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Automation Risk Analysis

Will “Sailor” be Automated?

Historical Context: Oxford Study (2013)

Ranked #461 of 702. Estimated risk: 83.0%

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AI Exposure Risk

40%

“Sailor” will probably not be replaced by AI.

Based on the cognitive demands, communication requirements, and logical reasoning intrinsic to this occupation according to O*NET data, we project a 40% probability of disruption by generative AI and Large Language Models.

Automation & Robot Risk

60%

“Sailor” will maybe be replaced by robots.

Evaluating the physical dexterity, repetitive motion tasks, and manual labor associated with this role, our analysis indicates a 60% likelihood of substitution by advanced robotics systems.

Personal & Financial Insights

Every occupation has a unique profile. For Sailors and Marine Oilers, the Bureau of Labor Statistics and O*NET classify the day-to-day work broadly as: Stand watch to look for obstructions in path of vessel, measure water depth, turn wheel on bridge, or use emergency equipment as directed by captain, mate, or pilot. Break out, rig, overhaul, and store cargo-handling gear, stationary rigging, and running gear. Perform a variety of maintenance tasks to preserve the painted surface of the ship and to maintain line and ship equipment. Must hold government-issued certification and tankerman certification when working aboard liquid-carrying vessels. Includes able seamen and ordinary seamen.

Avg. Annual Salary $55,320
Avg. Hourly Wage $26.59
Available Jobs (US) 31,360
Job Title & Hierarchy Code (SOC) Sailors and Marine Oilers #53-5011
Wage vs. National Median
ℹ️

Data is based on the reference occupation: “Sailors and Marine Oilers”

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Core Skills & Abilities

  • Overhaul lifeboats or lifeboat gear and lower or raise lifeboats with winches or falls.

  • Measure depth of water in shallow or unfamiliar waters, using leadlines, and telephone or shout depth information to vessel bridges.

  • Stand by wheels when ships are on automatic pilot, and verify accuracy of courses, using magnetic compasses.

  • Chip and clean rust spots on decks, superstructures, or sides of ships, using wire brushes and hand or air chipping machines.

  • Read pressure and temperature gauges or displays and record data in engineering logs.

  • Load or unload materials, vehicles, or passengers from vessels.

  • Maintain government-issued certifications, as required.

  • Sweep, mop, and wash down decks to remove oil, dirt, and debris, using brooms, mops, brushes, and hoses.

  • Steer ships under the direction of commanders or navigating officers or direct helmsmen to steer, following designated courses.

  • Examine machinery to verify specified pressures or lubricant flows.

  • Lubricate machinery, equipment, or engine parts, such as gears, shafts, or bearings.

  • Handle lines to moor vessels to wharfs, to tie up vessels to other vessels, or to rig towing lines.

  • Attach hoses and operate pumps to transfer substances to and from liquid cargo tanks.

  • Maintain a ship's engines under the direction of the ship's engineering officers.

  • Give directions to crew members engaged in cleaning wheelhouses or quarterdecks.

  • Break out, rig, and stow cargo-handling gear, stationary rigging, or running gear.

  • Participate in shore patrols.

  • Clean and polish wood trim, brass, or other metal parts.

  • Lower and man lifeboats when emergencies occur.

  • Relay specified signals to other ships, using visual signaling devices, such as blinker lights or semaphores.

  • Paint or varnish decks, superstructures, lifeboats, or sides of ships.

  • Tie barges together into tow units for tugboats to handle, inspecting barges periodically during voyages and disconnecting them when destinations are reached.

  • Stand gangway watches to prevent unauthorized persons from boarding ships while in port.

  • Splice and repair ropes, wire cables, or cordage, using marlinespikes, wire cutters, twine, and hand tools.

  • Stand watch in ships' bows or bridge wings to look for obstructions in a ship's path or to locate navigational aids, such as buoys or lighthouses.

  • Operate, maintain, or repair ship equipment, such as winches, cranes, derricks, or weapons system.

  • Record data in ships' logs, such as weather conditions or distances traveled.

  • Provide engineers with assistance in repairing or adjusting machinery.

Technologies & Software

  • Tesla Autopilot
  • KNMI TurboWin
  • Kongsberg Maritime K-Log Deck Logbook
  • Microsoft Excel
  • Microsoft Word
  • Microsoft Windows
  • Microsoft Outlook
  • Operating system software
  • Word processing software
  • Project44 AI Logistics
  • Gatik AI
  • Mobileye AI
  • Microsoft Office software
  • Microsoft PowerPoint
  • Waymo (Autonomous Driving)
  • Log book software
  • Computerized maintenance management system CMMS
  • Cargo booms
  • Galvanized thimbles
  • Ratchet sets
  • Hydraulic mooring winches
  • Magnetic compasses
  • Engine room alarm systems
  • Liquid cargo transfer hoses
  • Radar navigation systems
  • Magnet hoists
  • Foam firefighting systems
  • Grease dispensing guns
  • Lifeboats
  • Hydraulic windlasses
  • Mechanical telegraphs
  • Life buoys
  • Container lift trucks
  • Anti-exposure coveralls
  • Electric telegraphs
  • Workshop vises
  • Claw hammers
  • Grabbing cranes
  • Chipping hammers
  • Lifting slings
  • Emergency position-indicating radio beacons
  • Welders
  • Voice pipes
  • Safety lanyards
  • Blinker lights
  • Signal flags
  • Fids
  • Oil dispensing cans
  • Chain cargo falls
  • Bilge pumping systems
  • Carbon dioxide CO2 firefighting systems
  • Cargo hooks
  • Steam winches
  • Electric deck cranes
  • Life jackets
  • Synthetic mooring ropes
  • Fire hoses
  • Electric mooring winches
  • Tank level gauges
  • Lifting spreaders
  • Wire splicers
  • Portable fire extinguishers
  • Emergency generators
  • Filter masks
  • Lifeboat davits
  • Locking jaw pliers
  • Metal chisels
  • Gear pumps
  • Air chippers
  • Hand windlasses
  • Pyrotechnic distress signals
  • Manual winches
  • Natural fiber mooring ropes
  • Gyrocompasses
  • Bridge telephones
  • Electric windlasses
  • Sharpening steels
  • Mooring chains
  • Hydraulic deck cranes
  • Crescent wrenches
  • Thermal protective aids TPA
  • Pipe wrenches
  • Safety glasses
  • Forklifts
  • Explosimeters
  • Respirators
  • Bolt cutters
  • Safety helmets
  • Ship alarm systems
  • Hand punches
  • Desktop computers
  • Semaphores
  • Pilot ladders
  • Hydraulic capstans
  • Hand capstans
  • Ship anchor chocks
  • Wire cutters
  • Sewing needles
  • Mooring cables
  • Cargo derricks
  • Centrifugal ventilators
  • Centrifugal cargo pumps
  • Life rings
  • Two way radios
  • Sounding tapes
  • Personal computers
  • Radio direction finders RDF
  • Sheave blocks
  • Portable gas detectors
  • Riding pawls
  • Reciprocating pumps
  • Sounding rods
  • Spanner wrenches
  • Safety belts