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Automation Risk Analysis

Will “Ordinary Seaman” be Automated?

Historical Context: Oxford Study (2013)

Ranked #461 of 702. Estimated risk: 83.0%

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AI Exposure Risk

40%

“Ordinary Seaman” will probably not be replaced by AI.

Based on the cognitive demands, communication requirements, and logical reasoning intrinsic to this occupation according to O*NET data, we project a 40% probability of disruption by generative AI and Large Language Models.

Automation & Robot Risk

60%

“Ordinary Seaman” will maybe be replaced by robots.

Evaluating the physical dexterity, repetitive motion tasks, and manual labor associated with this role, our analysis indicates a 60% likelihood of substitution by advanced robotics systems.

Personal & Financial Insights

Every occupation has a unique profile. For Sailors and Marine Oilers, the Bureau of Labor Statistics and O*NET classify the day-to-day work broadly as: Stand watch to look for obstructions in path of vessel, measure water depth, turn wheel on bridge, or use emergency equipment as directed by captain, mate, or pilot. Break out, rig, overhaul, and store cargo-handling gear, stationary rigging, and running gear. Perform a variety of maintenance tasks to preserve the painted surface of the ship and to maintain line and ship equipment. Must hold government-issued certification and tankerman certification when working aboard liquid-carrying vessels. Includes able seamen and ordinary seamen.

Avg. Annual Salary $55,320
Avg. Hourly Wage $26.59
Available Jobs (US) 31,360
Job Title & Hierarchy Code (SOC) Sailors and Marine Oilers #53-5011
Wage vs. National Median
ℹ️

Data is based on the reference occupation: “Sailors and Marine Oilers”

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Core Skills & Abilities

  • Overhaul lifeboats or lifeboat gear and lower or raise lifeboats with winches or falls.

  • Relay specified signals to other ships, using visual signaling devices, such as blinker lights or semaphores.

  • Provide engineers with assistance in repairing or adjusting machinery.

  • Tie barges together into tow units for tugboats to handle, inspecting barges periodically during voyages and disconnecting them when destinations are reached.

  • Paint or varnish decks, superstructures, lifeboats, or sides of ships.

  • Give directions to crew members engaged in cleaning wheelhouses or quarterdecks.

  • Record data in ships' logs, such as weather conditions or distances traveled.

  • Examine machinery to verify specified pressures or lubricant flows.

  • Clean and polish wood trim, brass, or other metal parts.

  • Lower and man lifeboats when emergencies occur.

  • Maintain government-issued certifications, as required.

  • Sweep, mop, and wash down decks to remove oil, dirt, and debris, using brooms, mops, brushes, and hoses.

  • Chip and clean rust spots on decks, superstructures, or sides of ships, using wire brushes and hand or air chipping machines.

  • Lubricate machinery, equipment, or engine parts, such as gears, shafts, or bearings.

  • Attach hoses and operate pumps to transfer substances to and from liquid cargo tanks.

  • Maintain a ship's engines under the direction of the ship's engineering officers.

  • Participate in shore patrols.

  • Splice and repair ropes, wire cables, or cordage, using marlinespikes, wire cutters, twine, and hand tools.

  • Read pressure and temperature gauges or displays and record data in engineering logs.

  • Stand by wheels when ships are on automatic pilot, and verify accuracy of courses, using magnetic compasses.

  • Load or unload materials, vehicles, or passengers from vessels.

  • Stand gangway watches to prevent unauthorized persons from boarding ships while in port.

  • Stand watch in ships' bows or bridge wings to look for obstructions in a ship's path or to locate navigational aids, such as buoys or lighthouses.

  • Measure depth of water in shallow or unfamiliar waters, using leadlines, and telephone or shout depth information to vessel bridges.

  • Break out, rig, and stow cargo-handling gear, stationary rigging, or running gear.

  • Steer ships under the direction of commanders or navigating officers or direct helmsmen to steer, following designated courses.

  • Handle lines to moor vessels to wharfs, to tie up vessels to other vessels, or to rig towing lines.

  • Operate, maintain, or repair ship equipment, such as winches, cranes, derricks, or weapons system.

Technologies & Software

  • Microsoft PowerPoint
  • Microsoft Outlook
  • Log book software
  • KNMI TurboWin
  • Word processing software
  • Project44 AI Logistics
  • Microsoft Word
  • Microsoft Excel
  • Tesla Autopilot
  • Kongsberg Maritime K-Log Deck Logbook
  • Computerized maintenance management system CMMS
  • Waymo (Autonomous Driving)
  • Gatik AI
  • Microsoft Windows
  • Operating system software
  • Mobileye AI
  • Microsoft Office software
  • Chipping hammers
  • Life buoys
  • Hand punches
  • Cargo hooks
  • Voice pipes
  • Wire cutters
  • Sounding tapes
  • Ship anchor chocks
  • Air chippers
  • Gyrocompasses
  • Cargo derricks
  • Emergency position-indicating radio beacons
  • Electric mooring winches
  • Desktop computers
  • Locking jaw pliers
  • Respirators
  • Hydraulic windlasses
  • Gear pumps
  • Chain cargo falls
  • Natural fiber mooring ropes
  • Foam firefighting systems
  • Filter masks
  • Synthetic mooring ropes
  • Blinker lights
  • Tank level gauges
  • Lifeboats
  • Fire hoses
  • Workshop vises
  • Mechanical telegraphs
  • Life rings
  • Portable gas detectors
  • Lifeboat davits
  • Crescent wrenches
  • Safety glasses
  • Sharpening steels
  • Lifting spreaders
  • Pyrotechnic distress signals
  • Sewing needles
  • Hand capstans
  • Ratchet sets
  • Portable fire extinguishers
  • Pipe wrenches
  • Container lift trucks
  • Electric deck cranes
  • Centrifugal ventilators
  • Hand windlasses
  • Manual winches
  • Semaphores
  • Centrifugal cargo pumps
  • Galvanized thimbles
  • Electric telegraphs
  • Reciprocating pumps
  • Engine room alarm systems
  • Mooring chains
  • Two way radios
  • Life jackets
  • Carbon dioxide CO2 firefighting systems
  • Thermal protective aids TPA
  • Fids
  • Electric windlasses
  • Explosimeters
  • Grabbing cranes
  • Riding pawls
  • Magnet hoists
  • Bilge pumping systems
  • Radar navigation systems
  • Hydraulic capstans
  • Ship alarm systems
  • Grease dispensing guns
  • Safety helmets
  • Mooring cables
  • Steam winches
  • Liquid cargo transfer hoses
  • Metal chisels
  • Anti-exposure coveralls
  • Bridge telephones
  • Cargo booms
  • Sheave blocks
  • Oil dispensing cans
  • Welders
  • Signal flags
  • Radio direction finders RDF
  • Lifting slings
  • Wire splicers
  • Magnetic compasses
  • Pilot ladders
  • Personal computers
  • Emergency generators
  • Safety belts
  • Claw hammers
  • Forklifts
  • Spanner wrenches
  • Hydraulic deck cranes
  • Hydraulic mooring winches
  • Bolt cutters
  • Sounding rods
  • Safety lanyards