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Automation Risk Analysis

Will “River Transportation Worker” be Automated?

Historical Context: Oxford Study (2013)

Ranked #461 of 702. Estimated risk: 83.0%

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AI Exposure Risk

40%

“River Transportation Worker” will probably not be replaced by AI.

Based on the cognitive demands, communication requirements, and logical reasoning intrinsic to this occupation according to O*NET data, we project a 40% probability of disruption by generative AI and Large Language Models.

Automation & Robot Risk

60%

“River Transportation Worker” will maybe be replaced by robots.

Evaluating the physical dexterity, repetitive motion tasks, and manual labor associated with this role, our analysis indicates a 60% likelihood of substitution by advanced robotics systems.

Personal & Financial Insights

Every occupation has a unique profile. For Sailors and Marine Oilers, the Bureau of Labor Statistics and O*NET classify the day-to-day work broadly as: Stand watch to look for obstructions in path of vessel, measure water depth, turn wheel on bridge, or use emergency equipment as directed by captain, mate, or pilot. Break out, rig, overhaul, and store cargo-handling gear, stationary rigging, and running gear. Perform a variety of maintenance tasks to preserve the painted surface of the ship and to maintain line and ship equipment. Must hold government-issued certification and tankerman certification when working aboard liquid-carrying vessels. Includes able seamen and ordinary seamen.

Avg. Annual Salary $55,320
Avg. Hourly Wage $26.59
Available Jobs (US) 31,360
Job Title & Hierarchy Code (SOC) Sailors and Marine Oilers #53-5011
Wage vs. National Median
ℹ️

Data is based on the reference occupation: “Sailors and Marine Oilers”

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Core Skills & Abilities

  • Handle lines to moor vessels to wharfs, to tie up vessels to other vessels, or to rig towing lines.

  • Stand by wheels when ships are on automatic pilot, and verify accuracy of courses, using magnetic compasses.

  • Break out, rig, and stow cargo-handling gear, stationary rigging, or running gear.

  • Stand gangway watches to prevent unauthorized persons from boarding ships while in port.

  • Lower and man lifeboats when emergencies occur.

  • Tie barges together into tow units for tugboats to handle, inspecting barges periodically during voyages and disconnecting them when destinations are reached.

  • Steer ships under the direction of commanders or navigating officers or direct helmsmen to steer, following designated courses.

  • Provide engineers with assistance in repairing or adjusting machinery.

  • Participate in shore patrols.

  • Splice and repair ropes, wire cables, or cordage, using marlinespikes, wire cutters, twine, and hand tools.

  • Chip and clean rust spots on decks, superstructures, or sides of ships, using wire brushes and hand or air chipping machines.

  • Relay specified signals to other ships, using visual signaling devices, such as blinker lights or semaphores.

  • Examine machinery to verify specified pressures or lubricant flows.

  • Load or unload materials, vehicles, or passengers from vessels.

  • Lubricate machinery, equipment, or engine parts, such as gears, shafts, or bearings.

  • Maintain government-issued certifications, as required.

  • Overhaul lifeboats or lifeboat gear and lower or raise lifeboats with winches or falls.

  • Measure depth of water in shallow or unfamiliar waters, using leadlines, and telephone or shout depth information to vessel bridges.

  • Maintain a ship's engines under the direction of the ship's engineering officers.

  • Clean and polish wood trim, brass, or other metal parts.

  • Operate, maintain, or repair ship equipment, such as winches, cranes, derricks, or weapons system.

  • Attach hoses and operate pumps to transfer substances to and from liquid cargo tanks.

  • Give directions to crew members engaged in cleaning wheelhouses or quarterdecks.

  • Read pressure and temperature gauges or displays and record data in engineering logs.

  • Sweep, mop, and wash down decks to remove oil, dirt, and debris, using brooms, mops, brushes, and hoses.

  • Stand watch in ships' bows or bridge wings to look for obstructions in a ship's path or to locate navigational aids, such as buoys or lighthouses.

  • Paint or varnish decks, superstructures, lifeboats, or sides of ships.

  • Record data in ships' logs, such as weather conditions or distances traveled.

Technologies & Software

  • Operating system software
  • Kongsberg Maritime K-Log Deck Logbook
  • Waymo (Autonomous Driving)
  • Computerized maintenance management system CMMS
  • Word processing software
  • Microsoft Outlook
  • Project44 AI Logistics
  • Microsoft Word
  • KNMI TurboWin
  • Log book software
  • Gatik AI
  • Microsoft Office software
  • Microsoft Excel
  • Microsoft Windows
  • Mobileye AI
  • Tesla Autopilot
  • Microsoft PowerPoint
  • Wire cutters
  • Grabbing cranes
  • Bridge telephones
  • Electric windlasses
  • Emergency position-indicating radio beacons
  • Lifeboat davits
  • Electric deck cranes
  • Blinker lights
  • Ratchet sets
  • Riding pawls
  • Hydraulic capstans
  • Desktop computers
  • Pipe wrenches
  • Life jackets
  • Chain cargo falls
  • Centrifugal cargo pumps
  • Forklifts
  • Crescent wrenches
  • Engine room alarm systems
  • Personal computers
  • Electric mooring winches
  • Lifeboats
  • Signal flags
  • Portable fire extinguishers
  • Metal chisels
  • Radar navigation systems
  • Safety belts
  • Lifting slings
  • Fire hoses
  • Emergency generators
  • Safety lanyards
  • Hydraulic windlasses
  • Centrifugal ventilators
  • Locking jaw pliers
  • Cargo hooks
  • Cargo derricks
  • Radio direction finders RDF
  • Container lift trucks
  • Thermal protective aids TPA
  • Hand punches
  • Hydraulic deck cranes
  • Mooring chains
  • Voice pipes
  • Tank level gauges
  • Anti-exposure coveralls
  • Safety helmets
  • Portable gas detectors
  • Two way radios
  • Air chippers
  • Mooring cables
  • Reciprocating pumps
  • Magnet hoists
  • Safety glasses
  • Sounding rods
  • Cargo booms
  • Foam firefighting systems
  • Claw hammers
  • Spanner wrenches
  • Sounding tapes
  • Sharpening steels
  • Natural fiber mooring ropes
  • Bilge pumping systems
  • Pyrotechnic distress signals
  • Filter masks
  • Liquid cargo transfer hoses
  • Synthetic mooring ropes
  • Life rings
  • Sewing needles
  • Ship alarm systems
  • Manual winches
  • Oil dispensing cans
  • Gyrocompasses
  • Welders
  • Explosimeters
  • Chipping hammers
  • Pilot ladders
  • Galvanized thimbles
  • Steam winches
  • Wire splicers
  • Mechanical telegraphs
  • Lifting spreaders
  • Hand capstans
  • Ship anchor chocks
  • Fids
  • Hand windlasses
  • Sheave blocks
  • Semaphores
  • Carbon dioxide CO2 firefighting systems
  • Life buoys
  • Gear pumps
  • Hydraulic mooring winches
  • Grease dispensing guns
  • Bolt cutters
  • Workshop vises
  • Magnetic compasses
  • Respirators
  • Electric telegraphs