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Automation Risk Analysis

Will “Lookout” be Automated?

Historical Context: Oxford Study (2013)

Ranked #461 of 702. Estimated risk: 83.0%

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AI Exposure Risk

40%

“Lookout” will probably not be replaced by AI.

Based on the cognitive demands, communication requirements, and logical reasoning intrinsic to this occupation according to O*NET data, we project a 40% probability of disruption by generative AI and Large Language Models.

Automation & Robot Risk

60%

“Lookout” will maybe be replaced by robots.

Evaluating the physical dexterity, repetitive motion tasks, and manual labor associated with this role, our analysis indicates a 60% likelihood of substitution by advanced robotics systems.

Personal & Financial Insights

Every occupation has a unique profile. For Sailors and Marine Oilers, the Bureau of Labor Statistics and O*NET classify the day-to-day work broadly as: Stand watch to look for obstructions in path of vessel, measure water depth, turn wheel on bridge, or use emergency equipment as directed by captain, mate, or pilot. Break out, rig, overhaul, and store cargo-handling gear, stationary rigging, and running gear. Perform a variety of maintenance tasks to preserve the painted surface of the ship and to maintain line and ship equipment. Must hold government-issued certification and tankerman certification when working aboard liquid-carrying vessels. Includes able seamen and ordinary seamen.

Avg. Annual Salary $55,320
Avg. Hourly Wage $26.59
Available Jobs (US) 31,360
Job Title & Hierarchy Code (SOC) Sailors and Marine Oilers #53-5011
Wage vs. National Median
ℹ️

Data is based on the reference occupation: “Sailors and Marine Oilers”

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Core Skills & Abilities

  • Handle lines to moor vessels to wharfs, to tie up vessels to other vessels, or to rig towing lines.

  • Overhaul lifeboats or lifeboat gear and lower or raise lifeboats with winches or falls.

  • Splice and repair ropes, wire cables, or cordage, using marlinespikes, wire cutters, twine, and hand tools.

  • Lubricate machinery, equipment, or engine parts, such as gears, shafts, or bearings.

  • Maintain government-issued certifications, as required.

  • Maintain a ship's engines under the direction of the ship's engineering officers.

  • Break out, rig, and stow cargo-handling gear, stationary rigging, or running gear.

  • Tie barges together into tow units for tugboats to handle, inspecting barges periodically during voyages and disconnecting them when destinations are reached.

  • Relay specified signals to other ships, using visual signaling devices, such as blinker lights or semaphores.

  • Give directions to crew members engaged in cleaning wheelhouses or quarterdecks.

  • Clean and polish wood trim, brass, or other metal parts.

  • Operate, maintain, or repair ship equipment, such as winches, cranes, derricks, or weapons system.

  • Sweep, mop, and wash down decks to remove oil, dirt, and debris, using brooms, mops, brushes, and hoses.

  • Examine machinery to verify specified pressures or lubricant flows.

  • Measure depth of water in shallow or unfamiliar waters, using leadlines, and telephone or shout depth information to vessel bridges.

  • Participate in shore patrols.

  • Stand by wheels when ships are on automatic pilot, and verify accuracy of courses, using magnetic compasses.

  • Load or unload materials, vehicles, or passengers from vessels.

  • Steer ships under the direction of commanders or navigating officers or direct helmsmen to steer, following designated courses.

  • Record data in ships' logs, such as weather conditions or distances traveled.

  • Attach hoses and operate pumps to transfer substances to and from liquid cargo tanks.

  • Stand gangway watches to prevent unauthorized persons from boarding ships while in port.

  • Lower and man lifeboats when emergencies occur.

  • Stand watch in ships' bows or bridge wings to look for obstructions in a ship's path or to locate navigational aids, such as buoys or lighthouses.

  • Chip and clean rust spots on decks, superstructures, or sides of ships, using wire brushes and hand or air chipping machines.

  • Paint or varnish decks, superstructures, lifeboats, or sides of ships.

  • Provide engineers with assistance in repairing or adjusting machinery.

  • Read pressure and temperature gauges or displays and record data in engineering logs.

Technologies & Software

  • Microsoft Word
  • Microsoft Outlook
  • Microsoft PowerPoint
  • Operating system software
  • Log book software
  • Project44 AI Logistics
  • Mobileye AI
  • Microsoft Office software
  • Computerized maintenance management system CMMS
  • Kongsberg Maritime K-Log Deck Logbook
  • Tesla Autopilot
  • Waymo (Autonomous Driving)
  • Microsoft Excel
  • Gatik AI
  • Microsoft Windows
  • Word processing software
  • KNMI TurboWin
  • Safety glasses
  • Engine room alarm systems
  • Forklifts
  • Metal chisels
  • Electric telegraphs
  • Two way radios
  • Electric mooring winches
  • Radar navigation systems
  • Cargo derricks
  • Chipping hammers
  • Safety helmets
  • Bilge pumping systems
  • Galvanized thimbles
  • Sharpening steels
  • Hydraulic windlasses
  • Mooring cables
  • Grease dispensing guns
  • Fids
  • Lifting slings
  • Desktop computers
  • Life buoys
  • Hydraulic mooring winches
  • Portable gas detectors
  • Safety lanyards
  • Personal computers
  • Emergency position-indicating radio beacons
  • Oil dispensing cans
  • Sounding rods
  • Lifeboats
  • Anti-exposure coveralls
  • Wire cutters
  • Hand capstans
  • Ship alarm systems
  • Reciprocating pumps
  • Magnetic compasses
  • Pipe wrenches
  • Manual winches
  • Bridge telephones
  • Mechanical telegraphs
  • Centrifugal cargo pumps
  • Pyrotechnic distress signals
  • Hydraulic deck cranes
  • Container lift trucks
  • Fire hoses
  • Carbon dioxide CO2 firefighting systems
  • Sheave blocks
  • Cargo booms
  • Blinker lights
  • Claw hammers
  • Lifeboat davits
  • Electric windlasses
  • Bolt cutters
  • Synthetic mooring ropes
  • Life rings
  • Explosimeters
  • Spanner wrenches
  • Hand windlasses
  • Crescent wrenches
  • Pilot ladders
  • Signal flags
  • Emergency generators
  • Filter masks
  • Lifting spreaders
  • Hydraulic capstans
  • Gyrocompasses
  • Workshop vises
  • Tank level gauges
  • Cargo hooks
  • Radio direction finders RDF
  • Voice pipes
  • Portable fire extinguishers
  • Liquid cargo transfer hoses
  • Steam winches
  • Ship anchor chocks
  • Gear pumps
  • Chain cargo falls
  • Safety belts
  • Wire splicers
  • Hand punches
  • Sewing needles
  • Respirators
  • Semaphores
  • Ratchet sets
  • Life jackets
  • Sounding tapes
  • Electric deck cranes
  • Magnet hoists
  • Locking jaw pliers
  • Natural fiber mooring ropes
  • Air chippers
  • Mooring chains
  • Thermal protective aids TPA
  • Grabbing cranes
  • Welders
  • Foam firefighting systems
  • Riding pawls
  • Centrifugal ventilators