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Automation Risk Analysis

Will “Merchant Seaman” be Automated?

Historical Context: Oxford Study (2013)

Ranked #461 of 702. Estimated risk: 83.0%

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AI Exposure Risk

40%

“Merchant Seaman” will probably not be replaced by AI.

Based on the cognitive demands, communication requirements, and logical reasoning intrinsic to this occupation according to O*NET data, we project a 40% probability of disruption by generative AI and Large Language Models.

Automation & Robot Risk

60%

“Merchant Seaman” will maybe be replaced by robots.

Evaluating the physical dexterity, repetitive motion tasks, and manual labor associated with this role, our analysis indicates a 60% likelihood of substitution by advanced robotics systems.

Personal & Financial Insights

Every occupation has a unique profile. For Sailors and Marine Oilers, the Bureau of Labor Statistics and O*NET classify the day-to-day work broadly as: Stand watch to look for obstructions in path of vessel, measure water depth, turn wheel on bridge, or use emergency equipment as directed by captain, mate, or pilot. Break out, rig, overhaul, and store cargo-handling gear, stationary rigging, and running gear. Perform a variety of maintenance tasks to preserve the painted surface of the ship and to maintain line and ship equipment. Must hold government-issued certification and tankerman certification when working aboard liquid-carrying vessels. Includes able seamen and ordinary seamen.

Avg. Annual Salary $55,320
Avg. Hourly Wage $26.59
Available Jobs (US) 31,360
Job Title & Hierarchy Code (SOC) Sailors and Marine Oilers #53-5011
Wage vs. National Median
ℹ️

Data is based on the reference occupation: “Sailors and Marine Oilers”

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Core Skills & Abilities

  • Break out, rig, and stow cargo-handling gear, stationary rigging, or running gear.

  • Operate, maintain, or repair ship equipment, such as winches, cranes, derricks, or weapons system.

  • Stand gangway watches to prevent unauthorized persons from boarding ships while in port.

  • Sweep, mop, and wash down decks to remove oil, dirt, and debris, using brooms, mops, brushes, and hoses.

  • Stand watch in ships' bows or bridge wings to look for obstructions in a ship's path or to locate navigational aids, such as buoys or lighthouses.

  • Clean and polish wood trim, brass, or other metal parts.

  • Paint or varnish decks, superstructures, lifeboats, or sides of ships.

  • Overhaul lifeboats or lifeboat gear and lower or raise lifeboats with winches or falls.

  • Maintain a ship's engines under the direction of the ship's engineering officers.

  • Lubricate machinery, equipment, or engine parts, such as gears, shafts, or bearings.

  • Handle lines to moor vessels to wharfs, to tie up vessels to other vessels, or to rig towing lines.

  • Relay specified signals to other ships, using visual signaling devices, such as blinker lights or semaphores.

  • Load or unload materials, vehicles, or passengers from vessels.

  • Tie barges together into tow units for tugboats to handle, inspecting barges periodically during voyages and disconnecting them when destinations are reached.

  • Record data in ships' logs, such as weather conditions or distances traveled.

  • Stand by wheels when ships are on automatic pilot, and verify accuracy of courses, using magnetic compasses.

  • Chip and clean rust spots on decks, superstructures, or sides of ships, using wire brushes and hand or air chipping machines.

  • Participate in shore patrols.

  • Attach hoses and operate pumps to transfer substances to and from liquid cargo tanks.

  • Examine machinery to verify specified pressures or lubricant flows.

  • Provide engineers with assistance in repairing or adjusting machinery.

  • Splice and repair ropes, wire cables, or cordage, using marlinespikes, wire cutters, twine, and hand tools.

  • Lower and man lifeboats when emergencies occur.

  • Give directions to crew members engaged in cleaning wheelhouses or quarterdecks.

  • Read pressure and temperature gauges or displays and record data in engineering logs.

  • Steer ships under the direction of commanders or navigating officers or direct helmsmen to steer, following designated courses.

  • Maintain government-issued certifications, as required.

  • Measure depth of water in shallow or unfamiliar waters, using leadlines, and telephone or shout depth information to vessel bridges.

Technologies & Software

  • Microsoft Word
  • Microsoft Outlook
  • KNMI TurboWin
  • Microsoft Windows
  • Operating system software
  • Computerized maintenance management system CMMS
  • Tesla Autopilot
  • Project44 AI Logistics
  • Microsoft Excel
  • Word processing software
  • Microsoft Office software
  • Gatik AI
  • Microsoft PowerPoint
  • Log book software
  • Kongsberg Maritime K-Log Deck Logbook
  • Mobileye AI
  • Waymo (Autonomous Driving)
  • Pilot ladders
  • Life rings
  • Mooring cables
  • Ratchet sets
  • Air chippers
  • Forklifts
  • Crescent wrenches
  • Centrifugal cargo pumps
  • Lifting slings
  • Steam winches
  • Hydraulic windlasses
  • Cargo hooks
  • Blinker lights
  • Gyrocompasses
  • Bolt cutters
  • Bilge pumping systems
  • Grabbing cranes
  • Container lift trucks
  • Natural fiber mooring ropes
  • Lifeboat davits
  • Hydraulic capstans
  • Radar navigation systems
  • Personal computers
  • Magnet hoists
  • Sheave blocks
  • Mooring chains
  • Wire splicers
  • Safety lanyards
  • Hydraulic deck cranes
  • Magnetic compasses
  • Engine room alarm systems
  • Gear pumps
  • Workshop vises
  • Centrifugal ventilators
  • Mechanical telegraphs
  • Sewing needles
  • Filter masks
  • Fids
  • Hand punches
  • Ship alarm systems
  • Grease dispensing guns
  • Portable fire extinguishers
  • Bridge telephones
  • Metal chisels
  • Welders
  • Hand windlasses
  • Riding pawls
  • Explosimeters
  • Desktop computers
  • Emergency generators
  • Lifting spreaders
  • Thermal protective aids TPA
  • Fire hoses
  • Electric mooring winches
  • Galvanized thimbles
  • Electric windlasses
  • Pipe wrenches
  • Wire cutters
  • Emergency position-indicating radio beacons
  • Locking jaw pliers
  • Reciprocating pumps
  • Manual winches
  • Sounding rods
  • Pyrotechnic distress signals
  • Cargo derricks
  • Anti-exposure coveralls
  • Safety glasses
  • Portable gas detectors
  • Voice pipes
  • Hand capstans
  • Safety belts
  • Chipping hammers
  • Claw hammers
  • Lifeboats
  • Chain cargo falls
  • Electric telegraphs
  • Electric deck cranes
  • Radio direction finders RDF
  • Hydraulic mooring winches
  • Signal flags
  • Sharpening steels
  • Ship anchor chocks
  • Oil dispensing cans
  • Cargo booms
  • Semaphores
  • Liquid cargo transfer hoses
  • Life buoys
  • Safety helmets
  • Foam firefighting systems
  • Respirators
  • Synthetic mooring ropes
  • Two way radios
  • Sounding tapes
  • Tank level gauges
  • Carbon dioxide CO2 firefighting systems
  • Spanner wrenches
  • Life jackets