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Automation Risk Analysis

Will “Seaman” be Automated?

Historical Context: Oxford Study (2013)

Ranked #461 of 702. Estimated risk: 83.0%

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AI Exposure Risk

40%

“Seaman” will probably not be replaced by AI.

Based on the cognitive demands, communication requirements, and logical reasoning intrinsic to this occupation according to O*NET data, we project a 40% probability of disruption by generative AI and Large Language Models.

Automation & Robot Risk

60%

“Seaman” will maybe be replaced by robots.

Evaluating the physical dexterity, repetitive motion tasks, and manual labor associated with this role, our analysis indicates a 60% likelihood of substitution by advanced robotics systems.

Personal & Financial Insights

Every occupation has a unique profile. For Sailors and Marine Oilers, the Bureau of Labor Statistics and O*NET classify the day-to-day work broadly as: Stand watch to look for obstructions in path of vessel, measure water depth, turn wheel on bridge, or use emergency equipment as directed by captain, mate, or pilot. Break out, rig, overhaul, and store cargo-handling gear, stationary rigging, and running gear. Perform a variety of maintenance tasks to preserve the painted surface of the ship and to maintain line and ship equipment. Must hold government-issued certification and tankerman certification when working aboard liquid-carrying vessels. Includes able seamen and ordinary seamen.

Avg. Annual Salary $55,320
Avg. Hourly Wage $26.59
Available Jobs (US) 31,360
Job Title & Hierarchy Code (SOC) Sailors and Marine Oilers #53-5011
Wage vs. National Median
ℹ️

Data is based on the reference occupation: “Sailors and Marine Oilers”

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Core Skills & Abilities

  • Paint or varnish decks, superstructures, lifeboats, or sides of ships.

  • Read pressure and temperature gauges or displays and record data in engineering logs.

  • Provide engineers with assistance in repairing or adjusting machinery.

  • Record data in ships' logs, such as weather conditions or distances traveled.

  • Attach hoses and operate pumps to transfer substances to and from liquid cargo tanks.

  • Clean and polish wood trim, brass, or other metal parts.

  • Tie barges together into tow units for tugboats to handle, inspecting barges periodically during voyages and disconnecting them when destinations are reached.

  • Steer ships under the direction of commanders or navigating officers or direct helmsmen to steer, following designated courses.

  • Measure depth of water in shallow or unfamiliar waters, using leadlines, and telephone or shout depth information to vessel bridges.

  • Sweep, mop, and wash down decks to remove oil, dirt, and debris, using brooms, mops, brushes, and hoses.

  • Relay specified signals to other ships, using visual signaling devices, such as blinker lights or semaphores.

  • Stand watch in ships' bows or bridge wings to look for obstructions in a ship's path or to locate navigational aids, such as buoys or lighthouses.

  • Stand gangway watches to prevent unauthorized persons from boarding ships while in port.

  • Maintain a ship's engines under the direction of the ship's engineering officers.

  • Examine machinery to verify specified pressures or lubricant flows.

  • Load or unload materials, vehicles, or passengers from vessels.

  • Splice and repair ropes, wire cables, or cordage, using marlinespikes, wire cutters, twine, and hand tools.

  • Chip and clean rust spots on decks, superstructures, or sides of ships, using wire brushes and hand or air chipping machines.

  • Stand by wheels when ships are on automatic pilot, and verify accuracy of courses, using magnetic compasses.

  • Handle lines to moor vessels to wharfs, to tie up vessels to other vessels, or to rig towing lines.

  • Overhaul lifeboats or lifeboat gear and lower or raise lifeboats with winches or falls.

  • Participate in shore patrols.

  • Lubricate machinery, equipment, or engine parts, such as gears, shafts, or bearings.

  • Lower and man lifeboats when emergencies occur.

  • Operate, maintain, or repair ship equipment, such as winches, cranes, derricks, or weapons system.

  • Give directions to crew members engaged in cleaning wheelhouses or quarterdecks.

  • Maintain government-issued certifications, as required.

  • Break out, rig, and stow cargo-handling gear, stationary rigging, or running gear.

Technologies & Software

  • Microsoft Outlook
  • Microsoft Excel
  • Operating system software
  • Log book software
  • KNMI TurboWin
  • Mobileye AI
  • Tesla Autopilot
  • Waymo (Autonomous Driving)
  • Microsoft Word
  • Microsoft PowerPoint
  • Gatik AI
  • Microsoft Windows
  • Kongsberg Maritime K-Log Deck Logbook
  • Microsoft Office software
  • Computerized maintenance management system CMMS
  • Project44 AI Logistics
  • Word processing software
  • Safety helmets
  • Radio direction finders RDF
  • Emergency position-indicating radio beacons
  • Magnetic compasses
  • Workshop vises
  • Electric mooring winches
  • Safety lanyards
  • Pilot ladders
  • Lifting spreaders
  • Hand windlasses
  • Sounding rods
  • Explosimeters
  • Electric windlasses
  • Portable gas detectors
  • Hydraulic deck cranes
  • Pyrotechnic distress signals
  • Mooring cables
  • Riding pawls
  • Portable fire extinguishers
  • Wire splicers
  • Hydraulic mooring winches
  • Synthetic mooring ropes
  • Magnet hoists
  • Spanner wrenches
  • Metal chisels
  • Mechanical telegraphs
  • Desktop computers
  • Cargo derricks
  • Emergency generators
  • Electric telegraphs
  • Cargo booms
  • Sewing needles
  • Bridge telephones
  • Hydraulic windlasses
  • Gyrocompasses
  • Crescent wrenches
  • Liquid cargo transfer hoses
  • Sounding tapes
  • Personal computers
  • Locking jaw pliers
  • Natural fiber mooring ropes
  • Sharpening steels
  • Welders
  • Gear pumps
  • Signal flags
  • Hydraulic capstans
  • Safety glasses
  • Carbon dioxide CO2 firefighting systems
  • Filter masks
  • Thermal protective aids TPA
  • Foam firefighting systems
  • Reciprocating pumps
  • Fire hoses
  • Lifeboat davits
  • Wire cutters
  • Steam winches
  • Anti-exposure coveralls
  • Engine room alarm systems
  • Bilge pumping systems
  • Hand capstans
  • Ship anchor chocks
  • Claw hammers
  • Semaphores
  • Centrifugal ventilators
  • Mooring chains
  • Hand punches
  • Safety belts
  • Chipping hammers
  • Oil dispensing cans
  • Fids
  • Ratchet sets
  • Blinker lights
  • Life buoys
  • Forklifts
  • Grabbing cranes
  • Lifting slings
  • Tank level gauges
  • Centrifugal cargo pumps
  • Chain cargo falls
  • Two way radios
  • Manual winches
  • Galvanized thimbles
  • Ship alarm systems
  • Bolt cutters
  • Pipe wrenches
  • Respirators
  • Radar navigation systems
  • Electric deck cranes
  • Life rings
  • Voice pipes
  • Lifeboats
  • Container lift trucks
  • Sheave blocks
  • Grease dispensing guns
  • Life jackets
  • Air chippers
  • Cargo hooks