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Automation Risk Analysis

Will “Vessel Ordinary Seaman” be Automated?

Historical Context: Oxford Study (2013)

Ranked #461 of 702. Estimated risk: 83.0%

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AI Exposure Risk

40%

“Vessel Ordinary Seaman” will probably not be replaced by AI.

Based on the cognitive demands, communication requirements, and logical reasoning intrinsic to this occupation according to O*NET data, we project a 40% probability of disruption by generative AI and Large Language Models.

Automation & Robot Risk

60%

“Vessel Ordinary Seaman” will maybe be replaced by robots.

Evaluating the physical dexterity, repetitive motion tasks, and manual labor associated with this role, our analysis indicates a 60% likelihood of substitution by advanced robotics systems.

Personal & Financial Insights

Every occupation has a unique profile. For Sailors and Marine Oilers, the Bureau of Labor Statistics and O*NET classify the day-to-day work broadly as: Stand watch to look for obstructions in path of vessel, measure water depth, turn wheel on bridge, or use emergency equipment as directed by captain, mate, or pilot. Break out, rig, overhaul, and store cargo-handling gear, stationary rigging, and running gear. Perform a variety of maintenance tasks to preserve the painted surface of the ship and to maintain line and ship equipment. Must hold government-issued certification and tankerman certification when working aboard liquid-carrying vessels. Includes able seamen and ordinary seamen.

Avg. Annual Salary $55,320
Avg. Hourly Wage $26.59
Available Jobs (US) 31,360
Job Title & Hierarchy Code (SOC) Sailors and Marine Oilers #53-5011
Wage vs. National Median
ℹ️

Data is based on the reference occupation: “Sailors and Marine Oilers”

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Core Skills & Abilities

  • Stand watch in ships' bows or bridge wings to look for obstructions in a ship's path or to locate navigational aids, such as buoys or lighthouses.

  • Relay specified signals to other ships, using visual signaling devices, such as blinker lights or semaphores.

  • Handle lines to moor vessels to wharfs, to tie up vessels to other vessels, or to rig towing lines.

  • Tie barges together into tow units for tugboats to handle, inspecting barges periodically during voyages and disconnecting them when destinations are reached.

  • Provide engineers with assistance in repairing or adjusting machinery.

  • Sweep, mop, and wash down decks to remove oil, dirt, and debris, using brooms, mops, brushes, and hoses.

  • Overhaul lifeboats or lifeboat gear and lower or raise lifeboats with winches or falls.

  • Lower and man lifeboats when emergencies occur.

  • Record data in ships' logs, such as weather conditions or distances traveled.

  • Clean and polish wood trim, brass, or other metal parts.

  • Break out, rig, and stow cargo-handling gear, stationary rigging, or running gear.

  • Lubricate machinery, equipment, or engine parts, such as gears, shafts, or bearings.

  • Examine machinery to verify specified pressures or lubricant flows.

  • Splice and repair ropes, wire cables, or cordage, using marlinespikes, wire cutters, twine, and hand tools.

  • Maintain a ship's engines under the direction of the ship's engineering officers.

  • Paint or varnish decks, superstructures, lifeboats, or sides of ships.

  • Measure depth of water in shallow or unfamiliar waters, using leadlines, and telephone or shout depth information to vessel bridges.

  • Maintain government-issued certifications, as required.

  • Load or unload materials, vehicles, or passengers from vessels.

  • Participate in shore patrols.

  • Chip and clean rust spots on decks, superstructures, or sides of ships, using wire brushes and hand or air chipping machines.

  • Stand by wheels when ships are on automatic pilot, and verify accuracy of courses, using magnetic compasses.

  • Give directions to crew members engaged in cleaning wheelhouses or quarterdecks.

  • Steer ships under the direction of commanders or navigating officers or direct helmsmen to steer, following designated courses.

  • Stand gangway watches to prevent unauthorized persons from boarding ships while in port.

  • Attach hoses and operate pumps to transfer substances to and from liquid cargo tanks.

  • Read pressure and temperature gauges or displays and record data in engineering logs.

  • Operate, maintain, or repair ship equipment, such as winches, cranes, derricks, or weapons system.

Technologies & Software

  • Operating system software
  • Waymo (Autonomous Driving)
  • Computerized maintenance management system CMMS
  • Mobileye AI
  • Tesla Autopilot
  • Microsoft Office software
  • Project44 AI Logistics
  • Microsoft Outlook
  • Kongsberg Maritime K-Log Deck Logbook
  • Word processing software
  • Log book software
  • Microsoft Word
  • KNMI TurboWin
  • Microsoft Windows
  • Microsoft PowerPoint
  • Microsoft Excel
  • Gatik AI
  • Sheave blocks
  • Forklifts
  • Grease dispensing guns
  • Magnet hoists
  • Ship alarm systems
  • Welders
  • Tank level gauges
  • Radar navigation systems
  • Desktop computers
  • Container lift trucks
  • Emergency generators
  • Cargo booms
  • Safety glasses
  • Semaphores
  • Gyrocompasses
  • Radio direction finders RDF
  • Portable fire extinguishers
  • Chipping hammers
  • Fire hoses
  • Safety belts
  • Hand windlasses
  • Respirators
  • Riding pawls
  • Air chippers
  • Chain cargo falls
  • Explosimeters
  • Mechanical telegraphs
  • Life rings
  • Electric deck cranes
  • Hydraulic mooring winches
  • Hand capstans
  • Anti-exposure coveralls
  • Mooring cables
  • Electric windlasses
  • Centrifugal cargo pumps
  • Wire cutters
  • Hand punches
  • Electric telegraphs
  • Spanner wrenches
  • Fids
  • Manual winches
  • Steam winches
  • Lifeboat davits
  • Centrifugal ventilators
  • Thermal protective aids TPA
  • Sharpening steels
  • Mooring chains
  • Locking jaw pliers
  • Emergency position-indicating radio beacons
  • Blinker lights
  • Safety lanyards
  • Metal chisels
  • Two way radios
  • Pipe wrenches
  • Hydraulic capstans
  • Grabbing cranes
  • Ratchet sets
  • Natural fiber mooring ropes
  • Hydraulic deck cranes
  • Workshop vises
  • Claw hammers
  • Gear pumps
  • Pyrotechnic distress signals
  • Life jackets
  • Lifeboats
  • Sounding rods
  • Life buoys
  • Synthetic mooring ropes
  • Sounding tapes
  • Voice pipes
  • Lifting slings
  • Hydraulic windlasses
  • Cargo derricks
  • Electric mooring winches
  • Cargo hooks
  • Bilge pumping systems
  • Wire splicers
  • Safety helmets
  • Carbon dioxide CO2 firefighting systems
  • Pilot ladders
  • Magnetic compasses
  • Personal computers
  • Bolt cutters
  • Portable gas detectors
  • Foam firefighting systems
  • Oil dispensing cans
  • Ship anchor chocks
  • Reciprocating pumps
  • Galvanized thimbles
  • Liquid cargo transfer hoses
  • Signal flags
  • Lifting spreaders
  • Engine room alarm systems
  • Bridge telephones
  • Crescent wrenches
  • Filter masks
  • Sewing needles