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Automation Risk Analysis

Will “Scowman” be Automated?

Historical Context: Oxford Study (2013)

Ranked #461 of 702. Estimated risk: 83.0%

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AI Exposure Risk

40%

“Scowman” will probably not be replaced by AI.

Based on the cognitive demands, communication requirements, and logical reasoning intrinsic to this occupation according to O*NET data, we project a 40% probability of disruption by generative AI and Large Language Models.

Automation & Robot Risk

60%

“Scowman” will maybe be replaced by robots.

Evaluating the physical dexterity, repetitive motion tasks, and manual labor associated with this role, our analysis indicates a 60% likelihood of substitution by advanced robotics systems.

Personal & Financial Insights

Every occupation has a unique profile. For Sailors and Marine Oilers, the Bureau of Labor Statistics and O*NET classify the day-to-day work broadly as: Stand watch to look for obstructions in path of vessel, measure water depth, turn wheel on bridge, or use emergency equipment as directed by captain, mate, or pilot. Break out, rig, overhaul, and store cargo-handling gear, stationary rigging, and running gear. Perform a variety of maintenance tasks to preserve the painted surface of the ship and to maintain line and ship equipment. Must hold government-issued certification and tankerman certification when working aboard liquid-carrying vessels. Includes able seamen and ordinary seamen.

Avg. Annual Salary $55,320
Avg. Hourly Wage $26.59
Available Jobs (US) 31,360
Job Title & Hierarchy Code (SOC) Sailors and Marine Oilers #53-5011
Wage vs. National Median
ℹ️

Data is based on the reference occupation: “Sailors and Marine Oilers”

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Core Skills & Abilities

  • Participate in shore patrols.

  • Provide engineers with assistance in repairing or adjusting machinery.

  • Operate, maintain, or repair ship equipment, such as winches, cranes, derricks, or weapons system.

  • Examine machinery to verify specified pressures or lubricant flows.

  • Steer ships under the direction of commanders or navigating officers or direct helmsmen to steer, following designated courses.

  • Stand by wheels when ships are on automatic pilot, and verify accuracy of courses, using magnetic compasses.

  • Overhaul lifeboats or lifeboat gear and lower or raise lifeboats with winches or falls.

  • Clean and polish wood trim, brass, or other metal parts.

  • Break out, rig, and stow cargo-handling gear, stationary rigging, or running gear.

  • Record data in ships' logs, such as weather conditions or distances traveled.

  • Maintain government-issued certifications, as required.

  • Maintain a ship's engines under the direction of the ship's engineering officers.

  • Measure depth of water in shallow or unfamiliar waters, using leadlines, and telephone or shout depth information to vessel bridges.

  • Handle lines to moor vessels to wharfs, to tie up vessels to other vessels, or to rig towing lines.

  • Tie barges together into tow units for tugboats to handle, inspecting barges periodically during voyages and disconnecting them when destinations are reached.

  • Sweep, mop, and wash down decks to remove oil, dirt, and debris, using brooms, mops, brushes, and hoses.

  • Lubricate machinery, equipment, or engine parts, such as gears, shafts, or bearings.

  • Read pressure and temperature gauges or displays and record data in engineering logs.

  • Stand watch in ships' bows or bridge wings to look for obstructions in a ship's path or to locate navigational aids, such as buoys or lighthouses.

  • Chip and clean rust spots on decks, superstructures, or sides of ships, using wire brushes and hand or air chipping machines.

  • Give directions to crew members engaged in cleaning wheelhouses or quarterdecks.

  • Load or unload materials, vehicles, or passengers from vessels.

  • Paint or varnish decks, superstructures, lifeboats, or sides of ships.

  • Stand gangway watches to prevent unauthorized persons from boarding ships while in port.

  • Relay specified signals to other ships, using visual signaling devices, such as blinker lights or semaphores.

  • Attach hoses and operate pumps to transfer substances to and from liquid cargo tanks.

  • Lower and man lifeboats when emergencies occur.

  • Splice and repair ropes, wire cables, or cordage, using marlinespikes, wire cutters, twine, and hand tools.

Technologies & Software

  • Waymo (Autonomous Driving)
  • Computerized maintenance management system CMMS
  • Operating system software
  • Microsoft PowerPoint
  • KNMI TurboWin
  • Microsoft Word
  • Log book software
  • Microsoft Outlook
  • Project44 AI Logistics
  • Word processing software
  • Microsoft Excel
  • Kongsberg Maritime K-Log Deck Logbook
  • Tesla Autopilot
  • Mobileye AI
  • Microsoft Windows
  • Microsoft Office software
  • Gatik AI
  • Steam winches
  • Metal chisels
  • Filter masks
  • Hydraulic deck cranes
  • Ratchet sets
  • Cargo hooks
  • Bilge pumping systems
  • Mooring cables
  • Emergency position-indicating radio beacons
  • Reciprocating pumps
  • Voice pipes
  • Safety lanyards
  • Oil dispensing cans
  • Galvanized thimbles
  • Lifting spreaders
  • Bridge telephones
  • Portable fire extinguishers
  • Hand punches
  • Carbon dioxide CO2 firefighting systems
  • Grabbing cranes
  • Pipe wrenches
  • Lifeboats
  • Workshop vises
  • Pyrotechnic distress signals
  • Magnetic compasses
  • Cargo booms
  • Fire hoses
  • Life buoys
  • Container lift trucks
  • Centrifugal ventilators
  • Signal flags
  • Liquid cargo transfer hoses
  • Sounding rods
  • Forklifts
  • Lifting slings
  • Ship anchor chocks
  • Gear pumps
  • Safety helmets
  • Electric telegraphs
  • Magnet hoists
  • Respirators
  • Hydraulic capstans
  • Radio direction finders RDF
  • Cargo derricks
  • Semaphores
  • Sheave blocks
  • Safety glasses
  • Claw hammers
  • Anti-exposure coveralls
  • Mooring chains
  • Engine room alarm systems
  • Wire splicers
  • Safety belts
  • Electric windlasses
  • Wire cutters
  • Thermal protective aids TPA
  • Sounding tapes
  • Electric mooring winches
  • Ship alarm systems
  • Pilot ladders
  • Hydraulic mooring winches
  • Manual winches
  • Fids
  • Personal computers
  • Sewing needles
  • Two way radios
  • Natural fiber mooring ropes
  • Hand windlasses
  • Air chippers
  • Tank level gauges
  • Chain cargo falls
  • Bolt cutters
  • Welders
  • Chipping hammers
  • Life jackets
  • Mechanical telegraphs
  • Electric deck cranes
  • Life rings
  • Locking jaw pliers
  • Explosimeters
  • Foam firefighting systems
  • Synthetic mooring ropes
  • Gyrocompasses
  • Portable gas detectors
  • Riding pawls
  • Blinker lights
  • Emergency generators
  • Spanner wrenches
  • Crescent wrenches
  • Desktop computers
  • Sharpening steels
  • Grease dispensing guns
  • Radar navigation systems
  • Hand capstans
  • Hydraulic windlasses
  • Centrifugal cargo pumps
  • Lifeboat davits