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Automation Risk Analysis

Will “Boat Person” be Automated?

Historical Context: Oxford Study (2013)

Ranked #461 of 702. Estimated risk: 83.0%

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AI Exposure Risk

40%

“Boat Person” will probably not be replaced by AI.

Based on the cognitive demands, communication requirements, and logical reasoning intrinsic to this occupation according to O*NET data, we project a 40% probability of disruption by generative AI and Large Language Models.

Automation & Robot Risk

60%

“Boat Person” will maybe be replaced by robots.

Evaluating the physical dexterity, repetitive motion tasks, and manual labor associated with this role, our analysis indicates a 60% likelihood of substitution by advanced robotics systems.

Personal & Financial Insights

Every occupation has a unique profile. For Sailors and Marine Oilers, the Bureau of Labor Statistics and O*NET classify the day-to-day work broadly as: Stand watch to look for obstructions in path of vessel, measure water depth, turn wheel on bridge, or use emergency equipment as directed by captain, mate, or pilot. Break out, rig, overhaul, and store cargo-handling gear, stationary rigging, and running gear. Perform a variety of maintenance tasks to preserve the painted surface of the ship and to maintain line and ship equipment. Must hold government-issued certification and tankerman certification when working aboard liquid-carrying vessels. Includes able seamen and ordinary seamen.

Avg. Annual Salary $55,320
Avg. Hourly Wage $26.59
Available Jobs (US) 31,360
Job Title & Hierarchy Code (SOC) Sailors and Marine Oilers #53-5011
Wage vs. National Median
ℹ️

Data is based on the reference occupation: “Sailors and Marine Oilers”

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Core Skills & Abilities

  • Break out, rig, and stow cargo-handling gear, stationary rigging, or running gear.

  • Measure depth of water in shallow or unfamiliar waters, using leadlines, and telephone or shout depth information to vessel bridges.

  • Chip and clean rust spots on decks, superstructures, or sides of ships, using wire brushes and hand or air chipping machines.

  • Load or unload materials, vehicles, or passengers from vessels.

  • Lubricate machinery, equipment, or engine parts, such as gears, shafts, or bearings.

  • Examine machinery to verify specified pressures or lubricant flows.

  • Handle lines to moor vessels to wharfs, to tie up vessels to other vessels, or to rig towing lines.

  • Operate, maintain, or repair ship equipment, such as winches, cranes, derricks, or weapons system.

  • Provide engineers with assistance in repairing or adjusting machinery.

  • Paint or varnish decks, superstructures, lifeboats, or sides of ships.

  • Steer ships under the direction of commanders or navigating officers or direct helmsmen to steer, following designated courses.

  • Maintain government-issued certifications, as required.

  • Attach hoses and operate pumps to transfer substances to and from liquid cargo tanks.

  • Participate in shore patrols.

  • Read pressure and temperature gauges or displays and record data in engineering logs.

  • Stand by wheels when ships are on automatic pilot, and verify accuracy of courses, using magnetic compasses.

  • Sweep, mop, and wash down decks to remove oil, dirt, and debris, using brooms, mops, brushes, and hoses.

  • Maintain a ship's engines under the direction of the ship's engineering officers.

  • Record data in ships' logs, such as weather conditions or distances traveled.

  • Clean and polish wood trim, brass, or other metal parts.

  • Give directions to crew members engaged in cleaning wheelhouses or quarterdecks.

  • Relay specified signals to other ships, using visual signaling devices, such as blinker lights or semaphores.

  • Tie barges together into tow units for tugboats to handle, inspecting barges periodically during voyages and disconnecting them when destinations are reached.

  • Overhaul lifeboats or lifeboat gear and lower or raise lifeboats with winches or falls.

  • Stand watch in ships' bows or bridge wings to look for obstructions in a ship's path or to locate navigational aids, such as buoys or lighthouses.

  • Lower and man lifeboats when emergencies occur.

  • Splice and repair ropes, wire cables, or cordage, using marlinespikes, wire cutters, twine, and hand tools.

  • Stand gangway watches to prevent unauthorized persons from boarding ships while in port.

Technologies & Software

  • Mobileye AI
  • Microsoft PowerPoint
  • Operating system software
  • Computerized maintenance management system CMMS
  • Log book software
  • KNMI TurboWin
  • Microsoft Outlook
  • Word processing software
  • Kongsberg Maritime K-Log Deck Logbook
  • Microsoft Excel
  • Microsoft Word
  • Microsoft Office software
  • Tesla Autopilot
  • Project44 AI Logistics
  • Gatik AI
  • Microsoft Windows
  • Waymo (Autonomous Driving)
  • Hydraulic capstans
  • Safety glasses
  • Metal chisels
  • Claw hammers
  • Hand windlasses
  • Gyrocompasses
  • Air chippers
  • Cargo derricks
  • Electric windlasses
  • Electric deck cranes
  • Workshop vises
  • Sewing needles
  • Oil dispensing cans
  • Chain cargo falls
  • Ship alarm systems
  • Bilge pumping systems
  • Electric mooring winches
  • Forklifts
  • Pipe wrenches
  • Mechanical telegraphs
  • Thermal protective aids TPA
  • Blinker lights
  • Cargo booms
  • Fire hoses
  • Desktop computers
  • Bridge telephones
  • Mooring cables
  • Centrifugal cargo pumps
  • Liquid cargo transfer hoses
  • Hand punches
  • Sheave blocks
  • Hand capstans
  • Lifting spreaders
  • Steam winches
  • Lifting slings
  • Galvanized thimbles
  • Natural fiber mooring ropes
  • Sharpening steels
  • Container lift trucks
  • Sounding rods
  • Hydraulic deck cranes
  • Foam firefighting systems
  • Two way radios
  • Emergency position-indicating radio beacons
  • Synthetic mooring ropes
  • Cargo hooks
  • Anti-exposure coveralls
  • Grease dispensing guns
  • Personal computers
  • Explosimeters
  • Fids
  • Wire splicers
  • Tank level gauges
  • Lifeboats
  • Reciprocating pumps
  • Carbon dioxide CO2 firefighting systems
  • Portable fire extinguishers
  • Hydraulic windlasses
  • Emergency generators
  • Life buoys
  • Lifeboat davits
  • Semaphores
  • Riding pawls
  • Sounding tapes
  • Centrifugal ventilators
  • Pyrotechnic distress signals
  • Magnet hoists
  • Welders
  • Engine room alarm systems
  • Ship anchor chocks
  • Bolt cutters
  • Portable gas detectors
  • Locking jaw pliers
  • Radar navigation systems
  • Filter masks
  • Mooring chains
  • Crescent wrenches
  • Safety belts
  • Safety helmets
  • Gear pumps
  • Life jackets
  • Manual winches
  • Wire cutters
  • Hydraulic mooring winches
  • Pilot ladders
  • Life rings
  • Chipping hammers
  • Radio direction finders RDF
  • Safety lanyards
  • Ratchet sets
  • Signal flags
  • Magnetic compasses
  • Electric telegraphs
  • Voice pipes
  • Grabbing cranes
  • Spanner wrenches
  • Respirators