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Automation Risk Analysis

Will “Merchant Mariner” be Automated?

Historical Context: Oxford Study (2013)

Ranked #461 of 702. Estimated risk: 83.0%

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AI Exposure Risk

40%

“Merchant Mariner” will probably not be replaced by AI.

Based on the cognitive demands, communication requirements, and logical reasoning intrinsic to this occupation according to O*NET data, we project a 40% probability of disruption by generative AI and Large Language Models.

Automation & Robot Risk

60%

“Merchant Mariner” will maybe be replaced by robots.

Evaluating the physical dexterity, repetitive motion tasks, and manual labor associated with this role, our analysis indicates a 60% likelihood of substitution by advanced robotics systems.

Personal & Financial Insights

Every occupation has a unique profile. For Sailors and Marine Oilers, the Bureau of Labor Statistics and O*NET classify the day-to-day work broadly as: Stand watch to look for obstructions in path of vessel, measure water depth, turn wheel on bridge, or use emergency equipment as directed by captain, mate, or pilot. Break out, rig, overhaul, and store cargo-handling gear, stationary rigging, and running gear. Perform a variety of maintenance tasks to preserve the painted surface of the ship and to maintain line and ship equipment. Must hold government-issued certification and tankerman certification when working aboard liquid-carrying vessels. Includes able seamen and ordinary seamen.

Avg. Annual Salary $55,320
Avg. Hourly Wage $26.59
Available Jobs (US) 31,360
Job Title & Hierarchy Code (SOC) Sailors and Marine Oilers #53-5011
Wage vs. National Median
ℹ️

Data is based on the reference occupation: “Sailors and Marine Oilers”

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Core Skills & Abilities

  • Overhaul lifeboats or lifeboat gear and lower or raise lifeboats with winches or falls.

  • Sweep, mop, and wash down decks to remove oil, dirt, and debris, using brooms, mops, brushes, and hoses.

  • Stand gangway watches to prevent unauthorized persons from boarding ships while in port.

  • Read pressure and temperature gauges or displays and record data in engineering logs.

  • Provide engineers with assistance in repairing or adjusting machinery.

  • Handle lines to moor vessels to wharfs, to tie up vessels to other vessels, or to rig towing lines.

  • Lubricate machinery, equipment, or engine parts, such as gears, shafts, or bearings.

  • Operate, maintain, or repair ship equipment, such as winches, cranes, derricks, or weapons system.

  • Maintain government-issued certifications, as required.

  • Give directions to crew members engaged in cleaning wheelhouses or quarterdecks.

  • Splice and repair ropes, wire cables, or cordage, using marlinespikes, wire cutters, twine, and hand tools.

  • Break out, rig, and stow cargo-handling gear, stationary rigging, or running gear.

  • Stand watch in ships' bows or bridge wings to look for obstructions in a ship's path or to locate navigational aids, such as buoys or lighthouses.

  • Lower and man lifeboats when emergencies occur.

  • Paint or varnish decks, superstructures, lifeboats, or sides of ships.

  • Chip and clean rust spots on decks, superstructures, or sides of ships, using wire brushes and hand or air chipping machines.

  • Relay specified signals to other ships, using visual signaling devices, such as blinker lights or semaphores.

  • Examine machinery to verify specified pressures or lubricant flows.

  • Measure depth of water in shallow or unfamiliar waters, using leadlines, and telephone or shout depth information to vessel bridges.

  • Stand by wheels when ships are on automatic pilot, and verify accuracy of courses, using magnetic compasses.

  • Clean and polish wood trim, brass, or other metal parts.

  • Attach hoses and operate pumps to transfer substances to and from liquid cargo tanks.

  • Load or unload materials, vehicles, or passengers from vessels.

  • Steer ships under the direction of commanders or navigating officers or direct helmsmen to steer, following designated courses.

  • Maintain a ship's engines under the direction of the ship's engineering officers.

  • Participate in shore patrols.

  • Tie barges together into tow units for tugboats to handle, inspecting barges periodically during voyages and disconnecting them when destinations are reached.

  • Record data in ships' logs, such as weather conditions or distances traveled.

Technologies & Software

  • KNMI TurboWin
  • Microsoft Office software
  • Word processing software
  • Microsoft Outlook
  • Waymo (Autonomous Driving)
  • Mobileye AI
  • Microsoft Word
  • Microsoft Excel
  • Log book software
  • Project44 AI Logistics
  • Gatik AI
  • Microsoft Windows
  • Tesla Autopilot
  • Operating system software
  • Kongsberg Maritime K-Log Deck Logbook
  • Computerized maintenance management system CMMS
  • Microsoft PowerPoint
  • Thermal protective aids TPA
  • Emergency generators
  • Sharpening steels
  • Radar navigation systems
  • Personal computers
  • Sheave blocks
  • Bilge pumping systems
  • Natural fiber mooring ropes
  • Hydraulic mooring winches
  • Two way radios
  • Radio direction finders RDF
  • Tank level gauges
  • Desktop computers
  • Engine room alarm systems
  • Voice pipes
  • Sounding rods
  • Hydraulic windlasses
  • Centrifugal ventilators
  • Hydraulic capstans
  • Air chippers
  • Safety lanyards
  • Portable gas detectors
  • Foam firefighting systems
  • Electric mooring winches
  • Electric telegraphs
  • Sounding tapes
  • Chipping hammers
  • Galvanized thimbles
  • Welders
  • Oil dispensing cans
  • Cargo derricks
  • Container lift trucks
  • Pipe wrenches
  • Carbon dioxide CO2 firefighting systems
  • Riding pawls
  • Metal chisels
  • Gyrocompasses
  • Wire splicers
  • Ship alarm systems
  • Mooring chains
  • Gear pumps
  • Grabbing cranes
  • Lifting spreaders
  • Centrifugal cargo pumps
  • Mechanical telegraphs
  • Electric windlasses
  • Sewing needles
  • Hydraulic deck cranes
  • Safety glasses
  • Pilot ladders
  • Ship anchor chocks
  • Chain cargo falls
  • Crescent wrenches
  • Liquid cargo transfer hoses
  • Electric deck cranes
  • Emergency position-indicating radio beacons
  • Steam winches
  • Mooring cables
  • Safety belts
  • Wire cutters
  • Bridge telephones
  • Life jackets
  • Ratchet sets
  • Safety helmets
  • Cargo booms
  • Cargo hooks
  • Anti-exposure coveralls
  • Semaphores
  • Lifeboats
  • Grease dispensing guns
  • Respirators
  • Reciprocating pumps
  • Pyrotechnic distress signals
  • Fids
  • Spanner wrenches
  • Fire hoses
  • Hand windlasses
  • Claw hammers
  • Synthetic mooring ropes
  • Workshop vises
  • Lifeboat davits
  • Hand capstans
  • Explosimeters
  • Filter masks
  • Magnetic compasses
  • Portable fire extinguishers
  • Magnet hoists
  • Life buoys
  • Bolt cutters
  • Lifting slings
  • Signal flags
  • Hand punches
  • Life rings
  • Locking jaw pliers
  • Manual winches
  • Blinker lights
  • Forklifts