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Automation Risk Analysis

Will “Boat Person” be Automated?

Historical Context: Oxford Study (2013)

Ranked #461 of 702. Estimated risk: 83.0%

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AI Exposure Risk

40%

“Boat Person” will probably not be replaced by AI.

Based on the cognitive demands, communication requirements, and logical reasoning intrinsic to this occupation according to O*NET data, we project a 40% probability of disruption by generative AI and Large Language Models.

Automation & Robot Risk

60%

“Boat Person” will maybe be replaced by robots.

Evaluating the physical dexterity, repetitive motion tasks, and manual labor associated with this role, our analysis indicates a 60% likelihood of substitution by advanced robotics systems.

Personal & Financial Insights

Every occupation has a unique profile. For Sailors and Marine Oilers, the Bureau of Labor Statistics and O*NET classify the day-to-day work broadly as: Stand watch to look for obstructions in path of vessel, measure water depth, turn wheel on bridge, or use emergency equipment as directed by captain, mate, or pilot. Break out, rig, overhaul, and store cargo-handling gear, stationary rigging, and running gear. Perform a variety of maintenance tasks to preserve the painted surface of the ship and to maintain line and ship equipment. Must hold government-issued certification and tankerman certification when working aboard liquid-carrying vessels. Includes able seamen and ordinary seamen.

Avg. Annual Salary $55,320
Avg. Hourly Wage $26.59
Available Jobs (US) 31,360
Job Title & Hierarchy Code (SOC) Sailors and Marine Oilers #53-5011
Wage vs. National Median
ℹ️

Data is based on the reference occupation: “Sailors and Marine Oilers”

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Core Skills & Abilities

  • Relay specified signals to other ships, using visual signaling devices, such as blinker lights or semaphores.

  • Chip and clean rust spots on decks, superstructures, or sides of ships, using wire brushes and hand or air chipping machines.

  • Tie barges together into tow units for tugboats to handle, inspecting barges periodically during voyages and disconnecting them when destinations are reached.

  • Read pressure and temperature gauges or displays and record data in engineering logs.

  • Lower and man lifeboats when emergencies occur.

  • Operate, maintain, or repair ship equipment, such as winches, cranes, derricks, or weapons system.

  • Overhaul lifeboats or lifeboat gear and lower or raise lifeboats with winches or falls.

  • Clean and polish wood trim, brass, or other metal parts.

  • Examine machinery to verify specified pressures or lubricant flows.

  • Stand by wheels when ships are on automatic pilot, and verify accuracy of courses, using magnetic compasses.

  • Give directions to crew members engaged in cleaning wheelhouses or quarterdecks.

  • Maintain a ship's engines under the direction of the ship's engineering officers.

  • Attach hoses and operate pumps to transfer substances to and from liquid cargo tanks.

  • Lubricate machinery, equipment, or engine parts, such as gears, shafts, or bearings.

  • Paint or varnish decks, superstructures, lifeboats, or sides of ships.

  • Record data in ships' logs, such as weather conditions or distances traveled.

  • Stand gangway watches to prevent unauthorized persons from boarding ships while in port.

  • Sweep, mop, and wash down decks to remove oil, dirt, and debris, using brooms, mops, brushes, and hoses.

  • Stand watch in ships' bows or bridge wings to look for obstructions in a ship's path or to locate navigational aids, such as buoys or lighthouses.

  • Participate in shore patrols.

  • Provide engineers with assistance in repairing or adjusting machinery.

  • Break out, rig, and stow cargo-handling gear, stationary rigging, or running gear.

  • Steer ships under the direction of commanders or navigating officers or direct helmsmen to steer, following designated courses.

  • Load or unload materials, vehicles, or passengers from vessels.

  • Maintain government-issued certifications, as required.

  • Measure depth of water in shallow or unfamiliar waters, using leadlines, and telephone or shout depth information to vessel bridges.

  • Handle lines to moor vessels to wharfs, to tie up vessels to other vessels, or to rig towing lines.

  • Splice and repair ropes, wire cables, or cordage, using marlinespikes, wire cutters, twine, and hand tools.

Technologies & Software

  • Tesla Autopilot
  • Mobileye AI
  • Microsoft Windows
  • Operating system software
  • Microsoft PowerPoint
  • Gatik AI
  • Log book software
  • Microsoft Word
  • Microsoft Office software
  • Microsoft Excel
  • Project44 AI Logistics
  • KNMI TurboWin
  • Waymo (Autonomous Driving)
  • Kongsberg Maritime K-Log Deck Logbook
  • Word processing software
  • Computerized maintenance management system CMMS
  • Microsoft Outlook
  • Steam winches
  • Cargo hooks
  • Magnetic compasses
  • Emergency position-indicating radio beacons
  • Electric windlasses
  • Wire cutters
  • Voice pipes
  • Manual winches
  • Lifeboats
  • Life buoys
  • Sharpening steels
  • Anti-exposure coveralls
  • Bridge telephones
  • Fids
  • Signal flags
  • Foam firefighting systems
  • Chain cargo falls
  • Reciprocating pumps
  • Emergency generators
  • Lifeboat davits
  • Spanner wrenches
  • Sounding tapes
  • Respirators
  • Electric deck cranes
  • Ship anchor chocks
  • Forklifts
  • Radio direction finders RDF
  • Desktop computers
  • Workshop vises
  • Bolt cutters
  • Tank level gauges
  • Sewing needles
  • Mooring chains
  • Riding pawls
  • Synthetic mooring ropes
  • Two way radios
  • Hydraulic deck cranes
  • Cargo derricks
  • Electric mooring winches
  • Grabbing cranes
  • Grease dispensing guns
  • Wire splicers
  • Liquid cargo transfer hoses
  • Radar navigation systems
  • Hydraulic windlasses
  • Safety lanyards
  • Blinker lights
  • Metal chisels
  • Thermal protective aids TPA
  • Semaphores
  • Container lift trucks
  • Welders
  • Lifting spreaders
  • Chipping hammers
  • Locking jaw pliers
  • Portable fire extinguishers
  • Life jackets
  • Claw hammers
  • Centrifugal ventilators
  • Hand windlasses
  • Oil dispensing cans
  • Hand punches
  • Cargo booms
  • Pipe wrenches
  • Bilge pumping systems
  • Pilot ladders
  • Gyrocompasses
  • Gear pumps
  • Natural fiber mooring ropes
  • Filter masks
  • Crescent wrenches
  • Safety belts
  • Portable gas detectors
  • Magnet hoists
  • Lifting slings
  • Sounding rods
  • Hand capstans
  • Sheave blocks
  • Explosimeters
  • Fire hoses
  • Hydraulic mooring winches
  • Mechanical telegraphs
  • Centrifugal cargo pumps
  • Life rings
  • Safety glasses
  • Carbon dioxide CO2 firefighting systems
  • Electric telegraphs
  • Pyrotechnic distress signals
  • Mooring cables
  • Personal computers
  • Safety helmets
  • Engine room alarm systems
  • Ship alarm systems
  • Air chippers
  • Galvanized thimbles
  • Hydraulic capstans
  • Ratchet sets