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Automation Risk Analysis

Will “Vessel Ordinary Seaman” be Automated?

Historical Context: Oxford Study (2013)

Ranked #461 of 702. Estimated risk: 83.0%

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AI Exposure Risk

40%

“Vessel Ordinary Seaman” will probably not be replaced by AI.

Based on the cognitive demands, communication requirements, and logical reasoning intrinsic to this occupation according to O*NET data, we project a 40% probability of disruption by generative AI and Large Language Models.

Automation & Robot Risk

60%

“Vessel Ordinary Seaman” will maybe be replaced by robots.

Evaluating the physical dexterity, repetitive motion tasks, and manual labor associated with this role, our analysis indicates a 60% likelihood of substitution by advanced robotics systems.

Personal & Financial Insights

Every occupation has a unique profile. For Sailors and Marine Oilers, the Bureau of Labor Statistics and O*NET classify the day-to-day work broadly as: Stand watch to look for obstructions in path of vessel, measure water depth, turn wheel on bridge, or use emergency equipment as directed by captain, mate, or pilot. Break out, rig, overhaul, and store cargo-handling gear, stationary rigging, and running gear. Perform a variety of maintenance tasks to preserve the painted surface of the ship and to maintain line and ship equipment. Must hold government-issued certification and tankerman certification when working aboard liquid-carrying vessels. Includes able seamen and ordinary seamen.

Avg. Annual Salary $55,320
Avg. Hourly Wage $26.59
Available Jobs (US) 31,360
Job Title & Hierarchy Code (SOC) Sailors and Marine Oilers #53-5011
Wage vs. National Median
ℹ️

Data is based on the reference occupation: “Sailors and Marine Oilers”

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Core Skills & Abilities

  • Break out, rig, and stow cargo-handling gear, stationary rigging, or running gear.

  • Give directions to crew members engaged in cleaning wheelhouses or quarterdecks.

  • Clean and polish wood trim, brass, or other metal parts.

  • Examine machinery to verify specified pressures or lubricant flows.

  • Maintain government-issued certifications, as required.

  • Tie barges together into tow units for tugboats to handle, inspecting barges periodically during voyages and disconnecting them when destinations are reached.

  • Record data in ships' logs, such as weather conditions or distances traveled.

  • Overhaul lifeboats or lifeboat gear and lower or raise lifeboats with winches or falls.

  • Splice and repair ropes, wire cables, or cordage, using marlinespikes, wire cutters, twine, and hand tools.

  • Participate in shore patrols.

  • Measure depth of water in shallow or unfamiliar waters, using leadlines, and telephone or shout depth information to vessel bridges.

  • Read pressure and temperature gauges or displays and record data in engineering logs.

  • Stand gangway watches to prevent unauthorized persons from boarding ships while in port.

  • Sweep, mop, and wash down decks to remove oil, dirt, and debris, using brooms, mops, brushes, and hoses.

  • Lubricate machinery, equipment, or engine parts, such as gears, shafts, or bearings.

  • Steer ships under the direction of commanders or navigating officers or direct helmsmen to steer, following designated courses.

  • Chip and clean rust spots on decks, superstructures, or sides of ships, using wire brushes and hand or air chipping machines.

  • Load or unload materials, vehicles, or passengers from vessels.

  • Lower and man lifeboats when emergencies occur.

  • Maintain a ship's engines under the direction of the ship's engineering officers.

  • Attach hoses and operate pumps to transfer substances to and from liquid cargo tanks.

  • Stand by wheels when ships are on automatic pilot, and verify accuracy of courses, using magnetic compasses.

  • Handle lines to moor vessels to wharfs, to tie up vessels to other vessels, or to rig towing lines.

  • Paint or varnish decks, superstructures, lifeboats, or sides of ships.

  • Provide engineers with assistance in repairing or adjusting machinery.

  • Stand watch in ships' bows or bridge wings to look for obstructions in a ship's path or to locate navigational aids, such as buoys or lighthouses.

  • Relay specified signals to other ships, using visual signaling devices, such as blinker lights or semaphores.

  • Operate, maintain, or repair ship equipment, such as winches, cranes, derricks, or weapons system.

Technologies & Software

  • Operating system software
  • Microsoft Outlook
  • Log book software
  • Microsoft Word
  • Computerized maintenance management system CMMS
  • Waymo (Autonomous Driving)
  • Tesla Autopilot
  • Microsoft Office software
  • Word processing software
  • Project44 AI Logistics
  • Microsoft Windows
  • Gatik AI
  • Microsoft PowerPoint
  • KNMI TurboWin
  • Microsoft Excel
  • Kongsberg Maritime K-Log Deck Logbook
  • Mobileye AI
  • Galvanized thimbles
  • Spanner wrenches
  • Wire splicers
  • Bolt cutters
  • Forklifts
  • Thermal protective aids TPA
  • Welders
  • Carbon dioxide CO2 firefighting systems
  • Lifeboat davits
  • Hydraulic deck cranes
  • Riding pawls
  • Sounding tapes
  • Container lift trucks
  • Bilge pumping systems
  • Reciprocating pumps
  • Sharpening steels
  • Natural fiber mooring ropes
  • Sheave blocks
  • Lifeboats
  • Ratchet sets
  • Locking jaw pliers
  • Chipping hammers
  • Lifting slings
  • Safety belts
  • Anti-exposure coveralls
  • Electric deck cranes
  • Radar navigation systems
  • Semaphores
  • Cargo derricks
  • Gear pumps
  • Sounding rods
  • Cargo hooks
  • Voice pipes
  • Hand punches
  • Hydraulic windlasses
  • Wire cutters
  • Desktop computers
  • Gyrocompasses
  • Personal computers
  • Hydraulic mooring winches
  • Filter masks
  • Ship alarm systems
  • Emergency generators
  • Air chippers
  • Workshop vises
  • Electric mooring winches
  • Mooring chains
  • Foam firefighting systems
  • Portable fire extinguishers
  • Crescent wrenches
  • Manual winches
  • Electric windlasses
  • Centrifugal cargo pumps
  • Lifting spreaders
  • Grease dispensing guns
  • Explosimeters
  • Tank level gauges
  • Mechanical telegraphs
  • Pilot ladders
  • Two way radios
  • Steam winches
  • Grabbing cranes
  • Emergency position-indicating radio beacons
  • Synthetic mooring ropes
  • Life rings
  • Safety helmets
  • Bridge telephones
  • Hydraulic capstans
  • Signal flags
  • Respirators
  • Hand capstans
  • Cargo booms
  • Safety glasses
  • Centrifugal ventilators
  • Radio direction finders RDF
  • Oil dispensing cans
  • Portable gas detectors
  • Pipe wrenches
  • Magnet hoists
  • Liquid cargo transfer hoses
  • Blinker lights
  • Fids
  • Fire hoses
  • Electric telegraphs
  • Hand windlasses
  • Chain cargo falls
  • Pyrotechnic distress signals
  • Sewing needles
  • Life buoys
  • Metal chisels
  • Ship anchor chocks
  • Safety lanyards
  • Engine room alarm systems
  • Life jackets
  • Claw hammers
  • Mooring cables
  • Magnetic compasses