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Automation Risk Analysis

Will “Vessel Ordinary Seaman” be Automated?

Historical Context: Oxford Study (2013)

Ranked #461 of 702. Estimated risk: 83.0%

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AI Exposure Risk

40%

“Vessel Ordinary Seaman” will probably not be replaced by AI.

Based on the cognitive demands, communication requirements, and logical reasoning intrinsic to this occupation according to O*NET data, we project a 40% probability of disruption by generative AI and Large Language Models.

Automation & Robot Risk

60%

“Vessel Ordinary Seaman” will maybe be replaced by robots.

Evaluating the physical dexterity, repetitive motion tasks, and manual labor associated with this role, our analysis indicates a 60% likelihood of substitution by advanced robotics systems.

Personal & Financial Insights

Every occupation has a unique profile. For Sailors and Marine Oilers, the Bureau of Labor Statistics and O*NET classify the day-to-day work broadly as: Stand watch to look for obstructions in path of vessel, measure water depth, turn wheel on bridge, or use emergency equipment as directed by captain, mate, or pilot. Break out, rig, overhaul, and store cargo-handling gear, stationary rigging, and running gear. Perform a variety of maintenance tasks to preserve the painted surface of the ship and to maintain line and ship equipment. Must hold government-issued certification and tankerman certification when working aboard liquid-carrying vessels. Includes able seamen and ordinary seamen.

Avg. Annual Salary $55,320
Avg. Hourly Wage $26.59
Available Jobs (US) 31,360
Job Title & Hierarchy Code (SOC) Sailors and Marine Oilers #53-5011
Wage vs. National Median
ℹ️

Data is based on the reference occupation: “Sailors and Marine Oilers”

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Core Skills & Abilities

  • Load or unload materials, vehicles, or passengers from vessels.

  • Clean and polish wood trim, brass, or other metal parts.

  • Attach hoses and operate pumps to transfer substances to and from liquid cargo tanks.

  • Examine machinery to verify specified pressures or lubricant flows.

  • Provide engineers with assistance in repairing or adjusting machinery.

  • Tie barges together into tow units for tugboats to handle, inspecting barges periodically during voyages and disconnecting them when destinations are reached.

  • Participate in shore patrols.

  • Record data in ships' logs, such as weather conditions or distances traveled.

  • Break out, rig, and stow cargo-handling gear, stationary rigging, or running gear.

  • Stand by wheels when ships are on automatic pilot, and verify accuracy of courses, using magnetic compasses.

  • Lubricate machinery, equipment, or engine parts, such as gears, shafts, or bearings.

  • Handle lines to moor vessels to wharfs, to tie up vessels to other vessels, or to rig towing lines.

  • Sweep, mop, and wash down decks to remove oil, dirt, and debris, using brooms, mops, brushes, and hoses.

  • Give directions to crew members engaged in cleaning wheelhouses or quarterdecks.

  • Chip and clean rust spots on decks, superstructures, or sides of ships, using wire brushes and hand or air chipping machines.

  • Operate, maintain, or repair ship equipment, such as winches, cranes, derricks, or weapons system.

  • Maintain government-issued certifications, as required.

  • Read pressure and temperature gauges or displays and record data in engineering logs.

  • Paint or varnish decks, superstructures, lifeboats, or sides of ships.

  • Overhaul lifeboats or lifeboat gear and lower or raise lifeboats with winches or falls.

  • Splice and repair ropes, wire cables, or cordage, using marlinespikes, wire cutters, twine, and hand tools.

  • Relay specified signals to other ships, using visual signaling devices, such as blinker lights or semaphores.

  • Lower and man lifeboats when emergencies occur.

  • Stand gangway watches to prevent unauthorized persons from boarding ships while in port.

  • Maintain a ship's engines under the direction of the ship's engineering officers.

  • Steer ships under the direction of commanders or navigating officers or direct helmsmen to steer, following designated courses.

  • Stand watch in ships' bows or bridge wings to look for obstructions in a ship's path or to locate navigational aids, such as buoys or lighthouses.

  • Measure depth of water in shallow or unfamiliar waters, using leadlines, and telephone or shout depth information to vessel bridges.

Technologies & Software

  • Microsoft Excel
  • Kongsberg Maritime K-Log Deck Logbook
  • KNMI TurboWin
  • Microsoft Word
  • Tesla Autopilot
  • Gatik AI
  • Operating system software
  • Microsoft Office software
  • Word processing software
  • Log book software
  • Waymo (Autonomous Driving)
  • Mobileye AI
  • Microsoft Windows
  • Microsoft PowerPoint
  • Microsoft Outlook
  • Project44 AI Logistics
  • Computerized maintenance management system CMMS
  • Lifting slings
  • Ratchet sets
  • Centrifugal ventilators
  • Sheave blocks
  • Safety helmets
  • Hydraulic capstans
  • Lifeboat davits
  • Two way radios
  • Natural fiber mooring ropes
  • Blinker lights
  • Container lift trucks
  • Ship anchor chocks
  • Engine room alarm systems
  • Explosimeters
  • Sounding rods
  • Pipe wrenches
  • Emergency generators
  • Fids
  • Mechanical telegraphs
  • Welders
  • Sewing needles
  • Life jackets
  • Hydraulic mooring winches
  • Sounding tapes
  • Safety lanyards
  • Electric mooring winches
  • Lifeboats
  • Mooring cables
  • Ship alarm systems
  • Hand punches
  • Cargo hooks
  • Hand windlasses
  • Emergency position-indicating radio beacons
  • Life buoys
  • Workshop vises
  • Mooring chains
  • Cargo derricks
  • Tank level gauges
  • Galvanized thimbles
  • Metal chisels
  • Thermal protective aids TPA
  • Pyrotechnic distress signals
  • Wire splicers
  • Gear pumps
  • Bolt cutters
  • Claw hammers
  • Liquid cargo transfer hoses
  • Synthetic mooring ropes
  • Grabbing cranes
  • Chain cargo falls
  • Oil dispensing cans
  • Voice pipes
  • Electric deck cranes
  • Carbon dioxide CO2 firefighting systems
  • Pilot ladders
  • Electric telegraphs
  • Lifting spreaders
  • Signal flags
  • Respirators
  • Crescent wrenches
  • Centrifugal cargo pumps
  • Hand capstans
  • Bilge pumping systems
  • Filter masks
  • Magnetic compasses
  • Manual winches
  • Radio direction finders RDF
  • Anti-exposure coveralls
  • Fire hoses
  • Gyrocompasses
  • Wire cutters
  • Magnet hoists
  • Spanner wrenches
  • Portable gas detectors
  • Forklifts
  • Life rings
  • Personal computers
  • Hydraulic deck cranes
  • Semaphores
  • Sharpening steels
  • Grease dispensing guns
  • Portable fire extinguishers
  • Hydraulic windlasses
  • Electric windlasses
  • Reciprocating pumps
  • Desktop computers
  • Cargo booms
  • Locking jaw pliers
  • Chipping hammers
  • Safety glasses
  • Radar navigation systems
  • Riding pawls
  • Bridge telephones
  • Steam winches
  • Air chippers
  • Safety belts
  • Foam firefighting systems