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Automation Risk Analysis

Will “Scowman” be Automated?

Historical Context: Oxford Study (2013)

Ranked #461 of 702. Estimated risk: 83.0%

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AI Exposure Risk

40%

“Scowman” will probably not be replaced by AI.

Based on the cognitive demands, communication requirements, and logical reasoning intrinsic to this occupation according to O*NET data, we project a 40% probability of disruption by generative AI and Large Language Models.

Automation & Robot Risk

60%

“Scowman” will maybe be replaced by robots.

Evaluating the physical dexterity, repetitive motion tasks, and manual labor associated with this role, our analysis indicates a 60% likelihood of substitution by advanced robotics systems.

Personal & Financial Insights

Every occupation has a unique profile. For Sailors and Marine Oilers, the Bureau of Labor Statistics and O*NET classify the day-to-day work broadly as: Stand watch to look for obstructions in path of vessel, measure water depth, turn wheel on bridge, or use emergency equipment as directed by captain, mate, or pilot. Break out, rig, overhaul, and store cargo-handling gear, stationary rigging, and running gear. Perform a variety of maintenance tasks to preserve the painted surface of the ship and to maintain line and ship equipment. Must hold government-issued certification and tankerman certification when working aboard liquid-carrying vessels. Includes able seamen and ordinary seamen.

Avg. Annual Salary $55,320
Avg. Hourly Wage $26.59
Available Jobs (US) 31,360
Job Title & Hierarchy Code (SOC) Sailors and Marine Oilers #53-5011
Wage vs. National Median
ℹ️

Data is based on the reference occupation: “Sailors and Marine Oilers”

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Core Skills & Abilities

  • Sweep, mop, and wash down decks to remove oil, dirt, and debris, using brooms, mops, brushes, and hoses.

  • Steer ships under the direction of commanders or navigating officers or direct helmsmen to steer, following designated courses.

  • Load or unload materials, vehicles, or passengers from vessels.

  • Provide engineers with assistance in repairing or adjusting machinery.

  • Give directions to crew members engaged in cleaning wheelhouses or quarterdecks.

  • Record data in ships' logs, such as weather conditions or distances traveled.

  • Stand by wheels when ships are on automatic pilot, and verify accuracy of courses, using magnetic compasses.

  • Tie barges together into tow units for tugboats to handle, inspecting barges periodically during voyages and disconnecting them when destinations are reached.

  • Splice and repair ropes, wire cables, or cordage, using marlinespikes, wire cutters, twine, and hand tools.

  • Maintain government-issued certifications, as required.

  • Read pressure and temperature gauges or displays and record data in engineering logs.

  • Clean and polish wood trim, brass, or other metal parts.

  • Measure depth of water in shallow or unfamiliar waters, using leadlines, and telephone or shout depth information to vessel bridges.

  • Lower and man lifeboats when emergencies occur.

  • Participate in shore patrols.

  • Stand watch in ships' bows or bridge wings to look for obstructions in a ship's path or to locate navigational aids, such as buoys or lighthouses.

  • Stand gangway watches to prevent unauthorized persons from boarding ships while in port.

  • Operate, maintain, or repair ship equipment, such as winches, cranes, derricks, or weapons system.

  • Relay specified signals to other ships, using visual signaling devices, such as blinker lights or semaphores.

  • Examine machinery to verify specified pressures or lubricant flows.

  • Maintain a ship's engines under the direction of the ship's engineering officers.

  • Overhaul lifeboats or lifeboat gear and lower or raise lifeboats with winches or falls.

  • Handle lines to moor vessels to wharfs, to tie up vessels to other vessels, or to rig towing lines.

  • Break out, rig, and stow cargo-handling gear, stationary rigging, or running gear.

  • Paint or varnish decks, superstructures, lifeboats, or sides of ships.

  • Lubricate machinery, equipment, or engine parts, such as gears, shafts, or bearings.

  • Chip and clean rust spots on decks, superstructures, or sides of ships, using wire brushes and hand or air chipping machines.

  • Attach hoses and operate pumps to transfer substances to and from liquid cargo tanks.

Technologies & Software

  • Log book software
  • Microsoft Excel
  • Project44 AI Logistics
  • Kongsberg Maritime K-Log Deck Logbook
  • Mobileye AI
  • Tesla Autopilot
  • Microsoft Outlook
  • Word processing software
  • Microsoft Windows
  • Computerized maintenance management system CMMS
  • Gatik AI
  • Microsoft PowerPoint
  • KNMI TurboWin
  • Waymo (Autonomous Driving)
  • Microsoft Word
  • Operating system software
  • Microsoft Office software
  • Locking jaw pliers
  • Fire hoses
  • Lifting spreaders
  • Manual winches
  • Hand windlasses
  • Grabbing cranes
  • Mooring cables
  • Pipe wrenches
  • Cargo derricks
  • Forklifts
  • Cargo hooks
  • Engine room alarm systems
  • Wire splicers
  • Ship alarm systems
  • Centrifugal cargo pumps
  • Gear pumps
  • Thermal protective aids TPA
  • Galvanized thimbles
  • Riding pawls
  • Filter masks
  • Safety belts
  • Bilge pumping systems
  • Fids
  • Ratchet sets
  • Safety glasses
  • Hydraulic windlasses
  • Magnetic compasses
  • Cargo booms
  • Hand punches
  • Magnet hoists
  • Life buoys
  • Welders
  • Sewing needles
  • Chipping hammers
  • Claw hammers
  • Tank level gauges
  • Safety helmets
  • Lifeboats
  • Anti-exposure coveralls
  • Synthetic mooring ropes
  • Voice pipes
  • Steam winches
  • Air chippers
  • Bridge telephones
  • Wire cutters
  • Sharpening steels
  • Gyrocompasses
  • Two way radios
  • Semaphores
  • Centrifugal ventilators
  • Explosimeters
  • Reciprocating pumps
  • Electric deck cranes
  • Grease dispensing guns
  • Electric windlasses
  • Desktop computers
  • Emergency generators
  • Container lift trucks
  • Signal flags
  • Sheave blocks
  • Lifeboat davits
  • Respirators
  • Liquid cargo transfer hoses
  • Mooring chains
  • Emergency position-indicating radio beacons
  • Crescent wrenches
  • Sounding tapes
  • Electric mooring winches
  • Radar navigation systems
  • Natural fiber mooring ropes
  • Pyrotechnic distress signals
  • Hydraulic capstans
  • Carbon dioxide CO2 firefighting systems
  • Workshop vises
  • Hydraulic mooring winches
  • Lifting slings
  • Electric telegraphs
  • Portable fire extinguishers
  • Hydraulic deck cranes
  • Mechanical telegraphs
  • Life rings
  • Blinker lights
  • Radio direction finders RDF
  • Portable gas detectors
  • Ship anchor chocks
  • Chain cargo falls
  • Foam firefighting systems
  • Pilot ladders
  • Life jackets
  • Hand capstans
  • Safety lanyards
  • Sounding rods
  • Bolt cutters
  • Spanner wrenches
  • Personal computers
  • Oil dispensing cans
  • Metal chisels