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Automation Risk Analysis

Will “Steersman” be Automated?

Historical Context: Oxford Study (2013)

Ranked #461 of 702. Estimated risk: 83.0%

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AI Exposure Risk

40%

“Steersman” will probably not be replaced by AI.

Based on the cognitive demands, communication requirements, and logical reasoning intrinsic to this occupation according to O*NET data, we project a 40% probability of disruption by generative AI and Large Language Models.

Automation & Robot Risk

60%

“Steersman” will maybe be replaced by robots.

Evaluating the physical dexterity, repetitive motion tasks, and manual labor associated with this role, our analysis indicates a 60% likelihood of substitution by advanced robotics systems.

Personal & Financial Insights

Every occupation has a unique profile. For Sailors and Marine Oilers, the Bureau of Labor Statistics and O*NET classify the day-to-day work broadly as: Stand watch to look for obstructions in path of vessel, measure water depth, turn wheel on bridge, or use emergency equipment as directed by captain, mate, or pilot. Break out, rig, overhaul, and store cargo-handling gear, stationary rigging, and running gear. Perform a variety of maintenance tasks to preserve the painted surface of the ship and to maintain line and ship equipment. Must hold government-issued certification and tankerman certification when working aboard liquid-carrying vessels. Includes able seamen and ordinary seamen.

Avg. Annual Salary $55,320
Avg. Hourly Wage $26.59
Available Jobs (US) 31,360
Job Title & Hierarchy Code (SOC) Sailors and Marine Oilers #53-5011
Wage vs. National Median
ℹ️

Data is based on the reference occupation: “Sailors and Marine Oilers”

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Core Skills & Abilities

  • Read pressure and temperature gauges or displays and record data in engineering logs.

  • Lower and man lifeboats when emergencies occur.

  • Stand gangway watches to prevent unauthorized persons from boarding ships while in port.

  • Examine machinery to verify specified pressures or lubricant flows.

  • Handle lines to moor vessels to wharfs, to tie up vessels to other vessels, or to rig towing lines.

  • Provide engineers with assistance in repairing or adjusting machinery.

  • Tie barges together into tow units for tugboats to handle, inspecting barges periodically during voyages and disconnecting them when destinations are reached.

  • Chip and clean rust spots on decks, superstructures, or sides of ships, using wire brushes and hand or air chipping machines.

  • Maintain government-issued certifications, as required.

  • Steer ships under the direction of commanders or navigating officers or direct helmsmen to steer, following designated courses.

  • Stand watch in ships' bows or bridge wings to look for obstructions in a ship's path or to locate navigational aids, such as buoys or lighthouses.

  • Lubricate machinery, equipment, or engine parts, such as gears, shafts, or bearings.

  • Participate in shore patrols.

  • Attach hoses and operate pumps to transfer substances to and from liquid cargo tanks.

  • Maintain a ship's engines under the direction of the ship's engineering officers.

  • Break out, rig, and stow cargo-handling gear, stationary rigging, or running gear.

  • Sweep, mop, and wash down decks to remove oil, dirt, and debris, using brooms, mops, brushes, and hoses.

  • Stand by wheels when ships are on automatic pilot, and verify accuracy of courses, using magnetic compasses.

  • Splice and repair ropes, wire cables, or cordage, using marlinespikes, wire cutters, twine, and hand tools.

  • Measure depth of water in shallow or unfamiliar waters, using leadlines, and telephone or shout depth information to vessel bridges.

  • Clean and polish wood trim, brass, or other metal parts.

  • Give directions to crew members engaged in cleaning wheelhouses or quarterdecks.

  • Relay specified signals to other ships, using visual signaling devices, such as blinker lights or semaphores.

  • Record data in ships' logs, such as weather conditions or distances traveled.

  • Operate, maintain, or repair ship equipment, such as winches, cranes, derricks, or weapons system.

  • Overhaul lifeboats or lifeboat gear and lower or raise lifeboats with winches or falls.

  • Load or unload materials, vehicles, or passengers from vessels.

  • Paint or varnish decks, superstructures, lifeboats, or sides of ships.

Technologies & Software

  • Gatik AI
  • Microsoft Word
  • Tesla Autopilot
  • KNMI TurboWin
  • Word processing software
  • Project44 AI Logistics
  • Log book software
  • Microsoft Outlook
  • Microsoft Windows
  • Mobileye AI
  • Waymo (Autonomous Driving)
  • Kongsberg Maritime K-Log Deck Logbook
  • Computerized maintenance management system CMMS
  • Microsoft PowerPoint
  • Microsoft Office software
  • Operating system software
  • Microsoft Excel
  • Foam firefighting systems
  • Spanner wrenches
  • Desktop computers
  • Lifeboat davits
  • Portable gas detectors
  • Life rings
  • Bilge pumping systems
  • Oil dispensing cans
  • Life buoys
  • Fire hoses
  • Hand punches
  • Locking jaw pliers
  • Respirators
  • Grease dispensing guns
  • Crescent wrenches
  • Workshop vises
  • Electric windlasses
  • Manual winches
  • Magnetic compasses
  • Safety glasses
  • Lifting spreaders
  • Personal computers
  • Mooring chains
  • Container lift trucks
  • Explosimeters
  • Safety helmets
  • Electric mooring winches
  • Emergency position-indicating radio beacons
  • Chipping hammers
  • Bolt cutters
  • Natural fiber mooring ropes
  • Centrifugal cargo pumps
  • Life jackets
  • Hydraulic windlasses
  • Centrifugal ventilators
  • Hydraulic capstans
  • Blinker lights
  • Lifeboats
  • Emergency generators
  • Anti-exposure coveralls
  • Thermal protective aids TPA
  • Sewing needles
  • Filter masks
  • Sharpening steels
  • Pilot ladders
  • Wire cutters
  • Grabbing cranes
  • Tank level gauges
  • Safety belts
  • Semaphores
  • Electric telegraphs
  • Synthetic mooring ropes
  • Galvanized thimbles
  • Radio direction finders RDF
  • Hand capstans
  • Pipe wrenches
  • Riding pawls
  • Hand windlasses
  • Ship anchor chocks
  • Hydraulic deck cranes
  • Metal chisels
  • Cargo hooks
  • Hydraulic mooring winches
  • Welders
  • Carbon dioxide CO2 firefighting systems
  • Mechanical telegraphs
  • Gyrocompasses
  • Lifting slings
  • Ship alarm systems
  • Pyrotechnic distress signals
  • Cargo derricks
  • Signal flags
  • Chain cargo falls
  • Ratchet sets
  • Liquid cargo transfer hoses
  • Claw hammers
  • Sounding tapes
  • Engine room alarm systems
  • Bridge telephones
  • Gear pumps
  • Sheave blocks
  • Reciprocating pumps
  • Mooring cables
  • Safety lanyards
  • Steam winches
  • Wire splicers
  • Cargo booms
  • Forklifts
  • Fids
  • Two way radios
  • Magnet hoists
  • Air chippers
  • Portable fire extinguishers
  • Voice pipes
  • Electric deck cranes
  • Sounding rods
  • Radar navigation systems