brushes, and hoses.

  • Maintain a ship's engines under the direction of the ship's engineering officers.

  • Attach hoses and operate pumps to transfer substances to and from liquid cargo tanks.

  • Participate in shore patrols.

  • Operate, maintain, or repair ship equipment, such as winches, cranes, derricks, or weapons system.

  • Stand watch in ships' bows or bridge wings to look for obstructions in a ship's path or to locate navigational aids, such as buoys or lighthouses.

  • Chip and clean rust spots on decks, superstructures, or sides of ships, using wire brushes and hand or air chipping machines.

  • Give directions to crew members engaged in cleaning wheelhouses or quarterdecks.

  • Lubricate machinery, equipment, or engine parts, such as gears, shafts, or bearings.

  • Tie barges together into tow units for tugboats to handle, inspecting barges periodically during voyages and disconnecting them when destinations are reached.

  • Measure depth of water in shallow or unfamiliar waters, using leadlines, and telephone or shout depth information to vessel bridges.

  • Lower and man lifeboats when emergencies occur.

  • Maintain government-issued certifications, as required.

  • Paint or varnish decks, superstructures, lifeboats, or sides of ships.

  • Provide engineers with assistance in repairing or adjusting machinery.

  • Clean and polish wood trim, brass, or other metal parts.

  • Break out, rig, and stow cargo-handling gear, stationary rigging, or running gear.

  • Load or unload materials, vehicles, or passengers from vessels.

  • Stand by wheels when ships are on automatic pilot, and verify accuracy of courses, using magnetic compasses.

  • Read pressure and temperature gauges or displays and record data in engineering logs.

  • Relay specified signals to other ships, using visual signaling devices, such as blinker lights or semaphores.

  • Record data in ships' logs, such as weather conditions or distances traveled.

  • Handle lines to moor vessels to wharfs, to tie up vessels to other vessels, or to rig towing lines.

  • Overhaul lifeboats or lifeboat gear and lower or raise lifeboats with winches or falls.

  • Stand gangway watches to prevent unauthorized persons from boarding ships while in port.

  • Steer ships under the direction of commanders or navigating officers or direct helmsmen to steer, following designated courses.

  • Splice and repair ropes, wire cables, or cordage, using marlinespikes, wire cutters, twine, and hand tools.

  • Examine machinery to verify specified pressures or lubricant flows.

Technologies & Software

  • Word processing software
  • Mobileye AI
  • Project44 AI Logistics
  • Waymo (Autonomous Driving)
  • Microsoft Windows
  • Microsoft Word
  • Tesla Autopilot
  • Log book software
  • Kongsberg Maritime K-Log Deck Logbook
  • KNMI TurboWin
  • Microsoft Outlook
  • Operating system software
  • Microsoft Office software
  • Microsoft PowerPoint
  • Microsoft Excel
  • Computerized maintenance management system CMMS
  • Gatik AI
  • Gear pumps
  • Ratchet sets
  • Emergency generators
  • Mooring cables
  • Claw hammers
  • Emergency position-indicating radio beacons
  • Synthetic mooring ropes
  • Life buoys
  • Electric mooring winches
  • Grease dispensing guns
  • Carbon dioxide CO2 firefighting systems
  • Mooring chains
  • Lifting slings
  • Reciprocating pumps
  • Sounding tapes
  • Filter masks
  • Signal flags
  • Sharpening steels
  • Respirators
  • Personal computers
  • Forklifts
  • Steam winches
  • Thermal protective aids TPA
  • Foam firefighting systems
  • Gyrocompasses
  • Workshop vises
  • Hydraulic capstans
  • Centrifugal ventilators
  • Electric windlasses
  • Bilge pumping systems
  • Pyrotechnic distress signals
  • Mechanical telegraphs
  • Electric telegraphs
  • Life jackets
  • Two way radios
  • Hand windlasses
  • Life rings
  • Hydraulic mooring winches
  • Portable fire extinguishers
  • Voice pipes
  • Chain cargo falls
  • Safety helmets
  • Crescent wrenches
  • Magnetic compasses
  • Spanner wrenches
  • Metal chisels
  • Sewing needles
  • Hand punches
  • Chipping hammers
  • Hydraulic deck cranes
  • Anti-exposure coveralls
  • Oil dispensing cans
  • Centrifugal cargo pumps
  • Engine room alarm systems
  • Cargo hooks
  • Desktop computers
  • Bolt cutters
  • Blinker lights
  • Hydraulic windlasses
  • Safety lanyards
  • Locking jaw pliers
  • Cargo booms
  • Radio direction finders RDF
  • Grabbing cranes
  • Safety belts
  • Sheave blocks
  • Natural fiber mooring ropes
  • Bridge telephones
  • Lifeboats
  • Hand capstans
  • Semaphores
  • Radar navigation systems
  • Electric deck cranes
  • Lifting spreaders
  • Air chippers
  • Fire hoses
  • Riding pawls
  • Wire cutters
  • Wire splicers
  • Ship alarm systems
  • Sounding rods
  • Galvanized thimbles
  • Tank level gauges
  • Explosimeters
  • Manual winches
  • Lifeboat davits
  • Safety glasses
  • Pipe wrenches
  • Welders
  • Pilot ladders
  • Liquid cargo transfer hoses
  • Cargo derricks
  • Container lift trucks
  • Portable gas detectors
  • Magnet hoists
  • Fids
  • Ship anchor chocks