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Automation Risk Analysis

Will “Boatman” be Automated?

Historical Context: Oxford Study (2013)

Ranked #461 of 702. Estimated risk: 83.0%

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AI Exposure Risk

40%

“Boatman” will probably not be replaced by AI.

Based on the cognitive demands, communication requirements, and logical reasoning intrinsic to this occupation according to O*NET data, we project a 40% probability of disruption by generative AI and Large Language Models.

Automation & Robot Risk

60%

“Boatman” will maybe be replaced by robots.

Evaluating the physical dexterity, repetitive motion tasks, and manual labor associated with this role, our analysis indicates a 60% likelihood of substitution by advanced robotics systems.

Personal & Financial Insights

Every occupation has a unique profile. For Sailors and Marine Oilers, the Bureau of Labor Statistics and O*NET classify the day-to-day work broadly as: Stand watch to look for obstructions in path of vessel, measure water depth, turn wheel on bridge, or use emergency equipment as directed by captain, mate, or pilot. Break out, rig, overhaul, and store cargo-handling gear, stationary rigging, and running gear. Perform a variety of maintenance tasks to preserve the painted surface of the ship and to maintain line and ship equipment. Must hold government-issued certification and tankerman certification when working aboard liquid-carrying vessels. Includes able seamen and ordinary seamen.

Avg. Annual Salary $55,320
Avg. Hourly Wage $26.59
Available Jobs (US) 31,360
Job Title & Hierarchy Code (SOC) Sailors and Marine Oilers #53-5011
Wage vs. National Median
ℹ️

Data is based on the reference occupation: “Sailors and Marine Oilers”

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Core Skills & Abilities

  • Overhaul lifeboats or lifeboat gear and lower or raise lifeboats with winches or falls.

  • Sweep, mop, and wash down decks to remove oil, dirt, and debris, using brooms, mops, brushes, and hoses.

  • Tie barges together into tow units for tugboats to handle, inspecting barges periodically during voyages and disconnecting them when destinations are reached.

  • Paint or varnish decks, superstructures, lifeboats, or sides of ships.

  • Stand by wheels when ships are on automatic pilot, and verify accuracy of courses, using magnetic compasses.

  • Give directions to crew members engaged in cleaning wheelhouses or quarterdecks.

  • Chip and clean rust spots on decks, superstructures, or sides of ships, using wire brushes and hand or air chipping machines.

  • Measure depth of water in shallow or unfamiliar waters, using leadlines, and telephone or shout depth information to vessel bridges.

  • Stand watch in ships' bows or bridge wings to look for obstructions in a ship's path or to locate navigational aids, such as buoys or lighthouses.

  • Lower and man lifeboats when emergencies occur.

  • Break out, rig, and stow cargo-handling gear, stationary rigging, or running gear.

  • Maintain government-issued certifications, as required.

  • Provide engineers with assistance in repairing or adjusting machinery.

  • Clean and polish wood trim, brass, or other metal parts.

  • Operate, maintain, or repair ship equipment, such as winches, cranes, derricks, or weapons system.

  • Record data in ships' logs, such as weather conditions or distances traveled.

  • Relay specified signals to other ships, using visual signaling devices, such as blinker lights or semaphores.

  • Read pressure and temperature gauges or displays and record data in engineering logs.

  • Lubricate machinery, equipment, or engine parts, such as gears, shafts, or bearings.

  • Handle lines to moor vessels to wharfs, to tie up vessels to other vessels, or to rig towing lines.

  • Maintain a ship's engines under the direction of the ship's engineering officers.

  • Examine machinery to verify specified pressures or lubricant flows.

  • Steer ships under the direction of commanders or navigating officers or direct helmsmen to steer, following designated courses.

  • Stand gangway watches to prevent unauthorized persons from boarding ships while in port.

  • Splice and repair ropes, wire cables, or cordage, using marlinespikes, wire cutters, twine, and hand tools.

  • Participate in shore patrols.

  • Load or unload materials, vehicles, or passengers from vessels.

  • Attach hoses and operate pumps to transfer substances to and from liquid cargo tanks.

Technologies & Software

  • Tesla Autopilot
  • Operating system software
  • Microsoft PowerPoint
  • Mobileye AI
  • Gatik AI
  • Kongsberg Maritime K-Log Deck Logbook
  • Log book software
  • Microsoft Windows
  • Computerized maintenance management system CMMS
  • Microsoft Outlook
  • KNMI TurboWin
  • Waymo (Autonomous Driving)
  • Microsoft Office software
  • Project44 AI Logistics
  • Word processing software
  • Microsoft Word
  • Microsoft Excel
  • Magnet hoists
  • Mooring cables
  • Centrifugal cargo pumps
  • Gyrocompasses
  • Hand capstans
  • Bridge telephones
  • Grease dispensing guns
  • Anti-exposure coveralls
  • Chipping hammers
  • Cargo derricks
  • Respirators
  • Electric telegraphs
  • Desktop computers
  • Mooring chains
  • Forklifts
  • Filter masks
  • Foam firefighting systems
  • Hydraulic deck cranes
  • Life rings
  • Voice pipes
  • Riding pawls
  • Metal chisels
  • Safety helmets
  • Sounding rods
  • Crescent wrenches
  • Pilot ladders
  • Workshop vises
  • Pipe wrenches
  • Wire splicers
  • Hydraulic mooring winches
  • Manual winches
  • Portable fire extinguishers
  • Container lift trucks
  • Claw hammers
  • Ship alarm systems
  • Gear pumps
  • Electric mooring winches
  • Fire hoses
  • Hydraulic capstans
  • Cargo hooks
  • Blinker lights
  • Synthetic mooring ropes
  • Locking jaw pliers
  • Chain cargo falls
  • Cargo booms
  • Lifeboat davits
  • Engine room alarm systems
  • Hand windlasses
  • Steam winches
  • Lifeboats
  • Safety glasses
  • Hand punches
  • Reciprocating pumps
  • Lifting slings
  • Carbon dioxide CO2 firefighting systems
  • Sewing needles
  • Emergency generators
  • Portable gas detectors
  • Ratchet sets
  • Liquid cargo transfer hoses
  • Air chippers
  • Welders
  • Galvanized thimbles
  • Bolt cutters
  • Spanner wrenches
  • Safety belts
  • Lifting spreaders
  • Sounding tapes
  • Electric deck cranes
  • Semaphores
  • Oil dispensing cans
  • Thermal protective aids TPA
  • Wire cutters
  • Life jackets
  • Tank level gauges
  • Signal flags
  • Ship anchor chocks
  • Pyrotechnic distress signals
  • Bilge pumping systems
  • Explosimeters
  • Fids
  • Electric windlasses
  • Sheave blocks
  • Radio direction finders RDF
  • Natural fiber mooring ropes
  • Safety lanyards
  • Emergency position-indicating radio beacons
  • Radar navigation systems
  • Grabbing cranes
  • Hydraulic windlasses
  • Centrifugal ventilators
  • Mechanical telegraphs
  • Magnetic compasses
  • Personal computers
  • Life buoys
  • Sharpening steels
  • Two way radios