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Automation Risk Analysis

Will “Merchant Seaman” be Automated?

Historical Context: Oxford Study (2013)

Ranked #461 of 702. Estimated risk: 83.0%

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AI Exposure Risk

40%

“Merchant Seaman” will probably not be replaced by AI.

Based on the cognitive demands, communication requirements, and logical reasoning intrinsic to this occupation according to O*NET data, we project a 40% probability of disruption by generative AI and Large Language Models.

Automation & Robot Risk

60%

“Merchant Seaman” will maybe be replaced by robots.

Evaluating the physical dexterity, repetitive motion tasks, and manual labor associated with this role, our analysis indicates a 60% likelihood of substitution by advanced robotics systems.

Personal & Financial Insights

Every occupation has a unique profile. For Sailors and Marine Oilers, the Bureau of Labor Statistics and O*NET classify the day-to-day work broadly as: Stand watch to look for obstructions in path of vessel, measure water depth, turn wheel on bridge, or use emergency equipment as directed by captain, mate, or pilot. Break out, rig, overhaul, and store cargo-handling gear, stationary rigging, and running gear. Perform a variety of maintenance tasks to preserve the painted surface of the ship and to maintain line and ship equipment. Must hold government-issued certification and tankerman certification when working aboard liquid-carrying vessels. Includes able seamen and ordinary seamen.

Avg. Annual Salary $55,320
Avg. Hourly Wage $26.59
Available Jobs (US) 31,360
Job Title & Hierarchy Code (SOC) Sailors and Marine Oilers #53-5011
Wage vs. National Median
ℹ️

Data is based on the reference occupation: “Sailors and Marine Oilers”

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Core Skills & Abilities

  • Lubricate machinery, equipment, or engine parts, such as gears, shafts, or bearings.

  • Tie barges together into tow units for tugboats to handle, inspecting barges periodically during voyages and disconnecting them when destinations are reached.

  • Stand by wheels when ships are on automatic pilot, and verify accuracy of courses, using magnetic compasses.

  • Stand gangway watches to prevent unauthorized persons from boarding ships while in port.

  • Lower and man lifeboats when emergencies occur.

  • Break out, rig, and stow cargo-handling gear, stationary rigging, or running gear.

  • Participate in shore patrols.

  • Overhaul lifeboats or lifeboat gear and lower or raise lifeboats with winches or falls.

  • Sweep, mop, and wash down decks to remove oil, dirt, and debris, using brooms, mops, brushes, and hoses.

  • Maintain government-issued certifications, as required.

  • Steer ships under the direction of commanders or navigating officers or direct helmsmen to steer, following designated courses.

  • Provide engineers with assistance in repairing or adjusting machinery.

  • Paint or varnish decks, superstructures, lifeboats, or sides of ships.

  • Load or unload materials, vehicles, or passengers from vessels.

  • Relay specified signals to other ships, using visual signaling devices, such as blinker lights or semaphores.

  • Attach hoses and operate pumps to transfer substances to and from liquid cargo tanks.

  • Record data in ships' logs, such as weather conditions or distances traveled.

  • Measure depth of water in shallow or unfamiliar waters, using leadlines, and telephone or shout depth information to vessel bridges.

  • Splice and repair ropes, wire cables, or cordage, using marlinespikes, wire cutters, twine, and hand tools.

  • Examine machinery to verify specified pressures or lubricant flows.

  • Chip and clean rust spots on decks, superstructures, or sides of ships, using wire brushes and hand or air chipping machines.

  • Give directions to crew members engaged in cleaning wheelhouses or quarterdecks.

  • Maintain a ship's engines under the direction of the ship's engineering officers.

  • Read pressure and temperature gauges or displays and record data in engineering logs.

  • Clean and polish wood trim, brass, or other metal parts.

  • Stand watch in ships' bows or bridge wings to look for obstructions in a ship's path or to locate navigational aids, such as buoys or lighthouses.

  • Operate, maintain, or repair ship equipment, such as winches, cranes, derricks, or weapons system.

  • Handle lines to moor vessels to wharfs, to tie up vessels to other vessels, or to rig towing lines.

Technologies & Software

  • Log book software
  • Word processing software
  • Microsoft Outlook
  • Computerized maintenance management system CMMS
  • KNMI TurboWin
  • Microsoft Word
  • Microsoft Excel
  • Microsoft Office software
  • Project44 AI Logistics
  • Waymo (Autonomous Driving)
  • Mobileye AI
  • Tesla Autopilot
  • Kongsberg Maritime K-Log Deck Logbook
  • Gatik AI
  • Microsoft PowerPoint
  • Operating system software
  • Microsoft Windows
  • Magnetic compasses
  • Galvanized thimbles
  • Fids
  • Riding pawls
  • Sounding tapes
  • Reciprocating pumps
  • Carbon dioxide CO2 firefighting systems
  • Spanner wrenches
  • Voice pipes
  • Sharpening steels
  • Gyrocompasses
  • Radio direction finders RDF
  • Magnet hoists
  • Tank level gauges
  • Crescent wrenches
  • Thermal protective aids TPA
  • Lifeboat davits
  • Workshop vises
  • Grease dispensing guns
  • Safety helmets
  • Oil dispensing cans
  • Grabbing cranes
  • Hydraulic mooring winches
  • Pilot ladders
  • Explosimeters
  • Foam firefighting systems
  • Engine room alarm systems
  • Hand capstans
  • Desktop computers
  • Centrifugal cargo pumps
  • Sewing needles
  • Safety lanyards
  • Lifting slings
  • Synthetic mooring ropes
  • Bilge pumping systems
  • Bridge telephones
  • Gear pumps
  • Emergency generators
  • Radar navigation systems
  • Chain cargo falls
  • Metal chisels
  • Pipe wrenches
  • Hydraulic capstans
  • Two way radios
  • Lifeboats
  • Safety glasses
  • Ship alarm systems
  • Ship anchor chocks
  • Cargo derricks
  • Wire cutters
  • Blinker lights
  • Liquid cargo transfer hoses
  • Hydraulic windlasses
  • Safety belts
  • Electric mooring winches
  • Life jackets
  • Cargo booms
  • Steam winches
  • Portable fire extinguishers
  • Chipping hammers
  • Mooring cables
  • Forklifts
  • Emergency position-indicating radio beacons
  • Claw hammers
  • Electric windlasses
  • Filter masks
  • Life rings
  • Wire splicers
  • Bolt cutters
  • Mechanical telegraphs
  • Locking jaw pliers
  • Hydraulic deck cranes
  • Container lift trucks
  • Anti-exposure coveralls
  • Respirators
  • Ratchet sets
  • Manual winches
  • Fire hoses
  • Centrifugal ventilators
  • Mooring chains
  • Sounding rods
  • Natural fiber mooring ropes
  • Hand windlasses
  • Signal flags
  • Lifting spreaders
  • Cargo hooks
  • Welders
  • Sheave blocks
  • Life buoys
  • Hand punches
  • Personal computers
  • Portable gas detectors
  • Pyrotechnic distress signals
  • Semaphores
  • Electric deck cranes
  • Air chippers
  • Electric telegraphs