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Automation Risk Analysis

Will “Ferryman” be Automated?

Historical Context: Oxford Study (2013)

Ranked #461 of 702. Estimated risk: 83.0%

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AI Exposure Risk

40%

“Ferryman” will probably not be replaced by AI.

Based on the cognitive demands, communication requirements, and logical reasoning intrinsic to this occupation according to O*NET data, we project a 40% probability of disruption by generative AI and Large Language Models.

Automation & Robot Risk

60%

“Ferryman” will maybe be replaced by robots.

Evaluating the physical dexterity, repetitive motion tasks, and manual labor associated with this role, our analysis indicates a 60% likelihood of substitution by advanced robotics systems.

Personal & Financial Insights

Every occupation has a unique profile. For Sailors and Marine Oilers, the Bureau of Labor Statistics and O*NET classify the day-to-day work broadly as: Stand watch to look for obstructions in path of vessel, measure water depth, turn wheel on bridge, or use emergency equipment as directed by captain, mate, or pilot. Break out, rig, overhaul, and store cargo-handling gear, stationary rigging, and running gear. Perform a variety of maintenance tasks to preserve the painted surface of the ship and to maintain line and ship equipment. Must hold government-issued certification and tankerman certification when working aboard liquid-carrying vessels. Includes able seamen and ordinary seamen.

Avg. Annual Salary $55,320
Avg. Hourly Wage $26.59
Available Jobs (US) 31,360
Job Title & Hierarchy Code (SOC) Sailors and Marine Oilers #53-5011
Wage vs. National Median
ℹ️

Data is based on the reference occupation: “Sailors and Marine Oilers”

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Core Skills & Abilities

  • Stand by wheels when ships are on automatic pilot, and verify accuracy of courses, using magnetic compasses.

  • Operate, maintain, or repair ship equipment, such as winches, cranes, derricks, or weapons system.

  • Attach hoses and operate pumps to transfer substances to and from liquid cargo tanks.

  • Examine machinery to verify specified pressures or lubricant flows.

  • Break out, rig, and stow cargo-handling gear, stationary rigging, or running gear.

  • Chip and clean rust spots on decks, superstructures, or sides of ships, using wire brushes and hand or air chipping machines.

  • Stand watch in ships' bows or bridge wings to look for obstructions in a ship's path or to locate navigational aids, such as buoys or lighthouses.

  • Handle lines to moor vessels to wharfs, to tie up vessels to other vessels, or to rig towing lines.

  • Sweep, mop, and wash down decks to remove oil, dirt, and debris, using brooms, mops, brushes, and hoses.

  • Overhaul lifeboats or lifeboat gear and lower or raise lifeboats with winches or falls.

  • Participate in shore patrols.

  • Maintain a ship's engines under the direction of the ship's engineering officers.

  • Tie barges together into tow units for tugboats to handle, inspecting barges periodically during voyages and disconnecting them when destinations are reached.

  • Steer ships under the direction of commanders or navigating officers or direct helmsmen to steer, following designated courses.

  • Give directions to crew members engaged in cleaning wheelhouses or quarterdecks.

  • Relay specified signals to other ships, using visual signaling devices, such as blinker lights or semaphores.

  • Maintain government-issued certifications, as required.

  • Load or unload materials, vehicles, or passengers from vessels.

  • Measure depth of water in shallow or unfamiliar waters, using leadlines, and telephone or shout depth information to vessel bridges.

  • Clean and polish wood trim, brass, or other metal parts.

  • Stand gangway watches to prevent unauthorized persons from boarding ships while in port.

  • Lubricate machinery, equipment, or engine parts, such as gears, shafts, or bearings.

  • Paint or varnish decks, superstructures, lifeboats, or sides of ships.

  • Read pressure and temperature gauges or displays and record data in engineering logs.

  • Splice and repair ropes, wire cables, or cordage, using marlinespikes, wire cutters, twine, and hand tools.

  • Record data in ships' logs, such as weather conditions or distances traveled.

  • Lower and man lifeboats when emergencies occur.

  • Provide engineers with assistance in repairing or adjusting machinery.

Technologies & Software

  • Microsoft Excel
  • Log book software
  • Microsoft Windows
  • Operating system software
  • Waymo (Autonomous Driving)
  • Computerized maintenance management system CMMS
  • Word processing software
  • Tesla Autopilot
  • Microsoft Outlook
  • Mobileye AI
  • Microsoft Office software
  • Microsoft PowerPoint
  • Kongsberg Maritime K-Log Deck Logbook
  • Gatik AI
  • Project44 AI Logistics
  • Microsoft Word
  • KNMI TurboWin
  • Electric deck cranes
  • Workshop vises
  • Spanner wrenches
  • Magnet hoists
  • Engine room alarm systems
  • Hydraulic capstans
  • Manual winches
  • Welders
  • Sharpening steels
  • Natural fiber mooring ropes
  • Blinker lights
  • Desktop computers
  • Crescent wrenches
  • Grabbing cranes
  • Steam winches
  • Cargo hooks
  • Fire hoses
  • Reciprocating pumps
  • Chain cargo falls
  • Wire splicers
  • Semaphores
  • Fids
  • Foam firefighting systems
  • Locking jaw pliers
  • Lifting spreaders
  • Magnetic compasses
  • Grease dispensing guns
  • Ship alarm systems
  • Signal flags
  • Safety helmets
  • Lifting slings
  • Sounding rods
  • Portable fire extinguishers
  • Hand capstans
  • Voice pipes
  • Thermal protective aids TPA
  • Wire cutters
  • Safety glasses
  • Gear pumps
  • Ship anchor chocks
  • Mooring chains
  • Lifeboats
  • Centrifugal cargo pumps
  • Cargo derricks
  • Life jackets
  • Cargo booms
  • Emergency position-indicating radio beacons
  • Personal computers
  • Container lift trucks
  • Bridge telephones
  • Galvanized thimbles
  • Mooring cables
  • Life buoys
  • Emergency generators
  • Respirators
  • Electric mooring winches
  • Claw hammers
  • Air chippers
  • Liquid cargo transfer hoses
  • Safety belts
  • Hand windlasses
  • Radar navigation systems
  • Forklifts
  • Explosimeters
  • Safety lanyards
  • Hydraulic mooring winches
  • Ratchet sets
  • Two way radios
  • Pilot ladders
  • Sheave blocks
  • Gyrocompasses
  • Lifeboat davits
  • Pyrotechnic distress signals
  • Hydraulic windlasses
  • Sewing needles
  • Electric telegraphs
  • Radio direction finders RDF
  • Life rings
  • Carbon dioxide CO2 firefighting systems
  • Electric windlasses
  • Bilge pumping systems
  • Chipping hammers
  • Hand punches
  • Hydraulic deck cranes
  • Centrifugal ventilators
  • Filter masks
  • Mechanical telegraphs
  • Riding pawls
  • Bolt cutters
  • Tank level gauges
  • Synthetic mooring ropes
  • Sounding tapes
  • Oil dispensing cans
  • Metal chisels
  • Portable gas detectors
  • Anti-exposure coveralls
  • Pipe wrenches