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Automation Risk Analysis

Will “Lookout” be Automated?

Historical Context: Oxford Study (2013)

Ranked #461 of 702. Estimated risk: 83.0%

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AI Exposure Risk

40%

“Lookout” will probably not be replaced by AI.

Based on the cognitive demands, communication requirements, and logical reasoning intrinsic to this occupation according to O*NET data, we project a 40% probability of disruption by generative AI and Large Language Models.

Automation & Robot Risk

60%

“Lookout” will maybe be replaced by robots.

Evaluating the physical dexterity, repetitive motion tasks, and manual labor associated with this role, our analysis indicates a 60% likelihood of substitution by advanced robotics systems.

Personal & Financial Insights

Every occupation has a unique profile. For Sailors and Marine Oilers, the Bureau of Labor Statistics and O*NET classify the day-to-day work broadly as: Stand watch to look for obstructions in path of vessel, measure water depth, turn wheel on bridge, or use emergency equipment as directed by captain, mate, or pilot. Break out, rig, overhaul, and store cargo-handling gear, stationary rigging, and running gear. Perform a variety of maintenance tasks to preserve the painted surface of the ship and to maintain line and ship equipment. Must hold government-issued certification and tankerman certification when working aboard liquid-carrying vessels. Includes able seamen and ordinary seamen.

Avg. Annual Salary $55,320
Avg. Hourly Wage $26.59
Available Jobs (US) 31,360
Job Title & Hierarchy Code (SOC) Sailors and Marine Oilers #53-5011
Wage vs. National Median
ℹ️

Data is based on the reference occupation: “Sailors and Marine Oilers”

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Core Skills & Abilities

  • Handle lines to moor vessels to wharfs, to tie up vessels to other vessels, or to rig towing lines.

  • Overhaul lifeboats or lifeboat gear and lower or raise lifeboats with winches or falls.

  • Attach hoses and operate pumps to transfer substances to and from liquid cargo tanks.

  • Relay specified signals to other ships, using visual signaling devices, such as blinker lights or semaphores.

  • Maintain government-issued certifications, as required.

  • Paint or varnish decks, superstructures, lifeboats, or sides of ships.

  • Break out, rig, and stow cargo-handling gear, stationary rigging, or running gear.

  • Stand watch in ships' bows or bridge wings to look for obstructions in a ship's path or to locate navigational aids, such as buoys or lighthouses.

  • Stand gangway watches to prevent unauthorized persons from boarding ships while in port.

  • Maintain a ship's engines under the direction of the ship's engineering officers.

  • Steer ships under the direction of commanders or navigating officers or direct helmsmen to steer, following designated courses.

  • Splice and repair ropes, wire cables, or cordage, using marlinespikes, wire cutters, twine, and hand tools.

  • Participate in shore patrols.

  • Record data in ships' logs, such as weather conditions or distances traveled.

  • Read pressure and temperature gauges or displays and record data in engineering logs.

  • Give directions to crew members engaged in cleaning wheelhouses or quarterdecks.

  • Stand by wheels when ships are on automatic pilot, and verify accuracy of courses, using magnetic compasses.

  • Examine machinery to verify specified pressures or lubricant flows.

  • Sweep, mop, and wash down decks to remove oil, dirt, and debris, using brooms, mops, brushes, and hoses.

  • Operate, maintain, or repair ship equipment, such as winches, cranes, derricks, or weapons system.

  • Lower and man lifeboats when emergencies occur.

  • Clean and polish wood trim, brass, or other metal parts.

  • Measure depth of water in shallow or unfamiliar waters, using leadlines, and telephone or shout depth information to vessel bridges.

  • Chip and clean rust spots on decks, superstructures, or sides of ships, using wire brushes and hand or air chipping machines.

  • Lubricate machinery, equipment, or engine parts, such as gears, shafts, or bearings.

  • Tie barges together into tow units for tugboats to handle, inspecting barges periodically during voyages and disconnecting them when destinations are reached.

  • Load or unload materials, vehicles, or passengers from vessels.

  • Provide engineers with assistance in repairing or adjusting machinery.

Technologies & Software

  • Word processing software
  • KNMI TurboWin
  • Microsoft Windows
  • Microsoft Excel
  • Waymo (Autonomous Driving)
  • Microsoft Outlook
  • Microsoft Office software
  • Computerized maintenance management system CMMS
  • Tesla Autopilot
  • Gatik AI
  • Log book software
  • Microsoft PowerPoint
  • Operating system software
  • Kongsberg Maritime K-Log Deck Logbook
  • Project44 AI Logistics
  • Microsoft Word
  • Mobileye AI
  • Emergency generators
  • Cargo booms
  • Electric mooring winches
  • Centrifugal cargo pumps
  • Sewing needles
  • Emergency position-indicating radio beacons
  • Signal flags
  • Oil dispensing cans
  • Lifeboat davits
  • Voice pipes
  • Forklifts
  • Engine room alarm systems
  • Safety glasses
  • Container lift trucks
  • Blinker lights
  • Claw hammers
  • Gyrocompasses
  • Sheave blocks
  • Fids
  • Pilot ladders
  • Tank level gauges
  • Mooring cables
  • Electric telegraphs
  • Bilge pumping systems
  • Pyrotechnic distress signals
  • Hydraulic capstans
  • Life rings
  • Galvanized thimbles
  • Wire cutters
  • Cargo derricks
  • Foam firefighting systems
  • Gear pumps
  • Mooring chains
  • Hand capstans
  • Reciprocating pumps
  • Chain cargo falls
  • Radar navigation systems
  • Filter masks
  • Wire splicers
  • Grabbing cranes
  • Portable fire extinguishers
  • Metal chisels
  • Anti-exposure coveralls
  • Cargo hooks
  • Riding pawls
  • Hydraulic windlasses
  • Magnetic compasses
  • Ratchet sets
  • Hand punches
  • Liquid cargo transfer hoses
  • Lifting slings
  • Electric deck cranes
  • Safety lanyards
  • Respirators
  • Desktop computers
  • Bolt cutters
  • Natural fiber mooring ropes
  • Manual winches
  • Workshop vises
  • Carbon dioxide CO2 firefighting systems
  • Electric windlasses
  • Thermal protective aids TPA
  • Centrifugal ventilators
  • Grease dispensing guns
  • Ship anchor chocks
  • Safety helmets
  • Personal computers
  • Sharpening steels
  • Lifeboats
  • Hand windlasses
  • Spanner wrenches
  • Sounding rods
  • Bridge telephones
  • Air chippers
  • Semaphores
  • Magnet hoists
  • Explosimeters
  • Synthetic mooring ropes
  • Lifting spreaders
  • Portable gas detectors
  • Life buoys
  • Sounding tapes
  • Ship alarm systems
  • Safety belts
  • Steam winches
  • Welders
  • Locking jaw pliers
  • Two way radios
  • Crescent wrenches
  • Radio direction finders RDF
  • Life jackets
  • Mechanical telegraphs
  • Pipe wrenches
  • Hydraulic mooring winches
  • Fire hoses
  • Chipping hammers
  • Hydraulic deck cranes