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Automation Risk Analysis

Will “Boatman” be Automated?

Historical Context: Oxford Study (2013)

Ranked #461 of 702. Estimated risk: 83.0%

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AI Exposure Risk

40%

“Boatman” will probably not be replaced by AI.

Based on the cognitive demands, communication requirements, and logical reasoning intrinsic to this occupation according to O*NET data, we project a 40% probability of disruption by generative AI and Large Language Models.

Automation & Robot Risk

60%

“Boatman” will maybe be replaced by robots.

Evaluating the physical dexterity, repetitive motion tasks, and manual labor associated with this role, our analysis indicates a 60% likelihood of substitution by advanced robotics systems.

Personal & Financial Insights

Every occupation has a unique profile. For Sailors and Marine Oilers, the Bureau of Labor Statistics and O*NET classify the day-to-day work broadly as: Stand watch to look for obstructions in path of vessel, measure water depth, turn wheel on bridge, or use emergency equipment as directed by captain, mate, or pilot. Break out, rig, overhaul, and store cargo-handling gear, stationary rigging, and running gear. Perform a variety of maintenance tasks to preserve the painted surface of the ship and to maintain line and ship equipment. Must hold government-issued certification and tankerman certification when working aboard liquid-carrying vessels. Includes able seamen and ordinary seamen.

Avg. Annual Salary $55,320
Avg. Hourly Wage $26.59
Available Jobs (US) 31,360
Job Title & Hierarchy Code (SOC) Sailors and Marine Oilers #53-5011
Wage vs. National Median
ℹ️

Data is based on the reference occupation: “Sailors and Marine Oilers”

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Core Skills & Abilities

  • Stand gangway watches to prevent unauthorized persons from boarding ships while in port.

  • Record data in ships' logs, such as weather conditions or distances traveled.

  • Read pressure and temperature gauges or displays and record data in engineering logs.

  • Sweep, mop, and wash down decks to remove oil, dirt, and debris, using brooms, mops, brushes, and hoses.

  • Load or unload materials, vehicles, or passengers from vessels.

  • Measure depth of water in shallow or unfamiliar waters, using leadlines, and telephone or shout depth information to vessel bridges.

  • Lubricate machinery, equipment, or engine parts, such as gears, shafts, or bearings.

  • Attach hoses and operate pumps to transfer substances to and from liquid cargo tanks.

  • Tie barges together into tow units for tugboats to handle, inspecting barges periodically during voyages and disconnecting them when destinations are reached.

  • Provide engineers with assistance in repairing or adjusting machinery.

  • Give directions to crew members engaged in cleaning wheelhouses or quarterdecks.

  • Stand by wheels when ships are on automatic pilot, and verify accuracy of courses, using magnetic compasses.

  • Splice and repair ropes, wire cables, or cordage, using marlinespikes, wire cutters, twine, and hand tools.

  • Paint or varnish decks, superstructures, lifeboats, or sides of ships.

  • Handle lines to moor vessels to wharfs, to tie up vessels to other vessels, or to rig towing lines.

  • Relay specified signals to other ships, using visual signaling devices, such as blinker lights or semaphores.

  • Chip and clean rust spots on decks, superstructures, or sides of ships, using wire brushes and hand or air chipping machines.

  • Examine machinery to verify specified pressures or lubricant flows.

  • Break out, rig, and stow cargo-handling gear, stationary rigging, or running gear.

  • Lower and man lifeboats when emergencies occur.

  • Overhaul lifeboats or lifeboat gear and lower or raise lifeboats with winches or falls.

  • Maintain government-issued certifications, as required.

  • Steer ships under the direction of commanders or navigating officers or direct helmsmen to steer, following designated courses.

  • Maintain a ship's engines under the direction of the ship's engineering officers.

  • Stand watch in ships' bows or bridge wings to look for obstructions in a ship's path or to locate navigational aids, such as buoys or lighthouses.

  • Participate in shore patrols.

  • Clean and polish wood trim, brass, or other metal parts.

  • Operate, maintain, or repair ship equipment, such as winches, cranes, derricks, or weapons system.

Technologies & Software

  • KNMI TurboWin
  • Microsoft Outlook
  • Log book software
  • Project44 AI Logistics
  • Tesla Autopilot
  • Microsoft PowerPoint
  • Kongsberg Maritime K-Log Deck Logbook
  • Microsoft Excel
  • Microsoft Windows
  • Gatik AI
  • Waymo (Autonomous Driving)
  • Microsoft Word
  • Word processing software
  • Microsoft Office software
  • Computerized maintenance management system CMMS
  • Mobileye AI
  • Operating system software
  • Chain cargo falls
  • Lifting slings
  • Bolt cutters
  • Oil dispensing cans
  • Lifeboats
  • Cargo booms
  • Electric windlasses
  • Cargo derricks
  • Radio direction finders RDF
  • Hydraulic windlasses
  • Respirators
  • Hand punches
  • Galvanized thimbles
  • Sewing needles
  • Hand windlasses
  • Hydraulic capstans
  • Radar navigation systems
  • Portable fire extinguishers
  • Lifeboat davits
  • Hydraulic mooring winches
  • Explosimeters
  • Hydraulic deck cranes
  • Safety helmets
  • Wire splicers
  • Reciprocating pumps
  • Electric telegraphs
  • Electric mooring winches
  • Personal computers
  • Sheave blocks
  • Mooring chains
  • Claw hammers
  • Bilge pumping systems
  • Mooring cables
  • Centrifugal ventilators
  • Hand capstans
  • Air chippers
  • Cargo hooks
  • Metal chisels
  • Ship anchor chocks
  • Grease dispensing guns
  • Safety belts
  • Life buoys
  • Sounding tapes
  • Life rings
  • Ratchet sets
  • Wire cutters
  • Chipping hammers
  • Carbon dioxide CO2 firefighting systems
  • Thermal protective aids TPA
  • Ship alarm systems
  • Desktop computers
  • Magnet hoists
  • Portable gas detectors
  • Safety lanyards
  • Natural fiber mooring ropes
  • Pyrotechnic distress signals
  • Filter masks
  • Bridge telephones
  • Lifting spreaders
  • Life jackets
  • Magnetic compasses
  • Gyrocompasses
  • Electric deck cranes
  • Grabbing cranes
  • Emergency position-indicating radio beacons
  • Pipe wrenches
  • Welders
  • Signal flags
  • Fids
  • Crescent wrenches
  • Voice pipes
  • Workshop vises
  • Foam firefighting systems
  • Steam winches
  • Container lift trucks
  • Riding pawls
  • Fire hoses
  • Pilot ladders
  • Liquid cargo transfer hoses
  • Locking jaw pliers
  • Spanner wrenches
  • Sounding rods
  • Two way radios
  • Safety glasses
  • Mechanical telegraphs
  • Manual winches
  • Anti-exposure coveralls
  • Centrifugal cargo pumps
  • Emergency generators
  • Blinker lights
  • Synthetic mooring ropes
  • Engine room alarm systems
  • Gear pumps
  • Sharpening steels
  • Forklifts
  • Tank level gauges
  • Semaphores