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Automation Risk Analysis

Will “Trainman” be Automated?

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AI Exposure Risk

49%

“Trainman” will probably not be replaced by AI.

Based on the cognitive demands, communication requirements, and logical reasoning intrinsic to this occupation according to O*NET data, we project a 49% probability of disruption by generative AI and Large Language Models.

Automation & Robot Risk

58%

“Trainman” will maybe be replaced by robots.

Evaluating the physical dexterity, repetitive motion tasks, and manual labor associated with this role, our analysis indicates a 58% likelihood of substitution by advanced robotics systems.

Personal & Financial Insights

Every occupation has a unique profile. For Railroad Brake, Signal, and Switch Operators and Locomotive Firers, the Bureau of Labor Statistics and O*NET classify the day-to-day work broadly as: Operate or monitor railroad track switches or locomotive instruments. May couple or uncouple rolling stock to make up or break up trains. Watch for and relay traffic signals. May inspect couplings, air hoses, journal boxes, and hand brakes. May watch for dragging equipment or obstacles on rights-of-way.

Avg. Annual Salary $63,170
Avg. Hourly Wage $30.37
Available Jobs (US) 12,460
Job Title & Hierarchy Code (SOC) Railroad Brake, Signal, and Switch Operators and Locomotive Firers #53-4022
Wage vs. National Median
ℹ️

Data is based on the reference occupation: “Railroad Brake, Signal, and Switch Operators and Locomotive Firers”

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Core Skills & Abilities

  • Refuel and lubricate engines.

  • Operate locomotives in emergency situations.

  • Make minor repairs to couplings, air hoses, and journal boxes, using hand tools.

  • Climb ladders to tops of cars to set brakes.

  • Start diesel engines to warm engines before runs.

  • Record numbers of cars available, numbers of cars sent to repair stations, and types of service needed.

  • Connect air hoses to cars, using wrenches.

  • Monitor trains as they go around curves to detect dragging equipment and smoking journal boxes.

  • Inspect tracks, cars, and engines for defects and to determine service needs, sending engines and cars for repairs as necessary.

  • Conduct brake tests to determine the condition of brakes on trains.

  • Observe signals from other crew members so that work activities can be coordinated.

  • Raise levers to couple and uncouple cars for makeup and breakup of trains.

  • Operate and drive locomotives, diesel switch engines, dinkey engines, flatcars, and railcars in train yards and at industrial sites.

  • Provide passengers with assistance entering and exiting trains.

  • Observe tracks from left sides of locomotives to detect obstructions on tracks.

  • Pull or push track switches to reroute cars.

  • Check to see that trains are equipped with supplies such as fuel, water, and sand.

  • Signal other workers to set brakes and to throw track switches when switching cars from trains to way stations.

  • Signal locomotive engineers to start or stop trains when coupling or uncoupling cars, using hand signals, lanterns, or radio communication.

  • Inspect couplings, air hoses, journal boxes, and handbrakes to ensure that they are securely fastened and functioning properly.

  • Ride atop cars that have been shunted, and turn handwheels to control speeds or stop cars at specified positions.

  • Set flares, flags, lanterns, or torpedoes in front and at rear of trains during emergency stops to warn oncoming trains.

  • Receive oral or written instructions from yardmasters or yard conductors indicating track assignments and cars to be switched.

  • Observe train signals along routes and verify their meanings for engineers.

  • Monitor oil, temperature, and pressure gauges on dashboards to determine if engines are operating safely and efficiently.

  • Inspect locomotives to detect damaged or worn parts.

Technologies & Software

  • Time tracking software
  • Project44 AI Logistics
  • Waymo (Autonomous Driving)
  • Microsoft Excel
  • Tesla Autopilot
  • Route mapping software
  • Gatik AI
  • Mobileye AI
  • Google Android
  • Microsoft Outlook
  • Electronic train management system software
  • Electronic train management systems ETMS
  • Microsoft Office software
  • Car pullers
  • Safety gloves
  • Rail flaw detection machines
  • Speed gauges
  • Air horns
  • Clamp-on ammeters
  • Philips head screwdrivers
  • Buffer stops
  • Electric freight engines
  • Dock boards
  • Signal flares
  • Locomotive wheel chocks
  • Temperature gauges
  • Equipment couplers
  • Mobile scaffolding
  • Ground throw switches
  • Battery gauges
  • Generator electrical control panels
  • Hand brakes
  • Steel-toes boots
  • Diesel-electric freight engines
  • Switch handles
  • Derailers
  • Rail flaw detector cars
  • Automatic track switching systems
  • Reflective vests
  • Diesel freight engines
  • Straight screwdrivers
  • Accelerometers
  • Specialty wrench sets
  • Steam powered train engines
  • Rail cargo cars
  • Desktop computers
  • Dry chemical fire extinguishers
  • Freight car air brakes
  • Signal flags
  • Track switches
  • Dinky engines
  • Load current indicating meters
  • Dynamic braking systems
  • Diesel powered freight engines
  • Diesel powered generators
  • Electric powered freight engines
  • Oil pressure gauges
  • Gas turbine-electric freight engines
  • Diesel switch engines
  • Mobile radios
  • Steam pressure gauges
  • Air pressure gauges
  • Track switching systems
  • Circuit breakers
  • Dinkey engines
  • Safety air horns
  • Cut-off valves
  • Steel toe boots
  • Manual rail switches
  • Protective glasses
  • Signaling lanterns
  • Locomotive airbrakes
  • Railroad track switches
  • Remote control locomotives

Alternative Job Titles