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Automation Risk Analysis

Will “Merchant Seaman” be Automated?

Historical Context: Oxford Study (2013)

Ranked #461 of 702. Estimated risk: 83.0%

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AI Exposure Risk

40%

“Merchant Seaman” will probably not be replaced by AI.

Based on the cognitive demands, communication requirements, and logical reasoning intrinsic to this occupation according to O*NET data, we project a 40% probability of disruption by generative AI and Large Language Models.

Automation & Robot Risk

60%

“Merchant Seaman” will maybe be replaced by robots.

Evaluating the physical dexterity, repetitive motion tasks, and manual labor associated with this role, our analysis indicates a 60% likelihood of substitution by advanced robotics systems.

Personal & Financial Insights

Every occupation has a unique profile. For Sailors and Marine Oilers, the Bureau of Labor Statistics and O*NET classify the day-to-day work broadly as: Stand watch to look for obstructions in path of vessel, measure water depth, turn wheel on bridge, or use emergency equipment as directed by captain, mate, or pilot. Break out, rig, overhaul, and store cargo-handling gear, stationary rigging, and running gear. Perform a variety of maintenance tasks to preserve the painted surface of the ship and to maintain line and ship equipment. Must hold government-issued certification and tankerman certification when working aboard liquid-carrying vessels. Includes able seamen and ordinary seamen.

Avg. Annual Salary $55,320
Avg. Hourly Wage $26.59
Available Jobs (US) 31,360
Job Title & Hierarchy Code (SOC) Sailors and Marine Oilers #53-5011
Wage vs. National Median
ℹ️

Data is based on the reference occupation: “Sailors and Marine Oilers”

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Core Skills & Abilities

  • Participate in shore patrols.

  • Overhaul lifeboats or lifeboat gear and lower or raise lifeboats with winches or falls.

  • Give directions to crew members engaged in cleaning wheelhouses or quarterdecks.

  • Splice and repair ropes, wire cables, or cordage, using marlinespikes, wire cutters, twine, and hand tools.

  • Stand gangway watches to prevent unauthorized persons from boarding ships while in port.

  • Handle lines to moor vessels to wharfs, to tie up vessels to other vessels, or to rig towing lines.

  • Relay specified signals to other ships, using visual signaling devices, such as blinker lights or semaphores.

  • Maintain a ship's engines under the direction of the ship's engineering officers.

  • Lubricate machinery, equipment, or engine parts, such as gears, shafts, or bearings.

  • Examine machinery to verify specified pressures or lubricant flows.

  • Operate, maintain, or repair ship equipment, such as winches, cranes, derricks, or weapons system.

  • Record data in ships' logs, such as weather conditions or distances traveled.

  • Steer ships under the direction of commanders or navigating officers or direct helmsmen to steer, following designated courses.

  • Attach hoses and operate pumps to transfer substances to and from liquid cargo tanks.

  • Lower and man lifeboats when emergencies occur.

  • Measure depth of water in shallow or unfamiliar waters, using leadlines, and telephone or shout depth information to vessel bridges.

  • Paint or varnish decks, superstructures, lifeboats, or sides of ships.

  • Provide engineers with assistance in repairing or adjusting machinery.

  • Clean and polish wood trim, brass, or other metal parts.

  • Read pressure and temperature gauges or displays and record data in engineering logs.

  • Maintain government-issued certifications, as required.

  • Stand by wheels when ships are on automatic pilot, and verify accuracy of courses, using magnetic compasses.

  • Break out, rig, and stow cargo-handling gear, stationary rigging, or running gear.

  • Stand watch in ships' bows or bridge wings to look for obstructions in a ship's path or to locate navigational aids, such as buoys or lighthouses.

  • Chip and clean rust spots on decks, superstructures, or sides of ships, using wire brushes and hand or air chipping machines.

  • Sweep, mop, and wash down decks to remove oil, dirt, and debris, using brooms, mops, brushes, and hoses.

  • Tie barges together into tow units for tugboats to handle, inspecting barges periodically during voyages and disconnecting them when destinations are reached.

  • Load or unload materials, vehicles, or passengers from vessels.

Technologies & Software

  • Microsoft Excel
  • Computerized maintenance management system CMMS
  • Microsoft Word
  • Mobileye AI
  • KNMI TurboWin
  • Tesla Autopilot
  • Microsoft Outlook
  • Log book software
  • Gatik AI
  • Microsoft Office software
  • Microsoft PowerPoint
  • Microsoft Windows
  • Waymo (Autonomous Driving)
  • Kongsberg Maritime K-Log Deck Logbook
  • Word processing software
  • Operating system software
  • Project44 AI Logistics
  • Thermal protective aids TPA
  • Bridge telephones
  • Synthetic mooring ropes
  • Electric telegraphs
  • Cargo derricks
  • Reciprocating pumps
  • Life jackets
  • Riding pawls
  • Lifting slings
  • Wire splicers
  • Radar navigation systems
  • Workshop vises
  • Hydraulic windlasses
  • Chain cargo falls
  • Gyrocompasses
  • Ship alarm systems
  • Natural fiber mooring ropes
  • Filter masks
  • Sounding tapes
  • Lifeboats
  • Foam firefighting systems
  • Carbon dioxide CO2 firefighting systems
  • Portable gas detectors
  • Galvanized thimbles
  • Safety helmets
  • Radio direction finders RDF
  • Magnetic compasses
  • Grease dispensing guns
  • Steam winches
  • Sewing needles
  • Claw hammers
  • Ship anchor chocks
  • Anti-exposure coveralls
  • Hydraulic deck cranes
  • Sounding rods
  • Gear pumps
  • Hydraulic capstans
  • Centrifugal ventilators
  • Life buoys
  • Spanner wrenches
  • Life rings
  • Forklifts
  • Oil dispensing cans
  • Crescent wrenches
  • Sharpening steels
  • Magnet hoists
  • Pipe wrenches
  • Metal chisels
  • Bolt cutters
  • Explosimeters
  • Engine room alarm systems
  • Mooring cables
  • Blinker lights
  • Liquid cargo transfer hoses
  • Locking jaw pliers
  • Lifeboat davits
  • Centrifugal cargo pumps
  • Ratchet sets
  • Bilge pumping systems
  • Fire hoses
  • Voice pipes
  • Respirators
  • Safety lanyards
  • Fids
  • Tank level gauges
  • Electric deck cranes
  • Wire cutters
  • Two way radios
  • Lifting spreaders
  • Chipping hammers
  • Grabbing cranes
  • Portable fire extinguishers
  • Signal flags
  • Electric windlasses
  • Hand punches
  • Container lift trucks
  • Safety belts
  • Semaphores
  • Air chippers
  • Safety glasses
  • Manual winches
  • Mooring chains
  • Hand capstans
  • Cargo booms
  • Sheave blocks
  • Mechanical telegraphs
  • Emergency position-indicating radio beacons
  • Cargo hooks
  • Pyrotechnic distress signals
  • Pilot ladders
  • Hydraulic mooring winches
  • Electric mooring winches
  • Personal computers
  • Welders
  • Desktop computers
  • Hand windlasses
  • Emergency generators