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Automation Risk Analysis

Will “Carman” be Automated?

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AI Exposure Risk

49%

“Carman” will probably not be replaced by AI.

Based on the cognitive demands, communication requirements, and logical reasoning intrinsic to this occupation according to O*NET data, we project a 49% probability of disruption by generative AI and Large Language Models.

Automation & Robot Risk

58%

“Carman” will maybe be replaced by robots.

Evaluating the physical dexterity, repetitive motion tasks, and manual labor associated with this role, our analysis indicates a 58% likelihood of substitution by advanced robotics systems.

Personal & Financial Insights

Every occupation has a unique profile. For Railroad Brake, Signal, and Switch Operators and Locomotive Firers, the Bureau of Labor Statistics and O*NET classify the day-to-day work broadly as: Operate or monitor railroad track switches or locomotive instruments. May couple or uncouple rolling stock to make up or break up trains. Watch for and relay traffic signals. May inspect couplings, air hoses, journal boxes, and hand brakes. May watch for dragging equipment or obstacles on rights-of-way.

Avg. Annual Salary $63,170
Avg. Hourly Wage $30.37
Available Jobs (US) 12,460
Job Title & Hierarchy Code (SOC) Railroad Brake, Signal, and Switch Operators and Locomotive Firers #53-4022
Wage vs. National Median
ℹ️

Data is based on the reference occupation: “Railroad Brake, Signal, and Switch Operators and Locomotive Firers”

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Core Skills & Abilities

  • Pull or push track switches to reroute cars.

  • Observe tracks from left sides of locomotives to detect obstructions on tracks.

  • Receive oral or written instructions from yardmasters or yard conductors indicating track assignments and cars to be switched.

  • Monitor trains as they go around curves to detect dragging equipment and smoking journal boxes.

  • Signal other workers to set brakes and to throw track switches when switching cars from trains to way stations.

  • Check to see that trains are equipped with supplies such as fuel, water, and sand.

  • Set flares, flags, lanterns, or torpedoes in front and at rear of trains during emergency stops to warn oncoming trains.

  • Observe signals from other crew members so that work activities can be coordinated.

  • Raise levers to couple and uncouple cars for makeup and breakup of trains.

  • Monitor oil, temperature, and pressure gauges on dashboards to determine if engines are operating safely and efficiently.

  • Ride atop cars that have been shunted, and turn handwheels to control speeds or stop cars at specified positions.

  • Observe train signals along routes and verify their meanings for engineers.

  • Connect air hoses to cars, using wrenches.

  • Operate locomotives in emergency situations.

  • Make minor repairs to couplings, air hoses, and journal boxes, using hand tools.

  • Inspect locomotives to detect damaged or worn parts.

  • Inspect tracks, cars, and engines for defects and to determine service needs, sending engines and cars for repairs as necessary.

  • Start diesel engines to warm engines before runs.

  • Operate and drive locomotives, diesel switch engines, dinkey engines, flatcars, and railcars in train yards and at industrial sites.

  • Provide passengers with assistance entering and exiting trains.

  • Record numbers of cars available, numbers of cars sent to repair stations, and types of service needed.

  • Climb ladders to tops of cars to set brakes.

  • Refuel and lubricate engines.

  • Signal locomotive engineers to start or stop trains when coupling or uncoupling cars, using hand signals, lanterns, or radio communication.

  • Inspect couplings, air hoses, journal boxes, and handbrakes to ensure that they are securely fastened and functioning properly.

  • Conduct brake tests to determine the condition of brakes on trains.

Technologies & Software

  • Microsoft Office software
  • Microsoft Excel
  • Time tracking software
  • Electronic train management system software
  • Electronic train management systems ETMS
  • Route mapping software
  • Gatik AI
  • Waymo (Autonomous Driving)
  • Google Android
  • Microsoft Outlook
  • Mobileye AI
  • Tesla Autopilot
  • Project44 AI Logistics
  • Protective glasses
  • Steam pressure gauges
  • Derailers
  • Cut-off valves
  • Dinkey engines
  • Load current indicating meters
  • Automatic track switching systems
  • Battery gauges
  • Locomotive airbrakes
  • Locomotive wheel chocks
  • Signal flares
  • Railroad track switches
  • Remote control locomotives
  • Philips head screwdrivers
  • Air pressure gauges
  • Diesel powered freight engines
  • Straight screwdrivers
  • Track switches
  • Hand brakes
  • Ground throw switches
  • Circuit breakers
  • Buffer stops
  • Dinky engines
  • Gas turbine-electric freight engines
  • Rail flaw detection machines
  • Oil pressure gauges
  • Steel toe boots
  • Switch handles
  • Equipment couplers
  • Signal flags
  • Track switching systems
  • Car pullers
  • Dry chemical fire extinguishers
  • Air horns
  • Mobile scaffolding
  • Dynamic braking systems
  • Rail cargo cars
  • Freight car air brakes
  • Steam powered train engines
  • Safety air horns
  • Rail flaw detector cars
  • Electric powered freight engines
  • Diesel-electric freight engines
  • Speed gauges
  • Signaling lanterns
  • Manual rail switches
  • Specialty wrench sets
  • Electric freight engines
  • Desktop computers
  • Reflective vests
  • Diesel powered generators
  • Safety gloves
  • Temperature gauges
  • Diesel switch engines
  • Generator electrical control panels
  • Steel-toes boots
  • Accelerometers
  • Diesel freight engines
  • Mobile radios
  • Clamp-on ammeters
  • Dock boards

Alternative Job Titles