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Automation Risk Analysis

Will “Terminal Carman” be Automated?

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AI Exposure Risk

49%

“Terminal Carman” will probably not be replaced by AI.

Based on the cognitive demands, communication requirements, and logical reasoning intrinsic to this occupation according to O*NET data, we project a 49% probability of disruption by generative AI and Large Language Models.

Automation & Robot Risk

58%

“Terminal Carman” will maybe be replaced by robots.

Evaluating the physical dexterity, repetitive motion tasks, and manual labor associated with this role, our analysis indicates a 58% likelihood of substitution by advanced robotics systems.

Personal & Financial Insights

Every occupation has a unique profile. For Railroad Brake, Signal, and Switch Operators and Locomotive Firers, the Bureau of Labor Statistics and O*NET classify the day-to-day work broadly as: Operate or monitor railroad track switches or locomotive instruments. May couple or uncouple rolling stock to make up or break up trains. Watch for and relay traffic signals. May inspect couplings, air hoses, journal boxes, and hand brakes. May watch for dragging equipment or obstacles on rights-of-way.

Avg. Annual Salary $63,170
Avg. Hourly Wage $30.37
Available Jobs (US) 12,460
Job Title & Hierarchy Code (SOC) Railroad Brake, Signal, and Switch Operators and Locomotive Firers #53-4022
Wage vs. National Median
ℹ️

Data is based on the reference occupation: “Railroad Brake, Signal, and Switch Operators and Locomotive Firers”

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Core Skills & Abilities

  • Inspect tracks, cars, and engines for defects and to determine service needs, sending engines and cars for repairs as necessary.

  • Operate locomotives in emergency situations.

  • Record numbers of cars available, numbers of cars sent to repair stations, and types of service needed.

  • Ride atop cars that have been shunted, and turn handwheels to control speeds or stop cars at specified positions.

  • Observe tracks from left sides of locomotives to detect obstructions on tracks.

  • Monitor oil, temperature, and pressure gauges on dashboards to determine if engines are operating safely and efficiently.

  • Receive oral or written instructions from yardmasters or yard conductors indicating track assignments and cars to be switched.

  • Observe train signals along routes and verify their meanings for engineers.

  • Set flares, flags, lanterns, or torpedoes in front and at rear of trains during emergency stops to warn oncoming trains.

  • Refuel and lubricate engines.

  • Pull or push track switches to reroute cars.

  • Make minor repairs to couplings, air hoses, and journal boxes, using hand tools.

  • Provide passengers with assistance entering and exiting trains.

  • Monitor trains as they go around curves to detect dragging equipment and smoking journal boxes.

  • Inspect couplings, air hoses, journal boxes, and handbrakes to ensure that they are securely fastened and functioning properly.

  • Raise levers to couple and uncouple cars for makeup and breakup of trains.

  • Inspect locomotives to detect damaged or worn parts.

  • Start diesel engines to warm engines before runs.

  • Connect air hoses to cars, using wrenches.

  • Check to see that trains are equipped with supplies such as fuel, water, and sand.

  • Climb ladders to tops of cars to set brakes.

  • Observe signals from other crew members so that work activities can be coordinated.

  • Conduct brake tests to determine the condition of brakes on trains.

  • Signal other workers to set brakes and to throw track switches when switching cars from trains to way stations.

  • Operate and drive locomotives, diesel switch engines, dinkey engines, flatcars, and railcars in train yards and at industrial sites.

  • Signal locomotive engineers to start or stop trains when coupling or uncoupling cars, using hand signals, lanterns, or radio communication.

Technologies & Software

  • Microsoft Outlook
  • Project44 AI Logistics
  • Electronic train management systems ETMS
  • Time tracking software
  • Tesla Autopilot
  • Microsoft Office software
  • Microsoft Excel
  • Google Android
  • Waymo (Autonomous Driving)
  • Gatik AI
  • Route mapping software
  • Mobileye AI
  • Electronic train management system software
  • Dinkey engines
  • Steam pressure gauges
  • Protective glasses
  • Diesel freight engines
  • Diesel switch engines
  • Safety gloves
  • Freight car air brakes
  • Clamp-on ammeters
  • Circuit breakers
  • Dynamic braking systems
  • Philips head screwdrivers
  • Specialty wrench sets
  • Generator electrical control panels
  • Hand brakes
  • Switch handles
  • Signal flags
  • Mobile scaffolding
  • Battery gauges
  • Speed gauges
  • Diesel powered freight engines
  • Signaling lanterns
  • Rail cargo cars
  • Oil pressure gauges
  • Derailers
  • Steel-toes boots
  • Rail flaw detector cars
  • Automatic track switching systems
  • Temperature gauges
  • Electric freight engines
  • Manual rail switches
  • Steam powered train engines
  • Air horns
  • Air pressure gauges
  • Locomotive airbrakes
  • Rail flaw detection machines
  • Track switches
  • Straight screwdrivers
  • Dinky engines
  • Electric powered freight engines
  • Signal flares
  • Safety air horns
  • Desktop computers
  • Dry chemical fire extinguishers
  • Locomotive wheel chocks
  • Mobile radios
  • Buffer stops
  • Cut-off valves
  • Railroad track switches
  • Accelerometers
  • Diesel powered generators
  • Car pullers
  • Equipment couplers
  • Diesel-electric freight engines
  • Ground throw switches
  • Reflective vests
  • Load current indicating meters
  • Dock boards
  • Track switching systems
  • Remote control locomotives
  • Steel toe boots
  • Gas turbine-electric freight engines

Alternative Job Titles