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Automation Risk Analysis

Will “Merchant Mariner” be Automated?

Historical Context: Oxford Study (2013)

Ranked #461 of 702. Estimated risk: 83.0%

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AI Exposure Risk

40%

“Merchant Mariner” will probably not be replaced by AI.

Based on the cognitive demands, communication requirements, and logical reasoning intrinsic to this occupation according to O*NET data, we project a 40% probability of disruption by generative AI and Large Language Models.

Automation & Robot Risk

60%

“Merchant Mariner” will maybe be replaced by robots.

Evaluating the physical dexterity, repetitive motion tasks, and manual labor associated with this role, our analysis indicates a 60% likelihood of substitution by advanced robotics systems.

Personal & Financial Insights

Every occupation has a unique profile. For Sailors and Marine Oilers, the Bureau of Labor Statistics and O*NET classify the day-to-day work broadly as: Stand watch to look for obstructions in path of vessel, measure water depth, turn wheel on bridge, or use emergency equipment as directed by captain, mate, or pilot. Break out, rig, overhaul, and store cargo-handling gear, stationary rigging, and running gear. Perform a variety of maintenance tasks to preserve the painted surface of the ship and to maintain line and ship equipment. Must hold government-issued certification and tankerman certification when working aboard liquid-carrying vessels. Includes able seamen and ordinary seamen.

Avg. Annual Salary $55,320
Avg. Hourly Wage $26.59
Available Jobs (US) 31,360
Job Title & Hierarchy Code (SOC) Sailors and Marine Oilers #53-5011
Wage vs. National Median
ℹ️

Data is based on the reference occupation: “Sailors and Marine Oilers”

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Core Skills & Abilities

  • Examine machinery to verify specified pressures or lubricant flows.

  • Paint or varnish decks, superstructures, lifeboats, or sides of ships.

  • Give directions to crew members engaged in cleaning wheelhouses or quarterdecks.

  • Tie barges together into tow units for tugboats to handle, inspecting barges periodically during voyages and disconnecting them when destinations are reached.

  • Break out, rig, and stow cargo-handling gear, stationary rigging, or running gear.

  • Chip and clean rust spots on decks, superstructures, or sides of ships, using wire brushes and hand or air chipping machines.

  • Maintain a ship's engines under the direction of the ship's engineering officers.

  • Operate, maintain, or repair ship equipment, such as winches, cranes, derricks, or weapons system.

  • Handle lines to moor vessels to wharfs, to tie up vessels to other vessels, or to rig towing lines.

  • Provide engineers with assistance in repairing or adjusting machinery.

  • Lower and man lifeboats when emergencies occur.

  • Stand by wheels when ships are on automatic pilot, and verify accuracy of courses, using magnetic compasses.

  • Splice and repair ropes, wire cables, or cordage, using marlinespikes, wire cutters, twine, and hand tools.

  • Relay specified signals to other ships, using visual signaling devices, such as blinker lights or semaphores.

  • Stand gangway watches to prevent unauthorized persons from boarding ships while in port.

  • Steer ships under the direction of commanders or navigating officers or direct helmsmen to steer, following designated courses.

  • Attach hoses and operate pumps to transfer substances to and from liquid cargo tanks.

  • Participate in shore patrols.

  • Read pressure and temperature gauges or displays and record data in engineering logs.

  • Sweep, mop, and wash down decks to remove oil, dirt, and debris, using brooms, mops, brushes, and hoses.

  • Record data in ships' logs, such as weather conditions or distances traveled.

  • Maintain government-issued certifications, as required.

  • Lubricate machinery, equipment, or engine parts, such as gears, shafts, or bearings.

  • Overhaul lifeboats or lifeboat gear and lower or raise lifeboats with winches or falls.

  • Load or unload materials, vehicles, or passengers from vessels.

  • Measure depth of water in shallow or unfamiliar waters, using leadlines, and telephone or shout depth information to vessel bridges.

  • Stand watch in ships' bows or bridge wings to look for obstructions in a ship's path or to locate navigational aids, such as buoys or lighthouses.

  • Clean and polish wood trim, brass, or other metal parts.

Technologies & Software

  • Word processing software
  • Computerized maintenance management system CMMS
  • Microsoft PowerPoint
  • Gatik AI
  • Microsoft Word
  • Mobileye AI
  • Microsoft Windows
  • Log book software
  • KNMI TurboWin
  • Waymo (Autonomous Driving)
  • Microsoft Outlook
  • Tesla Autopilot
  • Project44 AI Logistics
  • Microsoft Excel
  • Operating system software
  • Microsoft Office software
  • Kongsberg Maritime K-Log Deck Logbook
  • Wire splicers
  • Portable fire extinguishers
  • Carbon dioxide CO2 firefighting systems
  • Thermal protective aids TPA
  • Mooring chains
  • Pipe wrenches
  • Spanner wrenches
  • Liquid cargo transfer hoses
  • Sharpening steels
  • Electric deck cranes
  • Gear pumps
  • Hydraulic mooring winches
  • Lifting slings
  • Chain cargo falls
  • Lifeboats
  • Respirators
  • Safety helmets
  • Grabbing cranes
  • Radio direction finders RDF
  • Electric mooring winches
  • Cargo derricks
  • Hydraulic deck cranes
  • Natural fiber mooring ropes
  • Metal chisels
  • Bilge pumping systems
  • Semaphores
  • Two way radios
  • Chipping hammers
  • Galvanized thimbles
  • Air chippers
  • Electric windlasses
  • Riding pawls
  • Steam winches
  • Hand punches
  • Emergency generators
  • Fire hoses
  • Voice pipes
  • Lifeboat davits
  • Container lift trucks
  • Hand windlasses
  • Grease dispensing guns
  • Sheave blocks
  • Pyrotechnic distress signals
  • Portable gas detectors
  • Blinker lights
  • Tank level gauges
  • Explosimeters
  • Bridge telephones
  • Magnetic compasses
  • Sounding rods
  • Manual winches
  • Filter masks
  • Life jackets
  • Pilot ladders
  • Wire cutters
  • Mooring cables
  • Life buoys
  • Electric telegraphs
  • Oil dispensing cans
  • Fids
  • Cargo booms
  • Hydraulic windlasses
  • Gyrocompasses
  • Workshop vises
  • Synthetic mooring ropes
  • Anti-exposure coveralls
  • Ship anchor chocks
  • Foam firefighting systems
  • Safety glasses
  • Safety belts
  • Personal computers
  • Life rings
  • Crescent wrenches
  • Ratchet sets
  • Centrifugal ventilators
  • Forklifts
  • Engine room alarm systems
  • Signal flags
  • Welders
  • Hand capstans
  • Hydraulic capstans
  • Radar navigation systems
  • Claw hammers
  • Sounding tapes
  • Locking jaw pliers
  • Bolt cutters
  • Ship alarm systems
  • Centrifugal cargo pumps
  • Sewing needles
  • Reciprocating pumps
  • Desktop computers
  • Mechanical telegraphs
  • Magnet hoists
  • Emergency position-indicating radio beacons
  • Lifting spreaders
  • Safety lanyards
  • Cargo hooks