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Automation Risk Analysis

Will “Steersman” be Automated?

Historical Context: Oxford Study (2013)

Ranked #461 of 702. Estimated risk: 83.0%

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AI Exposure Risk

40%

“Steersman” will probably not be replaced by AI.

Based on the cognitive demands, communication requirements, and logical reasoning intrinsic to this occupation according to O*NET data, we project a 40% probability of disruption by generative AI and Large Language Models.

Automation & Robot Risk

60%

“Steersman” will maybe be replaced by robots.

Evaluating the physical dexterity, repetitive motion tasks, and manual labor associated with this role, our analysis indicates a 60% likelihood of substitution by advanced robotics systems.

Personal & Financial Insights

Every occupation has a unique profile. For Sailors and Marine Oilers, the Bureau of Labor Statistics and O*NET classify the day-to-day work broadly as: Stand watch to look for obstructions in path of vessel, measure water depth, turn wheel on bridge, or use emergency equipment as directed by captain, mate, or pilot. Break out, rig, overhaul, and store cargo-handling gear, stationary rigging, and running gear. Perform a variety of maintenance tasks to preserve the painted surface of the ship and to maintain line and ship equipment. Must hold government-issued certification and tankerman certification when working aboard liquid-carrying vessels. Includes able seamen and ordinary seamen.

Avg. Annual Salary $55,320
Avg. Hourly Wage $26.59
Available Jobs (US) 31,360
Job Title & Hierarchy Code (SOC) Sailors and Marine Oilers #53-5011
Wage vs. National Median
ℹ️

Data is based on the reference occupation: “Sailors and Marine Oilers”

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Core Skills & Abilities

  • Examine machinery to verify specified pressures or lubricant flows.

  • Read pressure and temperature gauges or displays and record data in engineering logs.

  • Steer ships under the direction of commanders or navigating officers or direct helmsmen to steer, following designated courses.

  • Break out, rig, and stow cargo-handling gear, stationary rigging, or running gear.

  • Operate, maintain, or repair ship equipment, such as winches, cranes, derricks, or weapons system.

  • Chip and clean rust spots on decks, superstructures, or sides of ships, using wire brushes and hand or air chipping machines.

  • Tie barges together into tow units for tugboats to handle, inspecting barges periodically during voyages and disconnecting them when destinations are reached.

  • Maintain a ship's engines under the direction of the ship's engineering officers.

  • Relay specified signals to other ships, using visual signaling devices, such as blinker lights or semaphores.

  • Measure depth of water in shallow or unfamiliar waters, using leadlines, and telephone or shout depth information to vessel bridges.

  • Handle lines to moor vessels to wharfs, to tie up vessels to other vessels, or to rig towing lines.

  • Stand by wheels when ships are on automatic pilot, and verify accuracy of courses, using magnetic compasses.

  • Record data in ships' logs, such as weather conditions or distances traveled.

  • Participate in shore patrols.

  • Stand watch in ships' bows or bridge wings to look for obstructions in a ship's path or to locate navigational aids, such as buoys or lighthouses.

  • Attach hoses and operate pumps to transfer substances to and from liquid cargo tanks.

  • Provide engineers with assistance in repairing or adjusting machinery.

  • Sweep, mop, and wash down decks to remove oil, dirt, and debris, using brooms, mops, brushes, and hoses.

  • Overhaul lifeboats or lifeboat gear and lower or raise lifeboats with winches or falls.

  • Splice and repair ropes, wire cables, or cordage, using marlinespikes, wire cutters, twine, and hand tools.

  • Maintain government-issued certifications, as required.

  • Lubricate machinery, equipment, or engine parts, such as gears, shafts, or bearings.

  • Give directions to crew members engaged in cleaning wheelhouses or quarterdecks.

  • Stand gangway watches to prevent unauthorized persons from boarding ships while in port.

  • Lower and man lifeboats when emergencies occur.

  • Paint or varnish decks, superstructures, lifeboats, or sides of ships.

  • Clean and polish wood trim, brass, or other metal parts.

  • Load or unload materials, vehicles, or passengers from vessels.

Technologies & Software

  • Mobileye AI
  • Waymo (Autonomous Driving)
  • Gatik AI
  • Microsoft Word
  • Word processing software
  • Microsoft Office software
  • Tesla Autopilot
  • Microsoft Outlook
  • Kongsberg Maritime K-Log Deck Logbook
  • KNMI TurboWin
  • Computerized maintenance management system CMMS
  • Microsoft Windows
  • Operating system software
  • Microsoft PowerPoint
  • Microsoft Excel
  • Log book software
  • Project44 AI Logistics
  • Lifting slings
  • Mechanical telegraphs
  • Wire cutters
  • Oil dispensing cans
  • Wire splicers
  • Gyrocompasses
  • Safety helmets
  • Reciprocating pumps
  • Bridge telephones
  • Lifeboat davits
  • Ship anchor chocks
  • Emergency position-indicating radio beacons
  • Liquid cargo transfer hoses
  • Filter masks
  • Two way radios
  • Electric deck cranes
  • Safety lanyards
  • Chain cargo falls
  • Forklifts
  • Cargo derricks
  • Emergency generators
  • Hand punches
  • Electric mooring winches
  • Mooring chains
  • Pipe wrenches
  • Mooring cables
  • Natural fiber mooring ropes
  • Portable fire extinguishers
  • Voice pipes
  • Sheave blocks
  • Spanner wrenches
  • Synthetic mooring ropes
  • Life buoys
  • Workshop vises
  • Bolt cutters
  • Radar navigation systems
  • Grabbing cranes
  • Grease dispensing guns
  • Manual winches
  • Locking jaw pliers
  • Pilot ladders
  • Electric telegraphs
  • Cargo booms
  • Fids
  • Sharpening steels
  • Hand capstans
  • Sewing needles
  • Safety belts
  • Carbon dioxide CO2 firefighting systems
  • Cargo hooks
  • Bilge pumping systems
  • Hydraulic capstans
  • Signal flags
  • Chipping hammers
  • Container lift trucks
  • Hydraulic deck cranes
  • Hydraulic windlasses
  • Steam winches
  • Portable gas detectors
  • Personal computers
  • Magnet hoists
  • Engine room alarm systems
  • Gear pumps
  • Anti-exposure coveralls
  • Claw hammers
  • Ship alarm systems
  • Electric windlasses
  • Riding pawls
  • Magnetic compasses
  • Welders
  • Life jackets
  • Centrifugal cargo pumps
  • Explosimeters
  • Lifeboats
  • Hand windlasses
  • Radio direction finders RDF
  • Sounding tapes
  • Life rings
  • Respirators
  • Lifting spreaders
  • Sounding rods
  • Crescent wrenches
  • Foam firefighting systems
  • Air chippers
  • Pyrotechnic distress signals
  • Galvanized thimbles
  • Fire hoses
  • Centrifugal ventilators
  • Ratchet sets
  • Hydraulic mooring winches
  • Tank level gauges
  • Metal chisels
  • Desktop computers
  • Semaphores
  • Safety glasses
  • Thermal protective aids TPA
  • Blinker lights