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Automation Risk Analysis

Will “Steersman” be Automated?

Historical Context: Oxford Study (2013)

Ranked #461 of 702. Estimated risk: 83.0%

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AI Exposure Risk

40%

“Steersman” will probably not be replaced by AI.

Based on the cognitive demands, communication requirements, and logical reasoning intrinsic to this occupation according to O*NET data, we project a 40% probability of disruption by generative AI and Large Language Models.

Automation & Robot Risk

60%

“Steersman” will maybe be replaced by robots.

Evaluating the physical dexterity, repetitive motion tasks, and manual labor associated with this role, our analysis indicates a 60% likelihood of substitution by advanced robotics systems.

Personal & Financial Insights

Every occupation has a unique profile. For Sailors and Marine Oilers, the Bureau of Labor Statistics and O*NET classify the day-to-day work broadly as: Stand watch to look for obstructions in path of vessel, measure water depth, turn wheel on bridge, or use emergency equipment as directed by captain, mate, or pilot. Break out, rig, overhaul, and store cargo-handling gear, stationary rigging, and running gear. Perform a variety of maintenance tasks to preserve the painted surface of the ship and to maintain line and ship equipment. Must hold government-issued certification and tankerman certification when working aboard liquid-carrying vessels. Includes able seamen and ordinary seamen.

Avg. Annual Salary $55,320
Avg. Hourly Wage $26.59
Available Jobs (US) 31,360
Job Title & Hierarchy Code (SOC) Sailors and Marine Oilers #53-5011
Wage vs. National Median
ℹ️

Data is based on the reference occupation: “Sailors and Marine Oilers”

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Core Skills & Abilities

  • Handle lines to moor vessels to wharfs, to tie up vessels to other vessels, or to rig towing lines.

  • Attach hoses and operate pumps to transfer substances to and from liquid cargo tanks.

  • Break out, rig, and stow cargo-handling gear, stationary rigging, or running gear.

  • Provide engineers with assistance in repairing or adjusting machinery.

  • Operate, maintain, or repair ship equipment, such as winches, cranes, derricks, or weapons system.

  • Stand by wheels when ships are on automatic pilot, and verify accuracy of courses, using magnetic compasses.

  • Clean and polish wood trim, brass, or other metal parts.

  • Maintain a ship's engines under the direction of the ship's engineering officers.

  • Steer ships under the direction of commanders or navigating officers or direct helmsmen to steer, following designated courses.

  • Examine machinery to verify specified pressures or lubricant flows.

  • Overhaul lifeboats or lifeboat gear and lower or raise lifeboats with winches or falls.

  • Stand watch in ships' bows or bridge wings to look for obstructions in a ship's path or to locate navigational aids, such as buoys or lighthouses.

  • Sweep, mop, and wash down decks to remove oil, dirt, and debris, using brooms, mops, brushes, and hoses.

  • Give directions to crew members engaged in cleaning wheelhouses or quarterdecks.

  • Measure depth of water in shallow or unfamiliar waters, using leadlines, and telephone or shout depth information to vessel bridges.

  • Maintain government-issued certifications, as required.

  • Participate in shore patrols.

  • Load or unload materials, vehicles, or passengers from vessels.

  • Chip and clean rust spots on decks, superstructures, or sides of ships, using wire brushes and hand or air chipping machines.

  • Lower and man lifeboats when emergencies occur.

  • Lubricate machinery, equipment, or engine parts, such as gears, shafts, or bearings.

  • Record data in ships' logs, such as weather conditions or distances traveled.

  • Stand gangway watches to prevent unauthorized persons from boarding ships while in port.

  • Paint or varnish decks, superstructures, lifeboats, or sides of ships.

  • Tie barges together into tow units for tugboats to handle, inspecting barges periodically during voyages and disconnecting them when destinations are reached.

  • Splice and repair ropes, wire cables, or cordage, using marlinespikes, wire cutters, twine, and hand tools.

  • Read pressure and temperature gauges or displays and record data in engineering logs.

  • Relay specified signals to other ships, using visual signaling devices, such as blinker lights or semaphores.

Technologies & Software

  • Waymo (Autonomous Driving)
  • Tesla Autopilot
  • Log book software
  • Kongsberg Maritime K-Log Deck Logbook
  • Word processing software
  • Microsoft Excel
  • Microsoft Office software
  • Project44 AI Logistics
  • Mobileye AI
  • Microsoft Windows
  • Microsoft Outlook
  • KNMI TurboWin
  • Computerized maintenance management system CMMS
  • Gatik AI
  • Microsoft PowerPoint
  • Microsoft Word
  • Operating system software
  • Respirators
  • Liquid cargo transfer hoses
  • Electric windlasses
  • Safety belts
  • Hand windlasses
  • Emergency generators
  • Blinker lights
  • Chipping hammers
  • Natural fiber mooring ropes
  • Welders
  • Lifting slings
  • Lifeboat davits
  • Workshop vises
  • Electric mooring winches
  • Gear pumps
  • Radar navigation systems
  • Crescent wrenches
  • Lifeboats
  • Sewing needles
  • Gyrocompasses
  • Cargo derricks
  • Pilot ladders
  • Ship anchor chocks
  • Safety lanyards
  • Locking jaw pliers
  • Hand punches
  • Air chippers
  • Bridge telephones
  • Cargo hooks
  • Explosimeters
  • Desktop computers
  • Spanner wrenches
  • Pyrotechnic distress signals
  • Life buoys
  • Hydraulic capstans
  • Wire splicers
  • Tank level gauges
  • Magnetic compasses
  • Steam winches
  • Anti-exposure coveralls
  • Semaphores
  • Radio direction finders RDF
  • Safety glasses
  • Galvanized thimbles
  • Life jackets
  • Voice pipes
  • Sounding tapes
  • Wire cutters
  • Sharpening steels
  • Grabbing cranes
  • Emergency position-indicating radio beacons
  • Cargo booms
  • Pipe wrenches
  • Mechanical telegraphs
  • Chain cargo falls
  • Container lift trucks
  • Reciprocating pumps
  • Hydraulic windlasses
  • Life rings
  • Personal computers
  • Carbon dioxide CO2 firefighting systems
  • Claw hammers
  • Ship alarm systems
  • Signal flags
  • Electric deck cranes
  • Safety helmets
  • Centrifugal ventilators
  • Metal chisels
  • Oil dispensing cans
  • Foam firefighting systems
  • Lifting spreaders
  • Hydraulic deck cranes
  • Riding pawls
  • Fire hoses
  • Portable gas detectors
  • Synthetic mooring ropes
  • Centrifugal cargo pumps
  • Portable fire extinguishers
  • Two way radios
  • Ratchet sets
  • Grease dispensing guns
  • Mooring chains
  • Engine room alarm systems
  • Bolt cutters
  • Thermal protective aids TPA
  • Hand capstans
  • Sheave blocks
  • Sounding rods
  • Magnet hoists
  • Bilge pumping systems
  • Electric telegraphs
  • Fids
  • Manual winches
  • Mooring cables
  • Hydraulic mooring winches
  • Forklifts
  • Filter masks