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Automation Risk Analysis

Will “Merchant Seaman” be Automated?

Historical Context: Oxford Study (2013)

Ranked #461 of 702. Estimated risk: 83.0%

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AI Exposure Risk

40%

“Merchant Seaman” will probably not be replaced by AI.

Based on the cognitive demands, communication requirements, and logical reasoning intrinsic to this occupation according to O*NET data, we project a 40% probability of disruption by generative AI and Large Language Models.

Automation & Robot Risk

60%

“Merchant Seaman” will maybe be replaced by robots.

Evaluating the physical dexterity, repetitive motion tasks, and manual labor associated with this role, our analysis indicates a 60% likelihood of substitution by advanced robotics systems.

Personal & Financial Insights

Every occupation has a unique profile. For Sailors and Marine Oilers, the Bureau of Labor Statistics and O*NET classify the day-to-day work broadly as: Stand watch to look for obstructions in path of vessel, measure water depth, turn wheel on bridge, or use emergency equipment as directed by captain, mate, or pilot. Break out, rig, overhaul, and store cargo-handling gear, stationary rigging, and running gear. Perform a variety of maintenance tasks to preserve the painted surface of the ship and to maintain line and ship equipment. Must hold government-issued certification and tankerman certification when working aboard liquid-carrying vessels. Includes able seamen and ordinary seamen.

Avg. Annual Salary $55,320
Avg. Hourly Wage $26.59
Available Jobs (US) 31,360
Job Title & Hierarchy Code (SOC) Sailors and Marine Oilers #53-5011
Wage vs. National Median
ℹ️

Data is based on the reference occupation: “Sailors and Marine Oilers”

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Core Skills & Abilities

  • Clean and polish wood trim, brass, or other metal parts.

  • Handle lines to moor vessels to wharfs, to tie up vessels to other vessels, or to rig towing lines.

  • Load or unload materials, vehicles, or passengers from vessels.

  • Measure depth of water in shallow or unfamiliar waters, using leadlines, and telephone or shout depth information to vessel bridges.

  • Examine machinery to verify specified pressures or lubricant flows.

  • Participate in shore patrols.

  • Attach hoses and operate pumps to transfer substances to and from liquid cargo tanks.

  • Steer ships under the direction of commanders or navigating officers or direct helmsmen to steer, following designated courses.

  • Relay specified signals to other ships, using visual signaling devices, such as blinker lights or semaphores.

  • Stand by wheels when ships are on automatic pilot, and verify accuracy of courses, using magnetic compasses.

  • Tie barges together into tow units for tugboats to handle, inspecting barges periodically during voyages and disconnecting them when destinations are reached.

  • Break out, rig, and stow cargo-handling gear, stationary rigging, or running gear.

  • Stand gangway watches to prevent unauthorized persons from boarding ships while in port.

  • Record data in ships' logs, such as weather conditions or distances traveled.

  • Give directions to crew members engaged in cleaning wheelhouses or quarterdecks.

  • Lubricate machinery, equipment, or engine parts, such as gears, shafts, or bearings.

  • Overhaul lifeboats or lifeboat gear and lower or raise lifeboats with winches or falls.

  • Chip and clean rust spots on decks, superstructures, or sides of ships, using wire brushes and hand or air chipping machines.

  • Provide engineers with assistance in repairing or adjusting machinery.

  • Maintain a ship's engines under the direction of the ship's engineering officers.

  • Operate, maintain, or repair ship equipment, such as winches, cranes, derricks, or weapons system.

  • Stand watch in ships' bows or bridge wings to look for obstructions in a ship's path or to locate navigational aids, such as buoys or lighthouses.

  • Maintain government-issued certifications, as required.

  • Sweep, mop, and wash down decks to remove oil, dirt, and debris, using brooms, mops, brushes, and hoses.

  • Paint or varnish decks, superstructures, lifeboats, or sides of ships.

  • Splice and repair ropes, wire cables, or cordage, using marlinespikes, wire cutters, twine, and hand tools.

  • Lower and man lifeboats when emergencies occur.

  • Read pressure and temperature gauges or displays and record data in engineering logs.

Technologies & Software

  • Microsoft PowerPoint
  • Gatik AI
  • Project44 AI Logistics
  • Kongsberg Maritime K-Log Deck Logbook
  • Tesla Autopilot
  • Microsoft Windows
  • Mobileye AI
  • Operating system software
  • Microsoft Office software
  • Microsoft Outlook
  • Waymo (Autonomous Driving)
  • Computerized maintenance management system CMMS
  • Word processing software
  • Microsoft Word
  • Microsoft Excel
  • Log book software
  • KNMI TurboWin
  • Wire splicers
  • Personal computers
  • Manual winches
  • Air chippers
  • Foam firefighting systems
  • Hand punches
  • Sewing needles
  • Lifeboats
  • Respirators
  • Voice pipes
  • Magnetic compasses
  • Metal chisels
  • Radio direction finders RDF
  • Riding pawls
  • Safety lanyards
  • Grabbing cranes
  • Pyrotechnic distress signals
  • Signal flags
  • Life jackets
  • Radar navigation systems
  • Sounding tapes
  • Centrifugal ventilators
  • Hydraulic deck cranes
  • Magnet hoists
  • Forklifts
  • Pilot ladders
  • Gear pumps
  • Two way radios
  • Fids
  • Emergency generators
  • Synthetic mooring ropes
  • Cargo derricks
  • Wire cutters
  • Semaphores
  • Sharpening steels
  • Explosimeters
  • Mechanical telegraphs
  • Chain cargo falls
  • Spanner wrenches
  • Bolt cutters
  • Bridge telephones
  • Engine room alarm systems
  • Crescent wrenches
  • Life buoys
  • Oil dispensing cans
  • Hydraulic mooring winches
  • Bilge pumping systems
  • Safety glasses
  • Carbon dioxide CO2 firefighting systems
  • Claw hammers
  • Portable gas detectors
  • Ship alarm systems
  • Liquid cargo transfer hoses
  • Container lift trucks
  • Natural fiber mooring ropes
  • Hydraulic capstans
  • Hand capstans
  • Safety helmets
  • Blinker lights
  • Electric deck cranes
  • Centrifugal cargo pumps
  • Ratchet sets
  • Lifting slings
  • Sounding rods
  • Emergency position-indicating radio beacons
  • Locking jaw pliers
  • Lifeboat davits
  • Mooring chains
  • Electric telegraphs
  • Portable fire extinguishers
  • Ship anchor chocks
  • Tank level gauges
  • Electric mooring winches
  • Anti-exposure coveralls
  • Pipe wrenches
  • Chipping hammers
  • Galvanized thimbles
  • Life rings
  • Fire hoses
  • Hand windlasses
  • Safety belts
  • Desktop computers
  • Cargo booms
  • Hydraulic windlasses
  • Lifting spreaders
  • Steam winches
  • Grease dispensing guns
  • Mooring cables
  • Filter masks
  • Workshop vises
  • Sheave blocks
  • Gyrocompasses
  • Welders
  • Thermal protective aids TPA
  • Cargo hooks
  • Reciprocating pumps
  • Electric windlasses