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Automation Risk Analysis

Will “Boatman” be Automated?

Historical Context: Oxford Study (2013)

Ranked #461 of 702. Estimated risk: 83.0%

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AI Exposure Risk

40%

“Boatman” will probably not be replaced by AI.

Based on the cognitive demands, communication requirements, and logical reasoning intrinsic to this occupation according to O*NET data, we project a 40% probability of disruption by generative AI and Large Language Models.

Automation & Robot Risk

60%

“Boatman” will maybe be replaced by robots.

Evaluating the physical dexterity, repetitive motion tasks, and manual labor associated with this role, our analysis indicates a 60% likelihood of substitution by advanced robotics systems.

Personal & Financial Insights

Every occupation has a unique profile. For Sailors and Marine Oilers, the Bureau of Labor Statistics and O*NET classify the day-to-day work broadly as: Stand watch to look for obstructions in path of vessel, measure water depth, turn wheel on bridge, or use emergency equipment as directed by captain, mate, or pilot. Break out, rig, overhaul, and store cargo-handling gear, stationary rigging, and running gear. Perform a variety of maintenance tasks to preserve the painted surface of the ship and to maintain line and ship equipment. Must hold government-issued certification and tankerman certification when working aboard liquid-carrying vessels. Includes able seamen and ordinary seamen.

Avg. Annual Salary $55,320
Avg. Hourly Wage $26.59
Available Jobs (US) 31,360
Job Title & Hierarchy Code (SOC) Sailors and Marine Oilers #53-5011
Wage vs. National Median
ℹ️

Data is based on the reference occupation: “Sailors and Marine Oilers”

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Core Skills & Abilities

  • Clean and polish wood trim, brass, or other metal parts.

  • Sweep, mop, and wash down decks to remove oil, dirt, and debris, using brooms, mops, brushes, and hoses.

  • Participate in shore patrols.

  • Overhaul lifeboats or lifeboat gear and lower or raise lifeboats with winches or falls.

  • Stand watch in ships' bows or bridge wings to look for obstructions in a ship's path or to locate navigational aids, such as buoys or lighthouses.

  • Read pressure and temperature gauges or displays and record data in engineering logs.

  • Operate, maintain, or repair ship equipment, such as winches, cranes, derricks, or weapons system.

  • Steer ships under the direction of commanders or navigating officers or direct helmsmen to steer, following designated courses.

  • Maintain government-issued certifications, as required.

  • Break out, rig, and stow cargo-handling gear, stationary rigging, or running gear.

  • Stand gangway watches to prevent unauthorized persons from boarding ships while in port.

  • Attach hoses and operate pumps to transfer substances to and from liquid cargo tanks.

  • Chip and clean rust spots on decks, superstructures, or sides of ships, using wire brushes and hand or air chipping machines.

  • Measure depth of water in shallow or unfamiliar waters, using leadlines, and telephone or shout depth information to vessel bridges.

  • Examine machinery to verify specified pressures or lubricant flows.

  • Relay specified signals to other ships, using visual signaling devices, such as blinker lights or semaphores.

  • Stand by wheels when ships are on automatic pilot, and verify accuracy of courses, using magnetic compasses.

  • Load or unload materials, vehicles, or passengers from vessels.

  • Lubricate machinery, equipment, or engine parts, such as gears, shafts, or bearings.

  • Record data in ships' logs, such as weather conditions or distances traveled.

  • Give directions to crew members engaged in cleaning wheelhouses or quarterdecks.

  • Tie barges together into tow units for tugboats to handle, inspecting barges periodically during voyages and disconnecting them when destinations are reached.

  • Lower and man lifeboats when emergencies occur.

  • Paint or varnish decks, superstructures, lifeboats, or sides of ships.

  • Handle lines to moor vessels to wharfs, to tie up vessels to other vessels, or to rig towing lines.

  • Splice and repair ropes, wire cables, or cordage, using marlinespikes, wire cutters, twine, and hand tools.

  • Provide engineers with assistance in repairing or adjusting machinery.

  • Maintain a ship's engines under the direction of the ship's engineering officers.

Technologies & Software

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  • Microsoft Word
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  • KNMI TurboWin
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  • Kongsberg Maritime K-Log Deck Logbook
  • Computerized maintenance management system CMMS
  • Log book software
  • Microsoft PowerPoint
  • Microsoft Office software
  • Electric windlasses
  • Engine room alarm systems
  • Cargo derricks
  • Hydraulic deck cranes
  • Sharpening steels
  • Mooring cables
  • Personal computers
  • Blinker lights
  • Two way radios
  • Thermal protective aids TPA
  • Chipping hammers
  • Bolt cutters
  • Bridge telephones
  • Hand punches
  • Electric deck cranes
  • Gyrocompasses
  • Lifeboats
  • Sounding tapes
  • Steam winches
  • Manual winches
  • Pyrotechnic distress signals
  • Emergency generators
  • Fire hoses
  • Safety glasses
  • Magnet hoists
  • Welders
  • Container lift trucks
  • Synthetic mooring ropes
  • Portable gas detectors
  • Fids
  • Liquid cargo transfer hoses
  • Tank level gauges
  • Explosimeters
  • Filter masks
  • Ship alarm systems
  • Grease dispensing guns
  • Chain cargo falls
  • Foam firefighting systems
  • Reciprocating pumps
  • Mooring chains
  • Sheave blocks
  • Riding pawls
  • Bilge pumping systems
  • Natural fiber mooring ropes
  • Hand windlasses
  • Electric telegraphs
  • Gear pumps
  • Emergency position-indicating radio beacons
  • Signal flags
  • Safety lanyards
  • Galvanized thimbles
  • Hydraulic capstans
  • Metal chisels
  • Semaphores
  • Wire cutters
  • Life rings
  • Portable fire extinguishers
  • Grabbing cranes
  • Pilot ladders
  • Pipe wrenches
  • Oil dispensing cans
  • Safety helmets
  • Mechanical telegraphs
  • Forklifts
  • Safety belts
  • Sewing needles
  • Spanner wrenches
  • Magnetic compasses
  • Lifeboat davits
  • Centrifugal cargo pumps
  • Hydraulic windlasses
  • Voice pipes
  • Sounding rods
  • Ratchet sets
  • Respirators
  • Air chippers
  • Radio direction finders RDF
  • Cargo booms
  • Cargo hooks
  • Locking jaw pliers
  • Hand capstans
  • Lifting slings
  • Centrifugal ventilators
  • Life jackets
  • Life buoys
  • Ship anchor chocks
  • Workshop vises
  • Crescent wrenches
  • Lifting spreaders
  • Anti-exposure coveralls
  • Claw hammers
  • Wire splicers
  • Radar navigation systems
  • Carbon dioxide CO2 firefighting systems
  • Hydraulic mooring winches
  • Desktop computers
  • Electric mooring winches