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Automation Risk Analysis

Will “Merchant Seaman” be Automated?

Historical Context: Oxford Study (2013)

Ranked #461 of 702. Estimated risk: 83.0%

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AI Exposure Risk

40%

“Merchant Seaman” will probably not be replaced by AI.

Based on the cognitive demands, communication requirements, and logical reasoning intrinsic to this occupation according to O*NET data, we project a 40% probability of disruption by generative AI and Large Language Models.

Automation & Robot Risk

60%

“Merchant Seaman” will maybe be replaced by robots.

Evaluating the physical dexterity, repetitive motion tasks, and manual labor associated with this role, our analysis indicates a 60% likelihood of substitution by advanced robotics systems.

Personal & Financial Insights

Every occupation has a unique profile. For Sailors and Marine Oilers, the Bureau of Labor Statistics and O*NET classify the day-to-day work broadly as: Stand watch to look for obstructions in path of vessel, measure water depth, turn wheel on bridge, or use emergency equipment as directed by captain, mate, or pilot. Break out, rig, overhaul, and store cargo-handling gear, stationary rigging, and running gear. Perform a variety of maintenance tasks to preserve the painted surface of the ship and to maintain line and ship equipment. Must hold government-issued certification and tankerman certification when working aboard liquid-carrying vessels. Includes able seamen and ordinary seamen.

Avg. Annual Salary $55,320
Avg. Hourly Wage $26.59
Available Jobs (US) 31,360
Job Title & Hierarchy Code (SOC) Sailors and Marine Oilers #53-5011
Wage vs. National Median
ℹ️

Data is based on the reference occupation: “Sailors and Marine Oilers”

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Core Skills & Abilities

  • Stand gangway watches to prevent unauthorized persons from boarding ships while in port.

  • Provide engineers with assistance in repairing or adjusting machinery.

  • Paint or varnish decks, superstructures, lifeboats, or sides of ships.

  • Clean and polish wood trim, brass, or other metal parts.

  • Operate, maintain, or repair ship equipment, such as winches, cranes, derricks, or weapons system.

  • Splice and repair ropes, wire cables, or cordage, using marlinespikes, wire cutters, twine, and hand tools.

  • Lower and man lifeboats when emergencies occur.

  • Sweep, mop, and wash down decks to remove oil, dirt, and debris, using brooms, mops, brushes, and hoses.

  • Stand watch in ships' bows or bridge wings to look for obstructions in a ship's path or to locate navigational aids, such as buoys or lighthouses.

  • Break out, rig, and stow cargo-handling gear, stationary rigging, or running gear.

  • Maintain a ship's engines under the direction of the ship's engineering officers.

  • Attach hoses and operate pumps to transfer substances to and from liquid cargo tanks.

  • Read pressure and temperature gauges or displays and record data in engineering logs.

  • Measure depth of water in shallow or unfamiliar waters, using leadlines, and telephone or shout depth information to vessel bridges.

  • Give directions to crew members engaged in cleaning wheelhouses or quarterdecks.

  • Load or unload materials, vehicles, or passengers from vessels.

  • Tie barges together into tow units for tugboats to handle, inspecting barges periodically during voyages and disconnecting them when destinations are reached.

  • Participate in shore patrols.

  • Overhaul lifeboats or lifeboat gear and lower or raise lifeboats with winches or falls.

  • Chip and clean rust spots on decks, superstructures, or sides of ships, using wire brushes and hand or air chipping machines.

  • Handle lines to moor vessels to wharfs, to tie up vessels to other vessels, or to rig towing lines.

  • Relay specified signals to other ships, using visual signaling devices, such as blinker lights or semaphores.

  • Lubricate machinery, equipment, or engine parts, such as gears, shafts, or bearings.

  • Record data in ships' logs, such as weather conditions or distances traveled.

  • Stand by wheels when ships are on automatic pilot, and verify accuracy of courses, using magnetic compasses.

  • Maintain government-issued certifications, as required.

  • Steer ships under the direction of commanders or navigating officers or direct helmsmen to steer, following designated courses.

  • Examine machinery to verify specified pressures or lubricant flows.

Technologies & Software

  • Microsoft Outlook
  • Microsoft Excel
  • Kongsberg Maritime K-Log Deck Logbook
  • Log book software
  • Microsoft Office software
  • Gatik AI
  • Microsoft Windows
  • Project44 AI Logistics
  • Waymo (Autonomous Driving)
  • Microsoft PowerPoint
  • Microsoft Word
  • Word processing software
  • Tesla Autopilot
  • Computerized maintenance management system CMMS
  • KNMI TurboWin
  • Mobileye AI
  • Operating system software
  • Locking jaw pliers
  • Air chippers
  • Respirators
  • Cargo derricks
  • Liquid cargo transfer hoses
  • Sounding rods
  • Ratchet sets
  • Mechanical telegraphs
  • Explosimeters
  • Foam firefighting systems
  • Portable fire extinguishers
  • Blinker lights
  • Hydraulic windlasses
  • Life buoys
  • Life jackets
  • Welders
  • Sounding tapes
  • Magnet hoists
  • Oil dispensing cans
  • Sharpening steels
  • Crescent wrenches
  • Portable gas detectors
  • Reciprocating pumps
  • Electric windlasses
  • Safety belts
  • Tank level gauges
  • Sheave blocks
  • Life rings
  • Grabbing cranes
  • Pipe wrenches
  • Claw hammers
  • Fids
  • Engine room alarm systems
  • Magnetic compasses
  • Cargo hooks
  • Bolt cutters
  • Workshop vises
  • Manual winches
  • Electric telegraphs
  • Hand punches
  • Carbon dioxide CO2 firefighting systems
  • Natural fiber mooring ropes
  • Safety lanyards
  • Semaphores
  • Steam winches
  • Sewing needles
  • Mooring chains
  • Electric deck cranes
  • Container lift trucks
  • Synthetic mooring ropes
  • Grease dispensing guns
  • Fire hoses
  • Centrifugal cargo pumps
  • Mooring cables
  • Lifting slings
  • Hand windlasses
  • Chipping hammers
  • Emergency generators
  • Bridge telephones
  • Gear pumps
  • Thermal protective aids TPA
  • Pyrotechnic distress signals
  • Riding pawls
  • Chain cargo falls
  • Pilot ladders
  • Galvanized thimbles
  • Safety helmets
  • Anti-exposure coveralls
  • Centrifugal ventilators
  • Two way radios
  • Gyrocompasses
  • Lifeboat davits
  • Hand capstans
  • Filter masks
  • Personal computers
  • Hydraulic capstans
  • Cargo booms
  • Radio direction finders RDF
  • Spanner wrenches
  • Safety glasses
  • Signal flags
  • Desktop computers
  • Lifting spreaders
  • Hydraulic mooring winches
  • Forklifts
  • Ship anchor chocks
  • Emergency position-indicating radio beacons
  • Hydraulic deck cranes
  • Bilge pumping systems
  • Electric mooring winches
  • Wire splicers
  • Wire cutters
  • Ship alarm systems
  • Lifeboats
  • Radar navigation systems
  • Voice pipes
  • Metal chisels