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Automation Risk Analysis

Will “Mariner” be Automated?

Historical Context: Oxford Study (2013)

Ranked #461 of 702. Estimated risk: 83.0%

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AI Exposure Risk

40%

“Mariner” will probably not be replaced by AI.

Based on the cognitive demands, communication requirements, and logical reasoning intrinsic to this occupation according to O*NET data, we project a 40% probability of disruption by generative AI and Large Language Models.

Automation & Robot Risk

60%

“Mariner” will maybe be replaced by robots.

Evaluating the physical dexterity, repetitive motion tasks, and manual labor associated with this role, our analysis indicates a 60% likelihood of substitution by advanced robotics systems.

Personal & Financial Insights

Every occupation has a unique profile. For Sailors and Marine Oilers, the Bureau of Labor Statistics and O*NET classify the day-to-day work broadly as: Stand watch to look for obstructions in path of vessel, measure water depth, turn wheel on bridge, or use emergency equipment as directed by captain, mate, or pilot. Break out, rig, overhaul, and store cargo-handling gear, stationary rigging, and running gear. Perform a variety of maintenance tasks to preserve the painted surface of the ship and to maintain line and ship equipment. Must hold government-issued certification and tankerman certification when working aboard liquid-carrying vessels. Includes able seamen and ordinary seamen.

Avg. Annual Salary $55,320
Avg. Hourly Wage $26.59
Available Jobs (US) 31,360
Job Title & Hierarchy Code (SOC) Sailors and Marine Oilers #53-5011
Wage vs. National Median
ℹ️

Data is based on the reference occupation: “Sailors and Marine Oilers”

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Core Skills & Abilities

  • Tie barges together into tow units for tugboats to handle, inspecting barges periodically during voyages and disconnecting them when destinations are reached.

  • Participate in shore patrols.

  • Measure depth of water in shallow or unfamiliar waters, using leadlines, and telephone or shout depth information to vessel bridges.

  • Attach hoses and operate pumps to transfer substances to and from liquid cargo tanks.

  • Relay specified signals to other ships, using visual signaling devices, such as blinker lights or semaphores.

  • Clean and polish wood trim, brass, or other metal parts.

  • Maintain government-issued certifications, as required.

  • Lubricate machinery, equipment, or engine parts, such as gears, shafts, or bearings.

  • Overhaul lifeboats or lifeboat gear and lower or raise lifeboats with winches or falls.

  • Paint or varnish decks, superstructures, lifeboats, or sides of ships.

  • Provide engineers with assistance in repairing or adjusting machinery.

  • Chip and clean rust spots on decks, superstructures, or sides of ships, using wire brushes and hand or air chipping machines.

  • Handle lines to moor vessels to wharfs, to tie up vessels to other vessels, or to rig towing lines.

  • Read pressure and temperature gauges or displays and record data in engineering logs.

  • Record data in ships' logs, such as weather conditions or distances traveled.

  • Maintain a ship's engines under the direction of the ship's engineering officers.

  • Stand by wheels when ships are on automatic pilot, and verify accuracy of courses, using magnetic compasses.

  • Splice and repair ropes, wire cables, or cordage, using marlinespikes, wire cutters, twine, and hand tools.

  • Give directions to crew members engaged in cleaning wheelhouses or quarterdecks.

  • Operate, maintain, or repair ship equipment, such as winches, cranes, derricks, or weapons system.

  • Steer ships under the direction of commanders or navigating officers or direct helmsmen to steer, following designated courses.

  • Break out, rig, and stow cargo-handling gear, stationary rigging, or running gear.

  • Sweep, mop, and wash down decks to remove oil, dirt, and debris, using brooms, mops, brushes, and hoses.

  • Examine machinery to verify specified pressures or lubricant flows.

  • Stand gangway watches to prevent unauthorized persons from boarding ships while in port.

  • Lower and man lifeboats when emergencies occur.

  • Load or unload materials, vehicles, or passengers from vessels.

  • Stand watch in ships' bows or bridge wings to look for obstructions in a ship's path or to locate navigational aids, such as buoys or lighthouses.

Technologies & Software

  • Computerized maintenance management system CMMS
  • Project44 AI Logistics
  • Microsoft Outlook
  • Log book software
  • Microsoft Word
  • Microsoft Excel
  • Operating system software
  • Waymo (Autonomous Driving)
  • Kongsberg Maritime K-Log Deck Logbook
  • Mobileye AI
  • Gatik AI
  • Microsoft Office software
  • Tesla Autopilot
  • KNMI TurboWin
  • Word processing software
  • Microsoft Windows
  • Microsoft PowerPoint
  • Galvanized thimbles
  • Cargo derricks
  • Portable gas detectors
  • Thermal protective aids TPA
  • Oil dispensing cans
  • Desktop computers
  • Crescent wrenches
  • Liquid cargo transfer hoses
  • Electric telegraphs
  • Air chippers
  • Pipe wrenches
  • Locking jaw pliers
  • Portable fire extinguishers
  • Centrifugal ventilators
  • Sounding tapes
  • Carbon dioxide CO2 firefighting systems
  • Blinker lights
  • Grabbing cranes
  • Mooring chains
  • Electric mooring winches
  • Bridge telephones
  • Metal chisels
  • Chipping hammers
  • Grease dispensing guns
  • Pilot ladders
  • Hydraulic capstans
  • Claw hammers
  • Lifeboats
  • Anti-exposure coveralls
  • Spanner wrenches
  • Wire splicers
  • Cargo hooks
  • Safety glasses
  • Chain cargo falls
  • Mooring cables
  • Electric windlasses
  • Life buoys
  • Sharpening steels
  • Manual winches
  • Hand windlasses
  • Ratchet sets
  • Life rings
  • Gear pumps
  • Semaphores
  • Explosimeters
  • Steam winches
  • Hydraulic mooring winches
  • Safety belts
  • Wire cutters
  • Bolt cutters
  • Radio direction finders RDF
  • Lifting slings
  • Centrifugal cargo pumps
  • Voice pipes
  • Sewing needles
  • Hand punches
  • Cargo booms
  • Hydraulic deck cranes
  • Safety helmets
  • Container lift trucks
  • Safety lanyards
  • Life jackets
  • Electric deck cranes
  • Fids
  • Two way radios
  • Emergency position-indicating radio beacons
  • Forklifts
  • Tank level gauges
  • Pyrotechnic distress signals
  • Fire hoses
  • Hydraulic windlasses
  • Lifting spreaders
  • Sounding rods
  • Workshop vises
  • Mechanical telegraphs
  • Filter masks
  • Magnetic compasses
  • Riding pawls
  • Ship alarm systems
  • Hand capstans
  • Natural fiber mooring ropes
  • Magnet hoists
  • Gyrocompasses
  • Personal computers
  • Lifeboat davits
  • Signal flags
  • Reciprocating pumps
  • Ship anchor chocks
  • Sheave blocks
  • Welders
  • Respirators
  • Foam firefighting systems
  • Bilge pumping systems
  • Synthetic mooring ropes
  • Radar navigation systems
  • Emergency generators
  • Engine room alarm systems