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Automation Risk Analysis

Will “Ordinary Seaman” be Automated?

Historical Context: Oxford Study (2013)

Ranked #461 of 702. Estimated risk: 83.0%

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AI Exposure Risk

40%

“Ordinary Seaman” will probably not be replaced by AI.

Based on the cognitive demands, communication requirements, and logical reasoning intrinsic to this occupation according to O*NET data, we project a 40% probability of disruption by generative AI and Large Language Models.

Automation & Robot Risk

60%

“Ordinary Seaman” will maybe be replaced by robots.

Evaluating the physical dexterity, repetitive motion tasks, and manual labor associated with this role, our analysis indicates a 60% likelihood of substitution by advanced robotics systems.

Personal & Financial Insights

Every occupation has a unique profile. For Sailors and Marine Oilers, the Bureau of Labor Statistics and O*NET classify the day-to-day work broadly as: Stand watch to look for obstructions in path of vessel, measure water depth, turn wheel on bridge, or use emergency equipment as directed by captain, mate, or pilot. Break out, rig, overhaul, and store cargo-handling gear, stationary rigging, and running gear. Perform a variety of maintenance tasks to preserve the painted surface of the ship and to maintain line and ship equipment. Must hold government-issued certification and tankerman certification when working aboard liquid-carrying vessels. Includes able seamen and ordinary seamen.

Avg. Annual Salary $55,320
Avg. Hourly Wage $26.59
Available Jobs (US) 31,360
Job Title & Hierarchy Code (SOC) Sailors and Marine Oilers #53-5011
Wage vs. National Median
ℹ️

Data is based on the reference occupation: “Sailors and Marine Oilers”

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Core Skills & Abilities

  • Splice and repair ropes, wire cables, or cordage, using marlinespikes, wire cutters, twine, and hand tools.

  • Participate in shore patrols.

  • Relay specified signals to other ships, using visual signaling devices, such as blinker lights or semaphores.

  • Stand gangway watches to prevent unauthorized persons from boarding ships while in port.

  • Tie barges together into tow units for tugboats to handle, inspecting barges periodically during voyages and disconnecting them when destinations are reached.

  • Maintain a ship's engines under the direction of the ship's engineering officers.

  • Maintain government-issued certifications, as required.

  • Sweep, mop, and wash down decks to remove oil, dirt, and debris, using brooms, mops, brushes, and hoses.

  • Attach hoses and operate pumps to transfer substances to and from liquid cargo tanks.

  • Paint or varnish decks, superstructures, lifeboats, or sides of ships.

  • Steer ships under the direction of commanders or navigating officers or direct helmsmen to steer, following designated courses.

  • Measure depth of water in shallow or unfamiliar waters, using leadlines, and telephone or shout depth information to vessel bridges.

  • Provide engineers with assistance in repairing or adjusting machinery.

  • Stand by wheels when ships are on automatic pilot, and verify accuracy of courses, using magnetic compasses.

  • Examine machinery to verify specified pressures or lubricant flows.

  • Operate, maintain, or repair ship equipment, such as winches, cranes, derricks, or weapons system.

  • Load or unload materials, vehicles, or passengers from vessels.

  • Record data in ships' logs, such as weather conditions or distances traveled.

  • Lower and man lifeboats when emergencies occur.

  • Overhaul lifeboats or lifeboat gear and lower or raise lifeboats with winches or falls.

  • Clean and polish wood trim, brass, or other metal parts.

  • Give directions to crew members engaged in cleaning wheelhouses or quarterdecks.

  • Handle lines to moor vessels to wharfs, to tie up vessels to other vessels, or to rig towing lines.

  • Read pressure and temperature gauges or displays and record data in engineering logs.

  • Chip and clean rust spots on decks, superstructures, or sides of ships, using wire brushes and hand or air chipping machines.

  • Lubricate machinery, equipment, or engine parts, such as gears, shafts, or bearings.

  • Stand watch in ships' bows or bridge wings to look for obstructions in a ship's path or to locate navigational aids, such as buoys or lighthouses.

  • Break out, rig, and stow cargo-handling gear, stationary rigging, or running gear.

Technologies & Software

  • Microsoft Excel
  • Waymo (Autonomous Driving)
  • Mobileye AI
  • Tesla Autopilot
  • Microsoft Outlook
  • Gatik AI
  • Word processing software
  • Microsoft Word
  • Kongsberg Maritime K-Log Deck Logbook
  • Microsoft Office software
  • Microsoft Windows
  • Operating system software
  • Project44 AI Logistics
  • Microsoft PowerPoint
  • Computerized maintenance management system CMMS
  • Log book software
  • KNMI TurboWin
  • Natural fiber mooring ropes
  • Hydraulic windlasses
  • Sewing needles
  • Anti-exposure coveralls
  • Fids
  • Lifeboat davits
  • Safety belts
  • Safety helmets
  • Cargo hooks
  • Desktop computers
  • Synthetic mooring ropes
  • Grabbing cranes
  • Crescent wrenches
  • Welders
  • Wire splicers
  • Electric telegraphs
  • Wire cutters
  • Riding pawls
  • Radio direction finders RDF
  • Tank level gauges
  • Radar navigation systems
  • Semaphores
  • Liquid cargo transfer hoses
  • Electric deck cranes
  • Manual winches
  • Life rings
  • Ship alarm systems
  • Centrifugal cargo pumps
  • Foam firefighting systems
  • Chipping hammers
  • Magnet hoists
  • Portable gas detectors
  • Safety lanyards
  • Gear pumps
  • Explosimeters
  • Sharpening steels
  • Lifting spreaders
  • Cargo derricks
  • Galvanized thimbles
  • Pipe wrenches
  • Pilot ladders
  • Engine room alarm systems
  • Sounding rods
  • Pyrotechnic distress signals
  • Safety glasses
  • Magnetic compasses
  • Respirators
  • Metal chisels
  • Locking jaw pliers
  • Hydraulic mooring winches
  • Hydraulic deck cranes
  • Voice pipes
  • Mooring cables
  • Chain cargo falls
  • Mechanical telegraphs
  • Centrifugal ventilators
  • Forklifts
  • Bridge telephones
  • Hand windlasses
  • Electric mooring winches
  • Steam winches
  • Air chippers
  • Mooring chains
  • Personal computers
  • Emergency generators
  • Emergency position-indicating radio beacons
  • Two way radios
  • Ratchet sets
  • Hand punches
  • Electric windlasses
  • Hand capstans
  • Reciprocating pumps
  • Workshop vises
  • Filter masks
  • Hydraulic capstans
  • Sheave blocks
  • Fire hoses
  • Bilge pumping systems
  • Container lift trucks
  • Cargo booms
  • Signal flags
  • Thermal protective aids TPA
  • Lifting slings
  • Life jackets
  • Lifeboats
  • Sounding tapes
  • Grease dispensing guns
  • Spanner wrenches
  • Claw hammers
  • Bolt cutters
  • Portable fire extinguishers
  • Life buoys
  • Gyrocompasses
  • Blinker lights
  • Oil dispensing cans
  • Carbon dioxide CO2 firefighting systems
  • Ship anchor chocks