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Automation Risk Analysis

Will “Ferryman” be Automated?

Historical Context: Oxford Study (2013)

Ranked #461 of 702. Estimated risk: 83.0%

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AI Exposure Risk

40%

“Ferryman” will probably not be replaced by AI.

Based on the cognitive demands, communication requirements, and logical reasoning intrinsic to this occupation according to O*NET data, we project a 40% probability of disruption by generative AI and Large Language Models.

Automation & Robot Risk

60%

“Ferryman” will maybe be replaced by robots.

Evaluating the physical dexterity, repetitive motion tasks, and manual labor associated with this role, our analysis indicates a 60% likelihood of substitution by advanced robotics systems.

Personal & Financial Insights

Every occupation has a unique profile. For Sailors and Marine Oilers, the Bureau of Labor Statistics and O*NET classify the day-to-day work broadly as: Stand watch to look for obstructions in path of vessel, measure water depth, turn wheel on bridge, or use emergency equipment as directed by captain, mate, or pilot. Break out, rig, overhaul, and store cargo-handling gear, stationary rigging, and running gear. Perform a variety of maintenance tasks to preserve the painted surface of the ship and to maintain line and ship equipment. Must hold government-issued certification and tankerman certification when working aboard liquid-carrying vessels. Includes able seamen and ordinary seamen.

Avg. Annual Salary $55,320
Avg. Hourly Wage $26.59
Available Jobs (US) 31,360
Job Title & Hierarchy Code (SOC) Sailors and Marine Oilers #53-5011
Wage vs. National Median
ℹ️

Data is based on the reference occupation: “Sailors and Marine Oilers”

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Core Skills & Abilities

  • Sweep, mop, and wash down decks to remove oil, dirt, and debris, using brooms, mops, brushes, and hoses.

  • Attach hoses and operate pumps to transfer substances to and from liquid cargo tanks.

  • Record data in ships' logs, such as weather conditions or distances traveled.

  • Steer ships under the direction of commanders or navigating officers or direct helmsmen to steer, following designated courses.

  • Tie barges together into tow units for tugboats to handle, inspecting barges periodically during voyages and disconnecting them when destinations are reached.

  • Paint or varnish decks, superstructures, lifeboats, or sides of ships.

  • Stand gangway watches to prevent unauthorized persons from boarding ships while in port.

  • Break out, rig, and stow cargo-handling gear, stationary rigging, or running gear.

  • Handle lines to moor vessels to wharfs, to tie up vessels to other vessels, or to rig towing lines.

  • Measure depth of water in shallow or unfamiliar waters, using leadlines, and telephone or shout depth information to vessel bridges.

  • Maintain government-issued certifications, as required.

  • Operate, maintain, or repair ship equipment, such as winches, cranes, derricks, or weapons system.

  • Chip and clean rust spots on decks, superstructures, or sides of ships, using wire brushes and hand or air chipping machines.

  • Read pressure and temperature gauges or displays and record data in engineering logs.

  • Examine machinery to verify specified pressures or lubricant flows.

  • Maintain a ship's engines under the direction of the ship's engineering officers.

  • Relay specified signals to other ships, using visual signaling devices, such as blinker lights or semaphores.

  • Provide engineers with assistance in repairing or adjusting machinery.

  • Lubricate machinery, equipment, or engine parts, such as gears, shafts, or bearings.

  • Participate in shore patrols.

  • Load or unload materials, vehicles, or passengers from vessels.

  • Splice and repair ropes, wire cables, or cordage, using marlinespikes, wire cutters, twine, and hand tools.

  • Give directions to crew members engaged in cleaning wheelhouses or quarterdecks.

  • Stand by wheels when ships are on automatic pilot, and verify accuracy of courses, using magnetic compasses.

  • Clean and polish wood trim, brass, or other metal parts.

  • Lower and man lifeboats when emergencies occur.

  • Stand watch in ships' bows or bridge wings to look for obstructions in a ship's path or to locate navigational aids, such as buoys or lighthouses.

  • Overhaul lifeboats or lifeboat gear and lower or raise lifeboats with winches or falls.

Technologies & Software

  • Kongsberg Maritime K-Log Deck Logbook
  • Log book software
  • Computerized maintenance management system CMMS
  • Mobileye AI
  • Word processing software
  • Microsoft Windows
  • Project44 AI Logistics
  • Microsoft Word
  • KNMI TurboWin
  • Microsoft Excel
  • Gatik AI
  • Operating system software
  • Microsoft PowerPoint
  • Waymo (Autonomous Driving)
  • Microsoft Outlook
  • Microsoft Office software
  • Tesla Autopilot
  • Cargo hooks
  • Portable fire extinguishers
  • Electric deck cranes
  • Thermal protective aids TPA
  • Desktop computers
  • Gyrocompasses
  • Synthetic mooring ropes
  • Safety glasses
  • Natural fiber mooring ropes
  • Manual winches
  • Hydraulic mooring winches
  • Radar navigation systems
  • Safety lanyards
  • Ratchet sets
  • Forklifts
  • Sheave blocks
  • Ship alarm systems
  • Wire splicers
  • Explosimeters
  • Life rings
  • Pipe wrenches
  • Workshop vises
  • Hand windlasses
  • Voice pipes
  • Magnetic compasses
  • Electric windlasses
  • Hydraulic capstans
  • Cargo derricks
  • Foam firefighting systems
  • Bilge pumping systems
  • Cargo booms
  • Emergency generators
  • Wire cutters
  • Centrifugal ventilators
  • Liquid cargo transfer hoses
  • Mooring cables
  • Two way radios
  • Welders
  • Signal flags
  • Sounding rods
  • Emergency position-indicating radio beacons
  • Filter masks
  • Semaphores
  • Blinker lights
  • Life buoys
  • Fids
  • Bridge telephones
  • Pilot ladders
  • Safety helmets
  • Bolt cutters
  • Lifting slings
  • Portable gas detectors
  • Hydraulic windlasses
  • Magnet hoists
  • Mooring chains
  • Claw hammers
  • Gear pumps
  • Oil dispensing cans
  • Sewing needles
  • Personal computers
  • Respirators
  • Grabbing cranes
  • Ship anchor chocks
  • Chain cargo falls
  • Spanner wrenches
  • Tank level gauges
  • Lifeboats
  • Lifeboat davits
  • Metal chisels
  • Pyrotechnic distress signals
  • Engine room alarm systems
  • Chipping hammers
  • Galvanized thimbles
  • Mechanical telegraphs
  • Carbon dioxide CO2 firefighting systems
  • Hand capstans
  • Electric telegraphs
  • Container lift trucks
  • Radio direction finders RDF
  • Crescent wrenches
  • Reciprocating pumps
  • Grease dispensing guns
  • Steam winches
  • Riding pawls
  • Locking jaw pliers
  • Sounding tapes
  • Lifting spreaders
  • Life jackets
  • Sharpening steels
  • Electric mooring winches
  • Hand punches
  • Anti-exposure coveralls
  • Hydraulic deck cranes
  • Fire hoses
  • Centrifugal cargo pumps
  • Air chippers
  • Safety belts