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Automation Risk Analysis

Will “Carman” be Automated?

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AI Exposure Risk

49%

“Carman” will probably not be replaced by AI.

Based on the cognitive demands, communication requirements, and logical reasoning intrinsic to this occupation according to O*NET data, we project a 49% probability of disruption by generative AI and Large Language Models.

Automation & Robot Risk

58%

“Carman” will maybe be replaced by robots.

Evaluating the physical dexterity, repetitive motion tasks, and manual labor associated with this role, our analysis indicates a 58% likelihood of substitution by advanced robotics systems.

Personal & Financial Insights

Every occupation has a unique profile. For Railroad Brake, Signal, and Switch Operators and Locomotive Firers, the Bureau of Labor Statistics and O*NET classify the day-to-day work broadly as: Operate or monitor railroad track switches or locomotive instruments. May couple or uncouple rolling stock to make up or break up trains. Watch for and relay traffic signals. May inspect couplings, air hoses, journal boxes, and hand brakes. May watch for dragging equipment or obstacles on rights-of-way.

Avg. Annual Salary $63,170
Avg. Hourly Wage $30.37
Available Jobs (US) 12,460
Job Title & Hierarchy Code (SOC) Railroad Brake, Signal, and Switch Operators and Locomotive Firers #53-4022
Wage vs. National Median
ℹ️

Data is based on the reference occupation: “Railroad Brake, Signal, and Switch Operators and Locomotive Firers”

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Core Skills & Abilities

  • Inspect tracks, cars, and engines for defects and to determine service needs, sending engines and cars for repairs as necessary.

  • Check to see that trains are equipped with supplies such as fuel, water, and sand.

  • Conduct brake tests to determine the condition of brakes on trains.

  • Operate locomotives in emergency situations.

  • Observe signals from other crew members so that work activities can be coordinated.

  • Pull or push track switches to reroute cars.

  • Start diesel engines to warm engines before runs.

  • Monitor oil, temperature, and pressure gauges on dashboards to determine if engines are operating safely and efficiently.

  • Signal locomotive engineers to start or stop trains when coupling or uncoupling cars, using hand signals, lanterns, or radio communication.

  • Record numbers of cars available, numbers of cars sent to repair stations, and types of service needed.

  • Signal other workers to set brakes and to throw track switches when switching cars from trains to way stations.

  • Refuel and lubricate engines.

  • Inspect couplings, air hoses, journal boxes, and handbrakes to ensure that they are securely fastened and functioning properly.

  • Inspect locomotives to detect damaged or worn parts.

  • Make minor repairs to couplings, air hoses, and journal boxes, using hand tools.

  • Raise levers to couple and uncouple cars for makeup and breakup of trains.

  • Monitor trains as they go around curves to detect dragging equipment and smoking journal boxes.

  • Connect air hoses to cars, using wrenches.

  • Observe train signals along routes and verify their meanings for engineers.

  • Observe tracks from left sides of locomotives to detect obstructions on tracks.

  • Provide passengers with assistance entering and exiting trains.

  • Ride atop cars that have been shunted, and turn handwheels to control speeds or stop cars at specified positions.

  • Set flares, flags, lanterns, or torpedoes in front and at rear of trains during emergency stops to warn oncoming trains.

  • Operate and drive locomotives, diesel switch engines, dinkey engines, flatcars, and railcars in train yards and at industrial sites.

  • Climb ladders to tops of cars to set brakes.

  • Receive oral or written instructions from yardmasters or yard conductors indicating track assignments and cars to be switched.

Technologies & Software

  • Microsoft Office software
  • Tesla Autopilot
  • Mobileye AI
  • Google Android
  • Gatik AI
  • Time tracking software
  • Waymo (Autonomous Driving)
  • Electronic train management systems ETMS
  • Project44 AI Logistics
  • Microsoft Excel
  • Route mapping software
  • Electronic train management system software
  • Microsoft Outlook
  • Diesel switch engines
  • Derailers
  • Specialty wrench sets
  • Track switching systems
  • Oil pressure gauges
  • Gas turbine-electric freight engines
  • Buffer stops
  • Freight car air brakes
  • Locomotive airbrakes
  • Steel-toes boots
  • Air horns
  • Ground throw switches
  • Equipment couplers
  • Diesel powered freight engines
  • Manual rail switches
  • Reflective vests
  • Electric freight engines
  • Air pressure gauges
  • Dock boards
  • Rail cargo cars
  • Safety gloves
  • Diesel powered generators
  • Dinkey engines
  • Desktop computers
  • Mobile radios
  • Steel toe boots
  • Clamp-on ammeters
  • Remote control locomotives
  • Philips head screwdrivers
  • Generator electrical control panels
  • Car pullers
  • Signal flags
  • Hand brakes
  • Diesel freight engines
  • Electric powered freight engines
  • Safety air horns
  • Straight screwdrivers
  • Rail flaw detection machines
  • Temperature gauges
  • Dinky engines
  • Battery gauges
  • Track switches
  • Railroad track switches
  • Accelerometers
  • Mobile scaffolding
  • Speed gauges
  • Signal flares
  • Diesel-electric freight engines
  • Circuit breakers
  • Automatic track switching systems
  • Steam pressure gauges
  • Protective glasses
  • Signaling lanterns
  • Dynamic braking systems
  • Switch handles
  • Rail flaw detector cars
  • Dry chemical fire extinguishers
  • Locomotive wheel chocks
  • Cut-off valves
  • Steam powered train engines
  • Load current indicating meters

Alternative Job Titles