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Automation Risk Analysis

Will “Sailor” be Automated?

Historical Context: Oxford Study (2013)

Ranked #461 of 702. Estimated risk: 83.0%

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AI Exposure Risk

40%

“Sailor” will probably not be replaced by AI.

Based on the cognitive demands, communication requirements, and logical reasoning intrinsic to this occupation according to O*NET data, we project a 40% probability of disruption by generative AI and Large Language Models.

Automation & Robot Risk

60%

“Sailor” will maybe be replaced by robots.

Evaluating the physical dexterity, repetitive motion tasks, and manual labor associated with this role, our analysis indicates a 60% likelihood of substitution by advanced robotics systems.

Personal & Financial Insights

Every occupation has a unique profile. For Sailors and Marine Oilers, the Bureau of Labor Statistics and O*NET classify the day-to-day work broadly as: Stand watch to look for obstructions in path of vessel, measure water depth, turn wheel on bridge, or use emergency equipment as directed by captain, mate, or pilot. Break out, rig, overhaul, and store cargo-handling gear, stationary rigging, and running gear. Perform a variety of maintenance tasks to preserve the painted surface of the ship and to maintain line and ship equipment. Must hold government-issued certification and tankerman certification when working aboard liquid-carrying vessels. Includes able seamen and ordinary seamen.

Avg. Annual Salary $55,320
Avg. Hourly Wage $26.59
Available Jobs (US) 31,360
Job Title & Hierarchy Code (SOC) Sailors and Marine Oilers #53-5011
Wage vs. National Median
ℹ️

Data is based on the reference occupation: “Sailors and Marine Oilers”

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Core Skills & Abilities

  • Handle lines to moor vessels to wharfs, to tie up vessels to other vessels, or to rig towing lines.

  • Examine machinery to verify specified pressures or lubricant flows.

  • Steer ships under the direction of commanders or navigating officers or direct helmsmen to steer, following designated courses.

  • Measure depth of water in shallow or unfamiliar waters, using leadlines, and telephone or shout depth information to vessel bridges.

  • Stand gangway watches to prevent unauthorized persons from boarding ships while in port.

  • Lower and man lifeboats when emergencies occur.

  • Operate, maintain, or repair ship equipment, such as winches, cranes, derricks, or weapons system.

  • Chip and clean rust spots on decks, superstructures, or sides of ships, using wire brushes and hand or air chipping machines.

  • Break out, rig, and stow cargo-handling gear, stationary rigging, or running gear.

  • Splice and repair ropes, wire cables, or cordage, using marlinespikes, wire cutters, twine, and hand tools.

  • Sweep, mop, and wash down decks to remove oil, dirt, and debris, using brooms, mops, brushes, and hoses.

  • Give directions to crew members engaged in cleaning wheelhouses or quarterdecks.

  • Relay specified signals to other ships, using visual signaling devices, such as blinker lights or semaphores.

  • Participate in shore patrols.

  • Overhaul lifeboats or lifeboat gear and lower or raise lifeboats with winches or falls.

  • Stand by wheels when ships are on automatic pilot, and verify accuracy of courses, using magnetic compasses.

  • Tie barges together into tow units for tugboats to handle, inspecting barges periodically during voyages and disconnecting them when destinations are reached.

  • Maintain a ship's engines under the direction of the ship's engineering officers.

  • Clean and polish wood trim, brass, or other metal parts.

  • Attach hoses and operate pumps to transfer substances to and from liquid cargo tanks.

  • Maintain government-issued certifications, as required.

  • Read pressure and temperature gauges or displays and record data in engineering logs.

  • Provide engineers with assistance in repairing or adjusting machinery.

  • Record data in ships' logs, such as weather conditions or distances traveled.

  • Load or unload materials, vehicles, or passengers from vessels.

  • Lubricate machinery, equipment, or engine parts, such as gears, shafts, or bearings.

  • Stand watch in ships' bows or bridge wings to look for obstructions in a ship's path or to locate navigational aids, such as buoys or lighthouses.

  • Paint or varnish decks, superstructures, lifeboats, or sides of ships.

Technologies & Software

  • Tesla Autopilot
  • Microsoft Word
  • Mobileye AI
  • Kongsberg Maritime K-Log Deck Logbook
  • Microsoft Excel
  • Microsoft Outlook
  • Project44 AI Logistics
  • Microsoft PowerPoint
  • Waymo (Autonomous Driving)
  • Gatik AI
  • Microsoft Office software
  • Operating system software
  • Computerized maintenance management system CMMS
  • Microsoft Windows
  • Word processing software
  • Log book software
  • KNMI TurboWin
  • Sharpening steels
  • Steam winches
  • Desktop computers
  • Life buoys
  • Electric deck cranes
  • Cargo hooks
  • Sheave blocks
  • Emergency position-indicating radio beacons
  • Hydraulic mooring winches
  • Two way radios
  • Carbon dioxide CO2 firefighting systems
  • Bridge telephones
  • Natural fiber mooring ropes
  • Thermal protective aids TPA
  • Bolt cutters
  • Lifeboat davits
  • Engine room alarm systems
  • Metal chisels
  • Magnet hoists
  • Gear pumps
  • Mooring chains
  • Foam firefighting systems
  • Safety glasses
  • Forklifts
  • Lifeboats
  • Gyrocompasses
  • Signal flags
  • Grease dispensing guns
  • Pipe wrenches
  • Hydraulic windlasses
  • Magnetic compasses
  • Hydraulic deck cranes
  • Radar navigation systems
  • Safety belts
  • Sewing needles
  • Centrifugal ventilators
  • Welders
  • Life rings
  • Electric windlasses
  • Claw hammers
  • Voice pipes
  • Riding pawls
  • Fids
  • Explosimeters
  • Semaphores
  • Oil dispensing cans
  • Safety lanyards
  • Mechanical telegraphs
  • Air chippers
  • Ship alarm systems
  • Portable gas detectors
  • Tank level gauges
  • Hand capstans
  • Locking jaw pliers
  • Chipping hammers
  • Reciprocating pumps
  • Safety helmets
  • Life jackets
  • Manual winches
  • Respirators
  • Hand windlasses
  • Lifting slings
  • Sounding tapes
  • Hydraulic capstans
  • Wire splicers
  • Ship anchor chocks
  • Spanner wrenches
  • Cargo derricks
  • Synthetic mooring ropes
  • Centrifugal cargo pumps
  • Personal computers
  • Pyrotechnic distress signals
  • Cargo booms
  • Workshop vises
  • Emergency generators
  • Electric telegraphs
  • Pilot ladders
  • Container lift trucks
  • Portable fire extinguishers
  • Liquid cargo transfer hoses
  • Blinker lights
  • Electric mooring winches
  • Crescent wrenches
  • Filter masks
  • Chain cargo falls
  • Lifting spreaders
  • Bilge pumping systems
  • Ratchet sets
  • Anti-exposure coveralls
  • Galvanized thimbles
  • Hand punches
  • Wire cutters
  • Radio direction finders RDF
  • Mooring cables
  • Grabbing cranes
  • Sounding rods
  • Fire hoses