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Automation Risk Analysis

Will “Ordinary Seaman” be Automated?

Historical Context: Oxford Study (2013)

Ranked #461 of 702. Estimated risk: 83.0%

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AI Exposure Risk

40%

“Ordinary Seaman” will probably not be replaced by AI.

Based on the cognitive demands, communication requirements, and logical reasoning intrinsic to this occupation according to O*NET data, we project a 40% probability of disruption by generative AI and Large Language Models.

Automation & Robot Risk

60%

“Ordinary Seaman” will maybe be replaced by robots.

Evaluating the physical dexterity, repetitive motion tasks, and manual labor associated with this role, our analysis indicates a 60% likelihood of substitution by advanced robotics systems.

Personal & Financial Insights

Every occupation has a unique profile. For Sailors and Marine Oilers, the Bureau of Labor Statistics and O*NET classify the day-to-day work broadly as: Stand watch to look for obstructions in path of vessel, measure water depth, turn wheel on bridge, or use emergency equipment as directed by captain, mate, or pilot. Break out, rig, overhaul, and store cargo-handling gear, stationary rigging, and running gear. Perform a variety of maintenance tasks to preserve the painted surface of the ship and to maintain line and ship equipment. Must hold government-issued certification and tankerman certification when working aboard liquid-carrying vessels. Includes able seamen and ordinary seamen.

Avg. Annual Salary $55,320
Avg. Hourly Wage $26.59
Available Jobs (US) 31,360
Job Title & Hierarchy Code (SOC) Sailors and Marine Oilers #53-5011
Wage vs. National Median
ℹ️

Data is based on the reference occupation: “Sailors and Marine Oilers”

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Core Skills & Abilities

  • Participate in shore patrols.

  • Stand gangway watches to prevent unauthorized persons from boarding ships while in port.

  • Operate, maintain, or repair ship equipment, such as winches, cranes, derricks, or weapons system.

  • Give directions to crew members engaged in cleaning wheelhouses or quarterdecks.

  • Maintain government-issued certifications, as required.

  • Sweep, mop, and wash down decks to remove oil, dirt, and debris, using brooms, mops, brushes, and hoses.

  • Chip and clean rust spots on decks, superstructures, or sides of ships, using wire brushes and hand or air chipping machines.

  • Stand watch in ships' bows or bridge wings to look for obstructions in a ship's path or to locate navigational aids, such as buoys or lighthouses.

  • Splice and repair ropes, wire cables, or cordage, using marlinespikes, wire cutters, twine, and hand tools.

  • Record data in ships' logs, such as weather conditions or distances traveled.

  • Handle lines to moor vessels to wharfs, to tie up vessels to other vessels, or to rig towing lines.

  • Steer ships under the direction of commanders or navigating officers or direct helmsmen to steer, following designated courses.

  • Stand by wheels when ships are on automatic pilot, and verify accuracy of courses, using magnetic compasses.

  • Break out, rig, and stow cargo-handling gear, stationary rigging, or running gear.

  • Clean and polish wood trim, brass, or other metal parts.

  • Lubricate machinery, equipment, or engine parts, such as gears, shafts, or bearings.

  • Tie barges together into tow units for tugboats to handle, inspecting barges periodically during voyages and disconnecting them when destinations are reached.

  • Paint or varnish decks, superstructures, lifeboats, or sides of ships.

  • Overhaul lifeboats or lifeboat gear and lower or raise lifeboats with winches or falls.

  • Maintain a ship's engines under the direction of the ship's engineering officers.

  • Provide engineers with assistance in repairing or adjusting machinery.

  • Attach hoses and operate pumps to transfer substances to and from liquid cargo tanks.

  • Load or unload materials, vehicles, or passengers from vessels.

  • Measure depth of water in shallow or unfamiliar waters, using leadlines, and telephone or shout depth information to vessel bridges.

  • Examine machinery to verify specified pressures or lubricant flows.

  • Lower and man lifeboats when emergencies occur.

  • Relay specified signals to other ships, using visual signaling devices, such as blinker lights or semaphores.

  • Read pressure and temperature gauges or displays and record data in engineering logs.

Technologies & Software

  • Operating system software
  • Log book software
  • Microsoft Excel
  • Waymo (Autonomous Driving)
  • Tesla Autopilot
  • Microsoft Word
  • Microsoft Windows
  • Microsoft Outlook
  • KNMI TurboWin
  • Mobileye AI
  • Project44 AI Logistics
  • Kongsberg Maritime K-Log Deck Logbook
  • Word processing software
  • Gatik AI
  • Microsoft Office software
  • Microsoft PowerPoint
  • Computerized maintenance management system CMMS
  • Pipe wrenches
  • Electric windlasses
  • Reciprocating pumps
  • Radar navigation systems
  • Semaphores
  • Fire hoses
  • Sounding tapes
  • Hydraulic windlasses
  • Personal computers
  • Engine room alarm systems
  • Anti-exposure coveralls
  • Gyrocompasses
  • Radio direction finders RDF
  • Signal flags
  • Sharpening steels
  • Metal chisels
  • Locking jaw pliers
  • Pilot ladders
  • Portable fire extinguishers
  • Sounding rods
  • Mechanical telegraphs
  • Forklifts
  • Grease dispensing guns
  • Mooring cables
  • Foam firefighting systems
  • Two way radios
  • Voice pipes
  • Welders
  • Liquid cargo transfer hoses
  • Spanner wrenches
  • Galvanized thimbles
  • Cargo derricks
  • Desktop computers
  • Lifting spreaders
  • Lifting slings
  • Hand windlasses
  • Gear pumps
  • Hydraulic mooring winches
  • Crescent wrenches
  • Ratchet sets
  • Life jackets
  • Bilge pumping systems
  • Carbon dioxide CO2 firefighting systems
  • Container lift trucks
  • Tank level gauges
  • Bolt cutters
  • Lifeboats
  • Emergency position-indicating radio beacons
  • Wire cutters
  • Portable gas detectors
  • Electric mooring winches
  • Natural fiber mooring ropes
  • Mooring chains
  • Hand capstans
  • Air chippers
  • Safety lanyards
  • Claw hammers
  • Safety belts
  • Hydraulic deck cranes
  • Magnetic compasses
  • Workshop vises
  • Life rings
  • Hydraulic capstans
  • Manual winches
  • Ship alarm systems
  • Sewing needles
  • Ship anchor chocks
  • Cargo booms
  • Centrifugal ventilators
  • Pyrotechnic distress signals
  • Sheave blocks
  • Centrifugal cargo pumps
  • Safety helmets
  • Electric telegraphs
  • Magnet hoists
  • Chain cargo falls
  • Hand punches
  • Fids
  • Safety glasses
  • Synthetic mooring ropes
  • Blinker lights
  • Emergency generators
  • Cargo hooks
  • Electric deck cranes
  • Thermal protective aids TPA
  • Steam winches
  • Chipping hammers
  • Explosimeters
  • Life buoys
  • Grabbing cranes
  • Riding pawls
  • Bridge telephones
  • Respirators
  • Lifeboat davits
  • Filter masks
  • Wire splicers
  • Oil dispensing cans