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Automation Risk Analysis

Will “Mariner” be Automated?

Historical Context: Oxford Study (2013)

Ranked #461 of 702. Estimated risk: 83.0%

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AI Exposure Risk

40%

“Mariner” will probably not be replaced by AI.

Based on the cognitive demands, communication requirements, and logical reasoning intrinsic to this occupation according to O*NET data, we project a 40% probability of disruption by generative AI and Large Language Models.

Automation & Robot Risk

60%

“Mariner” will maybe be replaced by robots.

Evaluating the physical dexterity, repetitive motion tasks, and manual labor associated with this role, our analysis indicates a 60% likelihood of substitution by advanced robotics systems.

Personal & Financial Insights

Every occupation has a unique profile. For Sailors and Marine Oilers, the Bureau of Labor Statistics and O*NET classify the day-to-day work broadly as: Stand watch to look for obstructions in path of vessel, measure water depth, turn wheel on bridge, or use emergency equipment as directed by captain, mate, or pilot. Break out, rig, overhaul, and store cargo-handling gear, stationary rigging, and running gear. Perform a variety of maintenance tasks to preserve the painted surface of the ship and to maintain line and ship equipment. Must hold government-issued certification and tankerman certification when working aboard liquid-carrying vessels. Includes able seamen and ordinary seamen.

Avg. Annual Salary $55,320
Avg. Hourly Wage $26.59
Available Jobs (US) 31,360
Job Title & Hierarchy Code (SOC) Sailors and Marine Oilers #53-5011
Wage vs. National Median
ℹ️

Data is based on the reference occupation: “Sailors and Marine Oilers”

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Core Skills & Abilities

  • Load or unload materials, vehicles, or passengers from vessels.

  • Maintain government-issued certifications, as required.

  • Record data in ships' logs, such as weather conditions or distances traveled.

  • Splice and repair ropes, wire cables, or cordage, using marlinespikes, wire cutters, twine, and hand tools.

  • Operate, maintain, or repair ship equipment, such as winches, cranes, derricks, or weapons system.

  • Stand watch in ships' bows or bridge wings to look for obstructions in a ship's path or to locate navigational aids, such as buoys or lighthouses.

  • Handle lines to moor vessels to wharfs, to tie up vessels to other vessels, or to rig towing lines.

  • Give directions to crew members engaged in cleaning wheelhouses or quarterdecks.

  • Paint or varnish decks, superstructures, lifeboats, or sides of ships.

  • Clean and polish wood trim, brass, or other metal parts.

  • Examine machinery to verify specified pressures or lubricant flows.

  • Relay specified signals to other ships, using visual signaling devices, such as blinker lights or semaphores.

  • Participate in shore patrols.

  • Measure depth of water in shallow or unfamiliar waters, using leadlines, and telephone or shout depth information to vessel bridges.

  • Provide engineers with assistance in repairing or adjusting machinery.

  • Stand by wheels when ships are on automatic pilot, and verify accuracy of courses, using magnetic compasses.

  • Chip and clean rust spots on decks, superstructures, or sides of ships, using wire brushes and hand or air chipping machines.

  • Read pressure and temperature gauges or displays and record data in engineering logs.

  • Stand gangway watches to prevent unauthorized persons from boarding ships while in port.

  • Lubricate machinery, equipment, or engine parts, such as gears, shafts, or bearings.

  • Attach hoses and operate pumps to transfer substances to and from liquid cargo tanks.

  • Maintain a ship's engines under the direction of the ship's engineering officers.

  • Steer ships under the direction of commanders or navigating officers or direct helmsmen to steer, following designated courses.

  • Lower and man lifeboats when emergencies occur.

  • Break out, rig, and stow cargo-handling gear, stationary rigging, or running gear.

  • Overhaul lifeboats or lifeboat gear and lower or raise lifeboats with winches or falls.

  • Tie barges together into tow units for tugboats to handle, inspecting barges periodically during voyages and disconnecting them when destinations are reached.

  • Sweep, mop, and wash down decks to remove oil, dirt, and debris, using brooms, mops, brushes, and hoses.

Technologies & Software

  • Tesla Autopilot
  • Project44 AI Logistics
  • Kongsberg Maritime K-Log Deck Logbook
  • Operating system software
  • Microsoft Word
  • Gatik AI
  • Microsoft Excel
  • Log book software
  • Computerized maintenance management system CMMS
  • Word processing software
  • Waymo (Autonomous Driving)
  • Microsoft PowerPoint
  • Microsoft Windows
  • Microsoft Office software
  • Microsoft Outlook
  • KNMI TurboWin
  • Mobileye AI
  • Metal chisels
  • Gear pumps
  • Chain cargo falls
  • Electric telegraphs
  • Air chippers
  • Chipping hammers
  • Oil dispensing cans
  • Galvanized thimbles
  • Ratchet sets
  • Sewing needles
  • Hydraulic deck cranes
  • Manual winches
  • Sheave blocks
  • Life rings
  • Hydraulic windlasses
  • Electric windlasses
  • Explosimeters
  • Radar navigation systems
  • Hand windlasses
  • Locking jaw pliers
  • Centrifugal ventilators
  • Mooring chains
  • Centrifugal cargo pumps
  • Pipe wrenches
  • Steam winches
  • Wire splicers
  • Filter masks
  • Mechanical telegraphs
  • Signal flags
  • Fire hoses
  • Bilge pumping systems
  • Pilot ladders
  • Voice pipes
  • Desktop computers
  • Bridge telephones
  • Riding pawls
  • Safety helmets
  • Claw hammers
  • Ship anchor chocks
  • Grease dispensing guns
  • Synthetic mooring ropes
  • Lifting slings
  • Pyrotechnic distress signals
  • Tank level gauges
  • Magnet hoists
  • Cargo booms
  • Cargo hooks
  • Portable gas detectors
  • Sounding tapes
  • Hydraulic capstans
  • Bolt cutters
  • Portable fire extinguishers
  • Forklifts
  • Hand punches
  • Safety belts
  • Sharpening steels
  • Carbon dioxide CO2 firefighting systems
  • Engine room alarm systems
  • Life jackets
  • Blinker lights
  • Emergency generators
  • Natural fiber mooring ropes
  • Personal computers
  • Cargo derricks
  • Lifeboat davits
  • Lifeboats
  • Foam firefighting systems
  • Safety lanyards
  • Radio direction finders RDF
  • Reciprocating pumps
  • Workshop vises
  • Liquid cargo transfer hoses
  • Crescent wrenches
  • Spanner wrenches
  • Hand capstans
  • Fids
  • Electric deck cranes
  • Thermal protective aids TPA
  • Gyrocompasses
  • Grabbing cranes
  • Sounding rods
  • Emergency position-indicating radio beacons
  • Anti-exposure coveralls
  • Welders
  • Life buoys
  • Safety glasses
  • Hydraulic mooring winches
  • Magnetic compasses
  • Container lift trucks
  • Electric mooring winches
  • Mooring cables
  • Ship alarm systems
  • Lifting spreaders
  • Two way radios
  • Wire cutters
  • Respirators
  • Semaphores