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Automation Risk Analysis

Will “Boat Person” be Automated?

Historical Context: Oxford Study (2013)

Ranked #461 of 702. Estimated risk: 83.0%

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AI Exposure Risk

40%

“Boat Person” will probably not be replaced by AI.

Based on the cognitive demands, communication requirements, and logical reasoning intrinsic to this occupation according to O*NET data, we project a 40% probability of disruption by generative AI and Large Language Models.

Automation & Robot Risk

60%

“Boat Person” will maybe be replaced by robots.

Evaluating the physical dexterity, repetitive motion tasks, and manual labor associated with this role, our analysis indicates a 60% likelihood of substitution by advanced robotics systems.

Personal & Financial Insights

Every occupation has a unique profile. For Sailors and Marine Oilers, the Bureau of Labor Statistics and O*NET classify the day-to-day work broadly as: Stand watch to look for obstructions in path of vessel, measure water depth, turn wheel on bridge, or use emergency equipment as directed by captain, mate, or pilot. Break out, rig, overhaul, and store cargo-handling gear, stationary rigging, and running gear. Perform a variety of maintenance tasks to preserve the painted surface of the ship and to maintain line and ship equipment. Must hold government-issued certification and tankerman certification when working aboard liquid-carrying vessels. Includes able seamen and ordinary seamen.

Avg. Annual Salary $55,320
Avg. Hourly Wage $26.59
Available Jobs (US) 31,360
Job Title & Hierarchy Code (SOC) Sailors and Marine Oilers #53-5011
Wage vs. National Median
ℹ️

Data is based on the reference occupation: “Sailors and Marine Oilers”

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Core Skills & Abilities

  • Chip and clean rust spots on decks, superstructures, or sides of ships, using wire brushes and hand or air chipping machines.

  • Record data in ships' logs, such as weather conditions or distances traveled.

  • Lubricate machinery, equipment, or engine parts, such as gears, shafts, or bearings.

  • Relay specified signals to other ships, using visual signaling devices, such as blinker lights or semaphores.

  • Give directions to crew members engaged in cleaning wheelhouses or quarterdecks.

  • Attach hoses and operate pumps to transfer substances to and from liquid cargo tanks.

  • Overhaul lifeboats or lifeboat gear and lower or raise lifeboats with winches or falls.

  • Examine machinery to verify specified pressures or lubricant flows.

  • Maintain government-issued certifications, as required.

  • Provide engineers with assistance in repairing or adjusting machinery.

  • Maintain a ship's engines under the direction of the ship's engineering officers.

  • Paint or varnish decks, superstructures, lifeboats, or sides of ships.

  • Splice and repair ropes, wire cables, or cordage, using marlinespikes, wire cutters, twine, and hand tools.

  • Lower and man lifeboats when emergencies occur.

  • Steer ships under the direction of commanders or navigating officers or direct helmsmen to steer, following designated courses.

  • Stand by wheels when ships are on automatic pilot, and verify accuracy of courses, using magnetic compasses.

  • Handle lines to moor vessels to wharfs, to tie up vessels to other vessels, or to rig towing lines.

  • Participate in shore patrols.

  • Break out, rig, and stow cargo-handling gear, stationary rigging, or running gear.

  • Tie barges together into tow units for tugboats to handle, inspecting barges periodically during voyages and disconnecting them when destinations are reached.

  • Clean and polish wood trim, brass, or other metal parts.

  • Measure depth of water in shallow or unfamiliar waters, using leadlines, and telephone or shout depth information to vessel bridges.

  • Load or unload materials, vehicles, or passengers from vessels.

  • Stand gangway watches to prevent unauthorized persons from boarding ships while in port.

  • Operate, maintain, or repair ship equipment, such as winches, cranes, derricks, or weapons system.

  • Read pressure and temperature gauges or displays and record data in engineering logs.

  • Stand watch in ships' bows or bridge wings to look for obstructions in a ship's path or to locate navigational aids, such as buoys or lighthouses.

  • Sweep, mop, and wash down decks to remove oil, dirt, and debris, using brooms, mops, brushes, and hoses.

Technologies & Software

  • Log book software
  • Microsoft PowerPoint
  • Waymo (Autonomous Driving)
  • Microsoft Office software
  • Microsoft Excel
  • Microsoft Word
  • Microsoft Windows
  • Computerized maintenance management system CMMS
  • Project44 AI Logistics
  • KNMI TurboWin
  • Microsoft Outlook
  • Gatik AI
  • Mobileye AI
  • Operating system software
  • Word processing software
  • Kongsberg Maritime K-Log Deck Logbook
  • Tesla Autopilot
  • Bilge pumping systems
  • Respirators
  • Hand punches
  • Magnetic compasses
  • Workshop vises
  • Electric telegraphs
  • Hydraulic capstans
  • Galvanized thimbles
  • Hand capstans
  • Cargo derricks
  • Mooring cables
  • Grease dispensing guns
  • Emergency position-indicating radio beacons
  • Bolt cutters
  • Signal flags
  • Riding pawls
  • Reciprocating pumps
  • Desktop computers
  • Engine room alarm systems
  • Fire hoses
  • Chipping hammers
  • Welders
  • Oil dispensing cans
  • Hydraulic deck cranes
  • Mooring chains
  • Fids
  • Sounding rods
  • Container lift trucks
  • Lifeboats
  • Foam firefighting systems
  • Blinker lights
  • Semaphores
  • Safety glasses
  • Two way radios
  • Life jackets
  • Sewing needles
  • Steam winches
  • Grabbing cranes
  • Synthetic mooring ropes
  • Life rings
  • Pipe wrenches
  • Sheave blocks
  • Ship anchor chocks
  • Ratchet sets
  • Cargo hooks
  • Natural fiber mooring ropes
  • Thermal protective aids TPA
  • Tank level gauges
  • Centrifugal cargo pumps
  • Safety helmets
  • Metal chisels
  • Gyrocompasses
  • Hydraulic mooring winches
  • Emergency generators
  • Portable gas detectors
  • Filter masks
  • Manual winches
  • Liquid cargo transfer hoses
  • Radio direction finders RDF
  • Portable fire extinguishers
  • Gear pumps
  • Locking jaw pliers
  • Spanner wrenches
  • Ship alarm systems
  • Bridge telephones
  • Pilot ladders
  • Mechanical telegraphs
  • Forklifts
  • Carbon dioxide CO2 firefighting systems
  • Magnet hoists
  • Pyrotechnic distress signals
  • Voice pipes
  • Centrifugal ventilators
  • Crescent wrenches
  • Hydraulic windlasses
  • Lifting slings
  • Chain cargo falls
  • Cargo booms
  • Lifeboat davits
  • Life buoys
  • Lifting spreaders
  • Wire cutters
  • Hand windlasses
  • Electric windlasses
  • Safety lanyards
  • Safety belts
  • Electric mooring winches
  • Claw hammers
  • Wire splicers
  • Electric deck cranes
  • Air chippers
  • Personal computers
  • Sharpening steels
  • Explosimeters
  • Anti-exposure coveralls
  • Radar navigation systems
  • Sounding tapes