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Automation Risk Analysis

Will “Boat Person” be Automated?

Historical Context: Oxford Study (2013)

Ranked #461 of 702. Estimated risk: 83.0%

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AI Exposure Risk

40%

“Boat Person” will probably not be replaced by AI.

Based on the cognitive demands, communication requirements, and logical reasoning intrinsic to this occupation according to O*NET data, we project a 40% probability of disruption by generative AI and Large Language Models.

Automation & Robot Risk

60%

“Boat Person” will maybe be replaced by robots.

Evaluating the physical dexterity, repetitive motion tasks, and manual labor associated with this role, our analysis indicates a 60% likelihood of substitution by advanced robotics systems.

Personal & Financial Insights

Every occupation has a unique profile. For Sailors and Marine Oilers, the Bureau of Labor Statistics and O*NET classify the day-to-day work broadly as: Stand watch to look for obstructions in path of vessel, measure water depth, turn wheel on bridge, or use emergency equipment as directed by captain, mate, or pilot. Break out, rig, overhaul, and store cargo-handling gear, stationary rigging, and running gear. Perform a variety of maintenance tasks to preserve the painted surface of the ship and to maintain line and ship equipment. Must hold government-issued certification and tankerman certification when working aboard liquid-carrying vessels. Includes able seamen and ordinary seamen.

Avg. Annual Salary $55,320
Avg. Hourly Wage $26.59
Available Jobs (US) 31,360
Job Title & Hierarchy Code (SOC) Sailors and Marine Oilers #53-5011
Wage vs. National Median
ℹ️

Data is based on the reference occupation: “Sailors and Marine Oilers”

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Core Skills & Abilities

  • Paint or varnish decks, superstructures, lifeboats, or sides of ships.

  • Operate, maintain, or repair ship equipment, such as winches, cranes, derricks, or weapons system.

  • Handle lines to moor vessels to wharfs, to tie up vessels to other vessels, or to rig towing lines.

  • Load or unload materials, vehicles, or passengers from vessels.

  • Stand gangway watches to prevent unauthorized persons from boarding ships while in port.

  • Stand watch in ships' bows or bridge wings to look for obstructions in a ship's path or to locate navigational aids, such as buoys or lighthouses.

  • Give directions to crew members engaged in cleaning wheelhouses or quarterdecks.

  • Measure depth of water in shallow or unfamiliar waters, using leadlines, and telephone or shout depth information to vessel bridges.

  • Lower and man lifeboats when emergencies occur.

  • Break out, rig, and stow cargo-handling gear, stationary rigging, or running gear.

  • Provide engineers with assistance in repairing or adjusting machinery.

  • Participate in shore patrols.

  • Maintain a ship's engines under the direction of the ship's engineering officers.

  • Chip and clean rust spots on decks, superstructures, or sides of ships, using wire brushes and hand or air chipping machines.

  • Examine machinery to verify specified pressures or lubricant flows.

  • Splice and repair ropes, wire cables, or cordage, using marlinespikes, wire cutters, twine, and hand tools.

  • Tie barges together into tow units for tugboats to handle, inspecting barges periodically during voyages and disconnecting them when destinations are reached.

  • Relay specified signals to other ships, using visual signaling devices, such as blinker lights or semaphores.

  • Maintain government-issued certifications, as required.

  • Read pressure and temperature gauges or displays and record data in engineering logs.

  • Clean and polish wood trim, brass, or other metal parts.

  • Sweep, mop, and wash down decks to remove oil, dirt, and debris, using brooms, mops, brushes, and hoses.

  • Lubricate machinery, equipment, or engine parts, such as gears, shafts, or bearings.

  • Record data in ships' logs, such as weather conditions or distances traveled.

  • Stand by wheels when ships are on automatic pilot, and verify accuracy of courses, using magnetic compasses.

  • Overhaul lifeboats or lifeboat gear and lower or raise lifeboats with winches or falls.

  • Attach hoses and operate pumps to transfer substances to and from liquid cargo tanks.

  • Steer ships under the direction of commanders or navigating officers or direct helmsmen to steer, following designated courses.

Technologies & Software

  • Microsoft PowerPoint
  • Kongsberg Maritime K-Log Deck Logbook
  • Gatik AI
  • Microsoft Office software
  • Operating system software
  • Tesla Autopilot
  • Microsoft Word
  • Computerized maintenance management system CMMS
  • Log book software
  • Waymo (Autonomous Driving)
  • Project44 AI Logistics
  • Microsoft Windows
  • Mobileye AI
  • Microsoft Excel
  • Microsoft Outlook
  • KNMI TurboWin
  • Word processing software
  • Lifting spreaders
  • Signal flags
  • Steam winches
  • Manual winches
  • Fire hoses
  • Hand punches
  • Riding pawls
  • Air chippers
  • Metal chisels
  • Sharpening steels
  • Centrifugal cargo pumps
  • Oil dispensing cans
  • Locking jaw pliers
  • Hand windlasses
  • Thermal protective aids TPA
  • Life jackets
  • Ship anchor chocks
  • Magnetic compasses
  • Hydraulic deck cranes
  • Foam firefighting systems
  • Container lift trucks
  • Claw hammers
  • Emergency generators
  • Hand capstans
  • Tank level gauges
  • Pipe wrenches
  • Electric deck cranes
  • Ship alarm systems
  • Workshop vises
  • Personal computers
  • Carbon dioxide CO2 firefighting systems
  • Semaphores
  • Safety lanyards
  • Explosimeters
  • Voice pipes
  • Electric mooring winches
  • Desktop computers
  • Galvanized thimbles
  • Bridge telephones
  • Hydraulic capstans
  • Grease dispensing guns
  • Mechanical telegraphs
  • Centrifugal ventilators
  • Magnet hoists
  • Wire splicers
  • Respirators
  • Reciprocating pumps
  • Chipping hammers
  • Anti-exposure coveralls
  • Filter masks
  • Safety belts
  • Natural fiber mooring ropes
  • Life rings
  • Electric windlasses
  • Pyrotechnic distress signals
  • Crescent wrenches
  • Cargo hooks
  • Safety glasses
  • Liquid cargo transfer hoses
  • Wire cutters
  • Synthetic mooring ropes
  • Welders
  • Gyrocompasses
  • Pilot ladders
  • Mooring chains
  • Radio direction finders RDF
  • Ratchet sets
  • Life buoys
  • Lifeboats
  • Emergency position-indicating radio beacons
  • Bilge pumping systems
  • Engine room alarm systems
  • Cargo derricks
  • Lifeboat davits
  • Spanner wrenches
  • Sewing needles
  • Portable fire extinguishers
  • Sheave blocks
  • Fids
  • Radar navigation systems
  • Sounding tapes
  • Hydraulic windlasses
  • Cargo booms
  • Gear pumps
  • Blinker lights
  • Two way radios
  • Forklifts
  • Hydraulic mooring winches
  • Chain cargo falls
  • Safety helmets
  • Bolt cutters
  • Lifting slings
  • Sounding rods
  • Portable gas detectors
  • Grabbing cranes
  • Electric telegraphs
  • Mooring cables