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Automation Risk Analysis

Will “Cadet” be Automated?

Historical Context: Oxford Study (2013)

Ranked #461 of 702. Estimated risk: 83.0%

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AI Exposure Risk

40%

“Cadet” will probably not be replaced by AI.

Based on the cognitive demands, communication requirements, and logical reasoning intrinsic to this occupation according to O*NET data, we project a 40% probability of disruption by generative AI and Large Language Models.

Automation & Robot Risk

60%

“Cadet” will maybe be replaced by robots.

Evaluating the physical dexterity, repetitive motion tasks, and manual labor associated with this role, our analysis indicates a 60% likelihood of substitution by advanced robotics systems.

Personal & Financial Insights

Every occupation has a unique profile. For Sailors and Marine Oilers, the Bureau of Labor Statistics and O*NET classify the day-to-day work broadly as: Stand watch to look for obstructions in path of vessel, measure water depth, turn wheel on bridge, or use emergency equipment as directed by captain, mate, or pilot. Break out, rig, overhaul, and store cargo-handling gear, stationary rigging, and running gear. Perform a variety of maintenance tasks to preserve the painted surface of the ship and to maintain line and ship equipment. Must hold government-issued certification and tankerman certification when working aboard liquid-carrying vessels. Includes able seamen and ordinary seamen.

Avg. Annual Salary $55,320
Avg. Hourly Wage $26.59
Available Jobs (US) 31,360
Job Title & Hierarchy Code (SOC) Sailors and Marine Oilers #53-5011
Wage vs. National Median
ℹ️

Data is based on the reference occupation: “Sailors and Marine Oilers”

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Core Skills & Abilities

  • Sweep, mop, and wash down decks to remove oil, dirt, and debris, using brooms, mops, brushes, and hoses.

  • Handle lines to moor vessels to wharfs, to tie up vessels to other vessels, or to rig towing lines.

  • Give directions to crew members engaged in cleaning wheelhouses or quarterdecks.

  • Splice and repair ropes, wire cables, or cordage, using marlinespikes, wire cutters, twine, and hand tools.

  • Relay specified signals to other ships, using visual signaling devices, such as blinker lights or semaphores.

  • Measure depth of water in shallow or unfamiliar waters, using leadlines, and telephone or shout depth information to vessel bridges.

  • Examine machinery to verify specified pressures or lubricant flows.

  • Paint or varnish decks, superstructures, lifeboats, or sides of ships.

  • Clean and polish wood trim, brass, or other metal parts.

  • Record data in ships' logs, such as weather conditions or distances traveled.

  • Attach hoses and operate pumps to transfer substances to and from liquid cargo tanks.

  • Load or unload materials, vehicles, or passengers from vessels.

  • Operate, maintain, or repair ship equipment, such as winches, cranes, derricks, or weapons system.

  • Maintain government-issued certifications, as required.

  • Provide engineers with assistance in repairing or adjusting machinery.

  • Lower and man lifeboats when emergencies occur.

  • Stand gangway watches to prevent unauthorized persons from boarding ships while in port.

  • Overhaul lifeboats or lifeboat gear and lower or raise lifeboats with winches or falls.

  • Tie barges together into tow units for tugboats to handle, inspecting barges periodically during voyages and disconnecting them when destinations are reached.

  • Participate in shore patrols.

  • Break out, rig, and stow cargo-handling gear, stationary rigging, or running gear.

  • Stand watch in ships' bows or bridge wings to look for obstructions in a ship's path or to locate navigational aids, such as buoys or lighthouses.

  • Lubricate machinery, equipment, or engine parts, such as gears, shafts, or bearings.

  • Chip and clean rust spots on decks, superstructures, or sides of ships, using wire brushes and hand or air chipping machines.

  • Read pressure and temperature gauges or displays and record data in engineering logs.

  • Steer ships under the direction of commanders or navigating officers or direct helmsmen to steer, following designated courses.

  • Stand by wheels when ships are on automatic pilot, and verify accuracy of courses, using magnetic compasses.

  • Maintain a ship's engines under the direction of the ship's engineering officers.

Technologies & Software

  • Mobileye AI
  • Log book software
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  • Microsoft Office software
  • Word processing software
  • Microsoft Word
  • Operating system software
  • Project44 AI Logistics
  • Computerized maintenance management system CMMS
  • Kongsberg Maritime K-Log Deck Logbook
  • KNMI TurboWin
  • Gatik AI
  • Microsoft Excel
  • Tesla Autopilot
  • Microsoft Outlook
  • Microsoft Windows
  • Cargo derricks
  • Lifeboat davits
  • Cargo hooks
  • Synthetic mooring ropes
  • Magnetic compasses
  • Tank level gauges
  • Personal computers
  • Locking jaw pliers
  • Desktop computers
  • Centrifugal ventilators
  • Workshop vises
  • Life buoys
  • Centrifugal cargo pumps
  • Welders
  • Ship alarm systems
  • Pyrotechnic distress signals
  • Portable gas detectors
  • Mechanical telegraphs
  • Lifting slings
  • Steam winches
  • Bridge telephones
  • Anti-exposure coveralls
  • Engine room alarm systems
  • Lifeboats
  • Bilge pumping systems
  • Reciprocating pumps
  • Hand capstans
  • Hydraulic mooring winches
  • Sheave blocks
  • Sewing needles
  • Semaphores
  • Spanner wrenches
  • Hand windlasses
  • Safety helmets
  • Magnet hoists
  • Portable fire extinguishers
  • Fire hoses
  • Foam firefighting systems
  • Crescent wrenches
  • Ratchet sets
  • Electric telegraphs
  • Forklifts
  • Two way radios
  • Safety lanyards
  • Electric deck cranes
  • Hand punches
  • Emergency position-indicating radio beacons
  • Lifting spreaders
  • Sharpening steels
  • Grabbing cranes
  • Thermal protective aids TPA
  • Natural fiber mooring ropes
  • Manual winches
  • Electric mooring winches
  • Radio direction finders RDF
  • Riding pawls
  • Carbon dioxide CO2 firefighting systems
  • Filter masks
  • Metal chisels
  • Air chippers
  • Ship anchor chocks
  • Hydraulic deck cranes
  • Explosimeters
  • Sounding rods
  • Sounding tapes
  • Hydraulic capstans
  • Voice pipes
  • Safety glasses
  • Mooring chains
  • Grease dispensing guns
  • Safety belts
  • Blinker lights
  • Wire splicers
  • Chipping hammers
  • Radar navigation systems
  • Electric windlasses
  • Gear pumps
  • Life jackets
  • Claw hammers
  • Container lift trucks
  • Galvanized thimbles
  • Hydraulic windlasses
  • Fids
  • Gyrocompasses
  • Wire cutters
  • Liquid cargo transfer hoses
  • Chain cargo falls
  • Mooring cables
  • Pilot ladders
  • Pipe wrenches
  • Oil dispensing cans
  • Bolt cutters
  • Respirators
  • Life rings
  • Cargo booms
  • Signal flags
  • Emergency generators