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Automation Risk Analysis

Will “Boatman” be Automated?

Historical Context: Oxford Study (2013)

Ranked #461 of 702. Estimated risk: 83.0%

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AI Exposure Risk

40%

“Boatman” will probably not be replaced by AI.

Based on the cognitive demands, communication requirements, and logical reasoning intrinsic to this occupation according to O*NET data, we project a 40% probability of disruption by generative AI and Large Language Models.

Automation & Robot Risk

60%

“Boatman” will maybe be replaced by robots.

Evaluating the physical dexterity, repetitive motion tasks, and manual labor associated with this role, our analysis indicates a 60% likelihood of substitution by advanced robotics systems.

Personal & Financial Insights

Every occupation has a unique profile. For Sailors and Marine Oilers, the Bureau of Labor Statistics and O*NET classify the day-to-day work broadly as: Stand watch to look for obstructions in path of vessel, measure water depth, turn wheel on bridge, or use emergency equipment as directed by captain, mate, or pilot. Break out, rig, overhaul, and store cargo-handling gear, stationary rigging, and running gear. Perform a variety of maintenance tasks to preserve the painted surface of the ship and to maintain line and ship equipment. Must hold government-issued certification and tankerman certification when working aboard liquid-carrying vessels. Includes able seamen and ordinary seamen.

Avg. Annual Salary $55,320
Avg. Hourly Wage $26.59
Available Jobs (US) 31,360
Job Title & Hierarchy Code (SOC) Sailors and Marine Oilers #53-5011
Wage vs. National Median
ℹ️

Data is based on the reference occupation: “Sailors and Marine Oilers”

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Core Skills & Abilities

  • Load or unload materials, vehicles, or passengers from vessels.

  • Provide engineers with assistance in repairing or adjusting machinery.

  • Relay specified signals to other ships, using visual signaling devices, such as blinker lights or semaphores.

  • Read pressure and temperature gauges or displays and record data in engineering logs.

  • Sweep, mop, and wash down decks to remove oil, dirt, and debris, using brooms, mops, brushes, and hoses.

  • Operate, maintain, or repair ship equipment, such as winches, cranes, derricks, or weapons system.

  • Maintain government-issued certifications, as required.

  • Measure depth of water in shallow or unfamiliar waters, using leadlines, and telephone or shout depth information to vessel bridges.

  • Tie barges together into tow units for tugboats to handle, inspecting barges periodically during voyages and disconnecting them when destinations are reached.

  • Break out, rig, and stow cargo-handling gear, stationary rigging, or running gear.

  • Give directions to crew members engaged in cleaning wheelhouses or quarterdecks.

  • Attach hoses and operate pumps to transfer substances to and from liquid cargo tanks.

  • Handle lines to moor vessels to wharfs, to tie up vessels to other vessels, or to rig towing lines.

  • Record data in ships' logs, such as weather conditions or distances traveled.

  • Overhaul lifeboats or lifeboat gear and lower or raise lifeboats with winches or falls.

  • Splice and repair ropes, wire cables, or cordage, using marlinespikes, wire cutters, twine, and hand tools.

  • Chip and clean rust spots on decks, superstructures, or sides of ships, using wire brushes and hand or air chipping machines.

  • Paint or varnish decks, superstructures, lifeboats, or sides of ships.

  • Maintain a ship's engines under the direction of the ship's engineering officers.

  • Clean and polish wood trim, brass, or other metal parts.

  • Stand gangway watches to prevent unauthorized persons from boarding ships while in port.

  • Steer ships under the direction of commanders or navigating officers or direct helmsmen to steer, following designated courses.

  • Lubricate machinery, equipment, or engine parts, such as gears, shafts, or bearings.

  • Stand watch in ships' bows or bridge wings to look for obstructions in a ship's path or to locate navigational aids, such as buoys or lighthouses.

  • Participate in shore patrols.

  • Stand by wheels when ships are on automatic pilot, and verify accuracy of courses, using magnetic compasses.

  • Lower and man lifeboats when emergencies occur.

  • Examine machinery to verify specified pressures or lubricant flows.

Technologies & Software

  • Microsoft Word
  • Microsoft Excel
  • Project44 AI Logistics
  • Tesla Autopilot
  • Word processing software
  • Gatik AI
  • Computerized maintenance management system CMMS
  • Log book software
  • Waymo (Autonomous Driving)
  • Operating system software
  • Microsoft Windows
  • Mobileye AI
  • Microsoft Outlook
  • KNMI TurboWin
  • Microsoft Office software
  • Kongsberg Maritime K-Log Deck Logbook
  • Microsoft PowerPoint
  • Foam firefighting systems
  • Lifting spreaders
  • Safety helmets
  • Centrifugal cargo pumps
  • Hydraulic mooring winches
  • Riding pawls
  • Engine room alarm systems
  • Radar navigation systems
  • Pipe wrenches
  • Wire splicers
  • Ratchet sets
  • Emergency position-indicating radio beacons
  • Metal chisels
  • Bolt cutters
  • Cargo booms
  • Claw hammers
  • Hydraulic deck cranes
  • Voice pipes
  • Two way radios
  • Lifeboats
  • Hydraulic capstans
  • Life rings
  • Sounding tapes
  • Anti-exposure coveralls
  • Galvanized thimbles
  • Gear pumps
  • Lifting slings
  • Reciprocating pumps
  • Signal flags
  • Safety glasses
  • Portable fire extinguishers
  • Hand windlasses
  • Electric windlasses
  • Air chippers
  • Grabbing cranes
  • Mechanical telegraphs
  • Radio direction finders RDF
  • Crescent wrenches
  • Portable gas detectors
  • Thermal protective aids TPA
  • Fire hoses
  • Mooring cables
  • Life jackets
  • Safety lanyards
  • Magnetic compasses
  • Emergency generators
  • Sewing needles
  • Forklifts
  • Ship anchor chocks
  • Mooring chains
  • Hand capstans
  • Chipping hammers
  • Wire cutters
  • Tank level gauges
  • Blinker lights
  • Hydraulic windlasses
  • Respirators
  • Container lift trucks
  • Workshop vises
  • Desktop computers
  • Spanner wrenches
  • Welders
  • Electric mooring winches
  • Sheave blocks
  • Cargo hooks
  • Hand punches
  • Pyrotechnic distress signals
  • Bridge telephones
  • Semaphores
  • Oil dispensing cans
  • Synthetic mooring ropes
  • Personal computers
  • Locking jaw pliers
  • Carbon dioxide CO2 firefighting systems
  • Bilge pumping systems
  • Steam winches
  • Sounding rods
  • Pilot ladders
  • Manual winches
  • Electric deck cranes
  • Centrifugal ventilators
  • Magnet hoists
  • Grease dispensing guns
  • Ship alarm systems
  • Life buoys
  • Filter masks
  • Liquid cargo transfer hoses
  • Chain cargo falls
  • Fids
  • Natural fiber mooring ropes
  • Electric telegraphs
  • Safety belts
  • Explosimeters
  • Cargo derricks
  • Lifeboat davits
  • Sharpening steels
  • Gyrocompasses