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Automation Risk Analysis

Will “Carman” be Automated?

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AI Exposure Risk

49%

“Carman” will probably not be replaced by AI.

Based on the cognitive demands, communication requirements, and logical reasoning intrinsic to this occupation according to O*NET data, we project a 49% probability of disruption by generative AI and Large Language Models.

Automation & Robot Risk

58%

“Carman” will maybe be replaced by robots.

Evaluating the physical dexterity, repetitive motion tasks, and manual labor associated with this role, our analysis indicates a 58% likelihood of substitution by advanced robotics systems.

Personal & Financial Insights

Every occupation has a unique profile. For Railroad Brake, Signal, and Switch Operators and Locomotive Firers, the Bureau of Labor Statistics and O*NET classify the day-to-day work broadly as: Operate or monitor railroad track switches or locomotive instruments. May couple or uncouple rolling stock to make up or break up trains. Watch for and relay traffic signals. May inspect couplings, air hoses, journal boxes, and hand brakes. May watch for dragging equipment or obstacles on rights-of-way.

Avg. Annual Salary $63,170
Avg. Hourly Wage $30.37
Available Jobs (US) 12,460
Job Title & Hierarchy Code (SOC) Railroad Brake, Signal, and Switch Operators and Locomotive Firers #53-4022
Wage vs. National Median
ℹ️

Data is based on the reference occupation: “Railroad Brake, Signal, and Switch Operators and Locomotive Firers”

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Core Skills & Abilities

  • Observe train signals along routes and verify their meanings for engineers.

  • Set flares, flags, lanterns, or torpedoes in front and at rear of trains during emergency stops to warn oncoming trains.

  • Ride atop cars that have been shunted, and turn handwheels to control speeds or stop cars at specified positions.

  • Record numbers of cars available, numbers of cars sent to repair stations, and types of service needed.

  • Inspect tracks, cars, and engines for defects and to determine service needs, sending engines and cars for repairs as necessary.

  • Start diesel engines to warm engines before runs.

  • Signal locomotive engineers to start or stop trains when coupling or uncoupling cars, using hand signals, lanterns, or radio communication.

  • Make minor repairs to couplings, air hoses, and journal boxes, using hand tools.

  • Receive oral or written instructions from yardmasters or yard conductors indicating track assignments and cars to be switched.

  • Provide passengers with assistance entering and exiting trains.

  • Conduct brake tests to determine the condition of brakes on trains.

  • Raise levers to couple and uncouple cars for makeup and breakup of trains.

  • Pull or push track switches to reroute cars.

  • Inspect locomotives to detect damaged or worn parts.

  • Check to see that trains are equipped with supplies such as fuel, water, and sand.

  • Refuel and lubricate engines.

  • Monitor oil, temperature, and pressure gauges on dashboards to determine if engines are operating safely and efficiently.

  • Signal other workers to set brakes and to throw track switches when switching cars from trains to way stations.

  • Connect air hoses to cars, using wrenches.

  • Operate locomotives in emergency situations.

  • Observe tracks from left sides of locomotives to detect obstructions on tracks.

  • Inspect couplings, air hoses, journal boxes, and handbrakes to ensure that they are securely fastened and functioning properly.

  • Climb ladders to tops of cars to set brakes.

  • Observe signals from other crew members so that work activities can be coordinated.

  • Operate and drive locomotives, diesel switch engines, dinkey engines, flatcars, and railcars in train yards and at industrial sites.

  • Monitor trains as they go around curves to detect dragging equipment and smoking journal boxes.

Technologies & Software

  • Electronic train management systems ETMS
  • Project44 AI Logistics
  • Google Android
  • Time tracking software
  • Tesla Autopilot
  • Mobileye AI
  • Gatik AI
  • Electronic train management system software
  • Route mapping software
  • Microsoft Office software
  • Microsoft Outlook
  • Waymo (Autonomous Driving)
  • Microsoft Excel
  • Buffer stops
  • Mobile radios
  • Ground throw switches
  • Remote control locomotives
  • Electric powered freight engines
  • Air pressure gauges
  • Temperature gauges
  • Diesel powered generators
  • Electric freight engines
  • Diesel-electric freight engines
  • Derailers
  • Generator electrical control panels
  • Track switching systems
  • Circuit breakers
  • Reflective vests
  • Safety air horns
  • Railroad track switches
  • Steam pressure gauges
  • Freight car air brakes
  • Steel toe boots
  • Rail flaw detection machines
  • Battery gauges
  • Desktop computers
  • Oil pressure gauges
  • Straight screwdrivers
  • Speed gauges
  • Cut-off valves
  • Dinky engines
  • Car pullers
  • Accelerometers
  • Signal flares
  • Signal flags
  • Locomotive airbrakes
  • Mobile scaffolding
  • Diesel freight engines
  • Load current indicating meters
  • Switch handles
  • Safety gloves
  • Signaling lanterns
  • Steam powered train engines
  • Dinkey engines
  • Diesel powered freight engines
  • Automatic track switching systems
  • Diesel switch engines
  • Track switches
  • Specialty wrench sets
  • Philips head screwdrivers
  • Manual rail switches
  • Hand brakes
  • Dynamic braking systems
  • Rail flaw detector cars
  • Steel-toes boots
  • Air horns
  • Gas turbine-electric freight engines
  • Protective glasses
  • Dock boards
  • Rail cargo cars
  • Locomotive wheel chocks
  • Equipment couplers
  • Dry chemical fire extinguishers
  • Clamp-on ammeters

Alternative Job Titles