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Automation Risk Analysis

Will “Mariner” be Automated?

Historical Context: Oxford Study (2013)

Ranked #461 of 702. Estimated risk: 83.0%

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AI Exposure Risk

40%

“Mariner” will probably not be replaced by AI.

Based on the cognitive demands, communication requirements, and logical reasoning intrinsic to this occupation according to O*NET data, we project a 40% probability of disruption by generative AI and Large Language Models.

Automation & Robot Risk

60%

“Mariner” will maybe be replaced by robots.

Evaluating the physical dexterity, repetitive motion tasks, and manual labor associated with this role, our analysis indicates a 60% likelihood of substitution by advanced robotics systems.

Personal & Financial Insights

Every occupation has a unique profile. For Sailors and Marine Oilers, the Bureau of Labor Statistics and O*NET classify the day-to-day work broadly as: Stand watch to look for obstructions in path of vessel, measure water depth, turn wheel on bridge, or use emergency equipment as directed by captain, mate, or pilot. Break out, rig, overhaul, and store cargo-handling gear, stationary rigging, and running gear. Perform a variety of maintenance tasks to preserve the painted surface of the ship and to maintain line and ship equipment. Must hold government-issued certification and tankerman certification when working aboard liquid-carrying vessels. Includes able seamen and ordinary seamen.

Avg. Annual Salary $55,320
Avg. Hourly Wage $26.59
Available Jobs (US) 31,360
Job Title & Hierarchy Code (SOC) Sailors and Marine Oilers #53-5011
Wage vs. National Median
ℹ️

Data is based on the reference occupation: “Sailors and Marine Oilers”

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Core Skills & Abilities

  • Relay specified signals to other ships, using visual signaling devices, such as blinker lights or semaphores.

  • Load or unload materials, vehicles, or passengers from vessels.

  • Lubricate machinery, equipment, or engine parts, such as gears, shafts, or bearings.

  • Provide engineers with assistance in repairing or adjusting machinery.

  • Splice and repair ropes, wire cables, or cordage, using marlinespikes, wire cutters, twine, and hand tools.

  • Stand by wheels when ships are on automatic pilot, and verify accuracy of courses, using magnetic compasses.

  • Participate in shore patrols.

  • Sweep, mop, and wash down decks to remove oil, dirt, and debris, using brooms, mops, brushes, and hoses.

  • Maintain a ship's engines under the direction of the ship's engineering officers.

  • Stand gangway watches to prevent unauthorized persons from boarding ships while in port.

  • Break out, rig, and stow cargo-handling gear, stationary rigging, or running gear.

  • Operate, maintain, or repair ship equipment, such as winches, cranes, derricks, or weapons system.

  • Steer ships under the direction of commanders or navigating officers or direct helmsmen to steer, following designated courses.

  • Paint or varnish decks, superstructures, lifeboats, or sides of ships.

  • Tie barges together into tow units for tugboats to handle, inspecting barges periodically during voyages and disconnecting them when destinations are reached.

  • Stand watch in ships' bows or bridge wings to look for obstructions in a ship's path or to locate navigational aids, such as buoys or lighthouses.

  • Read pressure and temperature gauges or displays and record data in engineering logs.

  • Give directions to crew members engaged in cleaning wheelhouses or quarterdecks.

  • Attach hoses and operate pumps to transfer substances to and from liquid cargo tanks.

  • Clean and polish wood trim, brass, or other metal parts.

  • Handle lines to moor vessels to wharfs, to tie up vessels to other vessels, or to rig towing lines.

  • Examine machinery to verify specified pressures or lubricant flows.

  • Lower and man lifeboats when emergencies occur.

  • Chip and clean rust spots on decks, superstructures, or sides of ships, using wire brushes and hand or air chipping machines.

  • Overhaul lifeboats or lifeboat gear and lower or raise lifeboats with winches or falls.

  • Measure depth of water in shallow or unfamiliar waters, using leadlines, and telephone or shout depth information to vessel bridges.

  • Record data in ships' logs, such as weather conditions or distances traveled.

  • Maintain government-issued certifications, as required.

Technologies & Software

  • Mobileye AI
  • Microsoft Excel
  • Waymo (Autonomous Driving)
  • Log book software
  • Tesla Autopilot
  • Gatik AI
  • Microsoft Outlook
  • Computerized maintenance management system CMMS
  • Word processing software
  • Kongsberg Maritime K-Log Deck Logbook
  • Microsoft Office software
  • Microsoft PowerPoint
  • KNMI TurboWin
  • Operating system software
  • Microsoft Word
  • Microsoft Windows
  • Project44 AI Logistics
  • Radar navigation systems
  • Life jackets
  • Crescent wrenches
  • Cargo hooks
  • Metal chisels
  • Fids
  • Fire hoses
  • Safety glasses
  • Wire splicers
  • Cargo derricks
  • Welders
  • Magnetic compasses
  • Sheave blocks
  • Hand capstans
  • Oil dispensing cans
  • Filter masks
  • Portable gas detectors
  • Two way radios
  • Hydraulic capstans
  • Pilot ladders
  • Reciprocating pumps
  • Voice pipes
  • Container lift trucks
  • Manual winches
  • Wire cutters
  • Steam winches
  • Cargo booms
  • Lifting spreaders
  • Blinker lights
  • Emergency position-indicating radio beacons
  • Ship alarm systems
  • Anti-exposure coveralls
  • Desktop computers
  • Grease dispensing guns
  • Carbon dioxide CO2 firefighting systems
  • Pipe wrenches
  • Gyrocompasses
  • Mooring cables
  • Chain cargo falls
  • Sounding tapes
  • Portable fire extinguishers
  • Ship anchor chocks
  • Foam firefighting systems
  • Natural fiber mooring ropes
  • Grabbing cranes
  • Safety lanyards
  • Centrifugal ventilators
  • Hand windlasses
  • Locking jaw pliers
  • Magnet hoists
  • Bridge telephones
  • Electric deck cranes
  • Chipping hammers
  • Engine room alarm systems
  • Life rings
  • Explosimeters
  • Sounding rods
  • Riding pawls
  • Hydraulic mooring winches
  • Hand punches
  • Personal computers
  • Semaphores
  • Lifeboats
  • Spanner wrenches
  • Claw hammers
  • Sharpening steels
  • Signal flags
  • Hydraulic windlasses
  • Emergency generators
  • Synthetic mooring ropes
  • Liquid cargo transfer hoses
  • Thermal protective aids TPA
  • Bilge pumping systems
  • Radio direction finders RDF
  • Lifeboat davits
  • Safety helmets
  • Hydraulic deck cranes
  • Gear pumps
  • Safety belts
  • Galvanized thimbles
  • Electric windlasses
  • Mechanical telegraphs
  • Pyrotechnic distress signals
  • Electric mooring winches
  • Centrifugal cargo pumps
  • Workshop vises
  • Bolt cutters
  • Ratchet sets
  • Lifting slings
  • Air chippers
  • Sewing needles
  • Electric telegraphs
  • Tank level gauges
  • Mooring chains
  • Life buoys
  • Forklifts
  • Respirators