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Automation Risk Analysis

Will “Lighterman” be Automated?

Historical Context: Oxford Study (2013)

Ranked #461 of 702. Estimated risk: 83.0%

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AI Exposure Risk

40%

“Lighterman” will probably not be replaced by AI.

Based on the cognitive demands, communication requirements, and logical reasoning intrinsic to this occupation according to O*NET data, we project a 40% probability of disruption by generative AI and Large Language Models.

Automation & Robot Risk

60%

“Lighterman” will maybe be replaced by robots.

Evaluating the physical dexterity, repetitive motion tasks, and manual labor associated with this role, our analysis indicates a 60% likelihood of substitution by advanced robotics systems.

Personal & Financial Insights

Every occupation has a unique profile. For Sailors and Marine Oilers, the Bureau of Labor Statistics and O*NET classify the day-to-day work broadly as: Stand watch to look for obstructions in path of vessel, measure water depth, turn wheel on bridge, or use emergency equipment as directed by captain, mate, or pilot. Break out, rig, overhaul, and store cargo-handling gear, stationary rigging, and running gear. Perform a variety of maintenance tasks to preserve the painted surface of the ship and to maintain line and ship equipment. Must hold government-issued certification and tankerman certification when working aboard liquid-carrying vessels. Includes able seamen and ordinary seamen.

Avg. Annual Salary $55,320
Avg. Hourly Wage $26.59
Available Jobs (US) 31,360
Job Title & Hierarchy Code (SOC) Sailors and Marine Oilers #53-5011
Wage vs. National Median
ℹ️

Data is based on the reference occupation: “Sailors and Marine Oilers”

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Core Skills & Abilities

  • Stand gangway watches to prevent unauthorized persons from boarding ships while in port.

  • Tie barges together into tow units for tugboats to handle, inspecting barges periodically during voyages and disconnecting them when destinations are reached.

  • Stand by wheels when ships are on automatic pilot, and verify accuracy of courses, using magnetic compasses.

  • Examine machinery to verify specified pressures or lubricant flows.

  • Sweep, mop, and wash down decks to remove oil, dirt, and debris, using brooms, mops, brushes, and hoses.

  • Lubricate machinery, equipment, or engine parts, such as gears, shafts, or bearings.

  • Give directions to crew members engaged in cleaning wheelhouses or quarterdecks.

  • Chip and clean rust spots on decks, superstructures, or sides of ships, using wire brushes and hand or air chipping machines.

  • Clean and polish wood trim, brass, or other metal parts.

  • Lower and man lifeboats when emergencies occur.

  • Splice and repair ropes, wire cables, or cordage, using marlinespikes, wire cutters, twine, and hand tools.

  • Participate in shore patrols.

  • Measure depth of water in shallow or unfamiliar waters, using leadlines, and telephone or shout depth information to vessel bridges.

  • Break out, rig, and stow cargo-handling gear, stationary rigging, or running gear.

  • Maintain a ship's engines under the direction of the ship's engineering officers.

  • Stand watch in ships' bows or bridge wings to look for obstructions in a ship's path or to locate navigational aids, such as buoys or lighthouses.

  • Load or unload materials, vehicles, or passengers from vessels.

  • Steer ships under the direction of commanders or navigating officers or direct helmsmen to steer, following designated courses.

  • Provide engineers with assistance in repairing or adjusting machinery.

  • Operate, maintain, or repair ship equipment, such as winches, cranes, derricks, or weapons system.

  • Handle lines to moor vessels to wharfs, to tie up vessels to other vessels, or to rig towing lines.

  • Maintain government-issued certifications, as required.

  • Read pressure and temperature gauges or displays and record data in engineering logs.

  • Attach hoses and operate pumps to transfer substances to and from liquid cargo tanks.

  • Relay specified signals to other ships, using visual signaling devices, such as blinker lights or semaphores.

  • Overhaul lifeboats or lifeboat gear and lower or raise lifeboats with winches or falls.

  • Paint or varnish decks, superstructures, lifeboats, or sides of ships.

  • Record data in ships' logs, such as weather conditions or distances traveled.

Technologies & Software

  • Tesla Autopilot
  • Microsoft Excel
  • Microsoft Office software
  • Log book software
  • Microsoft Windows
  • Microsoft Outlook
  • Waymo (Autonomous Driving)
  • Operating system software
  • Computerized maintenance management system CMMS
  • KNMI TurboWin
  • Kongsberg Maritime K-Log Deck Logbook
  • Mobileye AI
  • Gatik AI
  • Project44 AI Logistics
  • Microsoft PowerPoint
  • Word processing software
  • Microsoft Word
  • Carbon dioxide CO2 firefighting systems
  • Life buoys
  • Safety belts
  • Lifting slings
  • Locking jaw pliers
  • Hydraulic mooring winches
  • Gear pumps
  • Portable fire extinguishers
  • Radio direction finders RDF
  • Forklifts
  • Sounding rods
  • Safety glasses
  • Emergency position-indicating radio beacons
  • Reciprocating pumps
  • Desktop computers
  • Gyrocompasses
  • Claw hammers
  • Fire hoses
  • Sheave blocks
  • Filter masks
  • Two way radios
  • Sewing needles
  • Blinker lights
  • Hand capstans
  • Respirators
  • Anti-exposure coveralls
  • Thermal protective aids TPA
  • Magnetic compasses
  • Workshop vises
  • Ship anchor chocks
  • Electric windlasses
  • Bolt cutters
  • Explosimeters
  • Steam winches
  • Grabbing cranes
  • Centrifugal ventilators
  • Riding pawls
  • Wire splicers
  • Air chippers
  • Container lift trucks
  • Pyrotechnic distress signals
  • Spanner wrenches
  • Hydraulic windlasses
  • Safety lanyards
  • Mooring cables
  • Hand punches
  • Engine room alarm systems
  • Emergency generators
  • Bilge pumping systems
  • Pipe wrenches
  • Grease dispensing guns
  • Ship alarm systems
  • Crescent wrenches
  • Natural fiber mooring ropes
  • Foam firefighting systems
  • Signal flags
  • Cargo booms
  • Tank level gauges
  • Electric telegraphs
  • Life rings
  • Fids
  • Radar navigation systems
  • Hydraulic capstans
  • Pilot ladders
  • Centrifugal cargo pumps
  • Electric mooring winches
  • Liquid cargo transfer hoses
  • Safety helmets
  • Semaphores
  • Oil dispensing cans
  • Lifeboats
  • Voice pipes
  • Cargo hooks
  • Wire cutters
  • Portable gas detectors
  • Electric deck cranes
  • Mechanical telegraphs
  • Synthetic mooring ropes
  • Magnet hoists
  • Cargo derricks
  • Sounding tapes
  • Galvanized thimbles
  • Welders
  • Sharpening steels
  • Lifeboat davits
  • Chain cargo falls
  • Ratchet sets
  • Hand windlasses
  • Lifting spreaders
  • Life jackets
  • Chipping hammers
  • Manual winches
  • Bridge telephones
  • Personal computers
  • Metal chisels
  • Hydraulic deck cranes
  • Mooring chains