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Automation Risk Analysis

Will “Seaman” be Automated?

Historical Context: Oxford Study (2013)

Ranked #461 of 702. Estimated risk: 83.0%

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AI Exposure Risk

40%

“Seaman” will probably not be replaced by AI.

Based on the cognitive demands, communication requirements, and logical reasoning intrinsic to this occupation according to O*NET data, we project a 40% probability of disruption by generative AI and Large Language Models.

Automation & Robot Risk

60%

“Seaman” will maybe be replaced by robots.

Evaluating the physical dexterity, repetitive motion tasks, and manual labor associated with this role, our analysis indicates a 60% likelihood of substitution by advanced robotics systems.

Personal & Financial Insights

Every occupation has a unique profile. For Sailors and Marine Oilers, the Bureau of Labor Statistics and O*NET classify the day-to-day work broadly as: Stand watch to look for obstructions in path of vessel, measure water depth, turn wheel on bridge, or use emergency equipment as directed by captain, mate, or pilot. Break out, rig, overhaul, and store cargo-handling gear, stationary rigging, and running gear. Perform a variety of maintenance tasks to preserve the painted surface of the ship and to maintain line and ship equipment. Must hold government-issued certification and tankerman certification when working aboard liquid-carrying vessels. Includes able seamen and ordinary seamen.

Avg. Annual Salary $55,320
Avg. Hourly Wage $26.59
Available Jobs (US) 31,360
Job Title & Hierarchy Code (SOC) Sailors and Marine Oilers #53-5011
Wage vs. National Median
ℹ️

Data is based on the reference occupation: “Sailors and Marine Oilers”

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Core Skills & Abilities

  • Operate, maintain, or repair ship equipment, such as winches, cranes, derricks, or weapons system.

  • Provide engineers with assistance in repairing or adjusting machinery.

  • Steer ships under the direction of commanders or navigating officers or direct helmsmen to steer, following designated courses.

  • Overhaul lifeboats or lifeboat gear and lower or raise lifeboats with winches or falls.

  • Handle lines to moor vessels to wharfs, to tie up vessels to other vessels, or to rig towing lines.

  • Maintain government-issued certifications, as required.

  • Tie barges together into tow units for tugboats to handle, inspecting barges periodically during voyages and disconnecting them when destinations are reached.

  • Stand watch in ships' bows or bridge wings to look for obstructions in a ship's path or to locate navigational aids, such as buoys or lighthouses.

  • Paint or varnish decks, superstructures, lifeboats, or sides of ships.

  • Examine machinery to verify specified pressures or lubricant flows.

  • Chip and clean rust spots on decks, superstructures, or sides of ships, using wire brushes and hand or air chipping machines.

  • Clean and polish wood trim, brass, or other metal parts.

  • Break out, rig, and stow cargo-handling gear, stationary rigging, or running gear.

  • Measure depth of water in shallow or unfamiliar waters, using leadlines, and telephone or shout depth information to vessel bridges.

  • Record data in ships' logs, such as weather conditions or distances traveled.

  • Give directions to crew members engaged in cleaning wheelhouses or quarterdecks.

  • Lubricate machinery, equipment, or engine parts, such as gears, shafts, or bearings.

  • Relay specified signals to other ships, using visual signaling devices, such as blinker lights or semaphores.

  • Stand gangway watches to prevent unauthorized persons from boarding ships while in port.

  • Maintain a ship's engines under the direction of the ship's engineering officers.

  • Read pressure and temperature gauges or displays and record data in engineering logs.

  • Attach hoses and operate pumps to transfer substances to and from liquid cargo tanks.

  • Participate in shore patrols.

  • Lower and man lifeboats when emergencies occur.

  • Sweep, mop, and wash down decks to remove oil, dirt, and debris, using brooms, mops, brushes, and hoses.

  • Splice and repair ropes, wire cables, or cordage, using marlinespikes, wire cutters, twine, and hand tools.

  • Stand by wheels when ships are on automatic pilot, and verify accuracy of courses, using magnetic compasses.

  • Load or unload materials, vehicles, or passengers from vessels.

Technologies & Software

  • Microsoft Windows
  • Mobileye AI
  • Microsoft Outlook
  • Microsoft Word
  • Operating system software
  • Microsoft Excel
  • Kongsberg Maritime K-Log Deck Logbook
  • Waymo (Autonomous Driving)
  • Log book software
  • Microsoft Office software
  • KNMI TurboWin
  • Gatik AI
  • Tesla Autopilot
  • Word processing software
  • Computerized maintenance management system CMMS
  • Project44 AI Logistics
  • Microsoft PowerPoint
  • Sounding rods
  • Portable gas detectors
  • Sounding tapes
  • Hydraulic capstans
  • Sheave blocks
  • Chain cargo falls
  • Desktop computers
  • Personal computers
  • Oil dispensing cans
  • Bilge pumping systems
  • Safety lanyards
  • Electric mooring winches
  • Magnet hoists
  • Cargo hooks
  • Steam winches
  • Container lift trucks
  • Sewing needles
  • Electric deck cranes
  • Centrifugal cargo pumps
  • Life buoys
  • Mechanical telegraphs
  • Tank level gauges
  • Respirators
  • Cargo derricks
  • Chipping hammers
  • Mooring chains
  • Locking jaw pliers
  • Grease dispensing guns
  • Hand capstans
  • Workshop vises
  • Pilot ladders
  • Lifeboats
  • Engine room alarm systems
  • Manual winches
  • Liquid cargo transfer hoses
  • Explosimeters
  • Hand punches
  • Spanner wrenches
  • Thermal protective aids TPA
  • Hydraulic mooring winches
  • Bolt cutters
  • Reciprocating pumps
  • Synthetic mooring ropes
  • Gear pumps
  • Crescent wrenches
  • Anti-exposure coveralls
  • Lifting spreaders
  • Air chippers
  • Metal chisels
  • Bridge telephones
  • Safety glasses
  • Ship alarm systems
  • Hand windlasses
  • Forklifts
  • Wire splicers
  • Wire cutters
  • Sharpening steels
  • Ratchet sets
  • Riding pawls
  • Mooring cables
  • Signal flags
  • Centrifugal ventilators
  • Emergency generators
  • Electric telegraphs
  • Magnetic compasses
  • Voice pipes
  • Radio direction finders RDF
  • Safety helmets
  • Semaphores
  • Electric windlasses
  • Hydraulic deck cranes
  • Ship anchor chocks
  • Galvanized thimbles
  • Lifeboat davits
  • Filter masks
  • Welders
  • Claw hammers
  • Cargo booms
  • Lifting slings
  • Radar navigation systems
  • Two way radios
  • Life jackets
  • Fids
  • Carbon dioxide CO2 firefighting systems
  • Blinker lights
  • Life rings
  • Foam firefighting systems
  • Pyrotechnic distress signals
  • Portable fire extinguishers
  • Natural fiber mooring ropes
  • Pipe wrenches
  • Gyrocompasses
  • Hydraulic windlasses
  • Safety belts
  • Grabbing cranes
  • Emergency position-indicating radio beacons
  • Fire hoses