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Automation Risk Analysis

Will “Vessel Ordinary Seaman” be Automated?

Historical Context: Oxford Study (2013)

Ranked #461 of 702. Estimated risk: 83.0%

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AI Exposure Risk

40%

“Vessel Ordinary Seaman” will probably not be replaced by AI.

Based on the cognitive demands, communication requirements, and logical reasoning intrinsic to this occupation according to O*NET data, we project a 40% probability of disruption by generative AI and Large Language Models.

Automation & Robot Risk

60%

“Vessel Ordinary Seaman” will maybe be replaced by robots.

Evaluating the physical dexterity, repetitive motion tasks, and manual labor associated with this role, our analysis indicates a 60% likelihood of substitution by advanced robotics systems.

Personal & Financial Insights

Every occupation has a unique profile. For Sailors and Marine Oilers, the Bureau of Labor Statistics and O*NET classify the day-to-day work broadly as: Stand watch to look for obstructions in path of vessel, measure water depth, turn wheel on bridge, or use emergency equipment as directed by captain, mate, or pilot. Break out, rig, overhaul, and store cargo-handling gear, stationary rigging, and running gear. Perform a variety of maintenance tasks to preserve the painted surface of the ship and to maintain line and ship equipment. Must hold government-issued certification and tankerman certification when working aboard liquid-carrying vessels. Includes able seamen and ordinary seamen.

Avg. Annual Salary $55,320
Avg. Hourly Wage $26.59
Available Jobs (US) 31,360
Job Title & Hierarchy Code (SOC) Sailors and Marine Oilers #53-5011
Wage vs. National Median
ℹ️

Data is based on the reference occupation: “Sailors and Marine Oilers”

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Core Skills & Abilities

  • Measure depth of water in shallow or unfamiliar waters, using leadlines, and telephone or shout depth information to vessel bridges.

  • Examine machinery to verify specified pressures or lubricant flows.

  • Break out, rig, and stow cargo-handling gear, stationary rigging, or running gear.

  • Relay specified signals to other ships, using visual signaling devices, such as blinker lights or semaphores.

  • Stand watch in ships' bows or bridge wings to look for obstructions in a ship's path or to locate navigational aids, such as buoys or lighthouses.

  • Overhaul lifeboats or lifeboat gear and lower or raise lifeboats with winches or falls.

  • Maintain government-issued certifications, as required.

  • Provide engineers with assistance in repairing or adjusting machinery.

  • Read pressure and temperature gauges or displays and record data in engineering logs.

  • Give directions to crew members engaged in cleaning wheelhouses or quarterdecks.

  • Handle lines to moor vessels to wharfs, to tie up vessels to other vessels, or to rig towing lines.

  • Paint or varnish decks, superstructures, lifeboats, or sides of ships.

  • Record data in ships' logs, such as weather conditions or distances traveled.

  • Lower and man lifeboats when emergencies occur.

  • Load or unload materials, vehicles, or passengers from vessels.

  • Splice and repair ropes, wire cables, or cordage, using marlinespikes, wire cutters, twine, and hand tools.

  • Maintain a ship's engines under the direction of the ship's engineering officers.

  • Chip and clean rust spots on decks, superstructures, or sides of ships, using wire brushes and hand or air chipping machines.

  • Stand gangway watches to prevent unauthorized persons from boarding ships while in port.

  • Lubricate machinery, equipment, or engine parts, such as gears, shafts, or bearings.

  • Attach hoses and operate pumps to transfer substances to and from liquid cargo tanks.

  • Tie barges together into tow units for tugboats to handle, inspecting barges periodically during voyages and disconnecting them when destinations are reached.

  • Sweep, mop, and wash down decks to remove oil, dirt, and debris, using brooms, mops, brushes, and hoses.

  • Stand by wheels when ships are on automatic pilot, and verify accuracy of courses, using magnetic compasses.

  • Clean and polish wood trim, brass, or other metal parts.

  • Operate, maintain, or repair ship equipment, such as winches, cranes, derricks, or weapons system.

  • Steer ships under the direction of commanders or navigating officers or direct helmsmen to steer, following designated courses.

  • Participate in shore patrols.

Technologies & Software

  • Microsoft PowerPoint
  • Project44 AI Logistics
  • Word processing software
  • Microsoft Word
  • Microsoft Windows
  • Computerized maintenance management system CMMS
  • Gatik AI
  • Operating system software
  • Log book software
  • KNMI TurboWin
  • Microsoft Outlook
  • Microsoft Excel
  • Waymo (Autonomous Driving)
  • Tesla Autopilot
  • Mobileye AI
  • Kongsberg Maritime K-Log Deck Logbook
  • Microsoft Office software
  • Hand capstans
  • Safety lanyards
  • Lifeboats
  • Sheave blocks
  • Explosimeters
  • Carbon dioxide CO2 firefighting systems
  • Voice pipes
  • Wire splicers
  • Semaphores
  • Lifting slings
  • Life rings
  • Tank level gauges
  • Claw hammers
  • Personal computers
  • Sounding tapes
  • Electric windlasses
  • Gear pumps
  • Centrifugal cargo pumps
  • Cargo booms
  • Electric deck cranes
  • Desktop computers
  • Hydraulic deck cranes
  • Hydraulic windlasses
  • Pilot ladders
  • Air chippers
  • Electric telegraphs
  • Signal flags
  • Riding pawls
  • Liquid cargo transfer hoses
  • Emergency generators
  • Filter masks
  • Anti-exposure coveralls
  • Two way radios
  • Cargo hooks
  • Sounding rods
  • Safety helmets
  • Respirators
  • Centrifugal ventilators
  • Galvanized thimbles
  • Metal chisels
  • Radar navigation systems
  • Life jackets
  • Radio direction finders RDF
  • Blinker lights
  • Ratchet sets
  • Chain cargo falls
  • Pipe wrenches
  • Lifting spreaders
  • Mooring cables
  • Hydraulic capstans
  • Chipping hammers
  • Manual winches
  • Welders
  • Bridge telephones
  • Wire cutters
  • Magnet hoists
  • Bolt cutters
  • Mechanical telegraphs
  • Lifeboat davits
  • Magnetic compasses
  • Locking jaw pliers
  • Pyrotechnic distress signals
  • Sharpening steels
  • Hand windlasses
  • Thermal protective aids TPA
  • Engine room alarm systems
  • Fids
  • Crescent wrenches
  • Safety glasses
  • Natural fiber mooring ropes
  • Safety belts
  • Spanner wrenches
  • Gyrocompasses
  • Grease dispensing guns
  • Reciprocating pumps
  • Mooring chains
  • Foam firefighting systems
  • Container lift trucks
  • Fire hoses
  • Portable fire extinguishers
  • Ship anchor chocks
  • Synthetic mooring ropes
  • Forklifts
  • Grabbing cranes
  • Electric mooring winches
  • Cargo derricks
  • Bilge pumping systems
  • Portable gas detectors
  • Life buoys
  • Hydraulic mooring winches
  • Hand punches
  • Sewing needles
  • Ship alarm systems
  • Oil dispensing cans
  • Workshop vises
  • Emergency position-indicating radio beacons
  • Steam winches