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Automation Risk Analysis

Will “Lighterman” be Automated?

Historical Context: Oxford Study (2013)

Ranked #461 of 702. Estimated risk: 83.0%

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AI Exposure Risk

40%

“Lighterman” will probably not be replaced by AI.

Based on the cognitive demands, communication requirements, and logical reasoning intrinsic to this occupation according to O*NET data, we project a 40% probability of disruption by generative AI and Large Language Models.

Automation & Robot Risk

60%

“Lighterman” will maybe be replaced by robots.

Evaluating the physical dexterity, repetitive motion tasks, and manual labor associated with this role, our analysis indicates a 60% likelihood of substitution by advanced robotics systems.

Personal & Financial Insights

Every occupation has a unique profile. For Sailors and Marine Oilers, the Bureau of Labor Statistics and O*NET classify the day-to-day work broadly as: Stand watch to look for obstructions in path of vessel, measure water depth, turn wheel on bridge, or use emergency equipment as directed by captain, mate, or pilot. Break out, rig, overhaul, and store cargo-handling gear, stationary rigging, and running gear. Perform a variety of maintenance tasks to preserve the painted surface of the ship and to maintain line and ship equipment. Must hold government-issued certification and tankerman certification when working aboard liquid-carrying vessels. Includes able seamen and ordinary seamen.

Avg. Annual Salary $55,320
Avg. Hourly Wage $26.59
Available Jobs (US) 31,360
Job Title & Hierarchy Code (SOC) Sailors and Marine Oilers #53-5011
Wage vs. National Median
ℹ️

Data is based on the reference occupation: “Sailors and Marine Oilers”

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Core Skills & Abilities

  • Overhaul lifeboats or lifeboat gear and lower or raise lifeboats with winches or falls.

  • Provide engineers with assistance in repairing or adjusting machinery.

  • Give directions to crew members engaged in cleaning wheelhouses or quarterdecks.

  • Maintain government-issued certifications, as required.

  • Stand watch in ships' bows or bridge wings to look for obstructions in a ship's path or to locate navigational aids, such as buoys or lighthouses.

  • Steer ships under the direction of commanders or navigating officers or direct helmsmen to steer, following designated courses.

  • Sweep, mop, and wash down decks to remove oil, dirt, and debris, using brooms, mops, brushes, and hoses.

  • Measure depth of water in shallow or unfamiliar waters, using leadlines, and telephone or shout depth information to vessel bridges.

  • Splice and repair ropes, wire cables, or cordage, using marlinespikes, wire cutters, twine, and hand tools.

  • Clean and polish wood trim, brass, or other metal parts.

  • Load or unload materials, vehicles, or passengers from vessels.

  • Handle lines to moor vessels to wharfs, to tie up vessels to other vessels, or to rig towing lines.

  • Lubricate machinery, equipment, or engine parts, such as gears, shafts, or bearings.

  • Break out, rig, and stow cargo-handling gear, stationary rigging, or running gear.

  • Relay specified signals to other ships, using visual signaling devices, such as blinker lights or semaphores.

  • Chip and clean rust spots on decks, superstructures, or sides of ships, using wire brushes and hand or air chipping machines.

  • Participate in shore patrols.

  • Maintain a ship's engines under the direction of the ship's engineering officers.

  • Operate, maintain, or repair ship equipment, such as winches, cranes, derricks, or weapons system.

  • Read pressure and temperature gauges or displays and record data in engineering logs.

  • Attach hoses and operate pumps to transfer substances to and from liquid cargo tanks.

  • Paint or varnish decks, superstructures, lifeboats, or sides of ships.

  • Stand gangway watches to prevent unauthorized persons from boarding ships while in port.

  • Record data in ships' logs, such as weather conditions or distances traveled.

  • Lower and man lifeboats when emergencies occur.

  • Examine machinery to verify specified pressures or lubricant flows.

  • Tie barges together into tow units for tugboats to handle, inspecting barges periodically during voyages and disconnecting them when destinations are reached.

  • Stand by wheels when ships are on automatic pilot, and verify accuracy of courses, using magnetic compasses.

Technologies & Software

  • Microsoft Word
  • Computerized maintenance management system CMMS
  • Log book software
  • Project44 AI Logistics
  • Word processing software
  • KNMI TurboWin
  • Operating system software
  • Microsoft Windows
  • Microsoft Excel
  • Kongsberg Maritime K-Log Deck Logbook
  • Microsoft Office software
  • Tesla Autopilot
  • Microsoft Outlook
  • Gatik AI
  • Microsoft PowerPoint
  • Mobileye AI
  • Waymo (Autonomous Driving)
  • Lifting slings
  • Hand capstans
  • Semaphores
  • Hydraulic mooring winches
  • Chipping hammers
  • Steam winches
  • Hand punches
  • Galvanized thimbles
  • Air chippers
  • Explosimeters
  • Welders
  • Tank level gauges
  • Ratchet sets
  • Locking jaw pliers
  • Metal chisels
  • Gyrocompasses
  • Natural fiber mooring ropes
  • Pyrotechnic distress signals
  • Wire cutters
  • Fids
  • Safety lanyards
  • Grabbing cranes
  • Lifeboats
  • Synthetic mooring ropes
  • Portable gas detectors
  • Claw hammers
  • Electric deck cranes
  • Ship alarm systems
  • Filter masks
  • Grease dispensing guns
  • Manual winches
  • Blinker lights
  • Centrifugal ventilators
  • Sounding rods
  • Respirators
  • Sharpening steels
  • Sheave blocks
  • Riding pawls
  • Workshop vises
  • Emergency generators
  • Pilot ladders
  • Two way radios
  • Bolt cutters
  • Bridge telephones
  • Radio direction finders RDF
  • Electric windlasses
  • Life jackets
  • Crescent wrenches
  • Desktop computers
  • Signal flags
  • Hydraulic deck cranes
  • Safety helmets
  • Spanner wrenches
  • Ship anchor chocks
  • Engine room alarm systems
  • Bilge pumping systems
  • Voice pipes
  • Anti-exposure coveralls
  • Forklifts
  • Thermal protective aids TPA
  • Reciprocating pumps
  • Lifeboat davits
  • Safety glasses
  • Magnetic compasses
  • Cargo hooks
  • Cargo booms
  • Wire splicers
  • Hydraulic windlasses
  • Oil dispensing cans
  • Safety belts
  • Pipe wrenches
  • Fire hoses
  • Radar navigation systems
  • Container lift trucks
  • Portable fire extinguishers
  • Magnet hoists
  • Life rings
  • Sewing needles
  • Gear pumps
  • Electric telegraphs
  • Foam firefighting systems
  • Carbon dioxide CO2 firefighting systems
  • Centrifugal cargo pumps
  • Sounding tapes
  • Mooring cables
  • Life buoys
  • Mooring chains
  • Electric mooring winches
  • Mechanical telegraphs
  • Hand windlasses
  • Lifting spreaders
  • Emergency position-indicating radio beacons
  • Cargo derricks
  • Personal computers
  • Hydraulic capstans
  • Liquid cargo transfer hoses
  • Chain cargo falls