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Automation Risk Analysis

Will “Mariner” be Automated?

Historical Context: Oxford Study (2013)

Ranked #461 of 702. Estimated risk: 83.0%

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AI Exposure Risk

40%

“Mariner” will probably not be replaced by AI.

Based on the cognitive demands, communication requirements, and logical reasoning intrinsic to this occupation according to O*NET data, we project a 40% probability of disruption by generative AI and Large Language Models.

Automation & Robot Risk

60%

“Mariner” will maybe be replaced by robots.

Evaluating the physical dexterity, repetitive motion tasks, and manual labor associated with this role, our analysis indicates a 60% likelihood of substitution by advanced robotics systems.

Personal & Financial Insights

Every occupation has a unique profile. For Sailors and Marine Oilers, the Bureau of Labor Statistics and O*NET classify the day-to-day work broadly as: Stand watch to look for obstructions in path of vessel, measure water depth, turn wheel on bridge, or use emergency equipment as directed by captain, mate, or pilot. Break out, rig, overhaul, and store cargo-handling gear, stationary rigging, and running gear. Perform a variety of maintenance tasks to preserve the painted surface of the ship and to maintain line and ship equipment. Must hold government-issued certification and tankerman certification when working aboard liquid-carrying vessels. Includes able seamen and ordinary seamen.

Avg. Annual Salary $55,320
Avg. Hourly Wage $26.59
Available Jobs (US) 31,360
Job Title & Hierarchy Code (SOC) Sailors and Marine Oilers #53-5011
Wage vs. National Median
ℹ️

Data is based on the reference occupation: “Sailors and Marine Oilers”

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Core Skills & Abilities

  • Overhaul lifeboats or lifeboat gear and lower or raise lifeboats with winches or falls.

  • Handle lines to moor vessels to wharfs, to tie up vessels to other vessels, or to rig towing lines.

  • Sweep, mop, and wash down decks to remove oil, dirt, and debris, using brooms, mops, brushes, and hoses.

  • Stand gangway watches to prevent unauthorized persons from boarding ships while in port.

  • Break out, rig, and stow cargo-handling gear, stationary rigging, or running gear.

  • Examine machinery to verify specified pressures or lubricant flows.

  • Maintain government-issued certifications, as required.

  • Operate, maintain, or repair ship equipment, such as winches, cranes, derricks, or weapons system.

  • Lower and man lifeboats when emergencies occur.

  • Record data in ships' logs, such as weather conditions or distances traveled.

  • Clean and polish wood trim, brass, or other metal parts.

  • Load or unload materials, vehicles, or passengers from vessels.

  • Lubricate machinery, equipment, or engine parts, such as gears, shafts, or bearings.

  • Give directions to crew members engaged in cleaning wheelhouses or quarterdecks.

  • Maintain a ship's engines under the direction of the ship's engineering officers.

  • Read pressure and temperature gauges or displays and record data in engineering logs.

  • Steer ships under the direction of commanders or navigating officers or direct helmsmen to steer, following designated courses.

  • Stand watch in ships' bows or bridge wings to look for obstructions in a ship's path or to locate navigational aids, such as buoys or lighthouses.

  • Participate in shore patrols.

  • Stand by wheels when ships are on automatic pilot, and verify accuracy of courses, using magnetic compasses.

  • Tie barges together into tow units for tugboats to handle, inspecting barges periodically during voyages and disconnecting them when destinations are reached.

  • Chip and clean rust spots on decks, superstructures, or sides of ships, using wire brushes and hand or air chipping machines.

  • Attach hoses and operate pumps to transfer substances to and from liquid cargo tanks.

  • Relay specified signals to other ships, using visual signaling devices, such as blinker lights or semaphores.

  • Paint or varnish decks, superstructures, lifeboats, or sides of ships.

  • Measure depth of water in shallow or unfamiliar waters, using leadlines, and telephone or shout depth information to vessel bridges.

  • Provide engineers with assistance in repairing or adjusting machinery.

  • Splice and repair ropes, wire cables, or cordage, using marlinespikes, wire cutters, twine, and hand tools.

Technologies & Software

  • Gatik AI
  • Word processing software
  • Waymo (Autonomous Driving)
  • Microsoft PowerPoint
  • Kongsberg Maritime K-Log Deck Logbook
  • Microsoft Excel
  • Microsoft Outlook
  • Tesla Autopilot
  • Microsoft Word
  • Microsoft Windows
  • Microsoft Office software
  • Mobileye AI
  • KNMI TurboWin
  • Computerized maintenance management system CMMS
  • Project44 AI Logistics
  • Operating system software
  • Log book software
  • Thermal protective aids TPA
  • Forklifts
  • Hydraulic mooring winches
  • Filter masks
  • Hand capstans
  • Fids
  • Electric mooring winches
  • Centrifugal cargo pumps
  • Mechanical telegraphs
  • Welders
  • Cargo booms
  • Life rings
  • Mooring chains
  • Blinker lights
  • Portable gas detectors
  • Gear pumps
  • Mooring cables
  • Emergency generators
  • Reciprocating pumps
  • Two way radios
  • Semaphores
  • Liquid cargo transfer hoses
  • Anti-exposure coveralls
  • Steam winches
  • Magnet hoists
  • Sheave blocks
  • Sharpening steels
  • Electric telegraphs
  • Riding pawls
  • Lifting slings
  • Hydraulic windlasses
  • Safety glasses
  • Manual winches
  • Chipping hammers
  • Synthetic mooring ropes
  • Hand punches
  • Respirators
  • Pilot ladders
  • Electric windlasses
  • Bilge pumping systems
  • Bolt cutters
  • Grease dispensing guns
  • Voice pipes
  • Gyrocompasses
  • Spanner wrenches
  • Locking jaw pliers
  • Wire cutters
  • Ratchet sets
  • Desktop computers
  • Carbon dioxide CO2 firefighting systems
  • Life jackets
  • Lifting spreaders
  • Electric deck cranes
  • Safety belts
  • Oil dispensing cans
  • Crescent wrenches
  • Galvanized thimbles
  • Wire splicers
  • Lifeboats
  • Chain cargo falls
  • Claw hammers
  • Sewing needles
  • Bridge telephones
  • Hydraulic deck cranes
  • Workshop vises
  • Radar navigation systems
  • Explosimeters
  • Air chippers
  • Foam firefighting systems
  • Pipe wrenches
  • Cargo derricks
  • Ship anchor chocks
  • Pyrotechnic distress signals
  • Grabbing cranes
  • Radio direction finders RDF
  • Sounding rods
  • Ship alarm systems
  • Magnetic compasses
  • Engine room alarm systems
  • Portable fire extinguishers
  • Natural fiber mooring ropes
  • Tank level gauges
  • Emergency position-indicating radio beacons
  • Hydraulic capstans
  • Fire hoses
  • Sounding tapes
  • Safety helmets
  • Cargo hooks
  • Metal chisels
  • Centrifugal ventilators
  • Container lift trucks
  • Lifeboat davits
  • Signal flags
  • Safety lanyards
  • Personal computers
  • Life buoys
  • Hand windlasses