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Automation Risk Analysis

Will “Cadet” be Automated?

Historical Context: Oxford Study (2013)

Ranked #461 of 702. Estimated risk: 83.0%

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AI Exposure Risk

40%

“Cadet” will probably not be replaced by AI.

Based on the cognitive demands, communication requirements, and logical reasoning intrinsic to this occupation according to O*NET data, we project a 40% probability of disruption by generative AI and Large Language Models.

Automation & Robot Risk

60%

“Cadet” will maybe be replaced by robots.

Evaluating the physical dexterity, repetitive motion tasks, and manual labor associated with this role, our analysis indicates a 60% likelihood of substitution by advanced robotics systems.

Personal & Financial Insights

Every occupation has a unique profile. For Sailors and Marine Oilers, the Bureau of Labor Statistics and O*NET classify the day-to-day work broadly as: Stand watch to look for obstructions in path of vessel, measure water depth, turn wheel on bridge, or use emergency equipment as directed by captain, mate, or pilot. Break out, rig, overhaul, and store cargo-handling gear, stationary rigging, and running gear. Perform a variety of maintenance tasks to preserve the painted surface of the ship and to maintain line and ship equipment. Must hold government-issued certification and tankerman certification when working aboard liquid-carrying vessels. Includes able seamen and ordinary seamen.

Avg. Annual Salary $55,320
Avg. Hourly Wage $26.59
Available Jobs (US) 31,360
Job Title & Hierarchy Code (SOC) Sailors and Marine Oilers #53-5011
Wage vs. National Median
ℹ️

Data is based on the reference occupation: “Sailors and Marine Oilers”

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Core Skills & Abilities

  • Give directions to crew members engaged in cleaning wheelhouses or quarterdecks.

  • Read pressure and temperature gauges or displays and record data in engineering logs.

  • Measure depth of water in shallow or unfamiliar waters, using leadlines, and telephone or shout depth information to vessel bridges.

  • Participate in shore patrols.

  • Maintain government-issued certifications, as required.

  • Chip and clean rust spots on decks, superstructures, or sides of ships, using wire brushes and hand or air chipping machines.

  • Lower and man lifeboats when emergencies occur.

  • Break out, rig, and stow cargo-handling gear, stationary rigging, or running gear.

  • Attach hoses and operate pumps to transfer substances to and from liquid cargo tanks.

  • Sweep, mop, and wash down decks to remove oil, dirt, and debris, using brooms, mops, brushes, and hoses.

  • Operate, maintain, or repair ship equipment, such as winches, cranes, derricks, or weapons system.

  • Record data in ships' logs, such as weather conditions or distances traveled.

  • Provide engineers with assistance in repairing or adjusting machinery.

  • Stand by wheels when ships are on automatic pilot, and verify accuracy of courses, using magnetic compasses.

  • Lubricate machinery, equipment, or engine parts, such as gears, shafts, or bearings.

  • Load or unload materials, vehicles, or passengers from vessels.

  • Stand gangway watches to prevent unauthorized persons from boarding ships while in port.

  • Splice and repair ropes, wire cables, or cordage, using marlinespikes, wire cutters, twine, and hand tools.

  • Maintain a ship's engines under the direction of the ship's engineering officers.

  • Handle lines to moor vessels to wharfs, to tie up vessels to other vessels, or to rig towing lines.

  • Stand watch in ships' bows or bridge wings to look for obstructions in a ship's path or to locate navigational aids, such as buoys or lighthouses.

  • Tie barges together into tow units for tugboats to handle, inspecting barges periodically during voyages and disconnecting them when destinations are reached.

  • Examine machinery to verify specified pressures or lubricant flows.

  • Clean and polish wood trim, brass, or other metal parts.

  • Paint or varnish decks, superstructures, lifeboats, or sides of ships.

  • Overhaul lifeboats or lifeboat gear and lower or raise lifeboats with winches or falls.

  • Relay specified signals to other ships, using visual signaling devices, such as blinker lights or semaphores.

  • Steer ships under the direction of commanders or navigating officers or direct helmsmen to steer, following designated courses.

Technologies & Software

  • Tesla Autopilot
  • Waymo (Autonomous Driving)
  • Microsoft PowerPoint
  • Microsoft Excel
  • Computerized maintenance management system CMMS
  • Microsoft Word
  • Log book software
  • KNMI TurboWin
  • Kongsberg Maritime K-Log Deck Logbook
  • Word processing software
  • Project44 AI Logistics
  • Mobileye AI
  • Microsoft Windows
  • Microsoft Outlook
  • Gatik AI
  • Operating system software
  • Microsoft Office software
  • Crescent wrenches
  • Ratchet sets
  • Wire cutters
  • Life rings
  • Centrifugal cargo pumps
  • Ship anchor chocks
  • Forklifts
  • Mooring cables
  • Pyrotechnic distress signals
  • Hand punches
  • Filter masks
  • Anti-exposure coveralls
  • Safety helmets
  • Sheave blocks
  • Safety lanyards
  • Pilot ladders
  • Steam winches
  • Foam firefighting systems
  • Cargo booms
  • Manual winches
  • Hydraulic capstans
  • Emergency generators
  • Electric windlasses
  • Engine room alarm systems
  • Grease dispensing guns
  • Portable fire extinguishers
  • Hand capstans
  • Bridge telephones
  • Hydraulic deck cranes
  • Portable gas detectors
  • Thermal protective aids TPA
  • Radar navigation systems
  • Bilge pumping systems
  • Cargo derricks
  • Workshop vises
  • Sharpening steels
  • Galvanized thimbles
  • Chipping hammers
  • Life jackets
  • Pipe wrenches
  • Magnetic compasses
  • Electric mooring winches
  • Magnet hoists
  • Emergency position-indicating radio beacons
  • Riding pawls
  • Signal flags
  • Mechanical telegraphs
  • Safety belts
  • Bolt cutters
  • Semaphores
  • Electric telegraphs
  • Hydraulic mooring winches
  • Carbon dioxide CO2 firefighting systems
  • Life buoys
  • Oil dispensing cans
  • Lifting spreaders
  • Container lift trucks
  • Safety glasses
  • Desktop computers
  • Lifting slings
  • Locking jaw pliers
  • Gyrocompasses
  • Sounding tapes
  • Explosimeters
  • Cargo hooks
  • Grabbing cranes
  • Lifeboat davits
  • Liquid cargo transfer hoses
  • Two way radios
  • Hand windlasses
  • Gear pumps
  • Wire splicers
  • Reciprocating pumps
  • Radio direction finders RDF
  • Voice pipes
  • Respirators
  • Lifeboats
  • Sewing needles
  • Mooring chains
  • Chain cargo falls
  • Welders
  • Synthetic mooring ropes
  • Air chippers
  • Spanner wrenches
  • Hydraulic windlasses
  • Sounding rods
  • Claw hammers
  • Tank level gauges
  • Electric deck cranes
  • Ship alarm systems
  • Metal chisels
  • Fids
  • Natural fiber mooring ropes
  • Centrifugal ventilators
  • Personal computers
  • Fire hoses
  • Blinker lights