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Automation Risk Analysis

Will “Boat Person” be Automated?

Historical Context: Oxford Study (2013)

Ranked #461 of 702. Estimated risk: 83.0%

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AI Exposure Risk

40%

“Boat Person” will probably not be replaced by AI.

Based on the cognitive demands, communication requirements, and logical reasoning intrinsic to this occupation according to O*NET data, we project a 40% probability of disruption by generative AI and Large Language Models.

Automation & Robot Risk

60%

“Boat Person” will maybe be replaced by robots.

Evaluating the physical dexterity, repetitive motion tasks, and manual labor associated with this role, our analysis indicates a 60% likelihood of substitution by advanced robotics systems.

Personal & Financial Insights

Every occupation has a unique profile. For Sailors and Marine Oilers, the Bureau of Labor Statistics and O*NET classify the day-to-day work broadly as: Stand watch to look for obstructions in path of vessel, measure water depth, turn wheel on bridge, or use emergency equipment as directed by captain, mate, or pilot. Break out, rig, overhaul, and store cargo-handling gear, stationary rigging, and running gear. Perform a variety of maintenance tasks to preserve the painted surface of the ship and to maintain line and ship equipment. Must hold government-issued certification and tankerman certification when working aboard liquid-carrying vessels. Includes able seamen and ordinary seamen.

Avg. Annual Salary $55,320
Avg. Hourly Wage $26.59
Available Jobs (US) 31,360
Job Title & Hierarchy Code (SOC) Sailors and Marine Oilers #53-5011
Wage vs. National Median
ℹ️

Data is based on the reference occupation: “Sailors and Marine Oilers”

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Core Skills & Abilities

  • Lower and man lifeboats when emergencies occur.

  • Read pressure and temperature gauges or displays and record data in engineering logs.

  • Give directions to crew members engaged in cleaning wheelhouses or quarterdecks.

  • Stand by wheels when ships are on automatic pilot, and verify accuracy of courses, using magnetic compasses.

  • Maintain a ship's engines under the direction of the ship's engineering officers.

  • Break out, rig, and stow cargo-handling gear, stationary rigging, or running gear.

  • Record data in ships' logs, such as weather conditions or distances traveled.

  • Provide engineers with assistance in repairing or adjusting machinery.

  • Relay specified signals to other ships, using visual signaling devices, such as blinker lights or semaphores.

  • Operate, maintain, or repair ship equipment, such as winches, cranes, derricks, or weapons system.

  • Paint or varnish decks, superstructures, lifeboats, or sides of ships.

  • Participate in shore patrols.

  • Stand gangway watches to prevent unauthorized persons from boarding ships while in port.

  • Splice and repair ropes, wire cables, or cordage, using marlinespikes, wire cutters, twine, and hand tools.

  • Lubricate machinery, equipment, or engine parts, such as gears, shafts, or bearings.

  • Examine machinery to verify specified pressures or lubricant flows.

  • Overhaul lifeboats or lifeboat gear and lower or raise lifeboats with winches or falls.

  • Sweep, mop, and wash down decks to remove oil, dirt, and debris, using brooms, mops, brushes, and hoses.

  • Chip and clean rust spots on decks, superstructures, or sides of ships, using wire brushes and hand or air chipping machines.

  • Measure depth of water in shallow or unfamiliar waters, using leadlines, and telephone or shout depth information to vessel bridges.

  • Attach hoses and operate pumps to transfer substances to and from liquid cargo tanks.

  • Stand watch in ships' bows or bridge wings to look for obstructions in a ship's path or to locate navigational aids, such as buoys or lighthouses.

  • Maintain government-issued certifications, as required.

  • Handle lines to moor vessels to wharfs, to tie up vessels to other vessels, or to rig towing lines.

  • Load or unload materials, vehicles, or passengers from vessels.

  • Steer ships under the direction of commanders or navigating officers or direct helmsmen to steer, following designated courses.

  • Clean and polish wood trim, brass, or other metal parts.

  • Tie barges together into tow units for tugboats to handle, inspecting barges periodically during voyages and disconnecting them when destinations are reached.

Technologies & Software

  • Microsoft Office software
  • Mobileye AI
  • Waymo (Autonomous Driving)
  • Operating system software
  • Log book software
  • Microsoft Outlook
  • Microsoft Windows
  • KNMI TurboWin
  • Tesla Autopilot
  • Computerized maintenance management system CMMS
  • Microsoft PowerPoint
  • Gatik AI
  • Word processing software
  • Microsoft Word
  • Project44 AI Logistics
  • Microsoft Excel
  • Kongsberg Maritime K-Log Deck Logbook
  • Sheave blocks
  • Sounding rods
  • Filter masks
  • Respirators
  • Bolt cutters
  • Electric telegraphs
  • Reciprocating pumps
  • Natural fiber mooring ropes
  • Chain cargo falls
  • Liquid cargo transfer hoses
  • Safety helmets
  • Two way radios
  • Hydraulic deck cranes
  • Container lift trucks
  • Emergency generators
  • Voice pipes
  • Desktop computers
  • Oil dispensing cans
  • Lifting spreaders
  • Carbon dioxide CO2 firefighting systems
  • Fire hoses
  • Grabbing cranes
  • Welders
  • Bridge telephones
  • Forklifts
  • Chipping hammers
  • Radar navigation systems
  • Wire cutters
  • Spanner wrenches
  • Anti-exposure coveralls
  • Life jackets
  • Safety glasses
  • Magnetic compasses
  • Life buoys
  • Lifeboat davits
  • Portable fire extinguishers
  • Portable gas detectors
  • Personal computers
  • Riding pawls
  • Centrifugal cargo pumps
  • Sharpening steels
  • Mooring cables
  • Emergency position-indicating radio beacons
  • Mooring chains
  • Air chippers
  • Signal flags
  • Fids
  • Semaphores
  • Ratchet sets
  • Hand windlasses
  • Explosimeters
  • Cargo hooks
  • Hand punches
  • Gyrocompasses
  • Safety belts
  • Claw hammers
  • Electric deck cranes
  • Sounding tapes
  • Locking jaw pliers
  • Centrifugal ventilators
  • Engine room alarm systems
  • Workshop vises
  • Safety lanyards
  • Wire splicers
  • Mechanical telegraphs
  • Cargo booms
  • Synthetic mooring ropes
  • Magnet hoists
  • Steam winches
  • Electric mooring winches
  • Pilot ladders
  • Ship anchor chocks
  • Gear pumps
  • Tank level gauges
  • Hydraulic windlasses
  • Manual winches
  • Pipe wrenches
  • Grease dispensing guns
  • Foam firefighting systems
  • Hand capstans
  • Sewing needles
  • Lifeboats
  • Blinker lights
  • Metal chisels
  • Radio direction finders RDF
  • Hydraulic mooring winches
  • Hydraulic capstans
  • Bilge pumping systems
  • Electric windlasses
  • Life rings
  • Thermal protective aids TPA
  • Galvanized thimbles
  • Ship alarm systems
  • Crescent wrenches
  • Lifting slings
  • Pyrotechnic distress signals
  • Cargo derricks