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Automation Risk Analysis

Will “River Transportation Worker” be Automated?

Historical Context: Oxford Study (2013)

Ranked #461 of 702. Estimated risk: 83.0%

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AI Exposure Risk

40%

“River Transportation Worker” will probably not be replaced by AI.

Based on the cognitive demands, communication requirements, and logical reasoning intrinsic to this occupation according to O*NET data, we project a 40% probability of disruption by generative AI and Large Language Models.

Automation & Robot Risk

60%

“River Transportation Worker” will maybe be replaced by robots.

Evaluating the physical dexterity, repetitive motion tasks, and manual labor associated with this role, our analysis indicates a 60% likelihood of substitution by advanced robotics systems.

Personal & Financial Insights

Every occupation has a unique profile. For Sailors and Marine Oilers, the Bureau of Labor Statistics and O*NET classify the day-to-day work broadly as: Stand watch to look for obstructions in path of vessel, measure water depth, turn wheel on bridge, or use emergency equipment as directed by captain, mate, or pilot. Break out, rig, overhaul, and store cargo-handling gear, stationary rigging, and running gear. Perform a variety of maintenance tasks to preserve the painted surface of the ship and to maintain line and ship equipment. Must hold government-issued certification and tankerman certification when working aboard liquid-carrying vessels. Includes able seamen and ordinary seamen.

Avg. Annual Salary $55,320
Avg. Hourly Wage $26.59
Available Jobs (US) 31,360
Job Title & Hierarchy Code (SOC) Sailors and Marine Oilers #53-5011
Wage vs. National Median
ℹ️

Data is based on the reference occupation: “Sailors and Marine Oilers”

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Core Skills & Abilities

  • Measure depth of water in shallow or unfamiliar waters, using leadlines, and telephone or shout depth information to vessel bridges.

  • Handle lines to moor vessels to wharfs, to tie up vessels to other vessels, or to rig towing lines.

  • Operate, maintain, or repair ship equipment, such as winches, cranes, derricks, or weapons system.

  • Overhaul lifeboats or lifeboat gear and lower or raise lifeboats with winches or falls.

  • Tie barges together into tow units for tugboats to handle, inspecting barges periodically during voyages and disconnecting them when destinations are reached.

  • Stand by wheels when ships are on automatic pilot, and verify accuracy of courses, using magnetic compasses.

  • Stand watch in ships' bows or bridge wings to look for obstructions in a ship's path or to locate navigational aids, such as buoys or lighthouses.

  • Clean and polish wood trim, brass, or other metal parts.

  • Steer ships under the direction of commanders or navigating officers or direct helmsmen to steer, following designated courses.

  • Participate in shore patrols.

  • Load or unload materials, vehicles, or passengers from vessels.

  • Attach hoses and operate pumps to transfer substances to and from liquid cargo tanks.

  • Lubricate machinery, equipment, or engine parts, such as gears, shafts, or bearings.

  • Chip and clean rust spots on decks, superstructures, or sides of ships, using wire brushes and hand or air chipping machines.

  • Provide engineers with assistance in repairing or adjusting machinery.

  • Lower and man lifeboats when emergencies occur.

  • Maintain a ship's engines under the direction of the ship's engineering officers.

  • Break out, rig, and stow cargo-handling gear, stationary rigging, or running gear.

  • Relay specified signals to other ships, using visual signaling devices, such as blinker lights or semaphores.

  • Give directions to crew members engaged in cleaning wheelhouses or quarterdecks.

  • Examine machinery to verify specified pressures or lubricant flows.

  • Splice and repair ropes, wire cables, or cordage, using marlinespikes, wire cutters, twine, and hand tools.

  • Stand gangway watches to prevent unauthorized persons from boarding ships while in port.

  • Read pressure and temperature gauges or displays and record data in engineering logs.

  • Sweep, mop, and wash down decks to remove oil, dirt, and debris, using brooms, mops, brushes, and hoses.

  • Paint or varnish decks, superstructures, lifeboats, or sides of ships.

  • Maintain government-issued certifications, as required.

  • Record data in ships' logs, such as weather conditions or distances traveled.

Technologies & Software

  • Waymo (Autonomous Driving)
  • Microsoft Word
  • Microsoft Excel
  • Mobileye AI
  • Microsoft Office software
  • Microsoft PowerPoint
  • Computerized maintenance management system CMMS
  • Kongsberg Maritime K-Log Deck Logbook
  • Log book software
  • KNMI TurboWin
  • Project44 AI Logistics
  • Tesla Autopilot
  • Operating system software
  • Microsoft Windows
  • Microsoft Outlook
  • Gatik AI
  • Word processing software
  • Carbon dioxide CO2 firefighting systems
  • Grabbing cranes
  • Cargo derricks
  • Bilge pumping systems
  • Pyrotechnic distress signals
  • Hydraulic mooring winches
  • Spanner wrenches
  • Signal flags
  • Chipping hammers
  • Explosimeters
  • Hand punches
  • Tank level gauges
  • Locking jaw pliers
  • Steam winches
  • Hand capstans
  • Life buoys
  • Fids
  • Personal computers
  • Fire hoses
  • Mechanical telegraphs
  • Life rings
  • Claw hammers
  • Portable fire extinguishers
  • Radar navigation systems
  • Mooring chains
  • Wire cutters
  • Mooring cables
  • Gear pumps
  • Reciprocating pumps
  • Safety helmets
  • Anti-exposure coveralls
  • Desktop computers
  • Ship alarm systems
  • Filter masks
  • Emergency generators
  • Life jackets
  • Gyrocompasses
  • Liquid cargo transfer hoses
  • Sewing needles
  • Semaphores
  • Sheave blocks
  • Lifeboat davits
  • Ratchet sets
  • Workshop vises
  • Natural fiber mooring ropes
  • Magnetic compasses
  • Chain cargo falls
  • Sounding rods
  • Lifeboats
  • Portable gas detectors
  • Forklifts
  • Voice pipes
  • Wire splicers
  • Safety belts
  • Pipe wrenches
  • Oil dispensing cans
  • Cargo hooks
  • Electric telegraphs
  • Pilot ladders
  • Electric deck cranes
  • Crescent wrenches
  • Foam firefighting systems
  • Riding pawls
  • Galvanized thimbles
  • Electric mooring winches
  • Sounding tapes
  • Centrifugal cargo pumps
  • Two way radios
  • Magnet hoists
  • Centrifugal ventilators
  • Lifting slings
  • Hand windlasses
  • Grease dispensing guns
  • Engine room alarm systems
  • Safety lanyards
  • Welders
  • Ship anchor chocks
  • Emergency position-indicating radio beacons
  • Blinker lights
  • Metal chisels
  • Bolt cutters
  • Thermal protective aids TPA
  • Safety glasses
  • Hydraulic windlasses
  • Container lift trucks
  • Electric windlasses
  • Manual winches
  • Lifting spreaders
  • Radio direction finders RDF
  • Air chippers
  • Bridge telephones
  • Cargo booms
  • Hydraulic capstans
  • Hydraulic deck cranes
  • Synthetic mooring ropes
  • Respirators
  • Sharpening steels