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Automation Risk Analysis

Will “Merchant Mariner” be Automated?

Historical Context: Oxford Study (2013)

Ranked #461 of 702. Estimated risk: 83.0%

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AI Exposure Risk

40%

“Merchant Mariner” will probably not be replaced by AI.

Based on the cognitive demands, communication requirements, and logical reasoning intrinsic to this occupation according to O*NET data, we project a 40% probability of disruption by generative AI and Large Language Models.

Automation & Robot Risk

60%

“Merchant Mariner” will maybe be replaced by robots.

Evaluating the physical dexterity, repetitive motion tasks, and manual labor associated with this role, our analysis indicates a 60% likelihood of substitution by advanced robotics systems.

Personal & Financial Insights

Every occupation has a unique profile. For Sailors and Marine Oilers, the Bureau of Labor Statistics and O*NET classify the day-to-day work broadly as: Stand watch to look for obstructions in path of vessel, measure water depth, turn wheel on bridge, or use emergency equipment as directed by captain, mate, or pilot. Break out, rig, overhaul, and store cargo-handling gear, stationary rigging, and running gear. Perform a variety of maintenance tasks to preserve the painted surface of the ship and to maintain line and ship equipment. Must hold government-issued certification and tankerman certification when working aboard liquid-carrying vessels. Includes able seamen and ordinary seamen.

Avg. Annual Salary $55,320
Avg. Hourly Wage $26.59
Available Jobs (US) 31,360
Job Title & Hierarchy Code (SOC) Sailors and Marine Oilers #53-5011
Wage vs. National Median
ℹ️

Data is based on the reference occupation: “Sailors and Marine Oilers”

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Core Skills & Abilities

  • Give directions to crew members engaged in cleaning wheelhouses or quarterdecks.

  • Measure depth of water in shallow or unfamiliar waters, using leadlines, and telephone or shout depth information to vessel bridges.

  • Break out, rig, and stow cargo-handling gear, stationary rigging, or running gear.

  • Load or unload materials, vehicles, or passengers from vessels.

  • Maintain a ship's engines under the direction of the ship's engineering officers.

  • Operate, maintain, or repair ship equipment, such as winches, cranes, derricks, or weapons system.

  • Handle lines to moor vessels to wharfs, to tie up vessels to other vessels, or to rig towing lines.

  • Maintain government-issued certifications, as required.

  • Stand by wheels when ships are on automatic pilot, and verify accuracy of courses, using magnetic compasses.

  • Attach hoses and operate pumps to transfer substances to and from liquid cargo tanks.

  • Stand gangway watches to prevent unauthorized persons from boarding ships while in port.

  • Splice and repair ropes, wire cables, or cordage, using marlinespikes, wire cutters, twine, and hand tools.

  • Clean and polish wood trim, brass, or other metal parts.

  • Participate in shore patrols.

  • Sweep, mop, and wash down decks to remove oil, dirt, and debris, using brooms, mops, brushes, and hoses.

  • Lubricate machinery, equipment, or engine parts, such as gears, shafts, or bearings.

  • Relay specified signals to other ships, using visual signaling devices, such as blinker lights or semaphores.

  • Provide engineers with assistance in repairing or adjusting machinery.

  • Read pressure and temperature gauges or displays and record data in engineering logs.

  • Chip and clean rust spots on decks, superstructures, or sides of ships, using wire brushes and hand or air chipping machines.

  • Record data in ships' logs, such as weather conditions or distances traveled.

  • Paint or varnish decks, superstructures, lifeboats, or sides of ships.

  • Overhaul lifeboats or lifeboat gear and lower or raise lifeboats with winches or falls.

  • Steer ships under the direction of commanders or navigating officers or direct helmsmen to steer, following designated courses.

  • Examine machinery to verify specified pressures or lubricant flows.

  • Stand watch in ships' bows or bridge wings to look for obstructions in a ship's path or to locate navigational aids, such as buoys or lighthouses.

  • Tie barges together into tow units for tugboats to handle, inspecting barges periodically during voyages and disconnecting them when destinations are reached.

  • Lower and man lifeboats when emergencies occur.

Technologies & Software

  • Project44 AI Logistics
  • Microsoft Outlook
  • Computerized maintenance management system CMMS
  • Microsoft Windows
  • Tesla Autopilot
  • Operating system software
  • Waymo (Autonomous Driving)
  • Mobileye AI
  • Microsoft Word
  • Log book software
  • KNMI TurboWin
  • Word processing software
  • Microsoft Excel
  • Microsoft PowerPoint
  • Gatik AI
  • Microsoft Office software
  • Kongsberg Maritime K-Log Deck Logbook
  • Safety belts
  • Semaphores
  • Steam winches
  • Life rings
  • Thermal protective aids TPA
  • Sounding tapes
  • Lifeboats
  • Pilot ladders
  • Liquid cargo transfer hoses
  • Pyrotechnic distress signals
  • Metal chisels
  • Centrifugal ventilators
  • Galvanized thimbles
  • Mooring cables
  • Oil dispensing cans
  • Life jackets
  • Lifeboat davits
  • Workshop vises
  • Safety lanyards
  • Fire hoses
  • Hydraulic windlasses
  • Welders
  • Magnet hoists
  • Life buoys
  • Electric deck cranes
  • Cargo derricks
  • Carbon dioxide CO2 firefighting systems
  • Signal flags
  • Radar navigation systems
  • Respirators
  • Safety helmets
  • Natural fiber mooring ropes
  • Portable fire extinguishers
  • Crescent wrenches
  • Electric telegraphs
  • Magnetic compasses
  • Hand punches
  • Two way radios
  • Sounding rods
  • Radio direction finders RDF
  • Mooring chains
  • Locking jaw pliers
  • Spanner wrenches
  • Gyrocompasses
  • Grease dispensing guns
  • Lifting slings
  • Tank level gauges
  • Hand windlasses
  • Hand capstans
  • Personal computers
  • Electric windlasses
  • Hydraulic capstans
  • Sharpening steels
  • Riding pawls
  • Pipe wrenches
  • Sheave blocks
  • Emergency position-indicating radio beacons
  • Desktop computers
  • Voice pipes
  • Cargo hooks
  • Claw hammers
  • Chipping hammers
  • Portable gas detectors
  • Ship anchor chocks
  • Grabbing cranes
  • Bridge telephones
  • Anti-exposure coveralls
  • Hydraulic mooring winches
  • Bolt cutters
  • Forklifts
  • Explosimeters
  • Wire cutters
  • Hydraulic deck cranes
  • Engine room alarm systems
  • Safety glasses
  • Cargo booms
  • Air chippers
  • Mechanical telegraphs
  • Electric mooring winches
  • Chain cargo falls
  • Gear pumps
  • Bilge pumping systems
  • Ship alarm systems
  • Synthetic mooring ropes
  • Reciprocating pumps
  • Manual winches
  • Ratchet sets
  • Wire splicers
  • Filter masks
  • Sewing needles
  • Fids
  • Centrifugal cargo pumps
  • Lifting spreaders
  • Blinker lights
  • Container lift trucks
  • Foam firefighting systems
  • Emergency generators